College Football: Championship Saturday

Baylor @ Oklahoma -9 O/U 65.5 (Game in Arlington, TX)

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Appalachian State -6.5 O/U 57.5

Miami Ohio @ Central Michigan -6.5 O/U 55 (Game in Detroit, MI)

UAB @ Florida Atlantic -9 O/U 50

Cincinnati @ Memphis -8.5 O/U 57.5

Georgia @ LSU -7 O/U 56 (Game in Atlanta, GA)

Hawaii @ Boise State -13.5 O/U 64.5

Virginia @ Clemson -28 O/U 57.5 (Game in Charlotte, NC)

Ohio State -15.5 @ Wisconsin O/U 57 (Game in Indianapolis, IN)

Injury Situations:
Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier is questionable.
Central Michigan WR JaCorey Sullivan is questionable.
Georgia RB D’Andre Swift is probable.
Georgia WR Lawrence Cager is OUT.
Georgia WR George Pickens is OUT for the 1st HALF.
Memphis RB Patrick Taylor Jr. is questionable.
Wisconsin WR AJ Taylor is questionable.

Baylor (28 Implied Team Total)
Charlie Brewer ($9.6k FD/$7.6k DK) was fantastic in the first half of the Bears’ regular season game against Oklahoma. He was basically stymied in the 2nd half by the Sooners. Brewer still managed to go for 33.3 DK points in that contest. The dual threat QB averaged 244.6 passing yards, 28.3 rushing yards, and 2.5 total TDs in 12 games. The Sooners’ have strugged with dual threat QBs in the latter part of the season. In 4 games prior to shutting down Dru Brown (OSU back-up QB) last week, the Sooners defense allowed the following FD point totals to dual threat QBs: KSU QB Skylar Thompson posted 36.42 FD points, ISU QB Brock Purdy posted 42.78 FD points, Baylor QB Charlie Brewer posted 33.26 FD points, and TCU QB Max Duggan posted 17 FD points. The Bears’ offense is run-heavy (54.1/45.9 run-pass split) and averages 67.1 plays per game.

Baylor operates a 3-man RB by committee backfield comprised of John Lovett ($5.7k FD/$4.4k DK), JaMychael Hasty ($6.8k FD/$5.3k DK), and Trestan Ebner ($5.3k FD/$3.9k DK). Lovett is the team’s leading rusher with 618 yards rushing and 5 TDs on 97 carries. He has only 7 receptions for 64 yards on 9 targets this season. Hasty has amassed 602 yards rushing and 7 TDs on 98 carries; he’s caught 21 passes for 177 yards and on 31 targets (0 TD). Ebner has 228 yards rushing and 3 TDs on only 44 carries; he’s recorded 15 receptions, 163 yards receiving and 1 TD reception on 20 targets. The problem here is that it’s basically a 4-way split on carries with QB Brewer mixed in. Brewer has recorded 17, 15, 19, and 13 rushing attempts in the last 4 games. Hasty’s price tag on DK has fallen back to a playable point this week. He pasted Kansas for 14/92/1 in Baylor’s 61-6 win. Ebner and Lovett also found the end zone.

Denzel Mims ($8.7k FD/$6.1k DK) is QB Brewers’ top pass catcher. Mims has 61 receptions, 945 yards receiving and 12 TDs on 101 targets. The senior beat the Sooners for 6/92/2 in their prior matchup. He’s been targeted 40 more times than the next pass catcher. Tyquan Thornton ($6.9k FD/$4.9k DK) has recorded 39 receptions, 682 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 101 targets. RJ Sneed ($5.7k FD/$3.9k DK) has 37 receptions for 412 yards and 3 TDs on 57 targets. Speedster Josh Fleeks ($5.4k FD/$4.1k DK) is the last relevant pass catcher; he has 22 receptions, 253 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 28 targets. Fleeks also has also ran the ball 4 times over the last 3 games.

In 2019 (12 games), Baylor is 43rd in passing yards allowed with 209.1 yards/game. They are 51st in rushing yards allowed with 143.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 13 TDs on the ground (1.08 TD/game) and 12 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Oklahoma (37.5 Implied Team Total)
Jalen Hurts ($11.8k FD/$9k DK) has put up video-game like numbers this season. The senior QB averaged 278.9 passing yards, 101.4 rushing yards, and 4.08 total TDs. He’s recorded at least 30 DK points in 10 straight games. Hurts threw for 297 yards and 4 TDs while rushing for 114 yards in Oklahoma’s 34-31 comeback win over Baylor a few weeks back. Baylor’s philosophy on defense will be to make Hurts throw the ball underneath or run and sustain long drives in order to score aka they don’t get beat deep too often. The Sooners’ offense is run heavy (60.1/39.9 run-pass split). The offense is averaging 67.5 offensive plays per game this season.

Kennedy Brooks ($8k FD/$5.6k DK) has dominated the backfield with Trey Sermon out. The sophomore has topped 115 total yards (rushing/receiving) in 4 consecutive games. He’s received 22+ carries in each of the last two games. Of course the matchup with Baylor isn’t easy. While they’re allowing opposing backfields to rush for 143.7 yards, they’ve only surrendered 13 rush TDs this season. Brooks ran for 93 yards on 18 carries while catching 4 passes for 22 yards in the Sooners’ regular season matchup with Baylor.

CeeDee Lamb ($9k FD/$6.8k DK) missed the regular season game with Baylor. The game changing WR has been quiet in 2 games post injury. He’s posted 2/16/1 (TCU) and 4/36/0 (OKST) on 11 targets over the last 2 games. I don’t think his downturn has been a result of a nagging injury. Oklahoma has gone more run centric than normal in the last two games by design. Baylor will focus a ton of attention on Lamb this week (which should benefit RB Brooks I’d have to believe). As noted above, they want to force teams to march the field as opposed to get beat over the top for a quick scoring strike. Of course, Lamb is matchup proof. However, I can see the merit in fading him in tournaments this week. The future pro has 50 receptions, 1,035 yards receiving, and 14 TDs on 73 targets. His price is at a season low on DK this week. Charleston Rambo ($6.9k FD/$5k DK) has not scored a TD in 5 straight games. Rambo is 2nd on the team with 40 receptions, 511 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 57 targets. After topping 105 yards receiving in 3 out of the Sooners’ first 4 games, the lanky WR has not topped 82 yards in the last 9 games. He’s cheap this week. Outside of those 2, I guess you could consider Lee Morris ($5.9k FD/$3.8k DK). He has 10 receptions and 146 yards receiving over the last 3 games. However, most of his production came with Lamb sidelined (7/86/0 against Baylor). The Sooners’ don’t throw much which has limited the pass catchers’ numbers outside of Lamb (only 1 game with more than 28 passing attempts and that was against Baylor as they fell behind big, really early in the game).

In 2019 (12 games), OU is 22nd in passing yards allowed with 195.9 yards/game. They are 48th in rushing yards allowed with 140.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 18 TDs on the ground (1.5 TD/game) and 18 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Louisiana-Lafayette (25.5 Implied Team Total)
Levi Lewis ($8k/FD$6.1k DK) has accounted for 23 of the Ragin’ Cajuns’ 61 offensive TDs this season. Lewis averaged 204.2 yards passing, 10.6 yards rushing, and nearly 2 total TDs. Lewis has tossed 11 TDs while adding a rush TD over the last 5 games. The junior was dreadful in the team’s early season loss to Appalachian State. Lewis threw for 131 yards and 1 TD while also recording minus 16 rushing yards. The matchup is difficult as the Mountaineers are holding opposing signal callers to 186.8 passing yards per game (allowed 14 pass TDs this season). ULL has an extremely run-heavy offense (59.5/40.5 run-pass split). ULL’s offense is averaging 70.3 plays per game.

ULL has 3 dynamic RBs in Trey Ragas ($6.3k FD/$5.9k DK), Elijah Mitchell ($8.4k FD/$5.8k DK), and Raymond Calais ($7k FD/$4.7k DK). Mitchell leads the group with 1,007 yards rushing and 14 TDs on 169 carries. He also has 9 receptions and 69 yards receiving on 13 targets. Mitchell has topped the 100-yard rushing mark in 2 out of the last 3 games. He was held to 68 yards rushing on 13 carries in the regular season matchup with the Mountaineers. His carry counts over the last 4 games are (most recent listed first): 19, 7, 17, and 10. Ragas has 777 yards rushing and 11 TDs on 104 carries while also catching 6 passes for 60 yards and 1 TD on 7 targets. He has 4 TDs over the last 4 games. Carry counts for Ragas over the last 4 games are (most recent listed first): 8, 11, 10, 4. Ragas was held to 24 yards rushing on 7 carries in the Week 7 matchup with the Mountaineers. He’s really cheap on FD. Calais has 818 yards rushing and 8 TDs on 104 carries while also catching 8 passes for 69 yards and 1 TD on 11 targets. Calais has a TD in back-to-back games. Carry counts for Calais over the last 4 games are (most recent listed first): 8, 7, 13, and 6. Calais mustered 47 yards rushing on 9 carries against Appalachian State in the first go-around. The Ragin Cajuns mix in all 3 RBs intermittently. If I had to pick one, it’d be Mitchell since he usually receives the most carries amongst the group. The matchup is not easy this week. The Mountaineers are limiting opposing backfields to 134.3 rush yards and 1.08 rush TDs per game.

Ja’Marcus Bradley ($7.8k FD/$5.1k DK) is Ragin’ Cajuns top WR. Bradley has 48 receptions for 760 yards and 7 TDs on 70 targets this season (30 more than the next pass catcher). Bradley has topped 20 DK in 3 out of the last 4 games. Jamal Bell ($5.7k FD/$4.1k DK) has 31 receptions for 416 yards and 1 TD on 40 targets. He’s questionable for this week’s contest. Peter Leblanc ($5.6k FD/$3.5k DK) has caught at least 2 passes in 4 straight games. He has 24 receptions, 218 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 31 targets. Lastly, Jarrod Jackson ($5.3k FD/$4k DK) has 4 receptions in each of the last 2 games (19 receptions and 320 yards receiving on 29 targets this season).

In 2019 (12 games), ULL is 23rd in passing yards allowed with 197.6 yards/game. They are 80th in rushing yards allowed with 172.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 16 TDs on the ground (1.33 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (.75 TD/game) this season.

Appalachian State (32 Implied Team Total)
Dual threat QB Zac Thomas ($9.5k FD/$6.9k DK) has accounted for 31 of the Mountaineers’ 56 offensive TDs this season. The junior signal caller averaged 202.3 yards passing, 32.3 yards rushing, and 2.58 total TDs. Thomas has topped 35 DK points in 2 out of the last 3 games. In the Mountaineers’ week 7 matchup with Louisiana Lafayette, Thomas threw for 147 yards and ran 63 yards and 2 TDs (24.2 DK points). The Ragin Cajuns’ are far more vulnerable via the ground game than through the air (allowing under 200 yards passing and have only surrendered 9 TD passes this season). App State operates a run-heavy offense (60.8/39.2 run-pass split) and averages 69.7 plays per game.

Darrynton Evans ($9.3k FD/$7k DK) has rushed for 1,250 yards and 16 TDs on 217 carries. He’s also caught 16 passes for 130 yards and 3 TDs on 23 targets. Evans enters this matchup on a roll. He’s posted at least 29.2 DK points in 3 straight games. In those 3 games, he’s found pay-dirt 8 times. This week’s matchup with the Ragin Cajuns figures to be an Evans’ game. ULL is allowing 172.3 yards rushing per game (3rd most on the slate). They allowed 16 rush TDs (opposed to 9 pass TDs). He’ll be popular this week.

Leading WR Corey Sutton (41/601/7) is OUT for the season with an ACL tear. Target counts in 3 games this season without Sutton are: Hennigan (23), Malik Williams (16), Virgil (14), Watson (10), and Evans (7). A few other pass catchers have under 3 targets but they’re not relevant. Hennigan ($7.3k FD/$4.8k DK) has 54 receptions, 673 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 81 targets. He went off for 11/140/0 in last week’s win over Troy. He’s recorded 20.9, 10.7, and 28.4 DK points when Sutton sits. Williams ($6.4k FD/$4.5k DK) checks in with 51 receptions, 560 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 77 targets. In 3 games without Sutton, he’s caught 13 passes for 121 yards and 3 TDs. TE Virgil ($6.3k FD/$4k DK) has recorded 20.7 (last week), 10.3, and 23.6 DK points with Sutton sidelined. Watson ($5k FD/$3.3k DK) has 9 receptions, 104 yards, and 1 TD this season on 16 targets. He has 5 receptions and 48 yards receiving when Sutton has missed time. Hennigan and Williams led the team with 4 receptions each in the team’s regular season matchup with the Ragin Cajuns (Sutton played and led the team with 58 yards receiving).

In 2019 (12 games), Appalachian State is 16th in passing yards allowed with 186.8 yards/game. They are 34th in rushing yards allowed with 134.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 13 TDs on the ground (1.08 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.17 TD/game) this season.

Miami Ohio (24.5 Implied Team Total)
Brett Gabbert ($6.8k FD/$5.8k DK) is the Red Hawks starting QB. The freshman averaged 163.9 passing yards and 1.08 total TDs this season. The Red Hawks rarely threw the ball this season as Gabbert attempted less than 20 passes in 7 games this season (1 game with more than 29 passes all season). On a slate filled with stud QBs, he’s not interesting. The one thing that is working in his favor is that the Central Michigan pass defense is pretty bad. The Chips allowed opposing signal callers to throw for 240 yards per game and they allowed 21 pass TDs (tied for 2nd most on the slate). The Red Hawks’ offense is run-heavy (62.3/37.7 run-pass split) and averages 61.6 plays per game.

Jaylon Bester ($8.3k FD/$6k DK) played in 9 games this season and he scored at least 1 TD in 8 of those game (lone exception was the 1st game of the season at Iowa). The junior RB ran for 623 yards and 11 TDs on 132 carries. He also caught 12 passes for 59 yards on 15 targets. Backfield mate, Tyre Shelton ($5.9k FD/$4k DK), ran for 494 yards and 2 TDs on 95 carries. He also caught 11 passes for 84 yards on 16 targets. While Central Michigan held opposing rushers under 120 yards rushing per game, they did allow 17 rush TDs this season (5th most on the slate).

The Red Hawks WR corp. are all risky rosters with the offense sticking to the run game. Jack Sorenson ($6.7k FD/$4.7k DK) leads the Red Hawks in targets (42), receptions (26), and TD receptions (3). He has 338 yards receiving. The junior has cleared 43 yards receiving in 4 straight games. Sorenson is the only pass catcher to receive more than 4 targets in the Red Hawks final 4 games of the regular season. James Maye ($6.3k FD/$4k DK) and Jalen Walker ($6.3k FD/$4.7k DK) are deep play threats; you’re just hoping they catch a long TD. Maye has 15 receptions, 390 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 25 targets. The freshman had 6 receptions that went for over 45 yards in MAC play (8 MAC games). Walker has 16 receptions, 348 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 31 targets.

In 2019 (12 games), Miami Ohio is 36th in passing yards allowed with 202.3 yards/game. They are 87th in rushing yards allowed with 180.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 21 TDs on the ground (1.75 TD/game) and 23 TDs through the air (1.92 TD/game) this season.

Central Michigan (31 Implied Team Total)
Quinten Dormady ($7.1k FD/$6.2k DK) started the last 6 games for the Chippewas. In those 6 games, he averaged 265.8 passing yards and 2 pass TDs. The senior has one of the best matchups on Championship Saturday. The Red Hawks have allowed 23 pass TDs which is the highest on the slate. The only drawback is the Red Hawks are also bad against the run (see below). He’s extremely cheap on FD. The CMU offense favors the run (54/46 run-pass split) and averages 72.3 plays per game.

Kobe Lewis ($8.1k FD/$5.7k DK) and Jonathan Ward ($9k FD/$6.6k DK) form a dynamic 1-2 punch in the backfield for the Chippewas. Ward led the team with 1,056 rushing yards and 15 TDs on 164 carries. He also recorded 28 receptions, 284 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 35 targets. Ward topped 105 yards rushing in 8 out of the 10 games he played in this season. The senior has at least 1 TD in 7 straight games. Meanwhile, Lewis checks in with 953 yards rushing and 11 TDs on 170 carries. He also caught 22 passes for 156 yards on 28 targets. The sophomore cracked 125 yards rushing in 4 out of the last 6 games. Ward out-carried Lewis in each of the final 5 games (total carries over the last 5 are Ward 92 and Lewis 71). Both guys are viable against the Red Hawks shaky run defense. Miami Ohio allowed the most rushing (180.3 yards per game) and 2nd most TDs (21) on this slate.

Central Michigan has 4 productive pass catchers. Khalil Pimpleton ($7.5k FD/$5.6k DK) leads the way with 73 receptions, 771 yards receiving, and 6 TDs on 105 targets. The sophomore had at least 3 receptions in every game this season. He caught 7+ passes in 5 games. He topped 50 yards receiving in 9 out of the last 10 games. JaCorey Sullivan ($7.2k FD/$5.1k DK) has 47 receptions, 712 yards receiving, and 3 TDs on 68 targets. He’s listed as questionable this week. Sullivan is a big bodied WR and he topped 83 yards in each of the last 5 games. He also recorded at least 5 receptions in each of those final 5 games. Tyrone Scott ($6.7k FD/$4.7k DK) has 30 receptions, 561 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 61 targets. He topped 53 yards receiving in each of the last 3 games. He also scored twice over the last 3 games. Tony Poljan ($6.8k FD/$4.4k DK), the tight end, managed to catch 30 passes for 458 yards and 1 TD on 41 targets. Sullivan would be my choice (if he plays) if picking a CMU WR then Pimpleton. Sullivan out-targeted Pimpleton 45 to 40 over the final 5 regular season games.

In 2019 (12 games), CMU is 89th in passing yards allowed with 240 yards/game. They are 22nd in rushing yards allowed with 118.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 17 TDs on the ground (1.42 TD/game) and 21 TDs through the air (1.75 TD/game) this season.

UAB (20.5 Implied Team Total)
Dylan Hopkins ($6.6k FD) may get his 5th straight start at QB with Tyler Johnston III ($7.5k FD) progressing from a sprain MCL. In his 4 starts Hopkins hasn’t topped 25 passing attempts. He’s thrown for 483 yards and 2 TDs in those 4 games. He’s also rushed for 187 yards and 1 TD on 48 carries. Should Johnston return for the title game we can upgrade the passing game for UAB. Johnston averaged 238.8 passing yards, 24.4 rushing yards, and 1.75 total TDs in 8 starts. Ideally, the FAU pass defense is a spot to pick on. They’re allowing 246.1 passing yards per game (most on the slate) and they’ve been burned for 21 pass TDs (tied for 2nd most on the slate). The Blazers’ offense is run-heavy (63/37 run-pass split) and averages 64.2 plays per game.

Spencer Browns ($6.6k FD) leads the Blazers with 462 yards rushing and 5 TDs on 118 carries (he’s played in 9 games, missed most of October with a high ankle sprain). He enters this week’s title game off his best performance of the year. He ran for 111 yards and 1 TD on 19 carries in UAB’s 26-21 win over North Texas. The school’s all-time leading rusher is a good bet to receive another large workload this week. Backfield mate, Lucious Stanley ($7.4k FD), leads the Blazers with 7 rush TDs. He has 415 yards rushing on 86 carries. The sophomore has posted 13/61/1 and 14/72/1 in the last 2 games. Jermaine Brown Jr. ($5.5k FD) missed last week’s game with an injury; it’s unknown if he’ll suit up this week. Brown Jr. has 409 yards rushing and 2 TDs on 78 carries. The matchup with FAU’s run defense is relatively neutral. They’re allowing 1.25 rush TDs and 136.5 rushing yards per game.

UAB has 3 good WRs in Austin Watkins, Myron Mitchell, and Kendall Parham. Watkins leads the Blazers in targets (75), receptions (44), and receiving yards (890). He has 5 TDs on the season. The junior has been relatively quiet with Hopkins starting (9/201/0 in 4 Hopkins starts). Mitchell has 33 receptions, 545 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 53 targets. Parham leads the Blazers with 6 TD receptions. He has 29 receptions in total and 608 yards receiving. Like the other 2, his numbers have been brutal with Hopkins at QB (4/60/0). I’d probably won’t consider any of these guys if Hopkins starts. They’re definitely in play if we hear that Johnston will start.

In 2019 (12 games), UAB is 6th in passing yards allowed with 177.5 yards/game. They are 5th in rushing yards allowed with 92.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 10 TDs on the ground (.83 TD/game) and 16 TDs through the air (1.33 TD/game) this season.

Florida Atlantic (29.5 Implied Team Total)
QB Chris Robison ($7.3k FD) averaged 260.8 passing yards and 2 total TDs per game this season. The sophomore has topped 300-yards passing in 5 games. While UAB hasn’t surrendered yardage in the passing game (allowing 177.5 passing yards which is 3r best on the slate), they have allowed 16 TD passes (which is middle of the pack on this slate). Robison is a viable cheap QB on the FD slate. The Owls’ offense favors the run (52.3/47.7 run-pass split) and averages 74.1 plays per game.

The FAU RB situation is a little murky. BJ Emmons ($6.7k FD) returned from injury and has led the Owls in carries in each of the last 2 games. He ran for 71 yards and 1 TD on 11 carries in last week’s 34-17 win over Southern Mississippi. The week prior, Emmons ran for 53 yards and 2 TDs on 10 carries. Larry McCammon II ($6k FD) returned to practice this week after missing the last month with an injury. McCammon II had a TD in 4 straight games to prior to injury though he didn’t top 7 carries in any of those games. It’s not yet known if he’ll suit up this week. Malcolm Davidson ($7.2k FD) is the starter (in name) and leads the Owls with 9 rush TDs this season (583 yards on 91 carries). However, he’s only received 12 carries in the last two games. The last member of the RB group is James Charles ($5.3k FD). He’s run for 359 yards and 3 TDs on 69 carries this season. He’s received 11 carries in the last 2 games. The matchup with the UAB run defense is tough. The Blazers are holding opposing backfields to 92.3 rushing yards per game. They’ve only surrendered 10 rush TDs in 12 games.

The Owls feature 5 productive pass catchers. Harrison Bryant ($8.1k FD), the starting TE, leads the Owls in all relevant pass catching stats. He has 61 receptions, 965 yards receiving, and 6 TDs on 91 targets. Bryant has been dominant as of late. He posted 3/75/3 on 5 targets in last week’s win. The week prior he posted 10/182/1. Speedster DeAngelo Antione ($6.5k FD) has 56 receptions, 659 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 76 targets. He has 3 games where’s he caught at least 7 passes. He’s been targeted 11+ times in 4 out of 12 games. John Mitchell ($5.7k FD) checks in with 34 receptions, 443 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 64 targets. He hasn’t topped 24 yards receiving in 5 straight games. Tavaris Harrison ($5.9k FD) has 31 receptions, 501 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 61 targets. Lastly, TE John Raine ($5.4k FD) has 30 receptions, 261 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 45 targets. He’s a TD or bust play. I’d only consider Harrison and Antione (if you need a cheap WR).

In 2019 (12 games), FAU is 96th in passing yards allowed with 246.1 yards/game. They are 37th in rushing yards allowed with 136.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 15 TDs on the ground (1.25 TD/game) and 21 TDs through the air (1.75 TD/game) this season.

Cincinnati (24.5 Implied Team Total)
The Bearcats and the Tigers faced off last week. Now they’ll run it back again this week with the Conference Championship at stake. QB Desmond Ridder ($7.6k FD/$6.1k DK) is expected to return to this week to start at QB for the Bearcats. He was a surprising late scratch last week as the Bearcats opted to start QB Ben Bryant. Ridder was reportedly nursing an injured shoulder and Cincinnati, knowing that they were going to play Memphis 2 weeks in a row, sat Ridder to rest him for this week’s title game. Reportedly, the Bearcats signal caller is nearly 100% healthy for this week’s game. Ridder is averaging 166.9 passing yards, 39.3 rushing yards, and 1.64 total TDs per game this season. The dual threat QB has struggled as of late. He’s only completed 9 passes in each of the last 2 games he’s started. Ridder has not topped 172 yards passing in 5 straight games. Adding to his difficulties is a tough matchup against the Memphis pass defense. Memphis is holding opponents under 200 yards passing; they’ve also allowed 14 pass TDs in 12 games. The Bearcats operate a run-heavy offense (62.6/37.4 run-pass split) and average 68.8 plays per game.

RB Michael Warren II ($8.6k FD/$6.3k DK) was given a light workload in the early part of the season in hopes that he’d be healthy for a game like this. The star RB has a TD in 5 straight games; he’s topped 106 yards rushing in 3 straight games. Warren II has been given a huge workload in recent weeks (3 straight games with at least 21 carries). The junior ran for 122 yards and 1 TD on 21 carries in last week’s 34-24 loss to Memphis. He’s in a good spot this week as Memphis has been solid against the pass but has been vulnerable via the ground. The Tigers are allowing nearly 170 yards rushing to opposing backfields and they’ve allowed 19 rush TDs this season (3rd most on the slate). I wouldn’t be surprised if Warren II receives 25-30 carries this week especially if the game stays close.

The 3 pass catchers worth talking about are Josiah Deguara ($7.2k FD/$4.9k DK), Alec Pierce ($6.5k FD/$5.2k DK), and Rashad Medaris ($5.7k FD/$4k DK)). Deguara is one of the top TEs in the country. He has 34 receptions, 470 yards receiving, and 7 TDs on 58 targets. He posted 4/46/0 on 7 targets in last week’s game against Memphis. Alec Pierce is the Bearcats’ deep threat. The speedster has 29 receptions, 534 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 48 targets. Pierce has 6 receptions over 44 yards this season. He posted 4/77/0 on 8 targets in last week’s loss. Medaris checks in with 23 receptions, 326 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 42 targets. He’s cheap but I’d rather take a flier on the Pierce or Deguara if I’m rostering a Bearcats’ pass catcher.

In 2019 (12 games), Cincinnati is 76th in passing yards allowed with 231.6 yards/game. They are 46th in rushing yards allowed with 139.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 13 TDs on the ground (1.08 TD/game) and 16 TDs through the air (1.33 TD/game) this season.

Memphis (33 Implied Team Total)
Brady White ($8.3k FD/$7.1k DK) has tossed at least 2 TD passes in 11 straight games. The junior QB averages 275.6 passing yards and 2.83 total TDs per game. The matchup with Cincinnati is relatively neutral. The Bearcats are allowing 231.6 passing yards per game (16 pass TDs allowed). The Memphis offense is run-heavy (56.4/43.6 run-pass split) and averages 66.8 plays per game.

Memphis is rotating Kenneth Gainwell ($8.7k FD/$7.5k DK) and Patrick Taylor Jr ($7.8k FD/$6.2k DK) at RB. Gainwell ran for 1,381 yards and 12 TDs while also recording 41 receptions, 492 yards receiving, and 3 TDs on 48 targets this season. In 4 games this season, Taylor Jr. ran for 262 yards and 4 TDs on 59 carries. He also caught 5 passes for 45 yards on 7 targets. In the 3 games since Taylor Jr. returned from injury he posted: 10/25/0 (CIN), 17/95/3 (USF), and 5/14/0 (HOU). He was used sparingly in his 1st game back against Houston. I haven’t seen anything related to sitting out this week in order to preserve a red shirt. I’m assuming Taylor Jr. plays this week and probably declares for the draft shortly after the season concludes. In 3 games with Taylor back, Kenny G posted: 15/87/0 (CIN) and had 20 yards receiving, 14/128/0 (USF), and 17/99/0 (HOU). The Memphis running game totaled nearly 200 yards on the ground and 1 TD while averaging 5.2 yards per carry against Cincinnati last week. Both Kenny G and Patrick Taylor Jr.’s price tags have declined on FD. I’d favor Gainwell over Taylor Jr. straight up but Taylor Jr.’s price tag on both sites seems to factor in this timeshare. Gainwell is still relatively expensive on DK. I’d play him in GPPs but probably not in cash (on DK). He’s playable on FD in any format.

WR Damonte Coxie ($8.8k FD/$5.8k DK) is the team’s best WR. Coxie has 59 receptions for 979 yards and 9 TDs on 87 targets (40 more than anyone on the team). The junior has at least 3 receptions in every game this season. Coxie has been on a heater in the last 5 games (most recent listed last): 6/145/1 (CIN), 5/112/0 (TULS), 7/143/2 (SMU), 4/93/2 (HOU) 5/69/1 (USF). Despite the heater, Coxie remains very affordable on DK and will be chalky. Antonio Gibson ($8.1k FD/$4.8k DK) is a big and fast athletic freak playing WR. The senior has at least 1 TD in 5 straight games. It’s clear that Memphis wants to give this guy the ball as much as possible and in any way possible. He’s recorded a 40+ yard reception in 3 out of the last 4 games. While he didn’t contribute much in the passing game last week, he was given 6 carries. He ran for 75 yards and 1 TD in the Memphis win over Cincinnati. Like Coxie, his price tag is also intriguing on DK. Kedarian Jones ($6.6k FD/$4.2k DK) rounds out the starting WRs. Jones has 34 receptions, 518 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 56 targets (2nd most on the team).

In 2019 (12 games), Memphis is 26th in passing yards allowed with 198 yards/game. They are 77th in rushing yards allowed with 167.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 19 TDs on the ground (1.58 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.17 TD/game) this season.

Georgia (24.5 Implied Team Total)
Jake Fromm ($8.1k FD/$6.4k DK) is in an interesting position this week. The Georgia QB is down his security blanket (Lawrence Cager) and will also be missing his leading WR (George Pickens) for the 1st half of this week’s SEC Championship game. Per 24/7 sports, Fromm completes 73% of his passes when targeting Pickens or Cager and that number drops to 53% when targeting other pass catchers. The junior QB averaged 220.6 passing yards and 1.75 TD passes this season. His passing numbers are relatively pedestrian but that’s because he rarely airs it out (only 2 games with 30 or more passing attempts). Fromme has a decent matchup this week as LSU has been vulnerable to the pass this season. They’ve been beat for 19 pass TDs. The Georgia offense is run-heavy (57.4/42.6 run-pass split) and averages 66.8 plays per game.

D’Andre Swift ($8.5k FD/$7.2k DK) should play this week despite sustaining a shoulder injury in last week’s blowout win over Georgia Tech. The star RB has 1,203 rushing yards and 7 TDs on 193 carries. He’s also caught 21 balls for 198 yards and 1 TD on 27 targets (4th on the team in targets). He’s received at least 17 carries in 7 out of the last 9 games. If he’s limited, Brian Herrien ($6.9k FD/$4.6k DK) would be the beneficiary. Herrien has 466 yards rushing and 6 TDs on 95 carries. Also, he has 13 receptions, 87 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 18 targets. The senior has received 7+ plus carries in 5 straight games. LSU has been solid against the run; they’re holding opposing backfields to 124.5 rushing yards per game. They’ve only surrendered 12 rush TDs this season.

Fromm struggled for a good majority of the season finding a rapport with his WR corp. As noted above leading WR George Pickens ($5.5k FD/$4.7k DK) (33/498/6 on 51 targets) is out for the 1st half this week after getting into a fight in last week’s rivalry game against Georgia Tech. Lawrence Cager (33/476/4 on 42 targets) is out with an injury (arguably Fromm’s favorite target). Demetris Roberton ($5.8k FD/$4.4k DK) is the slot WR and is probably the best bet to lead the ‘Dawgs in targets this week. Robertson has 26 receptions, 281 yards receiving, and 3 TDs on 46 targets this season. Dominick Blaylock ($6.2k FD/$4.4k DK) is a deep threat and will try to stretch the field. He has 17 receptions, 299 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 26 targets. Tyler Simmons ($6k FD/$4.1k DK) should also play a huge role in this game. He has 14 receptions, 168 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 21 targets. Blaylock is the most talented of this group and comes at a cheap price tag this week.

In 2019 (12 games), UGA is 15th in passing yards allowed with 186 yards/game. They are 2nd in rushing yards allowed with 71 yards/game. The defense has given up 1 TDs on the ground (.08 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (.92 TD/game) this season.

LSU (31.5 Implied Team Total)
QB Joe Burrow ($10.2k FD/$8.3k DK) has his toughest challenge to date. The Georgia defense has absolutely stymied opposing RBs (allowing 71 yards rushing and have allowed only ONE rush TD all season). They’re also solid against the pass (allowing 186 yards passing and 11 pass TDs this season). However, the ‘Dawgs play in the weaker SEC division which means they didn’t play Alabama. They haven’t faced any elite passing games (maybe Ian Book or Kellen Mond qualify?). Bottom Line: I think Burrow will put up solid numbers this week at reduced ownership due to the matchup with Georgia. The senior QB averaged 363.8 passing yards, 20.7 rushing yards, and nearly 4 total TDs per game. The Tigers offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split. The offense is averaging 70.9 plays per game.

As noted above, Georgia has an ELITE run defense. Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($9.1k FD/$7.3k DK) has easily the worst matchup on the slate. However, the emerging star was able to post 54 DK points against Alabama and 34.7 DK points against Auburn (2 of the better run defenses in the country). I don’t mind rostering him this week. Because of his pass catching ability, I think he’s viable (3rd on the team in targets with 49). CEH has run for 1,233 yards and 16 TDs on 182 carries while also catching 43 passes for 338 yards (1 TD reception).

Justin Jefferson ($8.6k FD/$6.5k DK), Terrance Marshall Jr. ($7k FD/$5.5k DK), and Ja’Marr Chase ($9.7k FD/$7.8k DK) are all future pros at the WR position. Chase has 70 receptions, 1,457 yards receiving, and 17 TDs on 102 targets. The last 5 games he’s posted (most recent listed first): 7/197/2 (TAMU), 6/144/2 (ARK), 8/227/3 (MISS), 6/140/1 (BAMA), and 8/123/0 (AUB). He’s tied for the SEC record in TD receptions (Burrow is tied for the SEC record in TD passes). Jefferson has 81 receptions, 1,092 yards receiving, and 13 TDs on 95 targets. Jefferson has recorded at least 1 TD in 3 straight games. Terrance Marshall Jr. has 32 receptions, 456 yards receiving, and 8 TDs despite missing 3 games. The big red zone target has been relatively quiet in the 2nd half of the season. Consequently, his price tag has decreased.

Thaddeus Moss ($5.8k FD/$4.2k DK) is on the field for a ton plays and has been targeted a decent amount this season. He has 36 receptions, 423 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 41 targets. He has at least 4 receptions in 4 straight games. He’s a way to get cheap exposure to LSU’s extremely potent passing game.

In 2019 (12 games), LSU is 56th in passing yards allowed with 221.4 yards/game. They are 28th in rushing yards allowed with 124.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 12 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 19 TDs through the air (1.58 TD/game) this season.

Hawaii (25.5 Implied Team Total)
Chevan Cordiero ($8k FD/$5.9k DK) and Cole McDonald ($9.8k FD/$7.4k DK) have been rotating at QB. Cordiero was reportedly injured in the Warriors last game against Army. His status is unknown (as of now). If he’s out, then McDonald would be viable. McDonald threw for 3,401 yards and 29 TDs along with running for 404 yards and 4 TDs despite splitting time at QB in the latter part of the season. If Cordiero is available, then this is a situation to avoid. Hawaii’s air raid offense is obviously pass happy (60/40 pass-run split) and averages 70.8 plays per game.

Miles Reed ($6.9k FD/$4.3k DK) leads the Warriors with 804 yards rushing and 7 TDs on 152 carries. He’s not a threat in the passing game as he’s only caught 2 passes all season long (11 yards receiving). The sophomore has received at least 10 carries in 6 consecutive games. He’s cheap but there are so many good RBs on this slate that you’d have to forgo one of those players if you roster Reed. The matchup isn’t great as Boise State is holding opposing backfields to 115.1 rushing yards per game (allowed 15 rush TDs in 12 games).

4 players have been targeted at least 98 times this season in the Warriors’ air raid offense. Cedric Byrd ($8.9k FD/$6.7k DK) leads the Warriors in targets (142), receptions (91), and receiving yards (1,049). He has 10 TDs this season. Byrd is the 2nd most targeted player in all of college football (though they’ve played 13 games this season which is 1 more than every other team in FBS). He has at least 6 receptions in 10 out of 12 games. Speedster JoJo Ward ($8.5k FD/$5.9k DK) leads Hawaii with 11 TD receptions. He has 55 receptions and 906 yards receiving on 98 targets. He’s been out-targeted by 3 other WRs in each of the last 4 games. Ward has been held under 10 DK points in 3 straight games but possesses monster upside (55 DK points against Oregon State and 39 DK points against SJSU). Jared Smart ($7.4k FD/$5.4k DK) ranks 2nd on the team in targets (111), receptions (76), and receiving yards (915). He has 3 TD receptions this season. Smart has 7+ receptions in each of the last 3 games. Jason-Matthew Sharsh ($7.7k FD/$5k DK) checks in with 73 receptions, 749 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 99 targets. He has at least 5 receptions in 5 straight games. He’s topped 25.5 DK points in 2 straight games. The matchup with Boise State is decent. While it’s a true road game for Hawaii, Boise State has allowed the 3rd most passing yards (per game) on the slate (233.8 yards). The Broncos have coughed up 18 pass TDs (only 5 teams on this slate have allowed more).

In 2019 (13 games), Hawaii is 65th in passing yards allowed with 225.7 yards/game. They are 111th in rushing yards allowed with 205.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 31 TDs on the ground (2.38 TD/game) and 21 TDs through the air (1.62 TD/game) this season.

Boise State (39 Implied Team Total)
Jaylon Henderson ($9.2k FD/$6.4k DK) is listed a top the depth chart for the Mountain West Championship game. He’s been phenomenal in his 3 starts as the Boise State QB. Henderson averaged 244 passing yards, 22.7 rushing yards, and 3 total TDs in his 3 starts. The dual threat signal caller has an outstanding matchup with the defensive-deficient Hawaii Warriors. Hawaii has been beat for 21 TDs through the air (2nd most on the slate though they’ve played one more game than the other 17 teams on this slate). They’re a complete sieve against the run (more on that later). Hank Bachmeier ($8.4k FD/$5.8k DK) and Chase Cord ($7.5k FD/$5.5k DK) are both available to play (like last week). Unless Henderson struggles (which he shouldn’t) I wouldn’t expect either guy to see the field. The Broncos’ offense is run-heavy (54.3/45.7 run-pass split) and averages 72.2 plays per game.

George Holani ($8.2k FD/$5.6k DK) leads the Broncos with 912 yards rushing and 7 TDs on 165 carries. He’s also caught 21 passes for 166 yards and 2 TDs on 29 targets. Holani was limited to 42 yards rushing on 18 carries against Colorado State’s bad run defense last week. However, he ran for 178 yards and 2 TDs against Utah State the week prior. He has the best matchup on the entire slate. Hawaii has been rocked by opposing backfields this season. They’re allowing 205.2 rushing yards per game (slate high by almost 25 yards) and they’ve been blowtorched for 31 rush TDs (most on the slate by TEN). Holani and Henderson will be chalky.

The Broncos have 4 productive WRs. Khalil Shakir ($7.6k FD/$5.4k DK) leads the Broncos in targets (81) and receptions (53). He had 745 yards receiving and 5 TDs this season. He’s also received at least one carry in 7 straight games. He’s really cheap on DK; he’s topped 20.4 DK points in 3 out of the last 4 games. John Hightower ($8.4k FD/$6.2k DK) leads the Broncos in receiving yards (845) and TD receptions (7). Like Shakir, Hightower is involved in the running game. Hightower has 6 carries over the last 5 games. He’s recorded at least 10 DK points in 5 consecutive games (7 out of the last 8). CT Thomas ($7k FD/$4.9k DK) has 37 receptions, 499 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 53 targets. He has 5 receptions in back-to-back games. He’s been held to 53 or less receiving yards in 7 straight games. Akilian Butler ($5.2k FD/$3.8k DK) has 27 receptions, 313 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 50 targets. He’s only scored double digit DK points in 3 games this season (16.2 is his high-water mark). He’s dirt cheap and has received 4 carries in the last 3 games as the Broncos love to get the WRs involved on the ground.

The Broncos are a cheap stack this week with a phenomenal matchup. Henderson, Holani, Shakir, and Hightower only costs you 23.6k on DK this week.

In 2019 (12 games), Boise State is 67th in passing yards allowed with 233.8 yards/game. They are 19th in rushing yards allowed with 115.1 yards/game. The defense has given up 15 TDs on the ground (1.25 TD/game) and 18 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Virginia (15 Implied Team Total)
QB Bryce Perkins ($7.9k FD/$6.2k DK) will need a monster game if Virginia has any hopes of winning this week’s ACC Championship game. The dual threat QB has recorded at least 25 DK points in 4 straight games. His ceiling is massive as he recorded 49.8 DK points in last week’s win over Virginia Tech. He put 56.3 DK points up against UNC 4 weeks ago. Perkins has carried the ball 19+ times in 4 out of the last 6 games. The senior averaged 245.8 passing yards, 57.3 rushing yards, and 2.25 total TDs. The matchup with Clemson is brutal. The Tigers have the top ranked pass defense in the country (they are allowing .5 pass TDs and 126.5 passing yards per game). He’s been priced down on both sites this week. The Cavaliers’ offense has favored the pass (52.2/47.8) and averages 68.8 plays per game.

RB Wayne Taulapapa ($6.5k FD/$4.5k DK) is the team’s primary RB. The freshman is a TD or bust play. His high-water mark is 77 yards rushing in any single game this season. He’s been held under 37 yards rushing in 3 straight games. However, the big ball carrier has scored 12 TDs this season despite rushing for only 416 yards. QB Perkins leads the Cavaliers with 687 yards rushing (11 rush TD). Clemson’s run defense is also frightening. They’re holding opposing backfields to 106.3 rushing yards per game. They’ve only surrendered 8 rush TDs this season (3rd best on the slate). Taulapapa has also been priced down on both sites this week.

Joe Reed ($6.8k FD/$6k DK) is the Cavaliers’ leading WR. Reed has 70 receptions for 627 yards and 6 TDs on 106 targets. He has at least 4 receptions in all 12 games this season. Hasise Dubois ($7.1k FD/$4.9k DK) has 55 receptions for 849 yards and 3 TDs on 79 targets. He has caught 7+ passes in 4 games this season. Terrell Jana ($6k FD/$4.2k DK) has 60 receptions for 690 yards and 1 TD on 87 targets. Jana has either eclipsed 100 yards receiving or scored a TD in 3 straight games. Jana makes for a decent play on DK (full PPR); he has 30 receptions in the Cavaliers’ last 4 games. This group has also been priced down on both sites due to the matchup with Clemson.

Clemson has held all 12 opponents to 20 points or less this season. Meanwhile, Virginia has allowed 27 or more points in 5 straight games.

In 2019 (12 games), Virginia is 51st in passing yards allowed with 213.3 yards/game. They are 26th in rushing yards allowed with 123.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 16 TDs on the ground (1.33 TD/game) and 18 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Clemson (43 Implied Team Total)
Trevor Lawrence ($9.7k FD/$7.7k DK) has been phenomenal ever since the North Carolina scare (5th game of the season). The sophomore QB has tossed at least 3 TDs in 7 straight games. He’s averaging 239.2 passing yards, 32 rushing yards, and 3.08 total TDs per game. The future pro has recorded at least 24 DK points in 7 consecutive games. The Clemson signal caller has a solid matchup with Virginia this week. The Cavaliers have allowed 18 pass TDs this season (only 5 teams have allowed more TD passes on the Saturday slate). The Clemson offense favors the run (53.5/46.5 run-pass split) and averages 73.4 plays per game.

Star RB Travis Etienne ($9.5k FD/$7.3k DK) has 11 TDs in the Tigers’ last 5 games. He’s topped 109 yards rushing in 6 out of the last 7 games. The junior ball carrier has rushed for 1,386 yards and 16 TDs on 168 carries (17 carries is his high-water mark in any single game this season). The versatile back has also caught 28 passes for 289 yards and 2 TDs on 31 targets. He also has a favorable matchup this week. On paper the Cavaliers’ run defense looks decent (allowing 123.3 yards rushing per game). However, they’ve allowed 16 rush TDs which is 6th most on the Saturday slate (18 teams). Etienne has an enticing price tag on both sites. Back-up, Lyn-J Dixon ($5.7k FD/$4.6k DK), is cheap enough on FD to roster in case this game turns into a blowout. Etienne’s caddy had 572 yards rushing and 5 TDs on 94 carries this season. He also caught 11 passes for 124 yards on 14 targets.

Last year’s playoff hero, Justyn Ross ($7.9k FD/$5.7k DK), leads the Tigers in targets (82) and receptions (52). The speedster has 648 yards receiving and 7 TDs this season. The sophomore enters this week coming off his best performance of the 2019 season. He pasted South Carolina for 9/111/2 on 11 targets last week. Yet his price dropped by $400 on DK. He’s a great play this week. Fellow star WR, Tee Higgins ($8.6k FD/$6k DK), checks in with 43 receptions, 900 yards receiving, and 10 TDs on 63 targets. Higgins has been on unstoppable in the Tigers’ previous 4 games (most recent listed first): 3/101/2 (SCAR), 4/64/3 (WF), 4/73/1 (NCST), and 5/74/1 (WOFF). Slot WR Amari Rodgers ($6.6k FD/$4.8k DK) has 27 receptions, 380 yards receiving, and 5 TDs (4 receiving, 1 rush) on 31 targets. He’s pretty much a TD or bust play.

In 2019 (12 games), Clemson is 1st in passing yards allowed with 126.5 yards/game. They are 11th in rushing yards allowed with 106.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (.67 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (.5 TD/game) this season.

Ohio State (36.5 Implied Team Total)
Justin Fields ($10k FD/$8.2k DK) has accounted for 47 of the Buckeyes’ 81 offensive TDs this season (58%). The Buckeyes’ signal caller has recorded at least 20.3 DK points in every game this season. The former Georgia QB has not attempted more than 25 passes in any game this season. He’s also thrown at least 2 TD passes in all 12 games this season. The Buckeyes’ star QB threw for 167 yards and 2 TDs while also rushing for 28 yards against Wisconsin in the teams’ regular season meeting (23.5 DK points). The Buckeyes’ offense is run-heavy (63.8/36.2 run-pass split) and averages 75.5 offensive plays per game.

JK Dobbins’ ($10.3k FD/$8k DK) 3 best games this season came against (arguably) the 3 best teams that OSU has faced this season. In his 1st meeting with Wisconsin, Dobbins ran for 163 yards and 2 TDs on 20 carries. He has also caught 3 passes for 58 yards (40.1 DK points). Against Penn State, the OSU star ran for 157 yards and 2 TDs on 36 carries (31.8 DK points). Last week against Michigan, the junior ran for 211 yards and 4 TDs on 31 carries (55 DK points). With QB Fields reportedly playing with a sprained MCL and a bulky brace to protect the MCL, I expect OSU to pound Dobbins once again this week. Despite the “tough” matchup with the Wisconsin run defense, Dobbins is my favorite RB on the slate. The OSU RB has 1,657 yards rushing and 19 TDs on 250 carries. He’s also caught 17 passes for 200 yards and 2 TDs on 23 targets.

Chris Olave ($8.2k FD/$5.6k DK) leads the Buckeyes in targets (63), receiving yards (705), and TD receptions (11). The 2nd year WR has recorded at least 12.4 DK points in 6 consecutive games. He’s the best pass catcher to pair with Fields, if stacking OSU. Olave had his best game of the season in the Buckeyes’ regular season matchup with Wisconsin (7/93/2). Slot WR KJ Hill ($7k FD/$5.3k DK) leads the Buckeyes with 44 receptions. Hill has 486 yards receiving and 8 TDs on 55 targets. The slot WR has a TD reception in 4 straight games. Binjimen Victor ($7.1k FD/$4.6k DK) checks in with 29 receptions, 480 yards receiving, and 6 TDs on 44 targets. He’ll probably be low owned after bageling last week. His DK price is down almost $1.2k since the middle of the season. He’s still receiving 3-6 targets on a weekly basis. Austin Mack ($6k FD/$4k DK) and Garrett Wilson ($5.8k FD/$4.1k DK) are secondary WRs. Mack has 20 receptions, 273 yards receiving and 3 TDs on 31 targets (9 games). I’d rather pay the extra $600 for Victor. Wilson, a freshman, had a coming out party in last week’s 56-27 demolition of Michigan. Wilson posted 3/118/1 on 5 targets. Despite his monster game, his price tag has not moved. Based on pricing, I’d go 1) Olave, 2) Victor, 3) Hill, 4) Wilson, and 5) Mack (honestly I’m not considering him).

In 2019 (12 games), OSU is 2nd in passing yards allowed with 141.1 yards/game. They are 4th in rushing yards allowed with 91.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (.75 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (.58 TD/game) this season.

Wisconsin (21 Implied Team Total)
Game manager Jack Coan ($6.5k FD/$5.8k DK) has thrown 2 TD passes in each of the last two games. Coan is averaging 192.4 passing yards and 1.58 total TDs per game. The junior has one of the toughest matchups on Conference Championship weekend. The Ohio State Buckeyes have allowed 7 pass TDs this season (2nd lowest on the slate). In a downpour earlier this season in Columbus, Coan completed 10 of 17 passes for 108 yards and 1 TD in Wisconsin’s 38-7 loss to OSU. The Badgers’ signal caller has attempted 25 or less passes in 5 straight games. The Badgers’ offense is run heavy (65.6/34.4 run-pass split) and averages 68.3 plays per game.

Jonathan Taylor ($8.9k FD/$7.9k DK) ranks 2nd in the nation with 1,761 yards rushing on 279 carries. He ranks 4th in the nation with 20 rush TDs. The workhorse RB has also caught 22 passes for 201 yards and 5 TDs on 33 targets. He’s second on the team in receptions and TD receptions. The junior was limited to 52 yards rushing on 20 carries in his first crack at Ohio State earlier this season. The 6.7 DK points he recorded in that matchup was his worst output all season by nearly 16 points. While the Buckeyes have one of the best run defenses in the country, they have allowed 2 rush TDs in each of the last 3 games (Rutgers, Penn State, and Michigan). I’m sure Ohio State will stack the box and make QB Coan beat them through the air but that’s nothing new for the Wisconsin star RB. He’s favorably priced on FD this week.

Quintez Cephus ($7k FD/$5k DK) is the Badgers’ top pass catcher by a wide margin. Cephus has 45 receptions, 720 yards receiving, and 6 TDs on 68 targets. He has at least 3 receptions in 5 straight games. The junior posted 5/114/1 against Minnesota last week and 5/79/1 against Purdue the week prior. Jake Ferguson ($5.3k FD/$4.1k DK), AJ Taylor ($5.5k FD/$3.9k DK), Danny Davis ($5.8k FD/$3.8k DK), and Kendrick Pryor ($6k FD/$4.2k DK) are the remaining pass catchers. They’re all TD or bust plays. Ferguson, the TE, has 27 receptions, 330 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 36 targets. Taylor checks in with 23 receptions, 267 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 30 targets. He’s questionable this week. Davis has 25 receptions, 195 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 28 targets. Pryor has 18 receptions and 252 yards receiving on 26 targets. He’s the most intriguing pass catcher (outside of Cephus). He has 7 receptions and 77 yards receiving in the last two games. He’s also run the ball 4 times for 88 yards and scored 1 TD in those 2 games.

In 2019 (12 games), Wisconsin is 9th in passing yards allowed with 180.4 yards/game. They are 7th in rushing yards allowed with 96.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (.58 TD/game) and 15 TDs through the air (1.18 TD/game) this season.

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  • RFK213

    Once again thank you for another year of great content, I read this every Saturday morning and put together my team, great job each week, thank you

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