CBB DK Feb 26th slate
Another great night of College Hoops yesterday and an action packed night of scoring. I played every starter for UCLA yesterday and for whatever reason I didn’t play Parker or Hamilton on DK, but did pair them in multiple lineups on FD and had a top 6 finish. Still on DK put up 220 with 2 separate lineups, so in total a good night. As far as my must plays from yesterday those guys turned out to cost $232.45/pt, and when you multiply that out with the $50,000 cap that would have been a 215 finish. That would have been in the money on DK yesterday. Moving on to today as Thursday and Sundays are my favorite slates because of the medium amount of games listed, and we get Pac-12 games which is usually higher scoring (maybe not tonight as much).
MN vs MSU 132 O/U
Not many value plays on the MSU side of the ball but the big 3 are going to go nuts on the Gophs half court D. I would lean Dawson and Valentine and 1 of these guys will be in my lineups. No one on the Gophers can stop Dawson and if he doesn’t have a double double I would be shocked!
Mason ($4400): He will be the guy next year and will most likely be in the 7k range most of the year, but this year he is the Freshman under Mathieu and Hollins. However, Mason started last game and may start again. He’s averaged about 22 pts over the last two and that would be well over value if he does that again.
Buggs ($3000): His price went down even though his minutes have increased. He seems like he will never shatter value but he has been averaging over 25 minutes since he was inserted into the starting spot.
Neb vs OSU 126 O/U
I’ll be fading Russell in this slow paced game since he will need over 40 for value. Almost a lock for 30 at home I just can’t find myself paying his salary vs a slow Neb team.
Tate ($5200): Outside of Russell I feel Tate has the biggest upside of any OSU player. His role is defined and is a spark plug for the Buckeyes. If he plays well the team plays well.
Fuller ($3000): If you do want Russell you will need to find min priced guys and Fuller is a place to look. He’s logged big minutes recently and has been over value or at value in the 2 starts he made.
Vandy vs Tenn 125 O/U
No thank you on this game. If Roberson sits again (probable) I would definitely play Fisher-Davis and still may given his shooting potential vs Tenn zone, but with Roberson back that clogs the minutes for this Vandy team. I guess you can look at Punter too as an option as he will play the entire game and can find his way to 20 pts every once in a while, but not much upside with Richardson and Moore doing most of the offensive work.
Hou vs Temple 125 O/U
I’m finding it hard to find a reason not to play Cummings today. Hou just lost Rose for the year and they are already Defensively challenged. His price is about right and maybe slightly high but this is a good spot for him. He was in foul trouble most of their last game and really never found his rhythm. I like Bond as well but was frustrated with his last game. With no Rose Stiggers will have to start I would imagine. If you want a guy that can get hot and light up the scoreboard it is him and they will need him to hit shots to keep this game close. He might shoot 10-15 3 pointers today and if he makes 40% of them he will be in the 30’s by the end of the night.
RU vs Pur 123 O/U
Oh Rutgers you are so terrible. I’m starting to think Mack isn’t a good player anymore he is just on a bad team so he looks good. Hammons should have a field day on Rutgers and even with no block or steal upside on DK he will be a good play. Purdue needs to keep winning for their NCAA chances and Hammons is the guy that will be doing the work inside
Lewis ($3400): While I’m not 100% on the Lewis’ bandwagon he has been okay in the last 2 games. If you are looking for value plays he isn’t terrible and has hit value the last two games.
Zona vs Col 131 O/U
I’m a fan of this game on the Zona side. Their big 3 have been disappointing the last week, but they still manage to win. I really like this team come tournament time as they can win games with their defense and don’t have to play well to win. I’m playing at least 1 of their big 3 today. As far as Colorado is concerned I can’t believe in Josh Scott’s price. He is so cheap for his ability. I’m having a hard time with this one as it’s not a good matchup for him. I might just fade him, hoping for 1 more bad game and then ride him for the next few. If you play him I wouldn’t blame you. $6800 for a $8000 player is a good deal.
Gordon ($4700): I’m not a big fan of this matchup but kind of like Scott’s price it is hard to pass up on Gordon’s low cost. I’m confused how this pricing model works. With this current price he has hit value 9 out of 10 games. He should be priced $1000 more so take the sale if DK gives it to you even in a bad matchup (at least they play at home).
SMU vs Mem 128 O/U
I was a bit nervous the last Memphis game when Nichols didn’t do anything in the 1st half. Then miracle they gave him the ball in the 2nd half and OT and he performed. Weird! His price is still too cheap here and while SMU and Kennedy are big down low Nichols is bigger. Other than Nichols and Goodwin I’m done with figuring out Memphis and their minutes. I will most likely stay away from SMU even though Kennedy’s price seems inviting.
ASU vs Utah 130 O/U
No Thanks on ASU. I’ve said this before but Utah would beat Kentucky in Utah. Hard place to play and ASU prices are increasing. McKissic is the only guy that I would ever look at with his price still pretty affordable but next game. Wright has a decent price for his talents and if he wanted to be he could produce 40pts every game. That’s not what Utah needs though so we are stuck with the potential and then getting the 25 pt performance which isn’t value.
OSU vs Stand 122 O/U
Same old same old with OSU having the lowest O/U of the night. I actually don’t mind Payton here and may have some exposure to him.
Travis ($3600) Humphrey ($3200): One of these guys will start and I would lean towards the person who does. Travis has higher potential but is coming back from injury. Humphrey went nuts last game but Nastic was in foul trouble so he got added looks. Both have a good shot to hit value even with a slow paced game.
Duvivier ($5700): I have a feeling Duvivier will be the guy to own tonight vs Stanford. While you don’t want too much exposure to this game he is the guy that looks to score and has averaged 12 shots over the last 3 games.
Mason (assuming he starts)