Cheap Whacks - John Deere Classic & Scottish Open
You want to play DJ, JT, Rahm, Rory but you can’t find a way to make the salary work. The goal of the article is to identify cheap golfers who will make the cut and maybe even make a run up the leaderboard. The only rule is that all golfers selected must be cheaper than $6,600. Note – This article is DraftKings specific in regards to salary.
Confidence Level is how confident I am in the golfer to make the cut.
High = Load Him Up; Moderate = Use with caution; Low = GPP Longshot Only.
Spreadsheet Rank weights different stats such as Course History, Recent History, Strokes Gained, etc. to determine a final ranking for each golfer. Ownership percentages listed are assuming I build 10 lineups.
A crazy finish at the 3M Open. Looked like it was headed for a 3 way playoff until Matthew Wolff dropped 26 foot eagle putt from the fairway on 18 to take the win over DeChambeau and Morikawa. I was at the beach but got home in time to see the final 5 holes and was glad I did. Over in the Euro – Rahm dominated over the weekend rounds to win by 2 strokes. He entered the weekend in 38th place at -2 and finished in 1st at -16. Was no stopping him on Saturday and Sunday.
The PGA picks were Josh Teater, Charlie Danielson, and Cameron Davis. Was so close to being a good week of picks. Teater fired a -2 first round but did nothing on Friday and missed the cut by 2 strokes. Cameron Davis caused a lot of anguish on Friday. He appeared to be safely above the cut line until a triple bogey on 18 caused him to miss the cut by a stroke. His triple also caused the cut line to go from -4 to -3 and saved Koepka and Day from getting chopped. Danielson was the lone bright spot of the picks – thanks to Davis’ triple he squeezed in the cut line. He shot a -11 over the weekend to finish in 15th place. Overall a loss on the picks but Danielson is getting fired up for me every week he is playing.
The Euro picks were Grant Forrest, Niklas Lemke, and Tapio Pulkkanen. Forrest and Lemke both easily made the cut and in good position heading into the weekend. Tapio had a bad day 1 and missed the cut by 2 strokes. Forrest had the better weekend and ended up finishing in 14th place. Lemke slid on Sunday and finished in 34th place. Overall a win on the Euro with the picks.
1. Charlie Danielson – 98; My Rank – 2
2. Cameron Davis – 39; My Rank – 3
3. Josh Teater – 30; My Rank – 1
1. Grant Forrest – 77.5; My Rank – 1
2. Niklas Lemke – 64.5; My Rank – 2
3. Tapio Pulkkanen – 29.5; My Rank – 3
Finally have some course history to work with but where oh where have all the golfers gone? A bunch of young guns at the top of the salary spectrum including Wolff who got the win last week. Seems kind of crazy to pay up for those guys but they might end up being low owned for that reason. We’ll focus on the other end of the salary spectrum in case you want to take a couple of the expensive youngsters. There are 58 golfers in our salary range this week. I’ll choose 3 who I think have the best shot at helping out your lineup.
Chad Campbell ($6,500) – Not in the greatest form as he’s missed his last 3 cuts. What he does have though is excellent course history. He has finishes of 7th, 12th, 28th, and 13th over the past 5 years. That’s good enough for me to load him up.
– High; Spreadsheet Rank: 60
Chase Wright ($6,400) – He’s missed a ton of cuts in 2019 but he has made his last 2. No course history but the stats are pretty good. He ranks 9th in the field in Putting and 36th in the field in Birdie To Bogey Ratio. Hopefully his form is turning around and can catch him in a good week.
– Moderate; Spreadsheet Rank: 66
Richy Werenski ($6,400) – To give the CH 3 peat – CHad, CHase, and riCHy. Form is not good but I mean Wolff won last week after not doing too much his first 3 tournaments. Maybe we can catch flier with Richy. Course history is good. He’s golfed here the past 2 years and finished 23rd and 25th. Stats are middle of the pack with the best being 47th in Off The Tee. Ride the course history wave and hope for another 25th place finish.
– Low; Spreadsheet Rank: 73
If I were making 10 lineups I would be 70% Campbell, 20% Wright, and 10% Werenski.
Order Of Preference
1. Chad Campbell
2. Chase Wright
3. Richy Werenski
New course this year for the Scottish Open so we won’t have course history although I did pull in history from the previous Scottish Opens. This event looks like a PGA event with all the big names that hopped the pond this week. Getting their internal clocks adjusted and a real life practice round for The Open. We need to hit our cheap whacks again so you can pay up for a couple of the big boys. There are 60 golfers in our salary range. Here are the 3 we hope will do well this week:
Haydn Porteous ($6,400) – He’s made 66% of his cuts this year but coming in with 2 straight missed cuts. He shot an albatross at Valderrama a couple weeks ago which is good for the DK scoring but he still missed the cut. His last 2 tournaments he’s had a good day 1 but flopped on Friday. Let’s hope he can get it together on Friday this week. He’s golfed at the Scottish Open the past 3 years and barely missed the cut all 3 times. The stats look pretty good as he’s ranked 20th in the field Off The Tee and 39th in the field in Par 3 scoring.
– Medium; Spreadsheet Rank: 45
Anton Karlsson ($6,300) – In good form as he’s made 4 straight cuts and has finishes of 2nd and 9th this year. Stats aren’t great but he does rank 40th in Off The Tee and 43rd in Greens In Regulation which is pretty good considering the star studded field this week. Hopefully he rides that form to another made cut and top 25 finish.
– Moderate; Spreadsheet Rank: 46
Niklas Lemke ($6,500) – If it aint broke dont fix it right? He did well for us last week so let’s go back to the well again this week. He’s made 3 cuts in a row and 5 of his last 6. Stats aren’t that good this week but he ranks 39th in Greens In Regulation so hopefully he can give himself a lot of birdie chances.
– Moderate; Spreadsheet Rank: 49
If I were making 10 lineups I would be 30% Karlsson, 30% Porteous and 30% Lemke
Order Of Preference
1. Anton Karlsson
2. Haydn Porteous
3. Niklas Lemke