Wilson Ramos

Cleveland Guardians
Pos: C | Hand: R
Status: Inactive
player props
FPTS 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 SAL $2.6K $2.7K $2.9K $3K $3.2K $3.4K $3.5K $3.7K $3.8K $4K
  • FPTS: 14
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 2
  • FPTS: 5
  • FPTS: 7
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 20
  • FPTS: 18
  • FPTS: 3
  • FPTS: 6
  • FPTS: 2
  • FPTS: 5
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 7
  • SAL: $4K
  • SAL: $3.5K
  • SAL: $3.5K
  • SAL: $3.2K
  • SAL: $3.4K
  • SAL: $3.5K
  • SAL: $3.5K
  • SAL: $2.8K
  • SAL: $2.4K
  • SAL: $2.9K
  • SAL: $2.9K
  • SAL: $2.6K
  • SAL: $2.8K
  • SAL: $2.7K
  • SAL: $2.7K
  • SAL: $3.5K
05/18 05/19 05/20 05/22 05/22 05/23 08/07 08/09 08/12 08/14 08/18 08/20 08/24 08/27 08/29
Date Opp DKSAL FDSAL DKFPTS FDFPTS sf ab slg h so hbp gidp 1b babip 2b pa 3b sb hr xbh r obp rbi iso bb ops ibb
2021-08-29 vs. BOS $3.5K $2.3K 7 10 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 2 0 0 0.67 0
2021-08-27 vs. BOS $2.7K $2.3K 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-24 vs. TEX $2.7K $2.3K 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-08-20 vs. LAA $2.8K $2.3K 5 6 0 4 0.25 1 3 0 0 1 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 0 0 1 0.65 0
2021-08-17 @ MIN $2.6K $2.3K 2 3.5 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
2021-08-14 @ DET $2.9K $2.2K 6 9.7 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 1 0 1 0.25 0
2021-08-12 vs. OAK $2.9K $2.2K 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2021-08-09 vs. CIN $2.4K $2K 18 25.2 0 3 1.33 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 2 1 1 1.83 0
2021-08-07 vs. DET $2.8K $2K 20 24.7 0 4 1.5 3 1 0 0 2 1 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.75 1 0.75 0 2.25 0
2021-05-23 @ KC $3.5K $2.2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-05-22 @ KC $3.5K $2.2K 7 9.2 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 0 1 0.83 0
2021-05-21 @ KC $3.4K $2.1K 5 6.5 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 1 0 0 0.5 0
2021-05-19 @ SEA $3.2K $2.4K 2 3.5 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
2021-05-18 @ SEA $3.5K $2.6K 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-05-17 @ SEA $3.5K $2.3K 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-05-06 @ BOS $4K $2.5K 14 19.2 0 5 0.6 2 0 0 0 1 0.4 1 5 0 0 0 1 1 0.4 2 0.2 0 1 0
2021-05-04 @ BOS $4.3K $2.7K 5 6.2 0 5 0.2 1 2 0 0 1 0.33 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0.2 0 0 0 0.4 0
2021-05-02 @ NYY $4.3K $2.6K 2 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 1 0.33 0
2021-05-01 @ NYY $4.3K $2.6K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-30 @ NYY $4.3K $2.4K 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2021-04-29 @ CWS $4.3K $2.5K 3 3 0 2 0.5 1 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 0 1 0
2021-04-29 @ CWS $4.3K $6K 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-27 @ CWS $4.8K $2.6K 9 12.7 0 4 0.5 1 0 0 0 0 0.25 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0.25 1 0.25 0 0.75 0
2021-04-26 vs. KC $15.3K $2.5K 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-25 vs. KC $15.3K $2.6K 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2021-04-24 vs. KC $5.4K $2.6K 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-23 vs. KC $4.8K $2.7K 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-22 vs. PIT $4.8K $2.9K 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2021-04-21 vs. PIT -- -- 5 6 0 3 0.67 1 0 0 0 0 0.33 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0.33 0 0.33 0 1 0
2021-04-21 vs. PIT $4.8K $2.8K 7 9.2 0 3 0.67 1 0 0 0 0 0.33 1 3 0 0 0 1 1 0.33 0 0.33 0 1 0
2021-04-18 @ OAK $4.1K $3.2K 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2021-04-17 @ OAK $4.1K $3.5K 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-16 @ OAK $3.9K $3.5K 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2021-04-15 @ OAK $4.1K $3.4K 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021-04-14 @ HOU $3.3K $3.2K 7 9.5 0 4 0.25 1 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 1 0 1 0.65 0
2021-04-13 @ HOU $3.4K $3.3K 30 40.9 0 5 1.6 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 2 2 2 0.4 3 1.2 0 2 0
2021-04-12 @ HOU $3.4K $3.1K 3 3 0 5 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 0.2 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0 0 0 0.4 0
2021-04-11 @ CLE $3.6K $3.1K 16 21.7 0 3 1.33 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 1 1 1 1.83 0
2021-04-09 @ CLE $2.4K $2.8K 14 18.7 0 3 1.33 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0.33 1 1 0 1.67 0
2021-04-07 vs. MIN $2.8K $2.5K 14 18.7 0 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 1 1.5 0 2.5 0
2021-04-06 vs. MIN $9.6K $2.3K 2 3 0 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0 0 1 0.2 0
2021-04-05 vs. MIN $9K $2.3K 21 27.9 0 4 1.5 2 0 0 0 0 0.33 1 4 0 0 1 2 2 0.5 1 1 0 2 0
2021-04-03 vs. CLE $2.6K $2.3K 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2021-04-01 vs. CLE $3.7K $2.4K 2 3 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2020-09-27 @ WSH -- -- 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2020-09-26 @ WSH -- -- 16 22.2 0 3 1.33 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0.33 2 1 0 1.67 0
2020-09-23 vs. TB -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-09-21 vs. TB -- -- 6 6 0 3 0.67 2 0 0 0 2 0.67 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.67 0 0 0 1.33 0
2020-09-20 vs. ATL -- -- 8 9 0 3 1 2 0 0 0 1 0.67 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0.67 0 0.33 0 1.67 0
2020-09-18 vs. ATL -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-09-17 @ PHI -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-09-16 @ PHI -- -- 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-09-15 @ PHI -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-09-12 @ TOR -- -- 7 9.2 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 1 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 0 1 0.83 0
2020-09-11 @ TOR -- -- 38 53.8 0 5 1.6 3 0 0 0 0 0.5 2 6 0 0 1 3 4 0.67 4 1 1 2.27 0
2020-09-08 vs. BAL -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-09-06 vs. PHI -- -- 14 18.7 0 5 0.8 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 0.2 1 0.6 0 1 0
2020-09-04 vs. PHI -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-09-03 vs. NYY -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-09-02 @ BAL -- -- 6 6 0 5 0.4 2 0 0 0 2 0.4 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 0 0 0 0.8 0
2020-09-01 @ BAL -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-08-31 vs. MIA -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-08-30 vs. NYY -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-08-30 @ NYY -- -- 12 15.7 0 3 0.67 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.75 1 0 1 1.42 0
2020-08-29 @ NYY -- -- 17 21.7 0 3 1.67 2 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0.67 1 1 0 2.33 0
2020-08-28 @ NYY -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-08-26 vs. MIA -- -- 7 9.5 0 3 0.33 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 1 0.83 0
2020-08-25 @ MIA -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-08-25 vs. MIA -- -- 5 6 0 2 0.5 1 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.67 0 0 1 1.17 0
2020-08-19 @ MIA -- -- 5 6.5 1 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 1 0 0 0.58 0
2020-08-17 @ MIA -- -- 5 6 0 5 0.4 1 1 0 0 0 0.25 1 5 0 0 0 1 0 0.2 0 0.2 0 0.6 0
2020-08-16 @ PHI -- -- 5 6 0 2 0.5 1 0 1 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.67 0 0 0 1.17 0
2020-08-14 @ PHI -- -- 3 3 0 5 0.2 1 1 0 1 1 0.25 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0 0 0 0.4 0
2020-08-12 vs. WSH -- -- 5 6.5 0 4 0.25 1 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 1 0 0 0.5 0
2020-08-11 vs. WSH -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-08-10 vs. WSH -- -- 7 9 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.5 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0.67 0 0.5 1 1.67 0
2020-08-08 vs. MIA -- -- 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.25 0
2020-08-07 vs. MIA -- -- 2 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2020-08-05 @ WSH -- -- 5 6 0 3 0.33 1 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 1 0.83 0
2020-08-04 @ WSH -- -- 5 6.2 0 5 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 0.2 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0.2 0 0 0 0.4 0
2020-08-03 @ ATL -- -- 21 28.7 0 4 1.25 2 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 3 0.75 0 1.75 0
2020-08-01 @ ATL -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-07-31 @ ATL -- -- 5 6.2 0 5 0.2 1 3 0 0 1 0.5 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0.2 0 0 0 0.4 0
2020-07-30 vs. BOS -- -- 2 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2020-07-29 vs. BOS -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020-07-28 @ BOS -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2020-07-27 @ BOS -- -- 10 12.2 0 4 0.75 2 1 0 0 1 0.67 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0.5 0 0.25 0 1.25 0
2020-07-25 vs. ATL -- -- 5 6 0 4 0.25 1 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 0 0 1 0.65 0
2020-07-24 vs. ATL -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Wilson Ramos Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Unexpected Slugger Has a 209 wRC+ and 97.7 mph EV on Elevated Contact

Sean Manaea did not have a successful first outing against the Astros. In addition to three of his 14 batted balls leaving the yard (all Barrels), he walked three and struck out only four (9.9 SwStr%) of the 21 batters he faced. He got another crack at them last Friday and allowed just one run over six innings, but again, striking out just four of 25 batters (6.2 SwStr%). He did get half his contact on the ground this time though without a Barrel over 20 batted balls. His velocity has been elevated from last year, but higher in his first start. Manaea doesn’t miss a lot of bats (19.6 K%) and doesn’t have more than an average ground ball rate (44.6%) with a career 89.7 mph EV. He’s a back end starter in a favorable park like Oakland. The Tigers just went into Houston and swept the Astros. They also have some bats who can handle LHP and project to go entirely RH against Manaea, who has a .293 wOBA (.316 xwOBA) against batters from that side of the plate since 2019, which is around average. At 3.66 implied runs the Tigers are middle of that pack tonight, partially because of the park and partially because the perception is still that this offense stinks. Wilson Ramos is the surprise standout here. He’s already surpassed his production from last year with a 209 wRC+, including a 97.7 mph EV on fly balls and line drives. His .478 wOBA is much confirmed by a .472 xwOBA. Ramos is also the most expensive player in this lineup on either site and only reaches $4.1K on DK and $3.4K on FanDuel. An added bonus, many would be surprised to learn that Oakland has had one of the worst bullpens in the league so far (5.26 ERA without a single estimator below four and a half).

Dallas Keuchel has a .367 xwOBA allowed in away games this year

Pitching is a mess on this slate and Keuchel is one of the “better” pitchers going tonight against the Mets. As a result he will likely see decently high ownership, but if you’re looking to get super contrarian and gain some leverage the play might be to stack against him. Over the course of his career, Keuchel has been much worse in road starts. Since 2015 Keuchel has posted a 2.70 ERA / 3.09 FIP, 15.5% K-BB and .270 xwOBA allowed in home starts compared to a 4.14 ERA / 4.21 FIP, 12% K-BB and .314 xwOBA allowed in road starts. Keuchel also has pretty wide platoon splits as he’s posted a .303 xwOBA vs. RHB compared to a .250 xwOBA vs. LHB in that span, and the Mets’ lineup projects to have only 2 lefties tonight. Keuchel’s xwOBA allowed vs. righties in away games this year is an ugly .379 over 164 plate appearances. JD Davis (.418 xwOBA vs. LHP this year), Pete Alonso (.396), Wilson Ramos (.361), Amed Rosario (.332), Todd Frazier (.325) and Michael Conforto (.303) are all potential options. Rosario and Davis project to hit 1-2 in the order and each cost only $4k on Draftkings. Ramos and Frazier are nice values as well as they are $4.4k and $3.6k, respectively. The Mets have just a 4.14 implied total but figure to see very low ownership and are worth a shot in tournaments tonight.

Caleb Smith is an extreme fly ball pitcher (26.9 GB%) with a decreasing strikeout rate

Citi Field is just one of two non-controlled environments tonight and the weather is expected to play a part. Temperatures are warmer than usual for this time of year (above 80 degrees) with winds blowing out to center up to 20 mph. The pattern is so rare that Weather Edge doesn’t have any matching conditions. Caleb Smith would likely be the more negatively affected pitcher if Citi Field were to become a neutral or better run scoring or power environment. While his 27.4 K% and 79.1 Z-Contact% are top three marks on the board, he has just a 26.9 GB%. He’s been able to generate a near league average 15.8 HR/FB due to a power suppressing home park. His 10.9% Barrels/BBE is second worst on the board. Then there’s also the fact that he’s collapsed down the stretch. He has just a 21 K% over the last month with a 6.08 ERA and .342 xwOBA. His only quality start in his last six was against the Royals at home. The Mets have a 108 wRC+ and 17 HR/FB at home, a 112 wRC+ and 17.2 HR/FB vs LHP and a 117 wRC+ and 27.1 HR/FB over the last seven days. Implied for 5.31 runs, the Mets are just third on a ten team board, but could be the most potent offense on the board. Each of the first six batters in the Mets’ lineup is above a 125 wRC+ vs LHP this season with Amed Rosario (128 wRC+, .206 ISO), Pete Alonso (143 wRC+, .350 ISO), J.D. Davis (134 wRC+, .211 ISO) and Todd Frazier (144 wRC+, .267 ISO) all above a .200 ISO. Wilson Ramos (153 wRC+, .184 ISO) doesn’t quite reach that mark, but may be the top catcher on the board tonight anyway.

Robbie Ray (10.2%) & Steven Matz (9.1%) are both bottom three on the board in Barrels/BBE

The game in New York tonight will feature two southpaws against two offenses who have done a lot of damage to LHPs this year. Both Robbie Ray and Steven Matz have been above average pitchers with an ERA right around four, but both are also among the bottom three on the board in terms of Barrels/BBE.

Over his last four starts, Ray has walked 16.7% of batters and while his strikeout rate has remained consistent at 30.6%, it does so with a drop in SwStr to 11% over that span. His 10.2% Barrels/BBE is second worst on the board. Ray has also been merely average vs RHBs this year (.328 wOBA, .325 xwOBA). The projected lineup for the Mets features five RHBs above a 125 wRC+ and .190 ISO vs LHP this year: Amed Rosario (131 wRC+, .213 ISO), Pete Alonso (151 wRC+, .366 ISO), J.D. Davis (131 wRC+, .205 ISO), Wilson Ramos (159 wRC+, .196 ISO) and Todd Frazier (128 wRC+, .231 ISO). More interestingly, Alonso is the only one above $4K on DraftKings or $3K on FanDuel.

Steven Matz has been quite a bit better recently and perhaps doesn’t deserve to be attacked that hard. He has a 2.17 ERA and .258 xwOBA over the last month, though a SIERA two runs higher over that span and has allowed 9.1% Barrels/BBE on the year. The projected lineup for the Diamondbacks does not contain a single left-handed bat and while Matz has allowed just a .314 wOBA to RHBs with a supporting .312 xwOBA, 18 of his 23 HRs have been surrendered to batters from that side. The Arizona projected lineup features five batters above a 140 wRC+ and .250 ISO against southpaws this season: Ketel Marte (146 wRC+, .294 ISO), Eduardo Escobar (128 wRC+, .277 ISO), Wilmer Flores (147 wRC+, .315 ISO), Nick Ahmed (144 wRC+, .260 ISO) and Carson Kelly (193 wRC+, .333 ISO). Weather and umpire may also lean towards boosting offense in a normally very negative run environment, as premium subscribers can confirm. With both teams implied for just 4.25 runs tonight, this could be a sneaky spot for offense.

Mets have a 111 wRC+ and 17.3 HR/FB vs LHP

Jon Lester has had a great career, but is clearly a pitcher in decline in his age 35 season. While there’s nothing wrong with being a league average pitcher at that age, the amount of hard contact he’s allowed recently has been concerning. Along with a .386 xwOBA over the last 30 days, he has now allowed 8.3% Barrels/BBE on the season with a DRA that’s crept above five (5.09). In four of his last five starts, he’s allowed at least three runs in no more than five innings and the “good” start over that span came against one of the worst offenses in the league against LHP (Pirates), a game in which Lester walked five without allowing a run. While Citi Field should be considered an upgrade for pitchers, Lester will be facing a predominantly right-handed lineup with quite a bit of power, who have been tough on southpaws this year (111 wRC+, 17.3 HR/FB). Oddsmakers are still buying into Lester. A 4.13 implied run line for the Mets puts them on the bottom half of the board. This offers DFS players a contrarian opportunity. RHBs have a .317 wOBA, .329 xwOBA vs Lester over the last calendar year, while LHBs have been even better (.366 wOBA, .383 xwOBA). Look for Amed Rosario (144 wRC+, .221 ISO vs LHP last calendar year) and Jeff McNeil (135 wRC+, .156 ISO) at the top of the order ahead of some combination J.D. Davis (128 wRC+, .186 ISO), Pete Alonso (149 wRC+, .387 ISO), Wilson Ramos (136 wRC+, .173 ISO), Todd Frazier (112 wRC+, .207 ISO) and Michael Conforto (96 wRC+, .181 ISO). Only Alonso and Conforto are above $3K on FanDuel where a Mets stack might also get you their pitcher, the top overall arm on the mound tonight.

Sparkman has 8.06 ERA / 2.45 HR/9 over past 30 days, faces red-hot Mets this afternoon

Glenn Sparkman has not been an effective pitcher at any point this year and currently has a 5.45 ERA, 5.55 xFIP, 5.49 SIERA, 1.44 WHIP, 6.9% K-BB, 40.4% hard contact rate and 7.3% SwStr. Per Statcast, he has a .357 xwOBA allowed, 7.6% barrel rate and 90.7 MPH aEV. The Mets come into this game with a 128 wRC+ over the past 14 days and have some good options in their lineup: Michael Conforto (.404 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), JD Davis (.385), Pete Alonso (.378), Amed Rosario (.313), Wilson Ramos (.306), Joe Panik (.303) and Todd Frazier (.299) are all options in the Mets’ projected order. Given Sparkman’s lack of swing and miss stuff (13.4% K rate, 7.3% SwStr) Alonso and Conforto are especially intriguing as high K% guys that do lots of damage when they make contact. JD Davis has been on fire with a .476 xwOBA over the past 14 days; he costs $4.7k on DK this afternoon. Wilson Ramos has also seen the ball well with a .399 xwOBA over that same time frame and will cost just $4k on DK. Amed Rosario is projected to leadoff and is $4.2k, while Joe Panik is just $3.3k and projected to bat 2nd. The Mets currently have a 5.81 implied total, 2nd highest on the slate.

Good Hitting Conditions Against Flyball Pitcher

Jakob Junis is not necessarily someone I target against often with stacks, but his propensity for giving up multi-homer games is too hard to ignore on a smaller-than-usual 9 game slate. The Mets currently have a 5.1 implied run total with the wind blowing out a bit and no bat with a projected ownership above 6%. With Coors expected to be popular tonight, you can take a shot in large-field GPPs with a Mets stack that even with Alonso & Conforto, only comes in at a little over $20k on DraftKings. Although they're not the most ideal hitters, Rosario, Panik & Ramos all fill scarce positions (C, 2B, SS) while still batting at the top half of the order.

Mets offense a strong play on afternoon slate vs. Merril Kelly

The Mets will face Merrill Kelly in Chase Field and are an intriguing stack option on the afternoon slate. Kelly has been pretty bad this year with a 4.83 ERA / 5.03 xFIP / 5.14 SIERA and17.1% K rate with an 8.8% BB rate, and he’s shown no signs of improvement with a 5.52 xFIP, 5.71 SIERA, 14% K rate and 8% BB rate over the past 30 days. Kelly also has an ugly .373 xwOBA allowed on the year with an aEV of 89.2 MPH. Michael Conforto (.427 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Pete Alonso (.376), Dominic Smith (.362), Amed Rosario (.308) and Wilson Ramos (.300) are all solid options in the Mets’ lineup. Ramos has struggled a bit this year but owns a 111 wRC+ vs. RHP since 2018. Dominic Smith has been the Mets’ hottest hitter with a .435 xwOBA over the past 10 days, followed by Adeiny Hechavarria at .377. Mets’ batters will also have a very hitter-friendly umpire working in their favor with Sam Holbrook behind the plate. They currently have a 4.50 implied line vs. Kelly and the D-Backs Sunday afternoon.

Gregory Soto has allowed 15.8% Barrels/BBE with a 6.3 SwStr% through three starts

Gregory Soto has been lit up for 12 runs with six walks in 10 innings, generating swings and misses on just 6.3% of his pitches so far. He’s generated barrels on 15.8% of his contact. While these numbers are either unsustainable or he’ll be back in the minors soon, he may play right into the hands of an offense that has been forced to become predominantly left-handed over the past week with injuries to most of their key LHBs. RHBs have smoked Soto for a wOBA, xwOBA, Hard% and GB% all starting with the number four in his small sample. Pete Alonso (191 wRC+, .488 ISO, 60.9 Hard% vs LHPH) needs to be in some DFS lineups tonight. Amed Rosario (92 wRC+, .134 ISO vs LHP last calendar year) and J.D. Davis (84 wRC+, .162 ISO) are affordable and should be in the top half of the lineup tonight as well. Wilson Ramos (137 wRC+, .182 ISO) should be a middle of the order catcher with a sub-$4K price tag. While the majority of the RHBs in this lineup have lacked success against southpaws over the last calendar year, the bats have picked up for the Mets this week and they are once again fairly affordable in a strong spot.

Unowned Power

I refuse to recommend a full out Mets stack but do think there is some merit in targeting Patrick Corbin in multi-entry tournaments. Current ownership projections have Corbin being the highest owned pitcher on the slate (30% DK, 19% FD) and my opinion is that his ownership will trump the other options by a wider margin than what we’re currently projecting (currently just 2% higher owned than Paddack on DK and 3% higher owned than Peacock on FD). Simply not rostering Corbin in tournaments is a viable strategy but I’m also interested in having exposure to Pete Alonso and J.D. Davis who have a ton of power but are virtually going to be unowned. Wilson Ramos is also tournament viable on site’s that require you to roster a catcher.