College Football Friday: FD/DK Main Slate

Iowa State -1.5 @ Texas O/U 56

Massachusetts @ Liberty -37 O/U 56

Nebraska @ Iowa -13.5 O/U 52.5

Central Florida -25 @ South Florida O/U 67

Notre Dame -5 @ North Carolina O/U 68

Central Michigan -7 @ Eastern Michigan O/U 59

Wyoming -16.5 @ UNLV O/U 52

Stanford @ California -1.5 O/U 52.5

Oregon -13.5 @ Oregon State O/U 64.5

Iowa State (29 Implied Team Total)
Brock Purdy ($9k FD/$6.7k DK) is heating up over his last 3 games. The dual threat signal caller has accounted for 3 TDs in each of the last 3 games. Over the last 3 games, he’s averaging 213 passing yards and 44.7 rushing yards per game (KSU/KU/BAY). 2 of the 3 games have been complete blowouts so that’s kept his pass attempts somewhat down. He faces off with an improving Texas defense. The Longhorns are allowing 283.1 passing yards and 2 pass TDs per game. There is some concern though because they’re limiting opposing passers to 6.67 yards per pass attempt. However, this is one of the high total games of the season for Iowa State. The ISU offense favors the run (54.3/45.7 run-pass split) and averages 67 plays per game.

Breece Hall ($11k FD/$8.9k DK) has been unstoppable since seizing the ISU backfield as a freshman in 2019. The talented runner has 1,169 rushing yards and 15 TDs through 8 games (15/88/1 as a receiver). He has run for 100+ yards in all 8 games this season. He’s recorded 6 multi-TDs games through 8 games. The sophomore is clearly a great play despite the opponent. Texas has been solid against the run in 2020; they’re holding opposing backfields to 117.9 rushing yards per game including 3.16 yards per carry. They’ve ceded 10 rushing TDs through 7 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Xavier Hutchinson (60), Charlie Kolar (40 – 7 games), Chase Allen (21), Landen Akers (19), Sean Shaw Jr. (19), and Breece Hall (15).

Hutchinson ($7.6k FD/$5.9k DK) is easily the top pass catcher in the ISU offense. The junior has 5+ receptions in 4 out of the last 5 games. He’s cleared 68 receiving yards in 5 out of the last 6 games. The TE Kolar ($6.8k FD/$4.5k DK) has a TD reception in 3 straight games (4 out of the last 5 games). His high-water receiving mark is 66 yards. Shaw Jr. ($5.6k FD/$3.3k DK) is averaging 4 targets per game over the last 3 games.

In 2020 (8 games), ISU is 84th in passing yards allowed with 251.7 yards/game. They are 15th in rushing yards allowed with 108.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (2.66 TD/game) and 12 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Texas (27 Implied Team Total)
Sam Ehlinger ($10.4k FD/$9k DK) is posting game averages of 262 passing yards, 46.1 rushing yards, and 4.1 total TDs. The senior has accounted for an astounding 29 out of the Longhorns’ 34 offensive TDs this season. Ehlinger matchup with Iowa State won’t be easy. However, if they’re successful this week, it’ll likely come through the pass game. Iowa State is allowing around 250 passing yards per game including 8.1 yards per pass attempt. They’ve ceded 12 pass TDs through 8 games. The Texas offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 74.6 plays per game.

Keaontay Ingram ($7k FD/$4.4k DK) is questionable this week. If he’s out, expect Bijan Robinson ($6.9k FD/$5.8k DK) and Roschon Johnson ($6.4k FD/$4.3k DK) to handle the RB duties. Robinson, one of the nation’s top RB recruits, is starting at RB and has received 12+ carries in 3 straight games. He managed to run for 113 yards against a good West Virginia run defense in the Longhorns’ last outing. The freshman also plays a role in the passing game (9/105/0 receiving this season). Robinson will likely start regardless of Ingram’s status. His carries will likely be capped at around 12 carries while Johnson’s workload will likely take a bigger hit if Ingram suits up. Johnson, the sophomore, has received 10 and 9 carries over the last two games, respectively. Through 7 games, he has 221 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 52 carries (5/28/1 receiving). Iowa State has been stingy against the run this season. Only 1 individual runner has topped 50 rushing yards against Iowa State (OSU’s Hubbard 25/139/1).

Notable target counts through 7 games: Joshua Moore (41), Brennan Eagles (34), Jake Smith (28 – 4 games), Tarik Black (23), Brennan Schooler (19 – 6 games), Jordan Whittington (14 – 2 games), Bijon Robinson (10 – 6 games), and Roschon Johnson (7).

Leading WR Joshua Moore ($8.5k FD/$6k DK) is probable to play this week. Moore has 22 receptions, 343 receiving yards, and 7 TDs through 7 games. Jordan Whittington ($6k FD/$4.1k DK) is back at practice and he’s likely to suit up this week after Texas had last week’s game canceled. Whittington has 12 receptions for 110 yards in 2 games this season. Slot man Smith ($7.1k FD/$5.1k DK) has a TD reception in 3 out of the 4 games that he’s played in this season. The speedster has topped 49 receiving yards in 3 out of 4 games as well. Eagles ($6.7k FD/$4.2k DK) will start on the perimeter; he has a TD reception in 2 straight games. The junior has been held to 55 or less receiving yards in all 7 games (19/286/5 this season). Black ($5.8k FD/$3.3k DK) has 9 receptions for 207 yards and 1 TD in 7 games.

In 2020 (7 games), Texas is 109th in passing yards allowed with 283.1 yards/game. They are 26th in rushing yards allowed with 117.9 yards/game. The defense has given up 10 TDs on the ground (1.43 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Massachusetts (9.5 Implied Team Total)
There’s not much to like about UMASS on Friday. Will Koch ($6k FD/$4.6k DK) has thrown for under 100 yards in both of his starts this season. He does have some rushing ability as he’s recorded 62 rushing yards on 21 carries. UMass has recorded point totals of 0, 10, and 2. The UMass offense favors the run (52.8/47.2 run-pass split) and averages 54.3 plays per game.

Ellis Merriweather ($5.9k FD/$4.1k DK) is UMass’s primary ball carrier. The junior has 10+ carries in all 3 games but has failed to eclipse 50 rushing yards. In total, he’s run for 100 yards on 37 carries (1/4/0 receiving). His outlook is brutal this week. Liberty is allowing 4.28 yards per carry but they’ve only ceded 9 rushing TDs in 8 games.

Notable target counts through 2 games: Jermaine Johnson Jr. (23) and Samuel Emilus (21).

Emilus ($5.9k FD/$3.6k DK) and Johnson Jr. ($5.7k FD/$3.9k DK) are the two relevant pass catchers. Johnson has drawn 21 targets over the last 2 games. Unfortunately, the QB play has been awful and he’s recorded 10 receptions for 55 yards in those 2 games. Emilus is averaging 7 targets per game but he’s been held under 30 receiving yards in all 3 games. He owns the lone TD reception amongst the Minutemen.

In 2020 (3 games), UMass is 13th in passing yards allowed with 177.5 yards/game. They are 125th in rushing yards allowed with 288 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (2.67 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (2.33 TD/game) this season.

Liberty (46.5 Implied Team Total)
Malik Willis ($12k FD/$10.3k DK) has been one of the nation’s best QBs for the undefeated Flames. The dual threat QB has accounted for 26 out of the Flames 42 offensive TDs this season (missed 1 game). He’s posting game averages of 227.2 passing yards, 93 rushing yards, and 3.3 total TDs per game. He’s carried the ball 12+ times in 7 out of 8 games. He’s in a fantastic spot as he encounters arguably the worst team in the FBS. UMass is allowing 38.7 points per game this season. The only drawback is that Willis will likely spend most of the 4th quarter on the bench since Liberty should blow out UMass. However, that’d probably mean he inflicted a ton of damage already. He’ll be very popular. The Liberty offense favors the run and averages plays per game.

Joshua Mack ($8.7k FD/$6.2k DK) is the Flames primary RB and he’s averaging 15.3 carries for 69 rushing yards over the last 3 games. He has 3 rushing TDs this season. Peyton Pickett ($7.4k FD/$3.8k DK) leads the Liberty RBs with 5 rushing TDs in 2020. He’s received 3-6 carries in each game over the last 4 games. Shedro Louis ($6.8k FD/$3.4k DK) is the last member of the backfield. He’s run for 431 yards and 3 TDs on 60 carries this season. He’s averaging 5 carries over the last 3 games. All 3 are viable against UMass’s horrendous run defense. The Minutemen are allowing 288 rushing yards per game. They’ve been nuked for 8 rushing TDs in 3 games this season.

Notable target counts through 9 games: DJ Stubbs (38), Kevin Shaa (33), CJ Yarbrough (32 – 7 games), Demario Douglas (31), CJ Daniels (20), Johnny Huntley (20), and Noah Firth (16 – 4 games).

Stubbs ($8.2k FD/$4.7k DK) has airballed in 2 straight games despite receiving 3 targets. He’s the Flames leading WR with 30/399/3 this season. Shaa ($7.3k FD/$5.8k DK) has drawn 5 or less targets in 7 consecutive games. He has 20 receptions, 377 receiving yards, and 3 TD reception in 9 games. Yarbrough ($6.2k FD/$4k DK) has 7 receptions, 109 receiving yards, and 1 TD on 15 targets over the last 3 games. Douglas ($6k FD/$4.2k DK) has 2+ receptions in 5 straight games though he’s been held under 35 yards receiving in 4 of those games. Daniels ($7.7k FD/$6.8k DK) has 3 TD receptions over the last 4 games. The TE, Huntley ($6.3k FD/$3.9k DK), has 3 TD receptions over the last 4 games and he’s recorded at least 2 receptions in 5 straight games. Lastly, Firth has 8 receptions for 109 yards and 1 TD on 13 targets over the last 3 games. As you can see the pass catchers are basically all boom or bust plays; none of them see more than 5+ targets on a regular basis.

In 2020 (9 games), Liberty is 9th in passing yards allowed with 173.8 yards/game. They are 38th in rushing yards allowed with 134.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (1.22 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.55 TD/game) this season.

Nebraska (19.5 Implied Team Total)
Well Nebraska is in full meltdown mode after a brutal loss to Illinois last week. Luke McCaffrey ($8k FD/$7.4k DK) struggled throwing ball and turned it over a bunch of times before finally being replaced by Adrian Martinez ($8k FD/$6.1k DK) at QB. I’m not sure it matters which guy starts because both of these guys’ strengths are running which Iowa has been great at stopping. I’m assuming McCaffrey receives the starts again this week. In 2 starts, McCaffrey has thrown for 152 or less yards. He’s only thrown 1 TD but has thrown 4 INT. The freshman has run for 189 yards and 3 TDs though. Nebraska is on record stating they’d prefer that he’d run less so there’s that. Iowa is limiting opposing passers to 201.5 passing yards including 5.8 yards per pass attempt. They’ve allowed 4 passing TDs through 4 games. The Nebraska offense favors the run (58.3/41.7 run-pass split) and averages 69.5 plays per game.

Wandale Robinson ($6.5k FD/$5.5k DK) and Marvin Scott ($5.5k FD/$3.3k DK) have rotated in the backfield with Dedrick Mills ($6.5k FD/$5.9k DK) out. Robinson is basically the only interesting Husker this week. Nebraska coaches vowed to get the ball more to the speedster and that’s been true over the last 2 games. Robinson has received 23 carries and caught 11 passes over the last 2 games. He’s run for 120 yards and recorded 71 receiving yards over the last 2 games. If Mills is out back, I’d assume Robinson and Mills will rotate at RB; Robinson lines up in the slot when he’s not in the backfield. He was banged up late in last week’s game so that is something to monitor pre-game. Mills found paydirt in each of the first 2 games before leaving the 3rd game early with an injury (and then subsequently sat out last week). Iowa is limiting opposing running backs to 112.8 rushing yards including 2.84 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 4 rushing TDs in 4 games.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Wandale Robinson (29), Austin Allen (17), Travis Vokolek (11), Levi Falck (10), Marcus Fleming (8), Zavier Betts (5 – 3 games).

There’s just not a lot to like here. Nebraska is still looking for a viable pass catcher outside of the versatile Robinson. The TE Allen ($5.8k FD/$3.7k DK) provides a solid check down option but he lacks upside (recorded between 29 to 43 receiving yards in all 4 games). Betts ($5.2k FD/$3.6k DK) was a highly touted recruit but he’s drawn 5 targets over the last 3 games.

In 2020 (4 games), Nebraska is 61st in passing yards allowed with 233.7 yards/game. They are 98th in rushing yards allowed with 202.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (1.75 TD/game) and 4 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Iowa (33 Implied Team Total)
Despite point totals of 49, 35, and 41, QB Spencer Petras ($6.9k FD/$5.8k DK) has been held under 186 passing yards or less. He’s also only thrown 2 TDs over that time frame. He’s a low upside option at this point in his young career. Nebraska has struggled to defend the pass this season. The Cornhuskers are allowing 233.7 passing yards including 8.06 yards per pass attempt. They’ve yielded 4 pass TDs through 4 games. The Iowa offense favors the run (52.3/47.7 run-pass split) and averages 69.2 plays per game.

Strength meets weakness as Iowa’s powerful run game squares off with Nebraska’s atrocious run defense. Tyler Goodson ($9k FD/$6.4k DK) has received 20 carries in 2 straight games. He’s averaging 111 rushing yards over the last 3 games. The sophomore has 6 rushing TDs over the last 4 games. He’s caught 9 balls for 87 yards this season. Backfield mate, Mekhi Sargent ($7.8k FD/$5.7k DK), has racked up 309 yards and 6 TDs on 48 carries through 5 games. He’s found pay dirt 5 times over the last 3 games. Per $ on DK, I’d rather the pay the extra $700 and play Goodson. Both guys are great options this week. Nebraska is allowing 202.7 rushing yards per game including 4.25 yards per carry. They’ve been slammed for 7 rushing TDs in 4 games. Two different Illinois RBs posted 100+ rushing yards and 1+ rush TDs against a reeling Nebraska defense last week.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Sam LaPorta (30), Nico Ragaini (25), Brandon Smith (22), Ihmir Smith-Marquette (21 – 4 games), Tyler Goodson (13), and Mekhi Sargent (1).

The TE LaPorta ($5.6k FD/$3.6k DK) is QB Petras’ security blanket. He’s cleared 50 receiving yards in just 1 game though. Ragaini ($6.1k FD/$4.3k DK) checks in with 16 receptions for 168 yards in 5 games. His high-water mark is 61 receiving yards in any single game this season. Smith ($6.6k FD/$4.5k DK) posted 37/439/5 last season but he’s been held to just 12 receptions, 115 receiving yards, and 2 TD receptions in 5 games. Smith-Marquette ($6.4k FD/$4.1k DK) has 11 receptions, 129 receiving yards, and 1 TD over the last 3 games. He was the team’s leading WR in 2019 (44/722/5).

Central Florida (46 Implied Team Total)
Dillon Gabriel ($11k FD/$9.2k DK) is posting game averages of 377.2 passing yards and 17 rushing yards through 8 games. He’s tossed 26 TDs while also adding 1 rushing TD this season. He competes with Malik Willis for overall QB1 on this slate. The sophomore has tossed 4+ TDs in 4 out of 8 games in 2020. He should have no problems eviscerating South Florida’s horrendous defense. South Florida is allowing 215.8 passing yards per game including 7.38 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been burned for 17 pass TDs through 8 games. Like Willis, Gabriel and the Knights are huge favorites so we likely won’t get a full 4 quarters out of him. South Florida is allowing 43 points per game over their last 5 games. Gabriel should still be able to inflict plenty of damage on South Florida. The Central Florida offense favors the run (51.6/48.4 run-pass split and averages 85 plays per game.

The Knights have a 3-man RBBC backfield which consists of Greg McRae ($7.5k FD/$5.3k DK), Otis Anderson ($7.1k FD/$4.9k DK), and Bentavious Thompson ($5.3k FD/$3k DK). Anderson has topped 10 carries in each of the last 6 games. He’s run for 614 yards and 4 TDs on 109 carries. His receiving numbers are way down this season (12/68/0). Greg McRae has 1+ rushing TDs in 5 straight games; he’s found paydirt in 7 out of 8 games this season. He’s topped 100 rushing yards 2 times this season. Lastly, Thompson has received 8 or less carries in 3 straight games. The junior is the clear 3rd option in the backfield; he has 259 rushing yards and 3 TDs on 54 carries. The matchup with South Florida’s run defense is a smash spot. The Bulls are allowing 208.8 rushing yards per game including a sturdy 4.9 yards per carry. They’ve been slammed for 16 rushing TDs through 8 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Marlon Williams (105), Jaylon Robinson (71), Jacob Harris (39), Ryan O’Keefe (32), Tre Nixon (16 – 2 games), Otis Anderson (14), Greg McRae (11), and Bentavious Thompson (4 – 7 games).

Williams ($10k FD/$8.1k DK) has drawn an insane 13+ targets in 6 out of 8 games this season. He’s cleared 87 receiving yards in all 8 games including 6 games with 100+ receiving yards. He’s scored 7 TDs over the last 4 games. The senior has 4 multi-TD games this season. Robinson ($8.7k FD/$6.1k DK) has topped 100-receiving yards in 6 out of 8 games. He posted 5/32/1 which was one of his worst games this season against Cincinnati. The good news is that he still was targeted 12 times in that game. Nixon ($6.3k FD/$5k DK) made his return to the lineup last week. The stud WR was held to 5/24/0 despite drawing 11 targets. He caught 40+ balls, topped 500+ receiving yards, and scored 11 TDs over the last 2 seasons. He’s a good play. Ryan O’Keefe ($6.2k FD/$3.7k DK) is a boom or bust play and his upside is likely capped with Nixon back. O’Keefe has been held under 37 receiving yards in 6 out of 8 games (4/175/1 and 3/97/2 in the other 2 games). Deep threat Harris ($6k FD/$3.9k DK) has 22 receptions, 365 receiving yards, and 4 TDs this season. Harris and O’Keefe are secondary options while Nixon, Williams, and Robinson are the primary options in UCF’s passing game.

In 2020 (8 games), UCF is 92nd in passing yards allowed with 258.4 yards/game. They are 90th in rushing yards allowed with 189.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (1.38 TD/game) and 19 TDs through the air (2.38 TD/game) this season.

South Florida (21 Implied Team Total)
Noah Johnson ($7.1k FD/$5.2k DK) sat out of USF’s last game due to undisclosed injury (presumably). In 2 starts this season, Johnson has completed 38 out of 56 pass attempts for 367 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 INT while also running for 22 yards on 20 attempts (MEM/TULSA). If he’s unable to play against this week, expect Jordan McCloud ($7.1k FD/$5.9k DK) to start for the 7th time this season. McCloud offers limited appeal as he’s thrown for just 937 yards, 5 TDs, and 2 INT in 7 games this season. The sophomore has also run for 67 yards on 49 carries. UCF has struggled with good QBs like CIN’s Ridder and MEM’s White. They’ve shut down TEM’s Re-al Mitch (10 for 23 for 107 yards and 1 INT) and HOU’s Tune (263 passing yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT along with 37 rushing yards) in 2 out of the last 3 games. UCF has allowed 19 pass TDs in 8 games. The South Florida offense favors the run (53.9/46.1 run-pass split) and averages 69.6 plays per game.

Johnny Ford, USF’s top skill player, is no longer part of the program so don’t roster him. Ford leads the Bulls with 285 rushing yards and 3 TDs on 55 carries this season. He’s also recorded 15/125/1 receiving. Brian Battie ($6.2k FD/$4.6k DK) will likely start at RB with Kelly Joiner ($6k FD/$3.5k DK) also mixing in. Battie has run for 76+ yards in 2 straight games. He’s received 23 carries over the last 2 games. UCF held CIN’s Doaks to 97 rushing yards on 28 carries last week. Despite ceding a ton of yardage in the run game, UCF has only surrendered 11 rushing TDs in 8 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: DeVontres Dukes (34), Bryce Miller (32), Latrell Williams (31), Omarion Dollison (28), Mitchell Brinkman (27), Randall St. Felix (20 – 7 games), and Johnny Ford (15 – 6 games).

This is ugly as Dollison ($6.2k FD/$4.3k DK) leads USF with 249 receiving yards. He’s caught 3+ balls in 4 straight games. Dukes ($5.9k FD/$4.4k DK) leads the Bulls with 2 reception TDs this season. Miller ($6.4k FD/$4.6k DK) is probably the only viable pass catcher. The junior has 12 receptions for 112 yards and 1 TD on 16 targets over the last 3 games.

In 2020 (8 games), USF is 42nd in passing yards allowed with 215.8 yards/game. They are 102nd in rushing yards allowed with 208.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 16 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 17 TDs through the air (2.13 TD/game) this season.

Notre Dame (36.5 Implied Team Total)
This week’s matchup with North Carolina sets up to be a smash spot for Notre Dame QB Ian Book ($10k FD/$7.3k DK). Over the last 4 games, the senior is posting game averages of 276 passing yards, 59.5 rushing yards, and 2.25 total TDs. Book has cleared 40 rushing yards in 6 straight games. North Carolina’s offense should be able to stay in the game which should keep Book active this week. The Tar Heels are allowing 261.8 passing yards per game including 7.35 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been burned for 14 pass TDs in 8 games. The Tar Heels were crushed for 429 passing yards and 5 total TDs by Wake Forest game manager Sam Hartman. They also gave up 4 total TDs to UVA’s Brennan Armstrong in Game 6. The Notre Dame offense favors the run (61.9/38.1 run-pass split) and averages 72.9 plays per game.

Kyren Williams ($9.6k FD/$8.3k DK) is one of the fastest RBs in the country. The emerging sophomore was limited to 37 rushing yards on 9 carries in the Irish’s last game. His total carries were kept down as he sustained an injury and Notre Dame decided to be cautious with their emerging star. Williams has racked up 777 rushing yards, 215 receiving yards (17 receptions), and 10 touchdowns through 8 games. He’s in a juicy spot this week. UNC has been hammered by opposing ball carriers this season. They’re allowing 151.9 rushing yards per game including 4.1 yards per carry. They’ve surrendered 16 rushing TDs in 8 games. C’Bo Flemister ($5.8k FD/$4.7k DK) has received 10+ carries in 3 out of the last 4 games. He’s scored 4 TDs over the last 4 games. However, most of his production has came once Notre Dame has raced out to large leads (received just 1 carry against Clemson in a 47-40 OT win). He was also banged up in Notre Dame’s last game but he should play this week.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Javon McKinley (35), Michael Mayer (31), Avey Davis (25), Kyren Williams (24), Tommy Tremble (21 – 6 games), and Ben Skowronek (21 – 6 games).

Skowronek ($7.8k FD/$5.3k DK) doesn’t receive a ton of targets but he’s made the most of it; the former Northwestern player leads Notre Dame with 5 TD receptions in 6 games played this season. He’s becoming a bigger priority as of late as he’s drawn 13 targets over the last 2 games. He possesses monster upside as witnessed in Notre Dame’s last game (5/62/3). The senior usually lines up in the slot. McKinley ($7k FD/$4.3k DK) is the down field threat. The speedster has racked up 5 receptions in each of the last 3 games. He’s averaging 81 yards receiving over the last 3 games. Mayer ($5.5k FD/$3.5k DK), the TE, has 2 games with 65+ receiving yards and 2 games with 15 or less receiving yards over the last 4 games. The freshman was one of the country’s top recruits in the class of 2020. North Carolina was unable to contain Wake Forest’s outside WR Donavon Greene in their last outing (8/170/2). That should bode well for McKinley this week.

In 2020 (8 games), Notre Dame is 47th in passing yards allowed with 219 yards/game. They are 5th in rushing yards allowed with 85.1 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (.88 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (.75 TD/game) this season.

North Carolina (31.5 Implied Team Total)
This is a tough spot for the talented Tar Heels. Notre Dame has played great defense all season long. I have a feeling that if North Carolina is successful, it’ll be due to QB Sam Howell’s ($9.7k FD/$8.7k DK) arm. Notre Dame has pretty much stopped every opponent’s running game (more on that below). They’re also not too shabby against the pass either. Notre Dame is holding opposing passers to 219 passing yards per game including 6.69 yards per pass attempt. Additionally, they’ve only yielded 6 pass TDs in 8 games. Over the last 2 games though Phil Jurkovec was able to throw for 272 yards and 2 TDs along with 1 INT while Clemson’s DJ Uiagelelei racked up 439 passing yards and 2 TDs against Notre Dame. Howell put up video-game numbers against Wake Forest in his last outing (550 passing yards and 7 total TDs). The sophomore has accounted for 4+ TDs in each of the last 3 games. I’d normally think he’d carry lower ownership but with the high game total I think he’ll still be pretty popular on Friday. The UNC offense is favoring the run (57.3/42.7 run-pass split) and averages 73.1 plays per game.

UNC’s dynamic duo Michael Carter ($8.4k FD/$6.7k DK) and Javante Williams ($9.5k FD/$8.5k DK) encounter their toughest challenge to date. The Irish have stymied every opposing runner they’ve faced this season. They’re holding opposing ball carriers 85.1 rushing yards per game including a paltry 2.87 yards per carry. Notre Dame has only surrendered 7 rushing TDs in 8 games. They held Travis Etienne to 28 rushing yards and 1 TD on 18 carries 2 games ago. Williams has topped 100-rushing yards in 4 out of the last 5 games. He’s found paydirt in every game this season. The junior also plays well in the passing game with 18 receptions, 247 receiving yards, and 3 TD receptions. That’s an impressive compliment to his 15 rushing TDs this season. Carter has been stellar in his own right. He actually leads Williams in total yards but he’s only scored 6 TDs compared to Williams’ 18. Carter has 16+ carries in 6 out of the last 7 games. 4 of his 6 total TDs have occurred within the last 4 games. He’s eclipsed 45 receiving yards in 3 out of the last 4 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Dyami Brown (68), Dazz Newsome (44), Michael Carter (26), Javonte Williams (21), Beau Corrales (20 – 4 games), Emery Simmons (17 – 6 games), and Khafre Brown (16).

Brown ($8.8k FD/$7.2k DK) has been insane lately. Over the last 4 games, he’s averaging 7 receptions, 133.3 receiving yards, and 1.25 TDs. Newsome ($7.5k FD/$5.7k DK) has quietly topped 55 receiving yards in 3 straight games. He’s also been targeted 18 times over the last 2 games. He’s coming off his best game of the season (10/189/2). Corrales ($6k FD/$4.5k DK) has missed 4 straight and he’s questionable to return this week. In his place, K. Brown ($5.8k FD/$3.7k DK) and Simmons ($5.3k FD/$3.4k DK) have seen significant action. Brown has 5 receptions for 179 yards and 1 TD on 8 targets over the last 3 games. Simmons has drawn 17 targets over the last 4 games (11/157/0). Notre Dame has surrendered solid WR stat lines to speedy perimeter guys as of late (perfect for Dyami Brown): BC’s Gill 5/105/0 and Clem’s Powell 6/161/1.

In 2020 (8 games), UNC is 97th in passing yards allowed with 261.8 yards/game. They are 54th in rushing yards allowed with 151.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 16 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.75 TD/game) this season.

Central Michigan (33 Implied Team Total)
Daniel Richardson ($7.6k FD/$6.6k DK) was consistently pulled off the field in favor of the Wildcat in CMU’s 52-44 loss to WMU last week. Richardson was held to 157 passing yards and 1 TD on 19 attempts. He’ll presumably start once again this week with David Moore still not cleared by the NCAA. Even so, he’s a difficult roster this week despite the strong matchup. This week’s opponent, EMU, is allowing nearly 250 passing yards per game including an ugly 8.81 yards per pass attempt. The CMU offense favors the run (60.4/39.6 run-pass split) and averages 69 plays per game.

Star RB Kobe Lewis ($9.1k FD/$7.4k DK) has received 16+ carries and scored at least 1 TD in all 3 games this season. In total, Lewis has run for 285 yards and 5 TDs on 60 carries (5/34/0 receiving). The junior lined up as the wildcat QB on a few occasions in last week’s loss. Lew Nichols ($7k FD/$5k DK) will likely receive between 6-10 carries. The freshman has run for 141 yards and 1 TD on 27 carries. He’s also posted 10/109/1 as a receiver. The matchup with EMU is a great spot. The Eagles are allowing a slate high 235.7 rushing yards per game (4.98 yards per carry). Over the last 2 games EMU has allowed the following box scores: 34/204/3 to BSU’s Huntley and 24/149/1 to TOL’s Koback.

Notable target counts: Kalil Pimpleton (20), Dallas Dixon (16), JaCorey Sullivan (12), Lew Nichols (10), Kobe Lewis (8), and Tyron Scott (7 – 2 games).

Pimpleton ($9.1k FD/$7.5k DK) was used all over the place in last week’s loss. The slot WR lined up in the backfield as a RB and QB in addition to his receiving role. The slot man ran for 108 yards and 3 TDs on 7 carries while also catching 3 balls for 42 yards. He’ll be extremely popular after last week’s performance. With EMU struggling against the run and CMU scoring 44 points against WMU, I don’t see CMU changing their game plan this week. Sullivan ($5.8k FD/$3.5k DK) has had a quiet year so far (6/86/0); he’s always a threat to post a huge box score. The big bodied WR posted 57/808/3 last season. Dallas Dixon ($6.6k FD/$4.4k DK) and Scott ($5.3k FD/$3.2k DK) rotate at the other perimeter WR spot. Dixon has 3+ receptions and cleared 67 yards in the last 2 games. Scott missed last week’s game and his status is unknown for this (4/35/0 in 2 games).

In 2020 (3 games), CMU is 98th in passing yards allowed with 262.3 yards/game. They are 43rd in rushing yards allowed with 143.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 3TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 8 TDs through the air (2.66 TD/game) this season.

Eastern Michigan (26 Implied Team Total)
This week’s matchup with in-state rival CMU sets up to be a game in which EMU takes to the air. With CMU owning one of the best run defenses in the MAC look for Preston Hutchinson ($9.8k FD/$8.6k DK) to makes plays with his arm. CMU is allowing 262.3 passing yards per game including a bloated 10.36 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been torched for 8 pass TDs in 3 games. Through 3 games, Hutchinson is posting game averages of 245 passing yards, 32.6 rushing yards, and 3.67 total TDs per game. EMU’s offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 run-pass split and averages 69 plays per game.

As noted above this is a tough spot for the EMU backfield. CMU is limiting opposing runners to 3.47 yards per carry; they’ve only allowed 3 rushing TDs in 3 games. Depending on availability, EMU’s backfield is likely dictated by the “hot-hand.” Darius Boone Jr. ($6.3k FD/$4.5k DK) started in the season opener but missed the last 2 games (status is TBD for this week). Samson Evans ($5.2k FD/$4.8k DK) started in Game 2 but missed Games 1 and 3. The freshman, DJ Smith ($5.7k FD/$4k DK), led the Eagles with 8 carries last week. Hutchinson leads EMU with 98 rushing yards and 4 TDs on 43 carries. In reality, if you want access to the EMU running game, he’s the guy.

Notable target counts through 3 games: Hassan Beydoun (25 – 2 games), Tanner Knue (21), Quian Williams (19), Bryson Cannon (13 – 2 games), Aaron Jackson (9), and Thomas Odukoya (5).

Slot man Beydoun ($7.4k FD/$5.4k DK) has recored 8+ receptions in each of the last 3 games that he’s played in, dating back to 2019. He’s racked up 17 receptions for 176 yards through 2 games in 2020. Williams ($6.5k FD/$4.9k DK) starts at one of the perimeter WR spots. He finally broke out last week with a 8/86/1 performance on 10 targets. He was voted preseason All MAC by Pro Football Focus (led EMU with 52/661/6 in 2019). Dylan Drummond ($5.5k FD/$3k DK) is listed as the other perimeter WR. He’s missed all 3 games though it was reported he may have actually been on the field last week. If he’s out, Tanner Knue ($6.9k FD/$5.2k DK) is listed as Q. Williams backup but he sees plenty of action. Knue leads the Eagles with 191 receiving yards and 1 TD on 14 receptions this season. If Drummond is out, Bryson Cannon ($6.4k FD/$4.9k DK) would start at the Z-receiver spot (Williams is the X-receiver). The senior has a TD reception in each of the 2 games he’s played in this season. Lastly, Okukoya ($5.4k FD/$3.6k DK) is a TD or bust play from the TE spot (4/36/2 in 3 games this season). He’s topped out at 2 targets in any individual game this season.

In 2020 (3 games), EMU is 81st in passing yards allowed with 249.7 yards/game. They are 113th in rushing yards allowed with 235.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (2.33 TD/game) this season.

Wyoming (34.5 Implied Team Total)
Dual threat QB Levi Williams ($8.7k FD/$6.9k DK) is posting game averages of 220 passing yards, 12.6 rushing yards, and 1.33 total TDs. He’s in a great spot of Friday as he faces off with a vulnerable UNLV defense. The Rebels have allowed 34+ points in all 4 games this season. The Rebels are allowing 253 passing yards per game including 8.72 yards per pass attempt. They’ve ceded 6 pass TDs through 4 games. The Wyoming offense is favoring the run (63.4/36.6 run-pass split) and averages 74.7 plays per game.

Xazavian Valladay ($10.3k FD/$7.9k DK) is one of the better RBs outside the Power 5 conferences. The junior has received 22+ carries in all 3 games this season. He’s averaging 155 yards rushing over the last 2 games. He’s scored 3 TDs in the last 2 games. Valladay is also a player in the passing game as he’s caught 11 balls for 76 yards. He should have no problem eviscerating UNLV’s swiss cheese run defense. UNLV is allowing 213.3 rushing yards per game including an ugly 6.18 yards per carry (2nd worst on the slate) Backup Trey Smith ($6.7k FD/$4.2k DK) has run for 125 yards and 3 TDs on 27 carries over the last 2 games. He’s a fine play at RB this week.

Notable target counts through 3 games: Xazavian Valladay (16), Ayden Eberhardt (13), Isaiah Neyor (12), Treyton Welch (11), Dontae Crow (7), Nate Weinman (6), Jackson Marcotte (4), Gunner Gentry (3 – 2 games), and Trey Smith (1).

Gentry ($6k FD/$4.4k DK) starts at the Z-receiver spot and rotates with Alex Brown ($4k FD/$3k DK). Eberhardt ($8.1k FD/$5k DK) starts at the X-receiver spot and rotates with Neyor ($7.4k FD/$4.1k DK) while Welch ($5.2k FD/$3.4k DK) is the starting TE. Gentry missed the team’s last game with Colorado State. He has 2 receptions, 28 receiving yards, and 1 TD in 2 games. Eberhardt broke out for 7/132/0 against CSU. Meanwhile, Neyor has cleared 77 receiving yards in 2 out of 3 games despite seeing 5 or less targets in all 3 games (Wyoming doesn’t throw much). The TE Welch has 3 receptions for 79 yards on 11 targets. If Gentry is out, I’m guessing Neyor will play the Z-receiver spot.

In 2020 (3 games), Wyoming is 94th in passing yards allowed with 261.7 yards/game. They are 12th in rushing yards allowed with 95.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

UNLV (18 Implied Team Total)
Justin Rogers ($6.3k FD/$5.5k DK) relieved an ineffective Max Gilliam ($6.5k FD/$5.7k DK) in the Rebels last game. Rogers will likely start considering he played well and he’s the schools highest rated transfer in history of the program. The former TCU QB completed 14 out of 22 pass attempts for 161 yards and 1 TD while also running for 3 yards on 8 attempts. With Wyoming playing lock down run defense, Rogers will need to make plays through the air. Wyoming is 261.7 passing yards per game including 7.55 yards per pass attempt. The Rebels offense favors the run (53.6/46.4 run-pass split) and averages 69.5 plays per game.

Charles Williams ($7.3k FD/$6.6k DK) is the Rebels top offensive skill player. The RB has received 19+ carries in all 4 games this season. He enters this week with a TD in 2 straight games. The senior has topped 80 rushing in 3 out of 4 games. He’s in a tough spot this week as Wyoming has played exceptionally well against the run. The Cowboys are limiting opposing ball carriers to 95.3 rushing yards per game including 3.01 yards per carry. Wyoming has been hit up for 3 rushing TDs through 3 games.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Kyle Williams (30), Noah Bean (18), Steve Jenkins (18 – 3 games), Tyleek Collins (14), Charles Williams (12), and Jacob Gasser (10 – 3 games).

Zyrell Griffin ($5.6k FD/$3.6k DK), Tyleek Collins ($6k FD/$3.8k DK), and Kyle Williams ($7.2k FD/$5.2k DK) are the starting WRs. Williams had a breakout game with Rogers primarily playing at QB. He posted 9/110/1 in his last outing against SJSU. He’s drawn 7+ targets 3 straight games. Bean ($5.7k FD/$3.6k DK), the TE, has 5+ receptions in 2 out of 4 games. However, he’s been held to 25 or less receiving yards in 3 out of 4 games. He rotates with Giovanni Fauolo Sr. ($5.1k FD/$3.4k DK) (the starter and he has 4/45/0 on 6 targets in 3 games this season). Jenkins ($6.2k FD/$4.2k DK) has 9 receptions, 88 receiving yards, and 2 TDs in 3 games. He missed the Rebels last game (status is TBD this week). Collins has a TD reception in 2 out of the last 3 games. However, he’s recorded -5 receiving yards in 2 games and 124 yards receiving in the other 2 games. Griffin has 4 receptions for 82 yards over the last 2 games (6 targets). Wyoming has allowed some monster box scores to enemy pass catchers (NEV TE Turner 7/119/2, NEV Z-receiver Doubs 12/117/1, CSU TE Tre McBride 5/90/2 and CSU slot WR Wright 10/146/0). In theory, TE Bean should be in a good spot this week.

In 2020 (4 games), UNLV is 85th in passing yards allowed with 253 yards/game. They are 105th in rushing yards allowed with 213.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (2.75 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Stanford (25.5 Implied Team Total)
Davis Mills ($9.5k FD/$7.8k DK) threw for 327 yards and 1 TD in his 2020 debut on an eye-popping 56 pass attempts in last week’s loss to Colorado. He also ran for 36 yards and 1 TD on 6 attempts (he’s a pro-style QB though). Mills has thrown for 245+ yards in 6 straight games dating back to 2019; he’s also attempted 30 or more passes in 5 straight games. Cal is not a pass defense to fear. Through 2 games, the Bears are allowing 196 passing yards including 7.54 yards per attempt. UCLA’s Dorian Thompson-Robinson threw for 196 yards and 3 TDs on 26 attempts in Cal’s season opener. The Stanford offense is favoring the pass (61.2/38.8 pass-run split) and averages 67 plays per game.

Austin Jones ($8.5k FD/$7k DK) is the Cardinal’s starting RB. The sophomore has found paydirt in both games this season. In total, he’s run for 109 yards and 3 TDs while also tallying 9 receptions for 70 yards. This is a great spot for the Cardinal rushing game. UCLA’s Felton ran for 107 yards on 25 carries in Stanford’s season opener while OSU’s Jefferson throttled Cal for 18/196/1 last week. California is allowing 4.52 yards per carry through 2 games.

Notable target counts through 2 games: Simi Fehoko (16), Michael Wilson (15), Austin Jones (12), and Connor Wedington (12 – 1 game).

Weddington ($7.1k FD/$5.1k DK) made his 2020 debut in last week’s game and posted 8/77/0 on 12 targets. He’s drawn 8+ targets in 4 out of the last 5 games dating back to last season. Fehoko ($7.2k FD/$4.8k DK) is the Stanford deep threat. The junior has cleared 74 receiving yards in both games this season. He posted 24/566/6 in 2019. Wilson ($6.5k FD/$4.4k DK) rounds out the relevant WRs; he has 10 receptions for 124 yards this season. He posted 56/672/5 in 2019. TEs have posted team highs against Cal in both games in 2020 (OSU’s Quitoriano 4/65/1 and UCLA’s Dulcich 3/80/0). Scooter Harrington ($5.5k FD/$3.5k DK) (3/25/1 on 5 targets this season) and Tucker Fisk ($4.8k FD/$3k DK) (2/14/0 on 2 targets) are the Cardinal TEs.

In 2020 (2 games), Stanford is 70th in passing yards allowed with 241 yards/game. They are 108th in rushing yards allowed with 223 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (3.5 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

California (27 Implied Team Total)
Chase Garbers ($7.4k FD/$6.3k DK) has attempted 75 passes in 2 games as the Bears have dropped their 1st 2 games this season. The dual threat QB has thrown for 437 yards, 3 TDs, and 3 INT while also adding 17 rushing yards and 1 TD on 16 attempts. He’s in a good spot this week as he takes on a Stanford team that has surrendered 35 points in both of their games (ORE/COL). Stanford has been lit up by dual threat QBs Sam Noyer and Tyler Shough. Noyer threw for 255 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT while also running for 36 yards and 2 TDs on 8 carries. Shough threw for 227 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT while also running for 85 yards and 1 TD. The California offense favors the pass (53.8/46.2 pass-run split) and averages 71.5 plays per game.

Christopher Brown Jr. ($6.6k FD/$5.2k DK) missed last week’s game but could be back for this week’s rivalry game. In his place, Marcel Dancy ($6.4k FD/$5.1k DK) and Damien Moore ($5.3k FD/$3.2k DK) rotated in the backfield. Dancy led the Bears with 76 rushing yards on 17 carries (and 3/29/0 receiving) while Moore tallied 33 rushing yards on 12 carries (0/0/0 receiving). If Brown Jr. is out again, expect a similar approach from the Bears backfield. If he’s in, he’s a viable play against Stanford’s struggling run defense. The Cardinal are allowing 223 rushing yards per game including 5.25 yards per carry. Moreover, they’ve been slammed for 7 rushing TDs in 2 games. Brown Jr. ran for 25 yards on 8 carries in the California’s season opener (914 rushing yards, 166 receiving yards, and 12 total TDs in 2019).

Notable target counts through 2 games: Kekoa Crawford (18), Jake Tonges (12), Makai Polk (10), Nikko Remigio (7), Marcel Dancy (6), Trevon Clark (6), and Christopher Brown Jr. (4 – 1 game).

Crawford ($7.9k FD/$5.6k DK) roasted Oregon State for 10/141/1 on 11 targets in last week’s game. The former Michigan transfer is talented but struggled through an injury filled 2019 season. The TE, Tonges ($7.5k FD/$4.7k DK), came down with 8 balls for a paltry 22 yards and 1 TD last week. Polk ($6.9k FD/$4.8k DK) has been targeted 5 times in each of the 1st 2 games; he’s caught 7 balls for 107 yards and 1 TD this season. The sophomore has 16 receptions over his last 4 games dating back to 2019. Remigio ($5.5k FD/$3.5k DK) is a possession WR who posted 38/513/3 in 2019. He has 2 receptions for 7 yards through 2 games this season.

In 2020 (2 games), CAL is 28th in passing yards allowed with 196 yards/game. They are 118th in rushing yards allowed with 244 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Oregon (39 Implied Team Total)
Sophomore QB Tyler Shough ($11.2k FD) has thrown for 300+ yards and 3+ TDs over the last 2 games (UCLA/WSU). He’s also cleared 80 yards rushing in 2 out of the 1st 3 games this season. He’s a solid play against an Oregon State defense that allowed 315 passing yards, 3 TDs, and 2 INT to Cal QB Chase Garbers last week. Oregon State also allowed 227 passing yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT to WSU’s de Laura who was making his 1st start in the season opener. de Laura also ran for 43 yards and 1 TD in that game. The Oregon offense favors the run (56.1/43.9 run-pass split) and averages 65.3 plays per game.

CJ Verdell ($8.8k FD) is the Ducks starting RB and he’s found paydirt in all 3 games. He was held to 18 yards rushing on 12 carries in last week’s 38-35 win over UCLA. His salary on FD decreased by $800. The junior ran for 223 yards on 38 carries in the Ducks 1st 2 games. He’s in a prime bounce back spot as noted below. Travis Dye ($8.6k FD) will likely see 5-10 carries this week. He’s run for 172 yards and 1 TD while also catching 3 balls for 119 yards and 3 TDs through 3 games. Cyrus Habibi-Likio ($5.1k FD) is the short yardage/goal line RB. He has 3 carries for 7 yards and 2 TDs through 3 games. The Oregon backfield is in a plus spot this week. Oregon State held Cal rushers to 38/124/0 (3.3 yards per carry) last week. However, they were missing their best RB in Christopher Brown Jr. Oregon State allowed 267 rushing yards and 3 TDs to Washington in Game 2 and 229 rushing yards and 3 TDs to WSU ball carriers in their season opener.

Notable target counts through 3 games: Jaylon Redd (17), Devon Williams (13), Johnny Johnson III (11), CJ Verdell (8), DJ Johnson (8), Travis Dye (5), and Mycah Pittman (1 – 1 game).

Slot WR Redd ($6.8k FD) has had a slow start to the season (12/160/0). He racked up 50 receptions, 464 receiving yards, and 7 TDs in 2019. Big bodied WR Devon Williams ($7.5k FD) exploded for 6/123/1 in last week’s 38-35 win over UCLA. He was a 4-star prospect who transferred from USC. He drew 9 targets after only receiving 2 looks in each of the 1st 2 games. JJ3 ($7k FD) has cleared 50 receiving yards in 2 out of 3 games. He’s drawn 5, 3, 3 and targets. He lead Oregon in receiving last season (57/836/7). Pittman ($5.6k FD) has missed the last 2 games after playing in the season opener. Oregon State has allowed box scores of: 7/107/2 to WSU’s Harris and 10/141/1 to Cal’s Crawford. Harris is a slot WR while Crawford is a perimeter WR.

In 2020 (3 games), Oregon is 101st in passing yards allowed with 268.5 yards/game. They are 47th in rushing yards allowed with 148.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (2.33 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Oregon State (25.5 Implied Team Total)
Pro Style QB Tristan Gebbia ($7.8k FD) has only thrown 44 total passes over the last two days as Oregon State has played competitive games. The game plan is simple, feed star RB Jermar Jefferson and limit the passes by Gebbia. The junior QB has thrown for 147 or less passing yards in 2 straight games. While Oregon has allowed yardage in the passing game, they’ve only allowed 3 TD passes through 3 games. The Oregon State offense operates at a nearly 50/50 run-pass split and averages 63 plays per game.

Jermar Jefferson ($9.4k FD) has been outstanding for the Beavers through 3 games. The junior has cleared 120 rushing yards in all 3 games (CAL/WASH/WSU). He has 5 rushing TDs on 61 carries (18+ carries in all 3 games). He’s actually a solid play this week as Oregon has struggled defending the run. UCLA’s Demetric Felton ran for 167 yards and 2 TDs on 34 carries while UCLA was forced to start their back-up QB. In Game 2, Oregon allowed WSU’s starting RB Deon McIntosh to tally up 121 total yards and 1 TD. In the season opener, Stanford’s Austin Jones ran for 100 yards and 2 TDs on 20 carries.

Notable target counts through 3 games: Trevon Bradford (18), Kolby Taylor (16), Luke Musgrave (16), Champ Flemings (14), and Jermar Jefferson (7).

Bradford ($6.8k FD) has 3+ receptions in all 3 games. He leads the Beavers with 13 receptions, 127 yards, and 1 TD this season. Taylor ($5.6k FD) and Flemings ($5.7k FD) are the other 2 starting WRs. Taylor has 10/79/0 through 3 games. Flemings is the slot WR and he has 8 receptions for 78 yards in 3 games. The numbers are down since Oregon State has only attempted an average of 22 pass attempts over the last 2 games. That’ll likely increase this week with Oregon State installed as nearly 2 TD underdogs. The TE Musgrave ($5.1k FD) has 7 receptions for 93 yards through 3 games. Oregon has allowed solid stat lines to opposing teams best WRs: Stanford’s Fehoko (3/88/0), WSU’s Bell (10/158/1), and UCLA Phillips (8/91/0). That should favor Bradford this week if that trend continues.

In 2020 (3 games), OSU is 16th in passing yards allowed with 184 yards/game. They are 120th in rushing yards allowed with 248 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (.67 TD/game) and 5 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

Target counts are pulled from Pro Football Focus. Yardage allowed do not reflect last week’s game, however, the TDs allowed per game are up-to-date.

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