10 Definitely Interesting, Possibly Helpful NBA Notes for December 30th, 2015
Every day while doing NBA DFS research, I invariably stumble across some unexpected nuggets of information that are occasionally helpful, but always interesting in one way or another. Here are 10 for Wednesday, December 30, 2015.
1.The Los Angeles Lakers have allowed 40+ FanDuel points to an opposing point guard in 11 of their 32 games this season. Not surprisingly, that’s more than any other team in the league. The Celtics’ Isaiah Thomas faces the Lakers on Wednesday, and he could be the next point guard in line to dominate the Lakers. In seven games this season against teams that currently rank in the bottom 10 of the NBA against point guards (using RotoWire’s DvP rankings), Thomas has averaged 35.8 FanDuel points per game, and he hasn’t scored below 31.5 FanDuel points in any of those contests.
2.Marcus Smart recently returned to the Celtics back court, which might mean a slight dip in minutes for Thomas – in games with Smart in the lineup, Thomas averages 29.9 minutes per game, compared to 33.5 minutes per game when Smart is absent. Despite fewer minutes, Thomas’s per-game production with or without Smart hasn’t really been adversely affected. In fact, in terms of points, rebounds, assists, steals, three-pointers made, and field goal attempts, it’s been nearly identical. Take a look:
3. At the other end of the spectrum from the Lakers, the Wizards, led by John Wall, have been stellar against opposing point guards, allowing 40+ FD points to them just twice this year, the fewest in the NBA (Russell Westbrook scored 48.7 on November 10th, and Mike Conley scored 41.3 on December 14th). Despite the paced-up matchup (the Wizards are top-5 in the NBA in that metric), and despite Lowry’s 51.7 FanDuel-point performance on Monday, this might be reason enough to fade Lowry in tournaments, where he’ll likely see a sizable increase in ownership percentage.
4. On Monday, Omri Casspi hit 9 three-pointers, tying the Kings franchise record set by Mike BIbby in March, 2007. He scored 36 points, setting a new career high. His 62.7 effective field goal percentage leads all forwards (minimum 25 minutes per game). Even at his newly raised price of $5,600 at FanDuel, he’s almost a must-play, particularly in his matchup on Wednesday – the 76ers give up the second-most FanDuel points in the NBA to opposing forwards.
5. The Washington Wizards’ offensive rating (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions) has jumped from 101.0 to 109.3 in the absence of Bradley Beal this season.
6. The Denver Nuggets visit Portland on the second half of a back-to-back on Wednesday. The Nuggets have relied heavily on Will Barton in these scenarios. With a day of rest, Barton averages 27.2 minutes per game, resulting in 25.8 FanDuel points. On zero days rest, Barton’s numbers jump to 32.3 minutes per game and 33.2 FanDuel points.
7. Chris Paul has been shooting the ball more and more each month this year. In October, he averaged just 11.7 field goal attempts per game. In November, he averaged 13.2 – better, but still below his career-average mark of 13.9 attempts per game. This month, that number has increased to 15.2 shots per game. And an increase in production has coincided – Paul has hit at least 4x his value at FanDuel in nine consecutive games dating back to December 12th.
8. In 30 games this season, Kemba Walker has four games of 30+ points. His previous career high for such games in a season was five, which he set first in 2013-14 in 73 games and tied in 2014-15 in 62 games.
9. In two games vs. Philadelphia last season, DeMarcus Cousins averaged 71.6 FanDuel points. The only questions are, a.) Can anyone in their right mind play the notoriously hot-headed Cousins after he only managed 11.8 FanDuel points, got in foul trouble, and was ejected on Monday? and b.) Will Cousins even be allowed to suit up?.
10. Had DFS existed back in 1993, you would’ve been wise to roster Hakeem Olajuwan on this day of that year. Olajuwan’s Rockets visted Minnesota, and he put up quite the stat line: 34 points, 10 rebounds, 5 assists, 5 steals, and 8 blocks. It would have yielded 75.5 FanDuel points, or the rough equivalent of 38 quarters of Nik Stauskas production (sorry Sauce!)
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Research for this blog was pulled from NBA.com, ESPN.com, Basketball Reference, StatMuse, RotoWire, and RotoGrinders’ own player pages. All DvP information refers to RotoWire’s rankings.
Be sure to check back on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays during the NBA season for more notes!