CFB Championship Week: Sleepers, Stock Report, Fades/Targets
In this article I will cover a variety of topics. Everyone knows the stud players in college football, so I will also give you some value plays for the week. I also give you some players that are trending up and down, as well as the players with plus and minus matchups for the weekend. This is the last weekend of the regular season, but there are some pretty big tournaments coming this bowl season!
QB Cody Sokol (Louisiana Tech): To be honest, there isn’t any value QB worth playing this week. Most of these teams are playing for championships because they have stud QBs. Sokol will likely go under-owned this weekend. Last week against Rice, he threw for 387 yards and four TDs. As you saw last weekend, the Marshall defense can be exposed through the air.
RB Steward Butler (Marshall): This depends on the health of starting RB Devon Johnson, who left last week’s game after three carries. Butler came in and ran for 233 yards and two TDs. Johnson is questionable this week. Butler has game-changing speed, and while Louisiana Tech has a good rush defense, they haven’t faced an offense like Marshall all season.
RB Dalvin Cook (Florida State): Finally, it looks like Cook will be the only RB in the backfield for the Seminoles. Karlos Williams is questionable with a concussion. While Williams is a senior, Cook, a true freshman, is the more talented back. I have been calling for Cook to get more carries all season. Last week, Cook got 24 carries and ran for 144 yards, and he’s also a capable receiver out of the backfield.
WR Levi Norwood (Baylor): After an early-season injury, Norwood is finally working himself back into the offense. Last week, he caught five passes for 60 yards and a TD. The week before, Norwood also had five catches. In this Baylor offense, sometimes it just takes one catch on a long bomb to reach value. Don’t forget Baylor needs major style points this game.
WR Chris Nelson (Oregon): Out of nowhere, Nelson has emerged as the Ducks’ best receiver the last couple of weeks. Over the last two weeks, Nelson has four TD receptions, and this Oregon/Arizona game will likely be the highest scoring game of the weekend.
WR Rannell Hall (UCF): Due to injuries to RBs Stanback and Wilson, Hall, who’s a wide receiver, got ten carries last week against USF. Hall ran for 65 yards and a TD and also caught five passes. At this point, Wilson and Stanback are questionable to play – Stanback has been questionable the last couple of weeks, so I can’t see him playing. Even if they do play, Hall still makes a great play. UCF lost WR JJ Worton to injury, so Hall would see increases in production there, and ECU really struggles to defend the pass.
QB Jake Waters (Kansas State): Waters suffered a minor injury mid-season and he struggled a bit, but he appears to be healthy now. Last week he threw for 294 yards and four TDs, while also running for a TD. Waters makes his value by running the ball.
QB Blake Sims (Alabama): Sims got off to an awful start last weekend against Auburn, but man did he finish strong. Sims finished with 312 passing yards and four TDs. He also ran in for a score. It never hurts when you get to throw the ball to one of the best receivers in the nation.
RB TJ Yeldon (Alabama): Like many players, Yeldon has battled injuries this season. Last week against Auburn, Yeldon had his best game of the season though, as he finished with 127 yards and two TDs.
RB Zach Laskey (Georgia Tech): Just like Yeldon, Laskey battled some injures, but he missed a couple of weeks. Last weekend against Georgia, Laskey ran for 140 yards and three TDs.
WR Curry Sexton (Kansas State): Sexton is proving that the Kansas State passing game is more than just Tyler Lockett. Last week, he caught nine passes for 141 yards and a TD. Sexton has over 100 yards receiving in three out of his last four games.
WR Davonte Allen (Marshall): Last time Allen played, it was in September. In his first game back after injury, Allen caught six passes for 141 yards and two TDs against Western Kentucky.
It’s Championship Week, so not a ton of players are slumping.
QB James Knapke (Bowling Green): Knapke was really good at first in taking over for the injured Matt Johnson, but he has struggled ever since. He has just two TDs passes in his last five games.
RB Cameron Stingily (Northern Illinois): Stingily is very TD dependent. The last two weeks he has only rushed for 30 and 43 yards. I don’t think the Huskies give him the ball enough.
WR Rashad Green (Florida State): Greene has failed to get into the end zone the last three games. I think this is mainly because of the poor play of his QB.
1. Aaron Green or BJ Catalon (TCU) vs. Iowa State (#120 Rush Defense)
2. Jay Ajayi (Boise State) vs. Fresno State(#103)
3. Cameron Stingily (Northern Illinois) vs. Bowling Green (#96)
4. Kenneth Farrow (Houston) vs. Cincinnati (#79)
5. Royce Freeman (Oregon) vs. Arizona (#58)
1. Russell Hansbrough (Missouri) vs. Alabama (#2 Rush Defense)
2. William Stanback (UCF) vs. ECU
3. Ezekiel Elliott (Ohio State) vs. Wisconsin (#5)
4. Devon Johnson or Steward Butler (Marshall) vs. Louisiana Tech (#15)
5. Shock Linwood (Baylor) vs. Kansas State (#19)
1. Northern Illinois vs. Bowling Green (#124 Pass Defense)
2. Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State (#120)
3. Oregon vs. Arizona (#116)
4. Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma (#114)
5. Arizona vs. Oregon (#111)
1. Ohio State vs. Wisconsin (#2 Pass Defense)
2. Eastern Carolina vs. UCF (#6)
3. Alabama vs. Missouri (#35)
4. Louisiana Tech vs. Marshall (#36)
5. Fresno State vs. Boise State (#45)