| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | sf | ab | slg | h | so | hbp | gidp | 1b | babip | 2b | pa | 3b | sb | hr | xbh | r | obp | rbi | iso | bb | ops | ibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-22 | @ HOU | $6.3K | $4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-10-18 | vs. HOU | $3.2K | $4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-10-15 | @ HOU | $7.5K | $4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-10-11 | vs. TB | $2.9K | $2K | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-10-08 | @ TB | $2.7K | $2K | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-09-10 | @ CWS | $2.9K | $2K | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2021-09-08 | vs. TB | $3.2K | $2.1K | 8 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2021-09-07 | vs. TB | $3.2K | $2.1K | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
| 2021-09-03 | vs. CLE | $3.2K | $2K | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2021-09-02 | @ TB | $2.9K | $2K | 6 | 9.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2021-07-21 | @ TOR | $2.3K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-07-19 | @ TOR | $2.6K | $2K | 23 | 31.7 | 0 | 5 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 0 | 1.6 | 0 |
| 2021-07-06 | @ LAA | $3.2K | $2.6K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-07-05 | @ LAA | $3.4K | $2.6K | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2021-07-04 | @ OAK | $3.3K | $2.6K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-07-03 | @ OAK | $3.4K | $2.6K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-07-02 | @ OAK | $3K | $2.4K | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
| 2021-07-01 | vs. KC | $3K | $2.5K | 30 | 41.7 | 0 | 5 | 1.4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.6 | 5 | 0.8 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2021-06-29 | vs. KC | $2.7K | $2.5K | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2021-06-27 | vs. NYY | $2.5K | $2.5K | 11 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2021-06-23 | @ TB | $2.7K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-22 | @ TB | $2.7K | $2.2K | 12 | 15.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 |
| 2021-06-19 | @ KC | $2.9K | $2.5K | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| 2021-06-18 | @ KC | $3.1K | $2.5K | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
| 2021-06-16 | @ ATL | $3.2K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-15 | @ ATL | $3.4K | $2.2K | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-13 | vs. TOR | $3.5K | $2.4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-12 | vs. TOR | $3.5K | $2.4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-11 | vs. TOR | $3.2K | $2.3K | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-09 | vs. HOU | $3.2K | $2.2K | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2021-06-06 | @ NYY | $9K | $2.4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-05 | @ NYY | $2.5K | $2.4K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| 2021-06-04 | @ NYY | $2.4K | $2.5K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-03 | @ HOU | $8.1K | $2.5K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 |
| 2021-06-02 | @ HOU | $2.5K | $2.5K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-06-01 | @ HOU | $2.7K | $2.7K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2021-05-31 | @ HOU | $2.5K | $2.7K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-05-28 | vs. MIA | $2.8K | $2.7K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-05-26 | vs. ATL | $3.1K | $2.7K | 4 | 6.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2021-05-25 | vs. ATL | $2.6K | $2.7K | 8 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 |
| 2021-05-23 | @ PHI | $2.5K | $2.3K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| 2021-05-22 | @ PHI | $2.4K | -- | 21 | 27.7 | 0 | 3 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.83 | 0 |
| 2021-05-21 | @ PHI | -- | -- | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 5 | 0.8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-08-26 | vs. OAK | -- | -- | 7 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2020-08-25 | vs. OAK | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-24 | vs. OAK | -- | -- | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 |
| 2020-08-23 | @ SEA | -- | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2020-08-22 | @ SEA | -- | -- | 7 | 9.5 | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| 2020-08-21 | @ SEA | -- | -- | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
| 2020-08-20 | @ SD | -- | -- | 18 | 25.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| 2020-08-19 | @ SD | -- | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 |
| 2020-08-18 | vs. SD | -- | -- | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 |
| 2020-08-17 | vs. SD | -- | -- | 9 | 12.4 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
| 2020-08-16 | @ COL | -- | -- | 9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2020-07-28 | vs. ARI | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-07-26 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-07-25 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-07-24 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 |
Danny Santana Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
GPP Stack
I like the Texas Rangers as a stack against Aaron Brooks. The Rangers have a few good lefty bats to throw at Brooks, who this year is giving up a 370 wOBA, 243 ISO, and a 38% hard hit rate to lefty bats. Brooks is a low strikeout guy and he has a 8.6% swinging strike rate which is the third lowest on the slate. Guys like Santana, Odor, Calhoun, and Choo are the 4 I would want to start my stack off with in tournaments.
favorite Stack
The Texas Rangers are my top stack of the day. They face Yusei Kikuchi who has really struggled this season to both sides up the plate. Kikuchi has given up 2 or more home runs in 5 out of his last 7 games. It should be nice and hot in Texas and with Coors on this slate we shouldn't have to worry to much about ownership. I would definitely start my stack off with Choo, Calhoun, and Santana.
Rangers have a 117 wRC+ vs LHP since the All Star break
Ross Detwiler has the lowest strikeout rate (14.4%) and highest HR/FB (31.8) on the board. As a result, his 7.33 FIP is more than a run and a half higher than the second worst pitcher tonight. He’s allowed 11% Barrels/BBE with a .386 xwOBA despite a 56.3 GB% that’s best on the board. Accepted wisdom for most the season has been that the Rangers are terrible vs LHP (91 wRC+, 26.1 K%). However, since the All Star break, their 117 wRC+ is ninth best in the majors against southpaws with just a 20.8 K%. The Rangers are expected to line up predominantly right-handed tonight and for good reason. Batters from that side of the plate own a .425 wOBA against Detwiler this year. Hunter Pence (150 wRC+, .326 ISO vs LHP last calendar year) and Danny Santana (114 wRC+, .255 ISO) are big reasons for Texas’s turn around against lefties. Delino DeShields (109 wRC+, .178 ISO) should be a FanDuel ($2.7K) bargain out of the leadoff spot. Both the Rangers and White Sox are tied at 5.25 implied runs, the fifth best mark on the board.
Rangers are an intriguing stack vs. Berrios
Normally a guy to avoid when choosing hitters, there are a few reasons it might be wise to get some exposure to Rangers’ bats tonight. Already very hitter-friendly Globe Life Park projects to see a further increase in overall offense per WeatherEdge. Jose Berrios has some wide splits that we can target, one of which being his home-road split. Since 2017, Berrios has a 2.93 ERA, 20% K-BB and .277 xwOBA allowed in home games, compared to a 4.44 ERA, 13.6% K-BB and .316 xwOBA in road games. He is also much worse versus lefties; he has a 18.8% K-BB and .280 xwOBA allowed vs. righties compared to a 14.5% K-BB and .315 xwOBA vs. lefties. The Rangers have 5 lefties in their projected lineup for tonight’s matchup at home: Shin-Soo Choo (.378 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Nomar Mazara (.354), Danny Santana (.344), Willie Calhoun (.320) and Rougned Odor (.307). Logan Forsythe (.363) and Elvis Andrus (.303) are also potential options, but will not have the platoon advantage versus Berrios. Given the hitting environment, Rangers’ hitters are pretty cheap as Choo, Andrus, Mazara, Odor and Forsythe are all $4.1k or less on Draftkings, while Calhoun is $4.4k and Santana is $4.7k. Also working in Rangers’ hitters favor is a hitter-friendly umpire in Paul Hoberg. They currently have a 5.20 implied line vs. Berrios and the Twins.
Sneaky Stack
My favorite stack in tournaments is the Texas Rangers. They face Jordan Lyles in Milwaukee which is a great park for left handed hitters. Lyles struggles a lot more to lefty bats this year giving up a 272 ISO, 406 wOBA, and a 40% fly ball rate. I like most of the left handed bats for Texas but my top four are Santana, Choo, Odor, and Calhoun.
Rangers are an intriguing GPP stack vs. struggling Snell
Blake Snell started off the season incredibly well, but has really fallen apart over the past 30 days with an 11.94 ERA, 4.75 xFIP, 5.00 SIERA, and 10.8% K-BB. Over that time frame Snell has seen his dominant curveball collect a pitch value of -3.9; the pitch was worth a pitch value of 13.2 last year. His changeup has also gone downhill recently with a -3.9 value after it earned a 7.2 mark in 2018. Looking at his Statcast data, his curveball had a spin rate of 2517 RPM in 2018 and has averaged 2487 RPM so far in 2019, though over the past month that number has fallen to 2359. Snell’s offspeed pitches (curve, change, slider) over the past month have been ineffective as he’s allowed a .332 xwOBA when using them. He’s also given up a .358 xwOBA with his fastball over that time. Especially with Snell expected to see high ownership today, Rangers bats make for an interesting leverage stack with Snell clearly trying to regain his feel in the mound. Joey Gallo (.398 xwOBA vs. LHP), Asdrubal Cabrera (.331), Willie Calhoun (.329), Ronald Guzman (.324), Elvis Andrus (.312) and Danny Santana (.306) are all options if you’re looking to get contrarian. Delino Deshields (.276) has struggled vs. LHP this year but has a decent .310 career wOBA vs. LHP and will lead off at just $3.9k on Draftkings. Gallo has been their hottest bat with a .411 xwOBA over the past 2 weeks, followed by Danny Santana at .394.
Jordan Zimmerman's velocity was down, 6.7 SwStr% in return from IL
Jordan Zimmermann returned from nearly a two month layoff to allow three runs in four innings against the Pirates, striking out four of 19 batters. His velocity was down and he had just a 6.7 SwStr%. His 91.2 Z-Contact% on the season is second worst on the board to go along with his 89.7 mph aEV. While Texas bats project well here (5.14 implied runs), they could still get lost in the shuffle with a full one-third of the board (10 teams) at 4.9 runs or higher tonight. LHBs have a particular advantage on a potentially still compromised pitcher (.367 wOBA, .350 xwOBA last 12 months). It doesn’t hurt this offense either that Joey Gallo (141 wRC+, .335 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) is expected back tonight. Shin-soo Choo (137 wRC+, .216 ISO), Danny Santana (134 wRC+, .248 ISO), Nomar Mazara (103 wRC+, .188 ISO), Rougned Odor (94 wRC+, .222 ISO) and Ronald Guzman (113 wRC+, .228 ISO) are all dangerous hitters with power here.
Rangers bats in another good spot today at home vs. Nova
The Rangers will face Ivan Nova this afternoon in the heat at Globe Life Park and have a juicy 6.16 implied total. Nova continues to hang onto a rotation spot despite been terrible this year with a 6.01 ERA / 4.73 xFIP / 5.04 SIERA with an 8 % K-BB and 8.2% SwStr. His Statcast numbers are just as bad as he has a .355 xwOBA allowed, 88.4 MPH aEV and 7.4 % barrel rate. Nova is slightly more vulnerable vs. lefties; he has a .356 xwOBA allowed vs. LHB since 2018 compared to a .329 mark vs. RHB. The Rangers have just 2 right-handed bats in their projected lineup. Willie Calhoun (.460 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Shin-Soo Choo (.399), Nomar Mazara (.371), Ronald Guzman (.367) and Danny Santana (.354) are all great lefty options that mash RHP. Also in play are Elvis Andrus (.303), Rougned Odor (.284) and Asdrubal Cabrera (.276). Mazara cranked 2 homers yesterday and has been their hottest hitter over the past 14 days with a .392 xwOBA. Mazara and Calhoun are both great values on Draftings at just $4.4k each. Cabrera, Odor and Guzman are all $4k or less. Rangers bats will likely see decent ownership but they are in a great spot here and arguably underpriced given the matchup.
Rangers have highest implied total on the board tonight at home vs. Reynaldo Lopez
There should be a ton of runs to go around tonight in Arlington as two bad pitchers will faceoff in the heat at Globe Life Park. The game currently has an O/U of 11.5 and WeatherEdge is expecting an increase in runs scored (WeatherEdge available for premium subscribers). Reynaldo Lopez has been terrible this year with a 6.31 ERA / 5.71 xFIP / 5.10 SIERA with a 11% K-BB, 49.4% FB rate, 39% hard contact rate and 1.59 WHIP. He also has a .372 xwOBA, 10.4% barrel rate and 90.5 MPH aEV on the year. The Rangers lineup is missing some pop without Joey Gallo and Hunter Pence in the order but still has plenty of good options in this matchup. Shin-Soo Choo (140 wRC+, .225 ISO vs. RHP since 2018), Danny Santana (129 wRC+, .227 ISO), Asdrubal Cabrera (117 wRC+, .228 ISO), Willie Calhoun (111 wRC+, .196 ISO), Ronald Guzman (105 wRC+, .215 ISO), Nomar Mazara (.101 wRC+, .165 ISO), and Elvis Andrus (86 wRC+, .128 ISO) are all good options in tonight’s lineup. Santana has been their hottest hitter with a .360 xwOBA over the last 2 weeks, followed by Guzman at .356. All Rangers’ bats are available for $5k or less on Draftkings and will likely be a popular stack tonight. They have a 6.19 implied line vs. Lopez and the White Sox.
Rangers Have Highest Total on the Slate
The Rangers face Clay Buchholz in Arlington Sunday with a 5.53 implied total. Buccholz wasn’t bad in 2018 with a 2.01 ERA / 4.01 xFIP, but over 21 innings this year he has a 4.79 ERA / 5.13 xFIP and a miniscule 12.5 K%. Since 2016 Buchholz has been slightly worse vs. RHB, but can be targeted with hitters from both sides of the plate, especially pitching in a hitter’s park like Globe Life Park. Joey Gallo (.395 xwOBA vs. RHP since 2018), Shin-Soo Choo (.394), Danny Santana (.379), Nomar Mazara (.354), Asdrubal Cabrera (.315) and Rougned Odor (.314) are all good options projected to be in the Rangers’ lineup. Choo is by far the cheapest of the bunch coming in at just $3.8k on Draftkings due to his early season struggles; he also has just a .185 xwOBA over the last 10 days. Choo has been the hottest hitter of the bunch with a .449 xwOBA over the last 10 days.