CBB DK value plays for March 5th
Well I took yesterday off as Tuesday was a disaster with some injuries and just bad picks. This is bound to happen every once in a while but got back on the horse and produced 2 nice lineups yesterday even with Okafor and D. Thomas! Thursdays are CBB DFS wonders as a shorter slate and Pac-12 games make it a nice evening before the main conference tourneys start.
Ark vs USC 141 O/U
I can’t believe Ark are underdogs and I will wager on that one! I just don’t see any reason to play their players however. Portis or Qualls just could go nuts but I’d rather have some other matchups today. Notice for USC has been very good as of late and gets a nice tempo boost from Ark. In the last 10 games there has only been 1 game he has less than 10 shots. He will get his opportunities today.
Chatkevicius ($5400): He’s been a monster on the boards and has been putting the ball in the hoop recently too. I see no reason why he doesn’t get 30 minutes here and with those minutes he will surely hit value. However, I was on Norris too a few nights ago and he barely played, so targeting a mid range guy and go all in could backfire.
Wisc vs MN 131 O/U
Frank the tank will continue his POY run against the Golden Gophers. He is always an option but needs over 40 for value which is extremely hard even for Frank. Fade him completely at your own risk but if you need a 30 pt floor guy he is it. Other than Hollins all the Gophers prices are low and you can gamble for a GPP play on Walker, Mason, or Morris, but with no real consistency it is hard to predict.
Mem vs UCONN 130 O/U
We all have seen what Shaq can do without Nichols and even with him. Now that Nichols should be out again Shaq will be the man! I’m nervous about Brimah inside but Goodwin should have a really nice game. I wish his salary was more in the low 7k’s but he should still come close to value.
Cal vs Zona 133 O/U
No thanks here. Zona might win by a million pts so for that reason I don’t want any of their players today. Sure Cal could compete making all of Zona’s players worth while but they have seem to be spreading the ball out so even bench players can do well.
UC vs UW
I love this game. I will most likely play Scott in most lineups. With no Kemp for UW their interior is bad and limited. Scott should have his way tonight if his back holds up.
Anderson ($5800): I’m assuming Williams-Goss will play but if not Anderson is a huge play tonight. His salary is way underpriced if that is the case as seen by his 32.25 pt game last time out. He could still hit value even with Goss but not as attractive.
Johnson ($5300): Oh Wesley Gordon you have failed me. I would like to go back to Gordon for his discounted price, even though it should be lower. However, I’ll move onto Johnson who doesn’t start which bothers me but plays 25 minutes. The same reason applies here with UW bad interior so the Buffs will exploit that. I see no reason why you can’t play both Scott and Johnson.
Utah vs WSU 135 O/U
If you could tell me this game will be close I would load up on Utah players and especially Wright. However, with a probability of a blowout I’m staying away from WSU for sure. I may play a few Utah guys like Poeltl or Taylor but I can’t see myself playing Wright at $8900.
Stan vs ASU 139 O/U
This game is very inviting and I will have exposure to this one. With close to the highest O/U on the board I’d look at a few players here.
Holder ($5600): He has been very consistent since taking over the PG spot. He had 1 oopsie game at Utah but that was expected. Role with Holder and his 20 pt floor tonight.
McKissic ($5400): He is big and strong and I don’t see Humphrey or Allen being able to defend him. He can lay an egg every once in awhile and probably the reason for his low price, but he can explode for 30+ too.
Humphrey ($4900): This is a great price for a guy that has really come on. He was in foul trouble last game but still had over 20 minutes of action and was in the game at the end. His risk is that Allen and Travis are back from injury so minutes might be cut down, but he has played his way onto the court and it can continue tonight.
Must play values…
Anderson if Goss sits