Jason Castro

Houston Astros
Pos: C | Hand: L
Status: Inactive
player props
FPTS 2 4 6 8 10 11 13 15 17 19 SAL $2.7K $3.3K $3.8K $4.3K $4.9K $5.4K $5.9K $6.4K $7K $7.5K
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 5
  • FPTS: 2
  • FPTS: 5
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 5
  • FPTS: 19
  • SAL: $3K
  • SAL: $3.2K
  • SAL: $3.2K
  • SAL: $3.1K
  • SAL: $3.1K
  • SAL: $3.1K
  • SAL: $3K
  • SAL: $2.6K
  • SAL: $2.6K
  • SAL: $2.3K
  • SAL: $2.4K
  • SAL: $7.5K
  • SAL: $2.5K
  • SAL: $2.4K
  • SAL: $2.7K
  • SAL: $2.2K
05/29 05/29 06/01 06/01 06/04 06/07 06/08 06/08 06/12 06/15 06/19 06/22 06/24 06/26 06/29
Date Opp DKSAL FDSAL DKFPTS FDFPTS sf ab slg h so hbp gidp 1b babip 2b pa 3b sb hr xbh r obp rbi iso bb ops ibb
2022-06-29 @ NYM $2.2K $2K 19 25.2 0 4 1.25 2 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 2 0.75 0 1.75 0
2022-06-26 @ NYY $2.7K $2K 5 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-06-24 @ NYY $2.4K $2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-06-22 vs. NYM $2.5K $2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-06-19 vs. CWS $7.5K $4K 5 6.2 0 3 0.33 1 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2022-06-14 @ TEX $2.4K $2K 2 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2022-06-12 vs. MIA $2.3K $2K 5 6.2 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2022-06-08 vs. SEA $2.6K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-06-07 vs. SEA $2.6K $2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-06-06 vs. SEA $3K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-06-04 @ KC $3.1K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-06-01 @ OAK $3.1K $2K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-31 @ OAK $3.1K $2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-29 @ SEA $3.2K $2K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-28 @ SEA $3.2K $2K 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-27 @ SEA $3K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-25 vs. CLE $3K $2K 7 9.5 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.67 1 0 1 1.67 0
2022-05-21 vs. TEX $2.7K $2K 7 9.2 0 3 0.67 1 1 0 0 0 0.5 1 3 0 0 0 1 1 0.33 0 0.33 0 1 0
2022-05-20 vs. TEX $2.8K $2K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-16 @ BOS $3.3K $2K 7 9.2 0 4 0.5 1 1 0 0 0 0.33 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0.25 0 0.25 0 0.75 0
2022-05-14 @ WSH $3.4K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-12 @ MIN -- -- 6 9.2 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 0 2 0.5 0
2022-05-08 vs. DET $3.6K $2K 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-07 vs. DET $3.5K $2K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-05-04 vs. SEA $7.8K $2K 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2022-04-30 @ TOR $2.3K $2K 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-04-27 @ TEX $2.4K $2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-04-25 @ TEX $2.3K $2K 2 3 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2022-04-22 vs. TOR $2.5K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022-04-20 vs. LAA $2.3K $2K 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2022-04-17 @ SEA $2.2K $2K 2 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2022-04-13 @ ARI $2.7K $2.1K 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0
2022-04-12 @ ARI $2.3K $2.1K 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2022-04-09 @ LAA $2.6K $2.1K 2 3 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.33 0
2021-10-29 @ ATL $8.1K $4.5K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-10-26 vs. ATL $8.7K $4.5K 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-10-19 @ BOS $3.4K $2.2K 7 9.7 0 2 0.5 1 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 1 0 0 1 0
2021-10-18 @ BOS $3.4K $4K 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0
2021-10-16 vs. BOS $3.5K $2K 16 21.7 0 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 5 0
2021-10-10 @ CWS $10.2K $5K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-10-03 vs. OAK $3.9K $2.1K 7 9.2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0
2021-10-02 vs. OAK $3.8K $2K 16 21.7 0 3 1.33 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 1 1 1 1.83 0
2021-10-01 vs. OAK $3.6K $2K 24 31.7 0 4 1.5 3 0 0 0 2 0.67 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.75 3 0.75 0 2.25 0
2021-09-29 vs. TB $3.2K $2K 3 3 0 2 0.5 1 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 0 1 0
2021-09-28 vs. TB $3.2K $2K 4 6.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0
2021-09-26 @ OAK $2.3K $2K 7 9.2 0 2 0.5 1 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0.67 0 0 1 1.17 0
2021-09-24 @ OAK $2K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-09-23 @ LAA $2K $2K 14 18.7 0 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 3 0 5 0
2021-09-22 @ LAA $2K $2K 14 18.7 0 5 0.8 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 0.2 1 0.6 0 1 0
2021-09-18 vs. ARI $2K $2K 5 6.5 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0
2021-09-17 vs. ARI $2K $2K 5 6 0 3 0.67 1 1 0 0 0 0.5 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0.33 0 0.33 0 1 0
2021-08-25 vs. KC $2.7K $2K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-24 vs. KC $2.7K $2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-22 vs. SEA $2.7K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-21 vs. SEA $2.4K $2K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-19 @ KC $2.3K $2K 4 6 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 1 0.5 1
2021-08-18 @ KC $2.5K $2K 7 10 0 2 0.5 1 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 2 0 0 1 0
2021-08-16 @ KC $2.3K $2K 14 18.7 0 4 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.25 1 0.75 0 1.25 0
2021-08-15 @ LAA $2.4K $2K 5 6 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 3 0
2021-08-14 @ LAA $2.3K $2K 5 6.2 0 4 0.25 1 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2021-08-08 vs. MIN $2.3K $3K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-07 vs. MIN $2.2K $2K 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-06 vs. MIN $2.4K $2K 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-05 vs. MIN $2.5K $2K 14 18.7 0 3 1.33 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0.33 1 1 0 1.67 0
2021-08-04 @ LAD $2K $2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-01 @ SF $2.4K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-07-30 @ SF $2K $2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-07-28 @ SEA $2K $3K 4 6 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 0 0 2 0.4 0
2021-07-23 vs. TEX $2.5K $2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-07-18 @ CWS $2.4K $3K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-07-17 @ CWS $2.6K $2K 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-07-11 vs. NYY $3.1K $2.2K 3 3 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0
2021-07-09 vs. NYY $3.2K $2.1K 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-07-08 vs. OAK $3.2K $2.2K 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0
2021-07-04 @ CLE $2.8K $2.2K 7 9 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.6 0 0 2 0.93 0
2021-07-03 @ CLE $2.9K $2.2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-07-02 @ CLE $2.8K $2.2K 8 9.5 0 4 0.5 2 1 0 0 2 0.67 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 0 1 0
2021-07-01 @ CLE $2.2K $2K 4 6.2 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2021-06-30 vs. BAL $2.7K $2.2K 2 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 1 0.33 0
2021-06-28 vs. BAL $3.2K $2.2K 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0
2021-06-27 @ DET $3.1K $2.2K 5 6 0 2 0.5 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.67 0 0 0 1.17 0
2021-06-26 @ DET $10.2K $2.2K 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-06-23 @ BAL $3.1K $2.1K 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-06-21 @ BAL $2.9K $2.2K 7 9.2 0 5 0.4 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 5 0 0 0 1 1 0.2 0 0.2 0 0.6 0
2021-06-17 vs. CWS $2.8K $2K 4 6 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 2 0.5 0
2021-06-15 vs. TEX $3K $2K 4 6.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0
2021-05-23 @ TEX $4.1K $2.1K 5 6.2 0 2 0.5 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 0 0 1 0
2021-05-21 @ TEX $4K $2.1K 15 18.7 0 5 0.8 3 1 0 0 2 0.75 1 5 0 0 0 1 1 0.6 1 0.2 0 1.4 0
2021-05-19 @ OAK $3.1K $2.2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-05-18 @ OAK $3.1K $2.2K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-05-13 vs. TEX $3.2K $2K 9 12.2 0 2 0.5 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0.75 0 0 2 1.25 0
2021-05-10 vs. LAA $3.2K $2.2K 4 6.2 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2021-05-05 @ NYY $3.3K $2.5K 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-05-04 @ NYY $3.3K $2.8K 3 3 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0
2021-05-02 @ TB $3.3K $2.8K 5 6 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 3 0
2021-04-29 vs. SEA $12K $4K 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-28 vs. SEA $4.2K $2.5K 4 6.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0
2021-04-24 vs. LAA $4.2K $2.5K 18 25.4 0 4 0.75 2 1 0 0 1 0.67 1 5 0 0 0 1 2 0.6 2 0.25 1 1.35 0
2021-04-23 vs. LAA $4K $2.5K 7 9.2 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 0.5 0 0.5 0 1.5 0
2021-04-18 @ SEA $4.3K $2.9K 2 3 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.33 0
2021-04-17 @ SEA $4.4K $2.9K 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2021-04-16 @ SEA $4.3K $2.9K 2 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2021-04-14 vs. DET $4.6K $2.6K 18 25.2 0 3 1.33 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 2 1 1 1.83 0
2021-04-13 vs. DET $4.2K $2.6K 4 6 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 2 0.5 0
2021-04-08 vs. OAK $3.6K $2.5K 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-04 @ OAK $3.3K $2.1K 18 25.4 0 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 2 0.25 2 0.75 0 1.25 0

Jason Castro Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Jason Castro scratched on Sunday; Anthony Bemboom will replace and bat 8th

Jason Castro has been scratched Sunday and will be replaced at catcher and in the 8th spot by Anthony Bemboom. The Angels are the highest projected offense in the late window, so those with LAA stacks should make sure to remove Castro from lineups and can pivot over to Bemboom at a C spot.

Yankees have highest implied total (currently 5.47) out of four teams today

WeatherEdge is projecting a decrease in home runs, and to a lesser degree a decrease in total runs for this matchup between the Twins and Yanks in New York. Still, the game currently has a healthy 9.5 O/U, two runs higher than Rays @ Astros game.

The Yankees will face off versus right-handed Randy Dobnak, who was called up late in the year for the Twins and provided a solid 1.59 ERA / 2.90 FIP / 3.77 SIERA with a 1.13 WHIP and 15.3% K-BB over 28 and 1/3 innings between the bullpen and rotation. Though it’s a small sample, Dobnak has been more effective vs. lefties (.261 xwOBA allowed in 59 PA) than righties (.316 xwOBA allowed in 59 PA). Once Dobnak is done, the Yankees will face a Twins bullpen that has the 3rd best SIERA (3.24) over the past month. Gary Sanchez (.381 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Aaron Judge (.380), Gio Urshela (.365), DJ LeMahieu (.364), Giancarlo Stanton (.362), Edwin Encarnacion (.356), Gleyber Torres (.327), Brett Gardner (.312) and Didi Gregorius (.286) make up all nine options in the Yanks’ projected order. Stanton and Judge have been the Yankees hottest hitters over the past 2 weeks with xwOBAs over .440, while Gregorius and Torres have been cold, each having an xwOBA below .200.

The Twins will matchup with Masahiro Tanaka and currently have a 4.07 implied total which feels a bit low given how stacked this Twins lineup is. Tanaka posted a middling 4.45 ERA / 4.27 FIP / 4.29 xFIP this year, and a similar 4.32 ERA / 3.97 FIP / 4.20 xFIP over the past 30 days. By xwOBA, Tanaka has been mostly platoon neutral over the past 3 years. When Tanaka is chased from the game, the Twins will face a Yanks bullpen that has an 8th best 3.68 SIERA over the past 30 days. Nelson Cruz (.405 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Jason Castro (.386), Jorge Polanco (.355), Jake Cave (.355), Miguel Sano (.350), Luis Arraez (.342), Max Kepler (.340), Eddie Rosario (.326) and Marwin Gonzalez (.313) are all options in the Twins projected order. Cave, Cruz and Sano all have an xwOBA over .425 over the past 2 weeks. Luis Arraez is the only aforementioned name with an xwOBA below .320 over the past 2 weeks. Jake Cave stands out as a very nice value on both major sites, especially given his recent success.

Twins have highest implied total on the slate vs. VerHagen

Drew VerHagen has a 5.12 ERA / 4.63 xFIP over 170.2 career innings, but currently has a 6.67 ERA, 5.56 xFIP, 5.34 SIERA and 5% K-BB over 29.2 innings in 2019. VerHagen has been a bit more vulnerable vs. lefties with a .382 wOBA allowed vs. LHB compared to a .310 wOBA allowed vs. RHB in his career. The Twins have a 5th best 111 wRC+ vs. RHP this year and have a good amount of options in their lineup tonight, especially now that Nelson Cruz has recently returned from the IL. Cruz (.420 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Jason Castro (.393), Miguel Sano (.355), Jorge Polanco (.354), Luis Arraez (.348), Max Kepler (.343), Ehire Adrianza (.323) and Marwin Gonzalez (.316) are all in play vs. VerHagen tonight. Miguel Sano has been the hottest hitter of the bunch with a .417 xwOBA over the past 2 weeks. Marwin Gonzalez is a nice value on Draftkings, batting 4th at just $3.9k. Arraez follows him in the order at $4.1k and Adrianza will bat 7th at just $3.7k. Cruz will cost a hefty $5.8k on DK while no other Twins hitter is above $4.7k. The Twins currently have a 6.44 implied total for tonight’s game.

LHBs have a .380 xwOBA against Daniel Mengden over the last calendar year

Daniel Mengden struck out five Cardinals, did not allow a run and just four hits through six innings last time out. It was his best start of the season, although he’s allowed one run or less in four of six outings. However, he owns just a 6.2 K-BB% with a 4.03 ERA the pure product of a 3.0 HR/FB that’s completely unsustainable. His .327 xwOBA, 5.48 SIERA and 5.59 DRA all suggest major regression in his future and the Twins (112 wRC+, 20.3 K%, 16.7 HR/FB vs RHP) could be an immediate cause of some of that fall back. LHBs have just a .314 wOBA, but a .380 xwOBA against Mendgen over the last calendar year with a 50% hard hit rate and 36.2 GB%. LHBs projected to be in the Minnesota lineup tonight include Max Kepler (133 wRC+, .282 ISO vs RHP last calendar year), Jorge Polanco (144 wRC+, .201 ISO), Marwin Gonzalez (96 wRC+, .155 ISO), Luis Arraez (168 wRC+, .158 ISO) and Jason Castro (120 wRC+, .280 ISO). The Twins are implied for a healthy 4.75 runs that’s merely good enough to rest in the middle of today’s board.

Twins have a league high 149 wRC+ last seven days, have the highest implied run line outside Coors

Brad Keller has turned the lineup over three times in five straight starts, but brings just a 4.1 K-BB% into Minnesota, a team that dominates RHP (122 wRC+, 20 K%, 17.7 HR/FB) and has the highest wRC+ in the league (149) over the last week with a 38 Hard-Soft%. Despite a 92.2 Z-Contact% that’s worst on the board, what Keller does do is keep the ball on the ground (52.1%) and in the park (6.2 HR/FB), but that latter number is likely unsustainable, considering and 89.5 mph aEV that’s in the bottom quarter of the league. His 4.29 ERA is much lower than estimators around five, including a 5.06 DRA. His .322 xwOBA over the last month, is a bit ahead of his .348 mark on the season. The Twins are the only team outside Coors implied above six runs, which says a lot, but considering Keller’s tendency to keep the ball in the yard, this should be a stacking effort with the expectation of a big inning or two. Keller has been most vulnerable to LHBs, with splits separated by over 40 points by wOBA and xwOBA over the last calendar year. LHBs have also been able to generate a bit more air contact with a 48.9 GB% against him over that span. The Minnesota lineup projects five LHBs against Keller tonight. Max Kepler (118 wRC+, .253 ISO vs RHP last calendar year), Jorge Polanco (153 wRC+, .211 ISO), Eddie Rosario (106 wRC+, .239 ISO), Marwin Gonzalez (99 wRC+, .160 ISO) and Jason Castro (149 wRC+, .353 ISO) represent a very strong group.

Twins bats in a great spot versus a starter with a -9.7 K-BB% on the year

Dylan Covey has been atrocious this year with a 5.31 ERA / 7.40 xFIP / 7.73 SIERA and a -9.7 % K-BB. Covey is a 6.03 ERA / 5.02 xFIP pitcher over 212 innings in the MLB but surprisingly still has a rotation spot. His .445 xwOBA allowed this year would be worst in the league among all starters if he met the innings requirement. To make matters worse for Covey, he has to deal with an extra hitter-friendly umpire in David Rackley today. Jorge Polanco (.384 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Max Kepler (.376), CJ Cron (.372), Eddie Rosario (.351), Willians Astudillo (.333) and Marwin Gonzalez (.323) are all good options today vs. Covey. Jason Castro has a .457 xwOBA vs. RHP this year but is batting 8th. Byron Buxton has shown decent improvements this year and has a .300 xwOBA vs. RHP this year, he’ll bat last in the order but is always a threat for a steal. Marwin Gonzalez might be the best value bat, hitting 3rd in the order at just $4.1k. Luis Arraez is just $3.7k and bats 6th; he had a 146 wRC+ over 164 PA in AA this year. The Twins have a massive 6.48 implied total vs. Covey and the White Sox this afternoon.

Best Stack outside Of Coors

The Twins are the best stack outside of Coors today, facing the righty Dylan Covey. Covey has really struggled this season, especially with his control, giving up 24 walks in his 4 starts this season. He gets a matchup against one of the hottest teams in baseball. In the last month, the Twins are leading the Majors in ISO, wOBA and home runs hit. This stack will come in lower owned than you think because of how expensive the Twins' price tags are. I will be targeting Kepler, Rosario, Polanco, and Castro in my stacks.

Twins bats in great spot vs. homer prone Lopez

The Twins are easily one of the highest upside stacks of the night, as they lead the league in homers and face Reynaldo Lopez, who is among the worst of tonight’s pitchers in both HR/9 and FB%. Lopez has been awful this year with a 5.14 ERA / 5.71 xFIP , 10.1% BB rate, a horrendous 55.4% FB rate and a 37.3% hard contact. He also has a .348 xwOBA allowed, a 90.5 aEV and a 10.2% barrel rate. Lopez has been pretty platoon neutral for his career and can be targeted from both sides of the plate. Jorge Polanco (.382 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), CJ Cron (.376), Max Kepler (.368), Eddie Rosario (.344), Jonathan Schoop (.332) and Jason Castro (.471!) are all in play vs. Lopez. Marwin Gonzalez (.320) is batting 3rd and is a nice value at $4.2k on Draftkings. Max Kepler is leading off and has been the Twins’ hottest hitter with a .445 xwOBA over the past 10 days. The Twins currently have a 5.27 implied total vs. Lopez and the White Sox.

Michael Pineda and Trevor Cahill have combined to allow 27 HRs already

Los Angeles could be a nice spot to look for the long ball tonight. Michael Pineda and Trevor Cahill have combined to allow 27 HRs in 91 innings already. Each has an xwOBA above .360, which extends above .370 over the last month. Pineda did not pitch last season (Tommy John), but a .387 wOBA with eight of his 13 HRs from RHBs immediately conjures thoughts of Mike Trout (200 wRC+, .321 ISO vs RHP last calendar year). Pineda has never allowed this much damage to RHBs, but really doesn’t have a platoon split for his career. While Cahill has allowed nine of his 14 HRs to RHBs with just 17 more PAs against him that LHBs, it’s batters with the platoon advantage that have assaulted him for a .448 wOBA this season. Max Kepler (105 wRC+, .213 ISO), Eddie Rosario (109 wRC+, .218 ISO) and Jorge Polanco (147 wRC+, .202 ISO) are bats to focus on here. One could do worse than Jason Castro (172 wRC+, .431 ISO) at catcher as well. This game will additionally feature a hitter friendly umpire (Marvin Hudson) with both teams implied for exactly 4.5 runs.

All the Twins Except Mauer

The Twins have made me more money in DFS than any player or team. I'm expecting that to continue today, as I absolutely love the Twins against Tyler Mahle and the Reds bullpen. In his young career Mahle has shown the ability to get crushed by both sides of the plate and as we know, the Reds middle relief behind him is poor...at best! I think the Twins go nuts today and along with the Indians are my favorite stack.