Cheap Whacks - Houston Open & Italian Open
You want to play DJ, JT, Rahm, Rory but you can’t find a way to make the salary work. The goal of the article is to identify cheap golfers who will make the cut and maybe even make a run up the leaderboard. The only rule is that all golfers selected must be cheaper than $7,000. Note – This article is DraftKings specific in regards to salary.
Confidence Level is how confident I am in the golfer to make the cut.
High = Load Him Up; Moderate = Use with caution; Low = GPP Longshot Only.
Spreadsheet Rank weights different stats such as Course History, Recent History, Strokes Gained, etc. to determine a final ranking for each golfer. Ownership percentages listed are assuming I build 10 lineups.
Mixed results last week. In my personal lineups I snuck a 6/6 through in the Euro and made a 6x cash. The PGA wasn’t as nice where I wound up with a 4/6 thanks to Niemann and Higgs. The Cheap Whacks picks were opposite where the PGA picks were good but the Euro picks were not.
Rahm chalk ran away with the Open de Espana. He was crazy expensive but worth the price as he was so much better than anyone else on the course. The PGA came down to a playoff where Kevin Na edged Cantlay. A bunch of people got the A4U70 bonus but Na did not as he shot a 70 on his final round. Na Na Na back in the winner circle but na na na was what I said to my lineup after Friday cuts.
The picks for the PGA were Robby Shelton, Si Woo Kim, and Harry Higgs. Higgs looked like he was going to be off to a good week shooting a -4 on Thursday. But a +2 on Friday had him watching the action from his couch. Shelton and Si Woo both made the cut and finished near the middle of the pack. Was hoping one of them would make a run up the leaderboard but for the price a made cut was still worth it.
The Euro picks were Espen Kofstad, Daniel Gavins, and Justin Walters. Espen wasn’t even close to making the cut after his +5 opening round. Gavins couldn’t quite make it as he had 1 bogey too many to barely miss the cut. Walters while he made the cut he shot a combined +7 over the weekend to finish dead last amongst those that made the cut.
1. Robby Shelton – 87; My Rank – 1
2. Si Woo Kim – 76; My Rank – 2
3. Harry Higgs – 35; My Rank – 3
1. Justin Walters; My Rank – 3
2. Daniel Gavins; My Rank – 2
3. Espen Kofstad; My Rank – 1
I don’t really like any of the expensive guys here. I mean, $10.8K for Cameron Champ, c’mon meow. I do like Henley at 10.1K but I just worry about his ownership since he is a course horse. Whoever you like up top let’s try to find some value at the bottom to allow you to play them. There are 81 golfers in our salary range this week.
Zack Sucher ($6,600) – Looks like he’s starting to get into a rhythm. He’s coming in with 2 made cuts in a row with both finishes in the top 25. This will be his first time golfing here so no rating for course history. The stat he sticks out in is Off The Tee where he ranks 7th in the field. He could use a little help with the putter where he ranks 71st in the field. I think he’s pretty safe play, if there is such a thing in this price range, so he will miss the cut to spite me.
– High; Spreadsheet Rank: 4
Stewart Cink ($6,900) – Ol Stewie. If you like golfers approaching getting their AARP card then Cink is the guy for you. 2019 hasn’t been a great year for him overall but he has made 5 of his last 7 cuts. He’s been pretty solid here in the past. Looking at just the past 5 years he’s made the cut in all 4 of his appearances including a 23rd place finish in 2017. His stats are pretty good where he ranks 1st in the field in Bogey Avoidance and 2nd in Putting. He could use some help Off The Tee but give him a break he’s old.
– High; Spreadsheet Rank: 22
Rafael Campos ($6,500) – One of the Korn Ferry graduates this year. He’s 2 for 3 in cuts made in the new season. He’s golfed here twice in the past finishing 7th in 2017 and 38th in 2016. The stats are pretty bad but he does make a lot of birdies. Hoping the course history in his favor turns out well again this year.
– Moderate; Spreadsheet Rank: 33
If I were making 10 lineups I would be 60% Sucher, 40% Cink, and 20% Campos.
Order Of Preference
1. Zach Sucher
2. Stewart Cink
3. Rafael Campos
Francesco chalk week. Last week was Rahm chalk week and worked out well for the chalk as he crushed the competition. I think I’m going to eat the chalk this week and try to gain an advantage with a cheap whack or 2. There are 79 golfers in our price range so let’s find 3 that make the cut.
Jason Scrivener ($6,900) – It worries me that his price went down even though he finished 7th last week. He was part of my winning Euro lineup last week so back to the well. He’s made 4 of his last 6 cuts. While this is a new course I brought in Italian Open history as a reference since it seemed to correlate last week in Spain. He’s done pretty well in Italy despite barely missing the cut in 2017. He ranks out very well statistically – ranking 4th in the field in Approach and 10th in Bogey Avoidance.
– High; Spreadsheet Rank: 21
Sebastien Soderberg ($6,900) – He’s made 5 cuts in a row including getting the dub at the Omega Masters last month. Don’t have any Italian history on him. He doesn’t rank out very well statistically but he can make birdies by the bucket full. A form play hoping he can keep his hot streak going.
– Moderate; Spreadsheet Rank: 42
Jack Singh Brar ($6,500) – He was a staple of my Euro lineups for about 4 tourneys in a row. He had a nice run of cuts made going until he missed 2 in a row recently. He finished 23rd last week in Spain so let’s hope that is the start of another cuts made run. He ranks out pretty well for our price range statistically. He ranks 23rd in Bogey Avoidance and 24th in Greens In Regulation.
– Moderate; Spreadsheet Rank: 45
If I were making 10 lineups I would be 50% Scrivener, 30% Brar, and 10% Soderberg.
Order Of Preference
1. Jason Scrivener
2. Jack Singh Brar
3. Sebastien Soderberg