CarlitosWay's Tiers to Remember - NBA picks 1/5
This series of blogs will highlight my top 3 picks in each positional category categorized through the following options: stud (>8K), mid-tier (5K-8K), sleeper (<5K). Finding spots where you can take advantage of (whether price, role, injury news, etc.) is key to your success.
Finally got back in the green, but it still wasn’t that impressive. Seems like players decide to have an off night whenever I decide to take them. However, my shortlist of picks managed to achieve a value of over 5x altogether. Therefore, the picks were there, but just not the right mix. And that is something that will be challenging all year long, especially when you are only playing a max of three lines each night. Injury along with starting lineup news is a pain to wait for, so unless you have your phone on you every minute, you lose an edge in NBA DFS if you aren’t caught up. Certain changes like Dotson and Cauley-Stein who emerged in the starting lineups at close to bare-minimum price made all the difference in you getting higher end players to increase your score tally. As I put this together each day, remember it is during the mid-day when most of the news is not published yet.
*Based mostly on those mentioned in previous day’s blog
January 5 Picks
The juicy game on today’s slate is the late one so you will probably want some pieces from it. Until value opens up, for now I am sticking to a more balanced approach. I don’t necessarily think you need to pay up for a five figure stud today or even a $9K player given this potential high-scoring affair. McCollum grades out to be one of the best plays for his price given his alike usage to Lilliard of 29%. He has actually been outperforming his teammate so far this season and is so much cheaper. Then you can look on the other side to LaVine who is basically all of Chicago’s offense. If the game stays close, he usually crushes value. Jokic is again the prime stud of the slate where you would hope the game does not blowout – he has the easiest individual matchup by far. Other than that, Davis is far off my list while Leonard is a great GPP play off of the $1K more LeBron James.
With Durant ruled out, LeVert figures to be one of the highest owned plays of the night. Nothing more to be said. White and Porter round out to be great plays in what should be the most electric game of the slate, as long as it stays within reach. Gobert is still underpriced especially today against the Nets who rotate between Allen and Jordan. There are a handful of good plays in the mid-range at SF, Brooks, Anderson and Johnson are top plays. The former two have a tough match-up but are needed if Memphis is to make it a game. The latter play is only if Aldridge sits out again.
Value usually only pops up towards lock time. It is tough to make anything out this early. KCP I think is super low in price if he comes back into the lineup today. He will be my lock at this range. TLC figures for more playing time with Durant out, he’s a popular cash play for tonight. Then we need to figure out who is starting to make out these question marks. The list includes Davis, Hernangomez, and Prince, then you have other options like Gafford and Dieng if those starters do not materialize. News is of the essence.