CFB Week 5: Sleepers, Stock Report, Fades/Targets
In this article I will cover a variety of topics. I will give you my players to pay up for and the players to fade. Everyone knows the stud players in College Football, so I will also give you some value plays for the week.
Also check out the players that are trending up and down. As the weeks go on I will add some more categories. Be sure to check out my CFB Weekly News Updates for incentives members as well. There you will find all the injuries, suspensions, and depth chart news of the week!
Stud to Pay for:
Russell has made Baylor fans forget about Bryce Petty pretty quickly. In his 1st three games as a starter, he has thrown for 15 TDs in mostly blowouts. Now, Russell gets to play Texas Tech that can put points. Last week, Texas Tech lost to TCU 55-52, Trevone Boykin threw for 485 yards and four TDs. This over/under should be in the 80s. Look for a huge game for Russell, and look for him to run a little more.
It looks like the Ohio State offense is getting back on track, the only steady part has always been Elliott. I think he is in for a big day on the ground against an awful Indiana defense. The Indiana offense can keep it somewhat close so Elliott should play most of the game.
Man what a game Doctson had last week. He caught 18 passes for 267 yards and three TDs. One of the reasons Doctson is getting targeted so much is because the Horn Frogs keep on suffering injuries at the WR position. They lost another WR last game and Kolby Listenbee is still questionable. Look for another big game from Doctson against Texas.
With the news that Maty Mauk is suspended for this game, Drew Lock will get the start for the Tigers. Lock, is a highly touted true freshman. Some were already wanting Lock to play more with Mauk struggling. I like that his 1st start is at home and against South Carolina. This isn’t the South Carolina defenses of a couple years ago. They let an average Georgia QB go off on them.
I bet most of you guys have never heard of Kinner, but he actually has had a solid start to the season. So far this season he has run for five TDs, and has gotten at least 16 carries in each game. He is all this Kansas offense has, and he gets to face a bad Iowa State team.
The Razorbacks have had ton of injuries at the WR position, but Morgan has stepped up. Last week, against Texas A&M he caught eight passes for 155 yards and a TD.
Think about Fading:
After beating Alabama, Kelly came back to earth last week struggling against Vanderbilt throwing two INTs. Now, he has to go to the Swamp to face Florida. I really don’t like his matchup against this Florida defense.
I think Chubb is going to have a pretty good game, but won’t pay off his price against this Alabama defense. The Crimson Tide are the 3rd ranked rushing defense in the country. The way to beat this Alabama defense is through the air not the ground.
This has nothing to do with Cooper, but the quarterback situation at South Carolina. He did have a good game last week against UCF, but don’t he gets a very tough Missouri defense on the road.
It looks Like Florida has finally maybe found a quarterback for their future. Grier led a comeback against Tennessee last week. He threw for 283 yards and two TDs. While he doesn’t run a lot Grier will get some yards on the ground.
Smallwood has pretty taken the top RB spot about from Rushel Shell, mostly because of his speed. Last week against Maryland Smallwood ran for 147 yards and a score on 22 carries.
Finally we can trust a Texas A&M WR. The true freshman has come and has taken the college football world by storm. Last week against Arkansas, Kirk caught eight passes for 173 yards and two TDs.
Last week he struggled against Delaware, and Mitch Trubrisky came in and threw for four TDs. While the coach said Williams is still his starting QB, you can’t play him with any confidence.
I hoped London would become the clear lead back, but that isn’t happening. True freshman LJ Scott is getting a ton of carries, and Gerald Holmes is getting carries around the goal-line.
So far in three games Cannon just has six catches on the season. Last week he caught the 1st pass of the game, then didn’t have a catch the rest of the game. It is clear Seth Russell’s top target is Corey Coleman.
Who I wish I had more of Last Week:
Wilson status throughout the week was questionable with an injury, and that reason alone is why I didn’t play him. Wilson had a huge game as Utah destroyed Oregon. Wilson threw for four TDs and also ran for a TD and 100 yards on the ground.
I had ton of exposure to the TCU/ Texas Tech game, but don’t enough of Washington. I thought Texas Tech would do most of its damage through the air. Washington ran for 188 yards and four TDs.
+ WR Shelton Gibson (West Virginia) :+ I was on the wrong WVU WR last week. I had more of Jovon Durante because he was a tad cheaper. Gibson had a huge game catching 6 passes for 118 yards and two TDs.
Who Hurt my Teams last Week:
I was wrong big time about Browning. I thought he was in for a big time game against playing well against Utah State, but he struggled against a bad Cal defense. He finished with just 152 yards passing and three turnovers.
In the previous games the Texas defense was giving up yards on the ground. I thought Carson was in for a big game, but he ran for just 39 yards.
I thought Lewis would have a monster day against a poor Purdue defense. He finished with just six catches for 49 yards. Bowling Green has a lot more weapons that just Lewis.
Games to Target:
1) Texas Tech at Baylor
2) Houston at Tulsa
3) Texas at TCU
4) Washington State at Cal
Games to Fade:
1) Minnesota at Northwestern
2) Ole Miss at Florida
3) South Carolina at Missouri
4) Boston College at Duke