CBB 2/3: Frank The Tank
Well what a weekend it was. Bubbled a lot on Saturday. Won everything on Sunday. Should have not played Monday and now we find our selves at Big Tuesday. Going to try something different today and preview each game individually. Hope it goes well.
First on the docket
IU vs Wisky – Here we get one of my favorite players in Frank Kaminsky. Frank has a hefty price tag at 9700, however with a game log of 34/37/34/37 it is well deserved. He has to hit 38.8 for value and should be able to do that in a game that is predicting a 83-68 victory. Only concern is they do blow them out at the Kohl Center. No one on IU can stop Frank and he should be a literal tank tomorrow.
Studs: Frank the Tank 9700
Salary Relief: Dekker 6800, Koenig 5500
Death Train: Robert Johnson 3800
MSU v. Tennessee – Theres not much fantasy interest in this one for me. Projected total of 121. This game last time was 61-47 and that was at MSU. MSU has one of the worst defenses in the SEC. Looking at any potential plays Moore stands out as truly one of the only plays at 6900. The minutes and shots are there but this will just be ugly.
Studs: Armani Moore: 6900
Salary Relief: Punter 5400 (his value solely rests on his ability to make 3’s)
Punts: Derek Reese 4900
St John’s v Butler – This game is a very key game for Butler. It can help them move one game closer to getting a bye in the Big East tournament and solidifying their tournament bid. This game is a life saver for St John’s and they need this more than anyone to have a shot at the tournament. Butler stole one in NY last time these two teams played. Butler is a 6.5 pt fav which seems a little high at home, but they are tough at home. One guy that I will roster everywhere is Alex Barlow. He is still way underpriced at 5400 with last 3 games at 32/32/22. He does a little bit of everything for Butler and usually stays out of foul trouble. Another guy is Kellen Dunham. He loves to chuck it at home and St John’s will give up the 3 ball like it’s their job.
Studs: Barlow 5400, Dunham 6200
Salary Relief: Obekpa 4900 (reached value last 4 games)
UGA v Kentucky – Rule #1 of DFS. Never play anyone from Kentucky. Rule #2. Never play anyone against Kentucky. There’s only 2 players I could recommend mainly because they are just too good and bound to break out. 1. Cauley Stein. The guy is just too good to only have 18 fantasy points a damn game and he’s so cheap. If Thornton is still out, all the bigs are in play. 2. Kenny Gaines. His price is cheap and he loves to chuck.
Salary Relief: None
Northwestern v Nebraska – This game is QUITE the interesting matchup. You have the Turtle vs the Turtle’s grandpa. The two slowest teams in the big ten with a projected total of 112. Yes. 112. Now you are probably saying, Gordon, why would you target anyone from this game? My reasoning, a guy from this game could win you a GPP because NO ONE will be on them. Petteway is overpriced still imo and Shields is just about right. If you are gonna go anyone, I would go Olah at 6400. He has dominated teams with no bigs (see Michigan, OSU, Ill) where he scored 33/25/36 respectively. Otherwise, let this snoozefest play out on the Big Ten network
Salary Relief: Olah 6400
NC St v. Wake Forest – This one should be an interesting uptempo game. You have Wake who sucks on the defensive end but loves to play fast and an NC St team that is fighting for their tournament life and were saved by a Lacey buzzer beater otherwise it woulda been hello NIT. Devin Thomas has been an absolute beast and his price tag reflects it at 8300. Couple cheap guys in this game I like are Wilbekin and Malik Abu. Only issue with Abu is he can’t stop fouling. He has a magnet to committing fouls. Wilbekin is averaging over 30 minutes a game and starting to take more shots and in an uptempo game that’s what I love to see out of a guy at 4900. Lacey is a guy that can go off any night and at 8100 I think there are a couple other guys in his range to make value easier
Studs: Devin Thomas 8300
Salary Relief: Abu 4900, Wilbekin 4800
Louisville v. Miami – Roster Rozier and don’t even think twice about the 8900 price tag. The guy is just a value machine. Plays almost 40 minutes a game, is the court leader and reminds me a lot of Russ Smith. Harrell is too inconsistent as of late for me to pay up for him and I think Chris Jones’ price is just a tad to high. If he were 7k I’d insta play him. He’s been on fire in the last 3, but I think that comes back to earth a bit here at Miami. Projected at 66-63, I like no one from Miami as Louisville at times can just D it up.
Studs: Rozier 8900
Salary Relief: Nope. Won’t recommend Blackshear at 5100. Won’t do it.
Punts: Reed 4800
West Virginia v Oklahoma
This is projected to be the fastest game of the night and rightfully so. West Virginia shalacked OU at home 86-65 just under 3 weeks ago. This is going to be a game OU is going to come out for and I expect it to be rocking. Hield is a solid play at 8k and was really the only Sooner that did anything in the previous matchup. Jevon Carter had a career game at home last time, and at 5k could be an interesting play although his mins have decreased and hasn’t hit 3x let alone 4x lately. Spangler’s price is too high for me and if looking for value at forward it has to be Williams at 6900. Holton at 4800 is a true punt, but he can turn out a 25 point game and get you close to 6x value. Should be a barn burner
Studs: Hield 8000
Salary Relief: Carter 5000, Williams 6900, Holton 4800
Punts: Browne 4100
Seton Hall v. DePaul
A game projected to be around 148 this is another game that should have some solid value. DePaul is a team that is truly overachieving in the BEast in my opinion but still surprising everyone. Gibbs price has caught up to him at 8400 and although he’s been on fire, with Whitehead back, this will take away from his productivity.Whitehead at 6400 is a must plug and play in my opinion tomorrow. Mobley at 5600 is another good value guy in this game.
Studs: Whitehead 6400
Salary Relief: Mobley 5600
Punts: Forrest Robinson 3000
Florida v. Vandy
Just another grind out slow paced game for Florida here. Their rotations are crazy and Donovan doesn’t know who to play. If I knew Horford would play 25 mins a game he’s an easy plug at 3700 but who knows. Frazier at 6k could be a sneaky GPP play as he has the ability to drop 40. I can’t believe I’d recommend Riley LaChance after his 3 fp debacle but he’s 5600. Only issue is a strong Florida D.
South Carolina v. Arkansas
Qualls at 7600 just seems so freaking good its too good to be true. Portis at 9100 is just too much for me given the other options tonight. Tyrone Johnson is another salary relief option at 5600 as he’s averaging 30+ minutes and has 30 point potential.
Studs: Qualls 7600
Relief: Johnson 5600
Virginia Tech v Syracuse
Virginia Tech sucks. I mean they are awful. Syracuse is a team on the bubble and needs to win almost every game on the way out. Tech stormed back the first time these teams played as they were down 18 at half and ended up losing by 2. Tyler Roberson had a career game and is priced at 6700. Cuse only plays 6 guys so their starters are gonna get 35 minutes minutes. He loves to shoot the 3 and with the Cuse zone should have plenty of options. 4x should be pretty easy for him imo.
Studs: Roberson 6700
Salary Relief: Smith 5600
Rutgers v. Illinois
Two bad teams. Two really bad teams. Rutgers is just a train wreck. Illinois is suspending people left and right as Rice/Cosby are out. Mack is way too much at 8200. Hill at 7600 seems to be just right at his price as he’s taken over the offense and their minutes. Jack has reached value also at 6700 his last few games and could be a good gpp play.
Death Train: LERON BLACK 4300
Studs: Hill 7600
I hope this helps a tiny bit. Any questions, leave them in the comments and i’ll try and get to them. I know it’s a little different than the normal Studs/Relief/Duds, so hopefully it helps someone.
As always, may the odds be ever in your favor