CBB Double-Team, March 20
One of the fun aspects of DFS is discussing and debating players and lineup strategies with others. With March Madness upon us many people venturing into college basketball for the first time, and prize pools are larger than ever. With that in mind, we (Gsulaw16 and DubDeuces85) thought it might be informative to do something a little different and bring one of these discussion/debates between two people who have been playing DFS college hoops all year into the open, in hopes that others might benefit from it.
Below, we each discuss one stud, one mid-priced, and one low priced player we like at each position and offer our initial thoughts on the others picks. We are always willing to learn, both as writers and DFS players, so any and all feedback is welcome.
Tyler Haws, BYU (Stud)
My favorite overall play of the night. The Vegas line on this game is sitting at 158 currently, and these two teams have already played once this season resulting in a 100-96 overtime win for Oregon. In that game Haws scored 32 points, and he is averaging 23.4 points on the season (6th in the nation). In their conference championship game BYU’s second leading scorer Kyle Collinsworth was lost for the season. This could mean even more offensive production for Haws in a game that will be a shoot-out.
DubDeuces Thoughts: Haws will match Joe Young bucket for bucket in what should be one of the highest scoring games of the night. You’ll definitely want some shares of Haws.
Darrun Hilliard II, Villanova (Mid-Priced)
Not a lot interests me in the mid-priced guard group of this slate. If forced to pick, you could do worse than Hilliard. He hovers right around the 17-20 fantasy point range, but has the upside to go over 30, which he has done in 2 of his last 4. He’ll get you about 3 boards, 3 assists, and a steal or two a game, but his value is contingent on scoring. Milwaukee plays at about the same pace as Nova, and is average defensively. An off night from him shouldn’t kill you, and he has the potential to put up a nice total.
DubDeuces Thoughts: Big East guard? I’m all in. Kid can shoot the lights out and Nova is going to blow out Milwaukee.
Anson Winder, BYU (Low-Priced)
I love this game for DFS purposes. Winder only played one minute in the earlier meeting with Oregon. He became a starter for BYU on February 20, and has averaged 15 actual points per game since then. He had a terrible game against Gonzaga in the conference championship, but exceeded 20 FPTS per game in 4 of 5 before that. That production is more than enough to pay off his near minimum salary on most sites, and should only increase with Collinsworth out.
DubDeuces Thoughts: This is a sneaky pick that a lot of people probably won’t know about. As GSU said, he is starting now and gets a great matchup against the Ducks matador defense.
Justin Jackson, Cincinnati (Stud)
Jackson is either a top-tier or mid-priced option depending on whether your chosen site counts steals and blocks. He is a defensive machine, which leads to the conventional wisdom that he has more value on sites that credit those stats. I think the opposite may actually be true, because those sites have factored his defensive prowess into the price, and those statistics are less predictable from game to game. In March, Cincy has made a conscious effort to get him more involved in the offense, and his increased scoring increases his value across all sites. He is now right around a double-double every game. I don’t think his price has caught up to this yet. I particularly like him for 6k on DraftKings despite the potentially slow pace of the game against Harvard.
DubDeuces Thoughts: Harvard is a trendy upset pick by the majority of people and I just don’t see it. They have no one who can keep Jackson out of the paint and he should easily put up a double-double even in a slower paced game. I really like this pick.
Jerami Grant, Syracuse (Mid-Priced)
I don’t normally target Syracuse players because of their pace of play, but Grant is two games back from injury, and in those match-ups he has posted lines of 16/8/2 and 19/10/1. He appears to be fully healthy, as he has played over 35 minutes in both. His price hasn’t caught up to his production since returning and I think he makes a solid play.
DubDeuces Thoughts: The numbers and minutes will be there but I’m still not excited about it. I like some of the other options at his price better but I wouldn’t fault you for having him on some squads.
Dwayne Polee II, San Diego St.(Low-Priced)
Low-priced forwards are gross in this set. Any familiarity with the players in this group makes me like them even less. So I settled on San Diego St. 6th man Polee, who I am less familiar with, and who has scored 14 and 18 actual points in his last two games. Keep in mind I am not excited about this pick, but he seems to be the least bad option at near min salary.
DubDeuces Thoughts: This isn’t a bad play at all and I think it’s necessary to play some cheap forwards and pay up for guards. His price eliminates any big risk and has the potential to demolish his industry price.
Russ Smith, Louisville (Stud)
It was tough for me to pick between Smith and Sean Kilpatrick from Cincy in this spot but ultimately Russ is my top guard of the Thursday Slate. He is a special player and is primed to have a huge tournament. As evidenced by his 25.6 ppg over the last 3 games, the kid can score. But what separates him is his ability to take a back seat and rack up assists when his teammates are feeling it. Manhattan’s main point guard is hobbled, and whoever draws the defensive assignment on Russ has zero chance of stopping him.
Gsulaw Thoughts: The star of a Louisville team that should be fired up to make a statement in response to the 4 seed? Yes, please.
Joe Young, Oregon (Mid-Priced)
A popular strategy for tomorrow will be to stack the Oregon-BYU game and in the Survivor format for these big tourneys. That is smart money and it doesn’t get much better than Young. He has had a great March in which he scored under 10 points once, and that was against the Arizona D that basically shuts down everybody. The only downside to this pick is that he doesn’t put up a ton of peripherals and is a scoring guard through and through. I think he matches Haws shot for shot and may put up 30+ actual points. If he adds a few assists and rebounds to the mix you could be looking at the highest scorer of Day 1.
Gsulaw Thoughts: Joe Young and his price are like a new romance. You start out soo infatuated, thinking you found a real steal. Then something happens along the way, and you can totally see why she was still single at 36. Oregon will score a ton tomorrow, but I have zero confidence in my ability to predict who goes off. I’ll have a little exposure to all of them, but not a lot of exposure to any of them. (Which is also a good strategy when it comes to romance).
James Bell, Villanova (Low-Priced)
This pick is a bit of a cop-out because I don’t really like any of the super cheap guards, and will be paying up at Guard on all of my teams. Bell is cheap on DS at 10K and it will be tough for me to fade him with my affinity for Big East guards combined with that price. He has struggled with his scoring lately which has allowed the other Nova guards to step up. Where Bell makes us money is his rebounding and assists. He is averaging just under 6 boards a game in the month of March which I will gladly take all day. One of the safest players at this price and there is just no way anyone from Milwaukee will be able to keep him from controlling the game.
Gsulaw Thoughts: Solid floor with some upside in this matchup.
Talib Zanna, Pittsburgh (Stud)
Have you seen what Zanna has done lately? The dude is a monster and is one of those players that we will remember for a long time if he continues this torrid pace in the tournament. Some people will be afraid of the match-up but you don’t fade a guy who is playing his best basketball come tourney time, and the Colorado bigs don’t really scare me. I think Zanna and Patterson both take the lunch money from the Buffalo big men all game long.
Gsulaw Thoughts: Can’t argue with the great play recently, but can bicker on his price a little. Zanna has been outstanding the past few games, but Lamar Patterson has been that way all season. Both are in play, but if I’m choosing one and can get Patterson cheaper I’m doing it every time.
Adrien Payne, Michigan State (Mid-Priced)
Great prices across the industry for Payne who should have no problem posting a line of 18-8 which is right around his average in the last few games. The Spartans are a popular pick to win it all and I think Payne will be the main reason for their success.
Gsulaw Thoughts: I’m all over it. Lock him in.
Niels Giffey, UConn (Low-Priced)
Depending on your site of choice Giffey may be listed as a guard but on DS he slides in as a forward. This is not the most glamorous pick I’ve ever made but when pressed to pick a cheap forward I’ll go here. St Joe’s is a decent interior defensive unit, but can sometimes be susceptible to jump shooters going off on them. That is where Giffey earns his keep. He has the ability to catch fire from the outside and pour in the 3s. Play him for cap relief and if he gets you 18 or more FPTS you’re gonna have a great night.
Gsulaw Thoughts: Sure, why not? He’s as likely to do something as anyone else among the cellar forwards. Though I don’t think you can bank on any of them in advance to do much of anything.
We’ll be talking CBB all tourney long, so if you like it give us a follow on twitter
gsugrinding and dubdeuces85.