Army/Navy: Single Game College Football Saturday

Army @ Navy -10.5 O/U 40.5 (Game played in Philadelphia, PA)

Injury Situations:
Army QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr. is probable.
Navy WR Mychal Cooper is questionable.
Navy RB Tazh Maloy is questionable.

Army (15 Implied Team Total)
Well this is an interesting situation. Army has played a QB carousel for most of the year as Kelvin Hopkins Jr., Jabari Laws, and Christian Anderson have all missed time with injuries. Hopkins Jr. is the presumed starter, but he left Army’s loss to Hawaii with an injury. Supposedly, he’s probable for this week’s game. Chase Anderson also left the Hawaii loss early due to an injury. Laws was hurt in the Black Knight’s game with VMI (the week prior) and is presumably out for the season.

I’m assuming Hopkins Jr. is going to start and play the entirety of the game. However, this is a situation to monitor prior to lock. The senior has thrown for 570 yards and 4 TDs while also rushing for 706 yards and 7 TDs in 10 games this season. In the last 2 games, Hopkins has run for 295 yards and 1 TD on 26 carries. Like Navy, Army runs the triple option offense. Ideally, the best way to beat Navy is through the air (allowing 232.6 pass yards and 1.73 pass TDs per game). The Midshipmen have been stout against the run as they’re holding opposing backfields to 109.7 yards rushing. They’ve only been beat for 11 TDs on the ground. Hopkins will likely be a popular MVP candidate. The Black Knights’ offense averages 68 plays per game.

Connor Slomka has run for 637 yards and 8 TDs on 142 carries (11 games). The senior has at least 1 rushing TD in 3 straight games. Slomka has at least 10 carries in 8 out of 11 games this season. Sandon McCoy has 555 yards rushing and 10 TDs on 124 carries. The junior has received at least 11 carries in 5 out of the last 7 games. He’s found paydirt 5 times over the last 3 games. Kell Walker and Artis Hobbs round out the relevant ball carriers. Walker has 387 yards rushing and 3 TDs on 53 carries while Hobbs has 152 yards rushing and 2 TDs on 27 carries. 18 of Walker’s 53 carries have come in the last 3 games. Hobbs is the team’s 2nd leading pass catcher. He’s caught 13 passes for 335 yards and 1 TD on 26 targets. The junior has 5 receptions that have gone for at least 30 yards this season.

Camden Harrison is the Black Knight’s top pass catcher. Harrison has 23 receptions, 415 yards receiving, and 3 TDs on 445 targets. As noted above, Navy is vulnerable via the pass game. Harrison is the player that could exploit the Navy secondary. With Navy installed as 10 point favorites, Army could be forced to throw more than usual.

Lastly, David Cooper and Zach Potter have seen action as kicker for Army this season. Cooper is the better option if consider an Army Kicker on DK.

In 2019 (12 games), Army is 18th in passing yards allowed with 193.8 yards/game. They are 52nd in rushing yards allowed with 144.1 yards/game. The defense has given up 18 TDs on the ground (1.5 TD/game) and 15 TDs through the air (1.25 TD/game) this season.

Navy (25.5 Implied Team Total)
Malcolm Perry will likely be the chalk play at MVP. The speedster is Navy’s QB. He leads the Midshipmen with 1,500 yards rushing and 19 rush TDs while also throwing for 1,027 yards and 6 TDs. Perry rarely throws as he’s only attempted 10 or more passes in 2 games this season. The senior has topped 108 yards rushing in 8 consecutive games. He’s run for multiple touchdowns in 7 out of 11 games. In total, Perry has accounted for 25 of Navy’s 56 offensive TDs. Navy’s offense is averaging 68.9 plays per game. Navy hardly throws the ball (48 passing attempts all season long) and almost exclusively runs the ball in the triple option offense.

Jamale Carothers is another player likely to carry heavy MVP ownership. The big bodied RB has a ton of speed and is tough to bring down. He cruised throw Houston’s defense in the Midshipmen’s last outing. The sophomore ran for 188 yards and 5 TDs on 18 carries. Carothers has only played in 7 games this season, but he’s run for 637 yards and 13 TDs while also catching 3 passes for 104 yards and 1 TD. Navy’s other fullback, Nelson Smith, has rushed for 557 yards and 7 TDs on 112 carries. While Carothers has taken off, Smith’s production has fallen by the wayside. Smith has only carried the ball 13 times over Navy’s last 5 games. Slotback CJ Williams has run for 264 yards and 3 TDs on 54 carries. He’s the Midshipmen’s 2nd leading pass catcher with 7 receptions for 210 yards and 2 TDs. He’s received 8 carries in each of the last 2 games. Tazh Maloy is another one of Navy’s slotbacks. Maloy has run for 267 yards and 1 TD on 32 carries. He missed the team’s last game against Houston with a foot injury. He’s questionable for this week’s rivalry game. Keoni-Kordell Makekau checks in with 185 yards rushing on 23 carries. He’s also caught 4 passes for 148 yards (4th leading pass catcher). He’s received 10 touches over the last 2 games (8 rushes and 2 receptions). The matchup with Army’s run defense is neutral. The Black Knights are allowing 144.1 rush yards per game and they’ve surrendered 18 TDs via the ground.

Mychal Cooper is Navy’s leading WR. Cooper has 15 receptions, 355 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 20 targets. He’s listed as questionable for this week’s game. If he plays, he’s definitely viable. Ryan Mitchell has 7 receptions, 178 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 12 targets.

Bijan Nichols is Navy’s kicker. Don’t forget about the freshman if you’re playing on DK. He’s made 9 FGs and 55 extra points this season.

In 2019 (11 games), Navy is 79th in passing yards allowed with 232.6 yards/game. They are 17th in rushing yards allowed with 109.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 19 TDs through the air (1.73 TD/game) this season.

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