Breaking down the Memorial day MLB slate

Hey grinders, I am looking to make this a regular post. I will be breaking every aspect of the days slate. My goal for this blog is to tie up the whole slate into just one piece of writing.

Pitching Matchups

Kansas City Royals New York Yankees - LHP Jeremy Guthrie RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Colorado Rockies Cincinnati Reds - RHP Eddie butler RHP Jason Marquis

Philadelphia Phillies New York mets - RHP Severino Gonzalez RHP Bartolo Colon

Houston Astros Baltimore Orioles - LHP Dallas Keuchel LHP Wei-Yin Chen

San Francisco Giants Milwaukee Brewers - RHP Tim Lincecum RHP Kyle Lohse

Boston Red Sox Minnesota Twins - RHP Joe Kelly RHP Ricky Nolasco

Washington Nationals Chicago Cubs - RHP Tanner Roark LHP Tsuyoshi Wada

Detroit Tigers Oakland Athletics - RHP Shane Greene RHP Jesse Hahn

Texas Rangers Cleveland Indians - RHP Phil Klein RHP Shaun Marcum

Arizona Diamondbacks St. Louis Cardinals - RHP Chase Anderson RHP Carlos Martinez

Miami Marlins Pittsburgh Pirates - RHP David Phelps RHP Charlie Morton

Chicago White Sox Toronto Blue Jays - RHP Hector Noesi RHP Drew Hutchinson

Seattle Mariners Tampa Bay Rays - LHP Roenis Elias RHP Jake Odorizzi

Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers - RHP Williams Perez LHP Brett Anderson

San Diego Padres Los Angeles Angels - RHP Tyson Ross RHP Jered Weaver

Diving into todays pitching

Team Players Woba vs R Woba vs L K/9 XFIP HR/FB
Royals Jeremy Guthrie .307 .394 3.42 5.12 8.3%
Yankees Nathan Eovaldi .315 .431 7.09 3.74 16.7%
Rockies Eddie Butler .343 .437 5.35 5,52 12.1%
Reds Jason Marquis .477 .311 7.13 3.97 20.0%
Phillies Severino Gonzalez .278 .557 3.55 5.11 0.0%
Mets Bartolo Colon .325 .342 7.44 3.51 13.2%
Astros Dallas Keuchel .235 .181 6.78 3.27 3.3%
Orioles Wei-Yin Chen .312 .257 6.89 4.45 10.6%
Giants Tim Lincecum .325 .206 6.80 4.19 2.4%
Brewers Kyle Lohse .371 .293 7.04 4.04 15.2%
Red Sox Joe Kelly .373 .229 8.18 3.80 14.3%
Twins Ricky Nolasco .392 .355 8.25 4.22 3.7%
Nationals Tanner Roark .270 .418 3.10 4.53 10.0%
Cubs Tsuyoshi Wada .348 .204 7.40 3.96 8.2%
Tigers Shane Greene .227 .364 5.74 4.08 6.7%
Athletics Jesse Hahn .257 .331 6.25 3.73 6.3%
Rangers Phil Klein .235 .436 6.30 4.97 11.8 %
Indians Shaun Marcum .190 .398 7.71 3.84 21.4%
Diamondbacks Chase Anderson .192 .336 6.16 4.05 4.2%
Cardinals Carlos Martinez .293 .375 9.32 3.56 20.6%
Marlins David Phelps .270 .280 6.43 4.01 0.0%
Pirates Charlie Morton .315 .302 7.21 3.78 8.8 %
White Sox Hector Noesi .447 .306 8.15 5.46 14.8
Blue Jays Drew Hutchison .401 .305 7.90 3.97 12.2%
Mariners Roenis Elias .322 .332 6.89 3.95 11.8 %
Rays Jake Odorizzi .244 .263 6.98 3.69 3.0 %
Braves Williams Perez .343 .419 11.05 3.10 50.0%
Dodgers Brett Anderson .302 .361 6.59 3.25 11.1 %
Padres Tyson Ross .277 .354 10.59 3.19 12.0 %
Angels Jered Weaver .276 .351 4.37 4.54 11.5%

Notable BVP

I personally only use this as a tiebreaker, and not one of the main things I look at. Although, I do feel it is useful.

._ Hitter ._ Pitcher ._ At Bats ._ Hits ._ Double(s) ._ HR
Adrian Beltre Shaun Marcum 23 9 3 3
Pablo Sandoval Ricky Nolasco 21 10 4 3
Ryan Braun Tim Lincecum 23 9 3 3

Drastic Ballpark Shifts

Taking a look at pitchers that are going from one extreme ballpark to another.

Jeremy Guthrie

Guthrie pitches at home in the spacious Kauffman Stadium. In 2014, Guthrie sported a .354 Woba to lefties at home. He gets the honor of traveling to New York to take on the left heavy yankee team in Yankees Stadium. The short right field porch should get a ton of action and I look for Guthrie to get rocked.

Joe Kelly

Kelly pitches at home in Fenway park. Minnesota is a spacious ballpark and Kelly should be able to keep the ball in the park against a team that has severe trouble vs righties, especially at home.

Chase Anderson

Chase Anderson is coming from Chase field to Busch Stadium. Chase Field is a huge hitters park and Busch is the opposite. The cardinals have a very tough lineup. but from a park perspective, its an upgrade.

Top 3 stacks

Yankees

The Yankees are far and away my favorite stack of the day. I expect McCann may be out with an early game after a night game. The Yankees will most likely thro out 8 lefties plus Alex Rodriguez. that sounds like the ultimate recipe for success against Guthrie, especially in Yankee Stadium. I will have quite a few yankee stacks out there and am very comfortable living with the results they bring.

Indians

The Indians will be facing or “teeing” off vs Phil Klein. Klein had a tremendous first start and I think he may have a decent career. The problem here is that he has struggled greatly throughout the minors against lefties.The Indians dominate mediocre pitchers vs lefties. I expect guys like Kipnis, Brantley, Moss, Murphy, Santana and Chisenhall to combine for a generous amount of fantasy points and possibly enough to take down a GPP.

Sneaky Stack

Orioles

Keuchel has pitched tremendously this year, don’t get me wrong. He has 6 wins and a sub 2 ERA. Yes, He is a great pitcher. What I envision tomorrow is he gives up a few hits like he normally does, then gives up 2 or 3 bombs with guys on base. I feel hitters with power for the orioles tomorrow like Adam Jones, Steve Pearce, Jimmy paredes and Manny Machado have tremendous upside and could envision a few big home runs off Keuchel.

3 favorite pitchers

Bartolo Colon (cash)

I love Colon in cash as I see him as one of the safer options today, especially against an inept Phillies lineup vs righties. I will be plugging Colon into most of my cash games and expect him to be a safe solid option. the philles are the worst offense in baseball.

Tyson Ross

Ross is a much better pitcher in Petco Park, but I don’t expect the transition to LA will be too big of a problem. The angels have struggled tremendously against righties this year, as they have the 2nd worst WOBA and WRC+ when facing a righty. I am looking to get some strikeouts and some innings out of ross, and prefer him on sites where the win is not as important. I do not trust the padres offense.

Carlos Martinez

The diamondbacks will be coming from Chase Field to Busch Stadium, as stated previously. I expect them to struggle a bit this series starting against El Gallo (Carlos Martinez). Martinez has high strikeout upside against the righty heavy diamondbacks and is my favorite GPP pitcher on a day with very few options.

WEATHER ALERT

Rotogrinders is lucky enough to have a great meteorologist in Kevin Roth, so I will not try my hand at depicting whats going on there.

The one things that I think is very interesting is the wind in Chicago. It looks as if the wind will be howling out. Wada and Roark do not have a problem giving up the long ball. WATCH out for the over/under there as I can see it around 12+ if the weather is what I expect

THANKS SO MCUH FOR READING! PLEASE LET ME KNOW IN COMMENTS ANY THOUGHTS AND HOW I COULD MAKE THIS A BETTER BLOG. I WILL BE DOING THIS EVERY DAY.

About the Author

  • bphilb

    Good stuff.

  • papa123

    @bphilb said...

    Good stuff.

    Thank you very much

  • leratain

    Great write-up 123.

  • papa123

    Thank u

  • luckygjeff13

    I like it, and will look for your blog daily. Good job!

  • papa123

    really do appreciate. workin on tommorows now

  • pburghpens22

    Nice article! Looks like you won some cash today! Is the pitching stats you are posting for just 2015 or 2014/15?

  • papa123

    @pburghpens22 said...

    Nice article! Looks like you won some cash today! Is the pitching stats you are posting for just 2015 or 2014/15?

    thank you! Yes I did well today. For the pitchers, I didn’t do the ame for each player. I did 2015 if the sample size was 45 innings or so. I used combined 2014/15 if there sample size for this year was lower than 45

  • papa123

    I appreciate all the feedback. Going to be getting this out there everyday hopefully around noon or earlier. The quality should consistently get better and I will be adding some more things as it goes along

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