College Football Saturday: DK/FD Main Slate

Georgia -17 @ Kentucky O/U 42.5

Iowa State -28 @ Kansas O/U 51

Kansas State @ West Virginia -5 O/U 45.5

Boston College @ Clemson -24.5 O/U 59

Michigan State @ Michigan -23 O/U 51.5

Memphis @ Cincinnati -6.5 O/U 57

LSU -2 @ Auburn O/U 64

TCU -3 @ Baylor O/U 46.5

Notre Dame -20 @ Georgia Tech O/U 58.5

Indiana -11.5 @ Rutgers O/U 53

Wisconsin @ Nebraska CANCELLED

Mississippi -17.5 @ Vanderbilt O/U 64

Texas @ Oklahoma State -3.5 O/U 59

Virginia Tech -3.5 @ Louisville O/U 67.5

Mississippi State @ Alabama -31 O/U 63.5

Ohio State -12 @ Penn State O/U 64

Oklahoma -15 @ Texas Tech O/U 67

North Carolina -7 @ Virginia O/U 62

Georgia (30 Implied Team Total)
Georgia is planning to stick by Stetson Bennett ($8.1k FD/$6.3k DK) for this week’s game at Kentucky. However, it’s possible that the Bulldogs play 1 or 2 other QBs this week. I’m not really interested in Bennett on this large Saturday slate. Kentucky has allowed 7 TD passes through 4 games; however, they’re limiting opposing QBs to 6.27 yards per attempt. Bennett has thrown for at least 211 yards in all 4 games; he’s tossed 2 TDs in 3 out of 4 games. The Georgia offense is favoring the run (54/46 run-pass split) and averages 77.3 plays per game.

Zamir White ($8.7k FD/$6k DK) is the Bulldogs’ leading rusher with 266 rushing yards and 5 TDs on 64 carries. White has 10+ carries and at least 1 rushing TD in all 4 games. However, he’s been held under 90 rushing yards in all 4 games. James Cook ($6k FD/$4.7k DK) will also rotate in the backfield with White. Cook has 83 yards rushing on 17 carries; he also has 6 receptions for 111 yards and 1 TD (3 games played). This is a relatively neutral spot for the Georgia backfield. Kentucky is allowing 3.49 yards per carry and they’ve ceded 6 rushing TDs in 5 games.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Kearis Jackson (31), Jermaine Burton (22), George Pickens (21), James Cook (8 – 3 games), Demetris Robertson (8), and Zamir White (4).

Pickens ($7.3k FD/$5.2k DK) and Burton ($5.9k FD/$3.8k DK) are the outside WRs while Jackson ($8k FD/$5.7k DK) plays out of the slot. Jackson leads Georgia in receptions (21) and receiving yards (323). He has 1 TD reception through 4 games. Jackson has cleared 60 receiving yards in 3 out 4 games. Pickens has had a slow start to this season. The star WR leads the Bulldogs with 2 TD receptions. He has 13 receptions for 140 yards through 4 games (49/727/8 in 2019). Reportedly, he’s been playing through a nagging injury but should be good to go on Saturday. Burton emerged in the Bulldogs’ last game against Alabama; the freshman posted a team high 4/58/1. He has 8 receptions for 111 yards and 1 TD this season.

In 2020 (4 games), Georgia is 68th in passing yards allowed with 253 yards/game. They are 4th in rushing yards allowed with 65.1 yards/game. The defense has given up 1 TD on the ground (.25 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (1.75 TD/game) this season.

Kentucky (13 Implied Team Total)
Joey Gatewood ($6.8k FD/$4.7k DK) is likely to start against the Bulldogs on Saturday with Terry Wilson ruled out. Gatewood transferred from Auburn after losing out to Bo Nix in 2019. In limited action over the past 1+ seasons, Gatewood has completed 7 out of 13 pass attempts for 72 yards and 2 TDs. He also ran for 210 yards and 3 TDs on 40 carries (was often utilized as a wildcat QB by Auburn). Despite the tough matchup, I think he’s a fine play due to his dual threat upside at his dirt cheap price tags on both sites if you’re desperate for salary relief at QB. The Wildcats offense favors the run (64.6/35.4 run-pass split) and averages 60.4 plays per game.

It appears that Chris Rodriguez Jr.($6.9k FD/$4.6k DK) may have taken over the starting RBs duties from AJ Rose ($4.1k DK). Rodriguez Jr. leads the Wildcats with 305 rushing yards and 4 TDs on 55 carries. He’s not appealing in a matchup against Georgia’s stout run defense. They’re holding opposing ball carriers to 65.5 rushing yards per game. They’ve only allowed 1 rushing TD through 4 games.

Josh Ali ($6.4k FD/$4.6k DK) is the only WR worth considering. The senior has 4+ receptions in 4 out of 5 games despite the awful QB play. He has been on the receiving end of 26 out of the 64 total pass completions by Kentucky QBs. Ali has been targeted 35 times in 5 games; DeMarcus Harris (14) and Allen Dailey Jr. (11) are the only other 2 Wildcat pass catchers to be targeted 10+ times this season.

In 2020 (5 games), Kentucky is 44th in passing yards allowed with 228.2 yards/game. They are 37th in rushing yards allowed with 129 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1.2 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (1.4 TD/game) this season.

Iowa State (39.5 Implied Team Total)
With the Cyclones revolving their offense around star RB Breece Hall, QB Brock Purdy’s ($7.2k DK) production has suffered. The dual threat QB is posting game averages of 214.8 passing yards, 23.8 rushing yards, and 1.4 total TDs. He’s in a great spot as the Cyclones travel to Kansas to take on the Jayhawks. The Jayhawks have been atrocious against both the run (more on that below) and the pass. Kansas has surrendered 12 TD passes in only 5 games. They’re allowing 230 passing yards per game. The Jayhawks have surrendered point totals of: 38 (Coastal Carolina), 47 (Baylor), 47 (OSU), 38 (WVU), and 55 (KSU). The Iowa State offense favors the run (51.7/48.3 run-pass split) and averages 66.2 plays per game.

There’s not much to say about Breece Hall ($9.1k DK). The RB is a flat-out stud. He’s one of the true bellcows in college football. The sophomore has received 18+ carries (over 20 in 4/5 games), run for 103+ yards, and scored at least 1 TD in all 5 five games (3 games with 2+ TDs). He also has 8 receptions for 47 yards. The matchup with Kansas is a home-run spot. The Jayhawks have been buried by opposing backfields. They’re allowing 207.6 rushing yards including 4.81 yards per carry (amongst the worst on the slate. Kansas has been pasted for 11 rushing TDs in 5 games. Additionally, Kansas has struggled against pass catching RBs this season (BAY’s Trestan Ebner 2/53/1 – team high, WVU’s Leddie Brown 5/36/1, and KSU’s Deuce Vaughn 4/81/0 – team high). Without Najee Harris on the main DK slate, Hall is easily the top RB this slate. He’ll be very popular for good reason this week. With ISU installed as 28 points favorites, there’s a good chance backup RB Kene Nwangwu ($3.3k DK) sees some decent playing time. The senior has run for 111 yards and 2 TDs on 16 carries in 5 games.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Xavier Hutchinson (42), Charlie Kolar (29 – 4 games), Chase Allen (18), and Breece Hall (9).

Hutchinson ($5.5k DK) has emerged as the go-to WR with Tarique Milton Jr. sidelined with an injury. The highly regard ju-co transfer has 4+ receptions in 4 out of 5 games. He’s also cleared 68 receiving yards in 3 straight games. Hutchinson figures to be in great shape this week as perimeter WRs have smashed Kansas this season. Those include: CC’s Javon Heiligh 3/74/1, OSU’s Tylan Wallace 9/148/2, and WVU’s Bryce Ford-Wheaton 5/89/1. TE Kolar ($4k DK) is the other pass catcher worth considering. The senior has 3+ receptions in all 4 games this season. He’s coming off a season high 12 targets in last week’s loss to Oklahoma State. He’s remains cheap and one of the better sources of salary relief on both sites this week.

In 2020 (5 games), ISU is 71st in passing yards allowed with 260 yards/game. They are 31st in rushing yards allowed with 123 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (.8 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (1.8 TD/game) this season.

Kansas (11.5 Implied Team Total)
Jalon Daniels ($4.7k DK) returned from a 1-game injury absence and completed 22 out of 39 pass attempts for 207 yards and 1 INT in Kansas’ 55-3 loss to Kansas State last week. The dual threat QB ran for 27 yards and 2 TDs on 17 attempts. HC Les Miles remains bullish on his young starter and believes Daniels has a bright future. If Kansas succeeds, it’ll through the air. Iowa State is allowing 260 yards passing per game. They’ve allowed 9 pass TDs in 5 games; they’re allowing 8.13 yards per attempt. However, I should also mention they’ve played 2 ranked teams in OSU and OU along with Texas Tech’s air raid offense which has inflated those numbers somewhat. The Kansas offense favors the run (55.4/44.6 run-pass split and averages 69 plays per game.

Velton Gardner ($4.8k DK) is the Jayhawks’ undisputed starter at RB with Pooka Williams Jr. opting out for the season. In 1 games sans Williams, Gardner ran for 72 yards on 16 carries while also 3 balls for 10 yards. It’s a rough spot for Gardner as the Iowa State run defense has been solid this season. The Cyclones are limiting opposing runners to 123 rushing yards per game (3.32 yards per carry). Iowa State has allowed 4 rushing TDs in 5 games.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Andrew Parchment (32), Kwamie Lassiter II (30), Takulve Williams (27 – 4 games), and Velton Gardner (7).

Parchment ($3.8k DK) is having a disappointing season after a big 2019 season. The senior has 17 receptions, 140 receiving yards, and 2 TDs through 5 games (65/829/7 in 2019). He’s been held back by poor QB play. Lassiter II ($4.2k DK) leads the Jayhawks in receptions (22) and receiving yards (229). He has 1 TD reception through 5 games. Lassiter II has 4+ receptions in 4 out of 5 games. Williams ($3.3k DK) is an uninspiring possession WR (17 receptions for 88 yards). No individual pass catchers have reached 90 receiving yards against Iowa State this season.

In 2020 (5 games), Kansas is 47th in passing yards allowed with 230 yards/game. They are 81st in rushing yards allowed with 207.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (2.2 TD/game) and 12 TDs through the air (2.4 TD/game) this season.

Kansas State (20 Implied Team Total)
Will Howard ($5.9k DK) has made 2 starts with Skyler Howard sidelined for the rest of the season. In those 2 starts, Howard has completed 25 out of 43 pass attempts for 360 yards, 2 TD, and 1 INT. The dual threat QB has also run for 109 yards and 1 TD in those 2 starts. This is a brutal spot for young signal caller as the Wildcats travel to West Virginia. The Mountaineers are holding opposing passers to 152.6 passing yards. They’ve yielded 6 pass TDs in 5 gives; they’ll holding opposing QBs to 5.96 yards per attempt which is one of the best on this slate. The Kansas State offense is favoring the run (58.9/41.1 run-pass split) and averages 60.4 plays per game.

Deuce Vaughn ($7.2k DK) has made quite an impact on the Wildcats offense this season. The freshman RB has run for 309 yards and 4 TDs while also catching 13 balls for 360 yards and 1 TD (team’s top pass catcher). Vaughn has cleared 70 total yards in every game. This isn’t a great spot for Kansas State’s running game. West Virginia is limiting enemy runners to 109.2 rushing yards per game. They’ve surrendered 5 rush TDs in 5 games; they’re allowing 3.1 yards per carry which is stout.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Chabastin Taylor (22), Briley Moore (21), Deuce Vaughn (17), Malik Knowles (15), and Philip Brooks (10).

Chabastin Taylor ($4.7k DK) and Briley Moore ($4k DK) are the only 2 pass catchers worth considering. Taylor is a monster WR who plays on the perimeter. He has 14 receptions for 237 yards and 1 TD through 5 games. Taylor has not topped 70 receiving yards in 4 Big 12 games. Moore, the starting TE, has 17 receptions for 234 yards and 3 TDs. He has at least 2 receptions in every game and he’s cleared 30 receiving yards in all 5 games this season. WVU has not allowed a single pass catcher to top 80 receiving yards in 5 games this season.

In 2020 (5 games), Kansas State is 74th in passing yards allowed with 268.8 yards/game. They are 56th in rushing yards allowed with 159 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1.2 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (2.2 TD/game) this season.

West Virginia (25.5 Implied Team Total)
West Virginia QB Jarrett Doege ($6.9k DK) thrown 37+ passes and 1+ TD in all 4 Big 12 games. He’s topped 300-yards passing in 2 straight games. This week is interesting for Doege. While Kansas State is allowing yardage (nearly 270 passing yards allowed per game) and TDs through the air (11 TDs in 5 games), they’re holding opposing passers to 6.56 yards per attempt which tells me they’re better against the pass than most of the stats signal. Don’t get me wrong Doege is a decent play this week but I wouldn’t be surprised if he doesn’t go off. The Mountaineers offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 run-pass split and averages plays 81.4 plays per game. This is also a major pace down game since Kansas State plays slow on offense.

Leddie Brown ($8.1k DK) is in a good spot as Kansas State has been vulnerable via the ground game this season. While Kansas State has only yielded 6 rush TDs in 5 games, they’re allowing a crisp 4.47 yards per carry. That should benefit the bellcow Brown this week. Brown has carried the ball 18+ times in 4 straight games (21+ in 3 of those games). The junior has 2 TDs in 3 consecutive games, and he’s cleared 77 rushing yards in all 5 games. Throw in his role in WVU’s passing game and Brown makes for a great play this week. In total, Brown has 592 rushing yards and 7 TDs on 102 carries while catching 19 passes for 138 yards and 2 TDs.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Sam James (40), Winston Wright (37), Bryce Ford-Wheaton (31), and Leddie Brown (20).

James ($4.9k DK) has had a relatively slow start to his sophomore season despite drawing 7+ targets in all 5 games. Through 5 games, he has yet to clear 75 receiving yards in any single game. In total, James has 23 receptions, 224 receiving yards, and 2 TDs (69/677/2 in 2019). He’s a better play on DK due to the full PPR scoring. Wright ($6.2k DK) has cleared 125 receiving yards in 2 out of 5 games. He has 6+ receptions in 3 out of 5 games. In total, the sophomore has 28 receptions for 360 yards and 1 TD. Wheaton ($4.7k DK) rounds out the relevant WRs; he has 13 receptions for 197 yards and 3 TDs through 5 games. He’s been held under 30 yards receiving in 3 out of 5 games.

In 2020 (5 games), WVU is 8th in passing yards allowed with 152.6 yards/game. They are 23rd in rushing yards allowed with 109.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 5 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (1.2 TD/game) this season.

Boston College (17 Implied Team Total)
QB Phil Jurkovec ($7.7k FD/$5.8k DK) has eclipsed 300 passing yards and tossed 2+ TDs in 4 out of 6 games. However, I’m not particularly interested in targeting the Clemson defense despite the likelihood that the sophomore airs it out 35+ times this week (35+ pass attempts in 4 out of the last 5 games). The Clemson defense is holding opposing QBs to just under 170 passing yards per game. They’ve only allowed 6 TD passes in 6 games. The Boston College offense is favoring the pass (53.1/46.9 pass-run split) and averages 70.3 plays per game.

This is a complete avoid spot this week. David Bailey ($6.4k FD/$4.3k DK) is the Eagles’ leading rusher with 272 rushing yards and 3 TDs on 71 carries. He’s cleared 52 rushing yards in 1 game this season. Clemson is shutting down opposing backfields as ball carriers are averaging a lowly 2.86 yards per carry. The Tigers have allowed 2 rushing TDs in 5 games (109.3 rushing yards allowed per game).

Notable target counts through 6 games: Hunter Long (58), Zay Flowers (53), Jaelen Gill (28), Travis Levy (23), CJ Lewis (23), and David Bailey (10).

Zay Flowers ($6.9k FD/$5.3k DK) and Hunter Long ($6.9k FD/$5.6k DK) are the 2 pass catchers of note. Flowers has 29 receptions, 473 receiving yards, and 4 TDs this season. He also has 33 rushing yards and 1 TD on 8 carries. Flowers has drawn 10+ targets in 3 out of the last 4 games. Long, the starting TE, has hauled in 38 balls for 455 yards and 3 TDs. He’s drawn 8 targets in all 6 games this season. I should also note that CJ Lewis ($5.8k FD/$3.4k DK) has started to emerge as a viable threat for Boston College. The junior has cleared 43 receiving yards in 4 straight games while finding the end zone 3 times. Clemson may be down nearly 5 significant defenders this week so these guys are playable this week.

In 2020 (6 games), BC is 36th in passing yards allowed with 217.3 yards/game. They are 59th in rushing yards allowed with 165.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (1.83 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Clemson (42 Implied Team Total)
Well the big news is that Trevor Lawrence has been ruled out with COVID. DJ Iuiagalelei ($8.5k FD/$6.8k DK) and Tyson Phommachanh ($7.5k FD/$4.5k DK) are the backup QBs. Both guys have reportedly been battling injuries. However, Iuiagelei should start and the 5-star recruit was the nation’s top QB prospect from the class of 2020. The freshman is a dual threat QB so he should have no problems making plays with his legs. I’m expecting a big game out of the first time starter. In mop up duty this season, the big man has completed 12 out of 19 pass attempts for 102 yards. He’s also run for 32 yards on 8 carries. The Clemson offense is favoring the pass (51.3/48.7 pass-run split) and averages 78.7 plays per game.

Star RB Travis Etienne ($10k FD/$8.7k DK) has totaled 522 rushing yards, 294 receiving yards, and 9 total TDs in 6 games this season. Fresh off 16/86/3 against Syracuse, Etienne finds himself in another smash spot. Boston College has been throttled by opposing runners. The Eagles are allowing 165.3 rushing yards which includes 4.47 yards per carry. They’ve been hammered for 11 rushing TDs through 6 games. I also think Lyn-J Dixon ($5.7k FD/$3.3k DK) is fine if you’re desperate for salary relief at RB this week. He’s had an awful year this season (25 carries for 87 yards, 0 TDs). Etienne’s backup ran for 635 yards and 6 TDs on 104 carries in 2019. Perhaps, Clemson leans on their RBs more this week with Iuiagalelei making his 1st career start.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Amari Rodgers (43), Frank Ladson Jr. (28), Travis Etienne (26), Cornell Powell (24), Braden Galloway (22), EJ Williams (15), and Joseph Ngata (8 – 5 games).

Rodgers ($9k FD/$6.5k DK) is clearly the guy QB Lawrence trusts most in the passing game. The senior slot man has recorded 6+ receptions in 4 straight games. He’s cleared 60 receiving yards in those 4 games, and he has 2 multi TD games. Boston College surrendered 4/75/1 to Georgia Tech’s slot WR Ahmareon Brown last week so Rodgers should be in line for another huge game. RB Etienne is the Tigers’ second leading pass catcher. Meanwhile, Ladson Jr. ($7k FD/$4.3k DK) has 2+ receptions in 5 straight games but he’s been held to 43 or less receiving yards in 3 straight games. Powell ($6.3k FD/$3.8k DK) has cleared 45 receiving yards and a has a TD reception in 2 straight games. Ngata ($6k FD/$3.2k DK) has seen action in 2 straight games but has just 3 receptions for 21 yards to show for it. One of these weeks, he’ll break out but I’d take a wait and see approach with him. Lastly, Galloway ($5.8k FD/$4.2k DK), has 9 receptions over the last 2 games that he’s played in (107 receiving yards combined in those 2 games).

In 2020 (6 games), Clemson is 11th in passing yards allowed with 169.3 yards/game. They are 19th in rushing yards allowed with 105.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (.33 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Michigan State (14 Implied Team Total)
I’m not the least bit interested in Rocky Lombardi ($7.4k FD/$5.7k DK). The Michigan State QB threw for 319 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 INT in a 38-27 loss to Rutgers. Michigan’s defense line should have no troubles feasting on Michigan State’s offensive line (UM recorded 5 sacks in their season opener). The Wolverines held Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan to 197 passing yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT in their season opener.

The Spartans played 3 different RBs in the season opener. Jordan Simmons ($5.8k FD/$5k DK) ran for 43 yards on 14 carries while also catching 1 ball for 13 yards. Last year’s leading rusher Elijah Collins ($6.6k FD/$3.2k DK) was held to 3 yards on 9 carries. Connor Heyward ($6.2k FD/$4.3k DK) resurfaced after nearly transferring in the offseason. Heyward recorded 18 rushing yards on 7 carries while also catching 5 balls for 25 yards. Since Heyward plays in the passing game, he’d be the only RB I’d consider (and on DK with the PPR scoring). MSU figures to trail throughout the game which should force Heyward into a ton of playing time.

Target counts from the season opener: Jalen Nailor (12), Jayden Reed (12), Connor Heyward (5), Matt Dotson (5), Ricky White (3), Tre Mosley (1), Jordan Simmons (1), and Elijah Collins (1).

Nailor ($6.9k FD/$5.1k DK) and Reed ($8.6k FD/$6.1k DK) are the only 2 pass catchers worth looking into. Reed recorded a team high 11 receptions for 128 yards and 2 TDs in the season opener. He had a monster freshman year in 2018 for Western Michigan (56/797/8 on 88 targets). Nailor caught 6 out of his 12 targets for 84 yards and 1 TD. Their price tags are pretty expensive on DK this week.

In 2020 (1 game), MSU is 12th in passing yards allowed with 170 yards/game. They are 20th in rushing yards allowed with 106 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (4 TD/game) and 1 TD through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Michigan (37.5 Implied Team Total)
Joe Milton ($9.2k FD/$7.7k DK) looked good in his 1st career start for the Wolverines. The 6’5”, 243 lb QB completed 15 out of 22 pass attempts for 225 yards and 1 TD as Michigan easily handled Minnesota in the season opener. He also ran for 52 yards and 1 TD on 8 carries. This is a good spot for Milton as Michigan State struggled with Rutgers’ dual threat QB Noah Vedral in their season opener. Vedral threw for 169 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT while also recording 24 rushing yards and 1 TD on 9 carries. Typically, Michigan loves to run the ball so I’d be surprised if Milton attempts 25+ passes this week. Michigan’s offense line was able to manhandle Minnesota’s defensive line. That should carry over this week against a rebuilding Spartans’ squad.

Zach Charbonnet ($8k FD/$5.2k DK) (149/726/11 in 2019) started at RB but rotated primarily with Hassan Haskins ($7.9k FD/$6.2k DK). Charbonnet ran for 70 yards and 1 TD on 4 carries. Haskins (121/622/4 in 2019) ran for 82 yards and 2 TDs on 6 carries. Chris Evans ($5.9k FD/$4.4k DK) (5/19/1) and Blake Corum ($5.4k FD/$3.3k DK) (5/24/0) also saw a decent amount of playing time. Michigan State was hit up for 4 rushing TDs in their season opener by lowly Rutgers. They did manage to hold Rutgers’ ball carriers to 2.59 yards per carry. The challenge with Michigan is that they’re not afraid to go 4-deep in the backfield which obviously limits the upside of any individual ball carriers.

Notable target counts from the season opener: Erick All (6), Giles Jackson (5), Ronnie Bell (5), Roman Wilson (4), Ben Mason (1), AJ Henning (1), Blake Corum (1), Chris Evans (1), and Mike Sainristil (1).

Bell ($7.7k FD/$5.3k DK) predicably led the Wolverines with 4/74/0 against Minnesota in the season opener. He’s the top returning pass catcher from last season (48/758/1). Jackson ($6.4k FD/$4k DK) plays out of the slot and caught 2 balls for 17 yards. Sainristil ($5.5k FD/$3.4k DK) was the other starting WR and he caught his lone pass for 11 yards. Bell is probably the only rosterable WR in DFS this week.

Erick All ($5.4k FD/$3.8k DK) led the team in targets, but he saw increased playing time with Nick Eubanks ($5.6k FD/$4k DK) out. He’ll start if Eubanks remains out this week. Eubanks’ status for this week’s rivalry game is unknown. He had 25 receptions, 243 receiving yards, and 4 TDs in 2019 (2nd top returning pass catcher from 2019).

In 2020 (1 game), Michigan is 32nd in passing yards allowed with 197 yards/game. They are 37th in rushing yards allowed with 129 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 1 TD through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Memphis (25.5 Implied Team Total)
Brady White ($9.4k FD/$9.7k DK) is putting up video-game like numbers in his final season at Memphis. The senior is averaging 343.8 passing yards, 19 rushing yards, and 4.5 total TDs per game. He’s thrown at least 36 passes in all 4 games while tossing at least 3+ TDs in all 4 games. This week’s matchup will be his toughest test all season long as the Tigers travel to Cincinnati. The Bearcats are stymieing opposing QBs; they’ve surrendered just 1 pass TD in 4 games (182.5 passing yards allowed per game). They’re also holding opposing passers to 4.97 yards per attempt which is 6th best in the nation. They held SMU’s Shane Buechele to 216 passing yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT on 44 attempts last week. White’s price tag is through the roof on DK. The Memphis offense is operating a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 84 plays per game.

Rodrigues Clark ($8.2k FD/$5.7k DK) and Kylin Watkins ($7.1k FD/$5.4k DK) are the Tigers’ primary ball carriers. Clark leads the team with 421 yards rushing on 79 carries. He has 1 rushing TD this season. The sophomore has 20+ carries and over 100-yards rushing in 3 out of 4 games. Watkins is the primary pass catching RB. He’s caught 8 balls for 67 yards and 1 TD while he’s run 229 yards and 1 TD on 43 carries. The junior has received between 9 and 14 carries in all 4 games; he’s cleared 45 total yards in all 4 games this season. The matchup Cincinnati’s run defense isn’t great. The Bearcats have allowed 3 rush TDs in 4 games; they’re limiting opposing ball carriers to a miniscule 3.16 yards per carry.

Notable target counts in 2 games without Coxie: Calvin Austin III (30), Tahj Washington (19), Sean Dykes (11), Javon Ivory (11), Kylan Watkins (4), and Rodrigues Clark (3).

Austin ($9.1k FD/$5.9k DK) is averaging a whopping 15 targets in 2 games sans Damonte Coxie. He’s posted 6/184/1 (TEMPLE) and 9/151/2 (UCF) in the last 2 games. The diminutive speedster has at least 1 TD in all 4 games this season. Due to the volume he’s receiving, he’s a fine play this week. Washington ($7.5k FD/$4.5k DK) has posted 5/77/2 (TEMPLE) and 7/131/0 (UCF) in life without Coxie and has clearly benefited from Coxie’s absence. The TE Dykes ($7.8k FD/$7.2k DK) has seen a production decline without Coxie (not sure if this is just a small sample or there’s less room for him to operate without the threat of Coxie); he has 7 receptions for 59 yards and 1 TD in 2 games without Coxie. Javon Ivory ($6.6k FD/$4k DK) was inserted into the lineup when Coxie left the program. He has 7 receptions for 128 yards and 2 TDs in 2 games.

In 2020 (4 games), Memphis is 101st in passing yards allowed with 440.3 yards/game. They are 33rd in rushing yards allowed with 127.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (3.25 TD/game) this season.

Cincinnati (32 Implied Team Total)
Desmond Ridder ($9.5k FD/$8.3k DK) went OFF in last week’s 42-13 beatdown of SMU. The dual threat QB threw for 126 yards and 1 TD while also running for 179 yards and 3 TDs on 8 carries. He’s in another good spot this week but I wouldn’t expect a big rushing game from the Cincinnati signal caller. While Memphis owns one of the worst pass defenses in the country, they’ve been solid against the run. The Tigers are allowing 127.5 rushing yards (3.59 yards per carry); they’ve yielded 4 rushing TDs in 4 games. Meanwhile they have been blowtorched through the air. Memphis is allowing an eye popping 440.3 passing yards and they’ve been dusted for 13 pass TDs in 4 games. QB Ridder has tossed at least 1 TD in all 4 games; he’s thrown 2 TD passes in 3 out of 4 games. However, he’s been held under 200 passing yards in 3 out of 4 games. He’s a fine play this week as Memphis offers little resistance in the passing game. The Cincinnati offense favors the run (59.3/40.7 run-pass split) and averages 65.8 plays per game. Adding to Ridder and Cincinnati’s appeal is the fact that is a major pace up game as Memphis plays really fast on offense.

Gerrid Doaks ($9.1k FD/$7k DK) is the Bearcats primary RB. The senior runner has carried the ball 20+ times, eclipsed 100+ rushing yards, and found paydirt at least 1 time in 2 consecutive games. He’s viable as he’s also the 2nd leading pass catcher. Doaks has 7 receptions for 135 yards and 2 TDs via the passing game.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Michael Young Jr. (20), Jayshon Jackson (19), Josh Whyle (9), Bruno Labelle (9), Gerrid Doaks (7), and Alec Pierce (6 – 1 game).

The big news is that the Bearcats’ best WR Alec Pierce ($7.2k FD/$4.2k DK) returned to the lineup in last week’s win over SMU. The speedster posted 3/22/0 on 6 targets (37/657/2 on 59 targets last season). Jackson ($6.6k FD/$3.8k DK) and Young Jr. ($6.9k FD/$3.4k DK) both have 10 receptions to lead Cincinnati. Jackson has a team high 153 receiving yards (0 TD). Young Jr. has 101 receiving yards and 1 TD this season. TE Whyle ($6.5k FD/$3.5k DK) leads the Bearcats with 3 TD receptions. However, he has been held under 20 receiving yards in 3 straight despite scoring TDs in 2 consecutive games. In American Conference action (3 games), Memphis has allowed the following stat lines to enemy WRs: Reggie Roberson Jr. 5/243/3, Marlon Williams 13/191/1, Jaylen Robinson 10/173/2, and Randle Jones 12/118/0. Most of these WRs are speedsters which should bode well for Alec Pierce this week. He’s really cheap on DK.

In 2020 (4 game), Cincinnati is 22nd in passing yards allowed with 182.5 yards/game. They are 26th in rushing yards allowed with 120 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (.75 TD/game) and 1 TD through the air (.25 TD/game) this season.

LSU (33 Implied Team Total)
Myles Brennan ($9.6k FD/$7.5k DK) won’t play unless he’s deemed 100% healthy. If he can’t go and all signs are point that way, TJ Finley ($8.6k FD/$7.3k DK) would likely make his 2nd straight start. Brennan has thrown 337+ yards and 3 TDs+ in all 3 games that he’s played in this season. He’s attempted at least 37 passes in all 3 games as well. He’s viable if he’s able to play as the matchup with Auburn is relatively neutral. Auburn is allowing 220.4 passing yards and they’ve been beaten for 8 TD passes in 5 games. They’re allowing 7.45 yards per pass attempt. Finley played well in his 1st career start. He completed 17 out of 21 pass attempts for 265 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT. He also added 24 rushing yards and 1 TD on 8 carries. The LSU offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 74 plays per game. If Finley starts downgrade the LSU passing game and upgrade the running game. If Brennan plays, upgrade the passing game and downgrade the running game.Finley has been priced up this week after being listed as the minimum on the DK late slate last week.

LSU took a run-heavy approach in Finley’s 1st career start. John Emery Jr. ($7.3k FD/$5.8k DK) started but rotated with Tyrion Davis Price ($7.7k FD/$6.1k DK). Price ran for 135 yards and 1 TD on 22 carries while Emery tallied 88 rushing yards and 1 TD on 18 carries. TDP has a rushing TD in 2 straight games. He’s received at least 8 carries in 4 games. Chris Curry ($5.7k FD/$3.5k DK) has basically been phased out in the backfield. This week’s matchup with Auburn is pretty solid. Auburn is allowing 180.4 rushing yards to opposing backfields (4.08 yards per carry). They’ve surrendered 9 rushing TDs in 5 games.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Terrace Marshall Jr. (38), Arik Gilbert (21), Jaray Jenkins (15), Kayshon Boutte (13), Racey McMath (12), John Emery Jr. (12), Jontre Kirklin (11), and TDP (4).

Marshall Jr. ($10k FD/$7.8k DK) is out there playing a real-life video game. The star WR has at least 2 TD receptions in all 4 games. He’s recorded 6+ receptions in 3 out of the 4 games this season. In total he has 27 receptions, 512 receiving yards, and 9 TD receptions. Gilbert ($6.6k FD/$4.1k DK), the highly touted TE, has 16 receptions, 204 receiving yards, and 2 TDs through 4 games. He’s caught at least 2 balls in all 4 games. The freshman could be in a decent spot this week (along with slot WR Boutte) as Auburn has allowed decent stat lines to tight ends and slot WRs. He remains cheap on DK. Ole Miss TE Kenny Yeboah went for 4/83/0 last week to lead all Rebels WRs. Auburn allowed 5/95/2 to Arkansas slot WR De’Vion Warren and 9/147/0 to Georgia’s Kearis Jackson. Boutte ($5.7k FD/$3.2k DK) and Jenkins ($6k FD/$4.3k DK) are basically TD or bust plays. Jenkins has posted 11/204/0 while Boutte has 10/120/0.

In 2020 (4 game), LSU is 98th in passing yards allowed with 344 yards/game. They are 34th in rushing yards allowed with 127.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (2.75 TD/game) this season.

Auburn (31 Implied Team Total)
Bo Nix ($8.9k FD/$7.1k DK) has accounted for 8 out of the Tigers’ 13 offensive TDs this season. The sophomore is posting game averages of 221.4 passing yards, 38.6 rushing yards, and 1.6 total TDs. Like last week, Nix is in another great spot as LSU travel to Auburn. LSU has been torched by opposing signal callers; they’re allowing 344 passing yards per game. Moreover, they’re allowing 9.69 yards per pass attempt along with 11 TD passes in 4 games. The Auburn offense is operating a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 69.8 plays per game.

Tank Bigsby ($8.9k FD/$6.9k DK) has emerged as one of the best RBs in the country even though he’s only a freshman. The 5-star prospect is averaging 20 carries, 128.7 rushing yards, and 1 rushing TD over the last 3 games. He’s also tallied 11 receptions for 84 yards this season. The matchup with LSU’s run defense is an intriguing spot. LSU has allowed the following stat lines to enemy RBs in the last 2 games: Kevin Harris (SCAR) 12/126/2, Larry Rountree III (MIZZ) 18/119/0, Tyler Badie (MIZZ) 5/39/1 rushing and 3/28/1 receiving.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Anthony Schwartz (53), Seth Williams (52), Eli Stove (17 – 4 games), Tank Bigsby (13), and Ze’Vian Capers (9 – 4 games).
Williams ($8.8k FD/$6k DK) and Schwartz ($7.4k FD/$4.9k DK) are the clear-cut top 2 pass catchers. Williams has at least 3 receptions in all 5 games. He’s cleared 70 receiving yards in 4 out of 5 games. Schwartz has caught at least 6 passes in 4 straight games from the slot. In total, he has 34 receptions for 299 yards and 1 TD. He’s a better play on DK due to the full point PPR. Williams has 24 receptions, 440 receiving yards, and 3 TDs this season. He’s a good play on both sites. Eli Stove ($6.5k FD/$4.8k DK) has 12 receptions for 82 yards and 1 TD over the last 2 games.

In 2020 (5 games), Auburn is 40th in passing yards allowed with 220.4 yards/game. They are 65th in rushing yards allowed with 180.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (1.8 TD/game) and 8 TDs through the air (1.6 TD/game) this season.

TCU (25 Implied Team Total)
I’m not overly interested in any Horned Frogs this week. QB Max Duggan ($6.8k DK) is about the only player worth considering due to his ability to make plays with his feet. The matchup with Baylor isn’t great as the Bears are holding opposing QBs to 213.2 passing yards (and 6.53 yards per pass attempt). They’ve only surrendered 2 pass TDs in 3 games. The TCU offense has been held to 14 points in 2 consecutive weeks despite matchups with Oklahoma and Kansas State. The TCU run game is nearly non-existent.

QB Duggan leads TCU in rushing with 150 yards and 3 TDs on 52 carries. Meanwhile, Daimarqua Foster ($3.6k DK) led the Horned Frogs with 20 yards rushing on 5 carries last week (1 TD). I’m not sure why TCU hasn’t let 5-star freshman RB Zach Evans ($3.9k DK) loose yet. It’s encouraging seeing that he caught 5 passes for 56 yards in last week’s loss (he had 1 carry for 10 yards). If you’re playing MME, he could be worth a dart throw hoping his role continues to expand. The Baylor run defense has allowed 7 TDs in 3 games though they’re only allowing 3.58 yards per carry.

Taye Barber (26), Blair Conwright (19), and Quentin Johnson (13) are the 3 most targeted Horned Frogs. Barber ($5.4k DK) has been targeted 5+ times in all 4 games. He’s cleared 50 receiving yards in 3 out of those 4 games. Conwright ($4k DK) has yet to clear 75 receiving yards this season in any single game. Johnson ($4.2k DK) is a big bodied freshman that has cleared 40 yards receiving in 3 out of 4 games. However, he has low floor as evidenced by his airball against KSU in Game 3.

In 2020 (4 games), TCU is 42nd in passing yards allowed with 224 yards/game. They are 63rd in rushing yards allowed with 175.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1.5 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (1.75 TD/game) this season.

Baylor (22 Implied Team Total)
Baylor has been one of the bigger disappoints in the 2020 season. Charlie Brewer ($6.5k DK) has been held under 260 yards in all 3 games despite attempting 38+ passes in 2 of those games. On the bright side, the senior QB has tossed 5 TDs over the last 2 games. The Baylor signal caller had 21 TD passes and 11 rushing TDs in 2019. Brewer finds himself in advantageous spot against TCU’s vulnerable secondary. TCU blew several coverages in last week’s loss to Oklahoma. Through 4 games, the Horned Frogs are allowing 224 passing yards and 7 pass TDs. They’re allowing 8.96 yards per pass attempt which is pretty bad. The Bears offense is favoring the pass (52.2/47.8 pass-run split) and averages 67.7 plays per game.

Despite rumors that both John Lovett ($4.2k DK) and Trestan Ebner ($5.5k DK) were opting out, HC Dave Aranda came out and proclaimed that both guys were still with the program and expected to play this week. Lovett leads the Bears with 122 rushing yards and 1 TD on 35 carries. Ebner has recorded 55 rushing yards and 1 TD on 19 carries. Lovett has 5 receptions for 21 yards and 1 TD while Ebner is the Bears’ second leading pass catcher with 10 receptions, 115 receiving yards, and 1 TD. Both guys were limited to 4 carries in last week’s loss as Baylor fell behind by 17 early in the 3rd quarter and were forced to throw for most of the second half. With Baylor installed as 2-point favorites, I’d favor Lovett over Ebner this week. This is a good spot for the Baylor backfield as TCU is getting ripped for 5.2 yards per carry by opposing ball carriers. TJ Pledger (22/122/2) and Breece Hall (18/154/3) have put up monster numbers against TCU this season. If the rumors do indeed come true related to Lovett and Ebner, expect Craig Williams ($3.3k DK) to handle the primary RB duties. The freshman has 78 rushing yards and 1 TD on 8 carries. It remains to be seen if the diminutive RB can handle a full workload (listed as 5’8” and 172lbs).

Notable target counts through 3 games: RJ Sneed (26), Gavin Holmes (21), Tyquan Thornton (15), Josh Fleeks (12), Trestan Ebner (11), and John Lovett (5).

Snead ($5k DK) leads all Bears with 16 receptions, 168 receiving yards, and 1 TD through 3 games. He’s drawn 8+ targets and caught 4+ balls in all 3 games. The junior has cleared 50 receiving yards in all 3 games. He’s the best bet to take advantage of a TCU secondary that was dusted by OU freshman Marvin Mims for 4/132/2. The sophomore, Holmes ($4.2k DK), has drawn 17 targets over the last 2 games. He posted his best career game against Texas (8/61/1). The sophomore was a former top 100 recruit. Thornton ($4k DK), last year’s leading WR, has drawn 7 targets in 2 consecutive games. He’s caught 4 balls in each of those games but has yet to clear 50 yards receiving this season. Fleeks ($3.6k DK) has drawn 4 targets in all 3 games. He’s recorded 11/92/1 in 3 games.

In 2020 (3 games), Baylor is 35th in passing yards allowed with 213.3 yards/game. They are 53rd in rushing yards allowed with 154 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (2.33 TD/game) and 2 TDs through the air (.67 TD/game) this season.

Notre Dame (39.5 Implied Team Total)
Ian Book ($9.7k FD/$7k DK) is coming off his best passing game of the season as he threw for 312 yards and 3 TDs in last week’s 45-3 beatdown of Pittsburgh’s struggling pass defense. Through 5 games, the senior is posting game averages of 205.2 passing yards, 33.2 rushing yards, and 2.2 total TDs. Book has accounted for 11 of the Irish’s 21 offensive TDs this season. This is a phenomenal spot for the dual threat QB and he has relatively cheap price tag on DK. Georgia Tech has allowed a slate high 18 pass TDs in only 6 games this season. Opposing QBs have posted some incredible stat lines against Georgia Tech this season (most recent 1st): BC’s Jurkovec threw for 145 yards and 2 TDs while also rushing for 94 yards, CLEM’s Lawrence threw for 404 yards and 5 TDs (in basically a half of football), LVILLE’s Cunningham threw for 229 yards and 2 TDs while running for 50 yards and 2 TDs, even SYR’s DeVito threw for 194 yards and 2 TDs while running for 23 yards. The Notre Dame offense is favoring the run (63.9/36.1 run-pass split) and averaging 71.4 plays per game.

Kyren Williams ($9.2k FD/$7.2k DK) is the starting RB and he’s blazing fast. The sophomore has 524 yards rushing and 5 TDs on 90 carries while also catching 10 passes for 156 yards. The emerging RB has received 19+ carries in 4 out of 5 games this season. He’s topped 110 rushing yards in 3 out of 5 games. He’s in a great spot against Georgia Tech’s porous defense. The Yellow Jackets have been hammered for nearly 200 rushing yards per game; they’ve allowed 13 rush TDs in only 6 games. They’re allowing a crisp 4.62 yards per carry. He’s another one of the multiple stud RBs on this slate. C’Bo Flemister ($5.7k FD/$3.8k DK) is the 1st RB off the bench. If this game turns into a blowout he could rack up the carries. The junior has received 13 carries in 2 out of the 3 games he’s played in this season.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Michael Mayer (18), Javon McKinley (18), Kyren Williams (17), Tommy Tremble (16), Braden Lenzy (10), Avery Davis (10), Ben Skowronek (6 – 3 games), and C’Bo Flemister (1).

The 5-star freshman prospect, Mayer ($6.2k FD/$3.8k DK), is emerging this season as one of the Irish’s most reliable pass catcher. The TE has a TD reception in 2 out of the last 3 games. In 5 games, Mayer has 12 receptions for 153 yards and 2 TDs. McKinley ($7k/$4.2k DK) is the deep threat in the passing game. He’s a boom or bust play as he’s had 2 games with 50+ receiving yards and 2 games with below 10 receiving yards. Tremble ($5.4k FD/$3.3k DK) is the other passing catching TE; he’s been held under 10 receiving yards in 3 consecutive games. Skrowenek ($7.6k FD/$5.5k DK) roasted Pittsburgh for 2/107/2 in last week’s win (will caution that he’s only drawn 5 targets in the last 2 games so it’s no slam dunk but he should see plenty of action in the slot this week). Plus, Pittsburgh has been blowtorched by pass catchers with size which the 6’3” Skro fit that bill. Georgia Tech has struggled to defend the middle of the field this season. Slot WRs such as Marlon Williams (UCF) posted 10/154/2, Nykeim Johnson (SYR) went for 4/87/1, Tutu Atwell (LVILLE) posted 6/52/1, and Amare Rodgers dropped (CLEM) 6/161/2. Braden Lenzy is out so Ben Skrowenek figures to start in the slot for ND this week. The Yellow Jackets also allowed 5/89/1 to Louisville TE Marshon Ford which makes Mayer viable this week as well. For the $, I’d easily favor Mayer or Skro this week.

In 2020 (5 games), Notre Dame is 17th in passing yards allowed with 178.2 yards/game. They are 13th in rushing yards allowed with 94.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (.6 TD/game) and 2 TDs through the air (.4 TD/game) this season.

Georgia Tech (19 Implied Team Total)
Jeff Sims ($7.6k FD/$5.5k DK) has accounted for 12 out of the Yellow Jackets’ 20 offensive TDs this season. The freshman is posting game averages of 199.3 passing yards, 45.8 rushing yards, and 2 total TDs. While I’m usually on Sims, I’m not high on him this week as the Yellow Jackets welcome Notre Dame. The Irish have one of the nation’s best defenses. They’ve only allowed 5 total TDs on defense in 5 games this season.

Jaymry Gibbs ($7.6k FD/$6.2k DK) got the start at RB even with last season’s leading rusher Jordan Mason ($4.2k DK) back in the lineup. Gibbs was held to 9 yards rushing on 8 carries while Mason managed 27 rushing yards on 6 carries. Both recorded 37 receiving yards (4 receptions for Gibbs, 1 for Mason). Neither guy is appealing against Notre Dame’s stout run defense. The Irish are holding opposing backfields to just under 95 rushing yards. They’ve yielded 2 rush TDs through 5 games (allowing 3.25 yards per carry).

Notable target counts through 6 games: Jalen Camp (30), Malachi Carter (27), Ahmarean Brown (21), Jahmyr Gibbs (20 – 5 games), and Jordan Mason (3 – 2 games).

This is a complete avoid spot. While QB Gibbs will eventually become an efficient passer, he’s only completing 55.8% of his passes through 6 games as a freshman. He hasn’t attempted more than 21 passes in 3 straight games. All Georgia Tech WRs are risky as a result. If I had to pick one, it’d be Ahmarean Brown ($6.3k FD/$3.5k DK). He’s coming off 4/75/1 against Boston College. The sophomore led all Yellow Jackets pass catchers with 7 TD receptions a season ago.

In 2020 (6 games), Georgia Tech is 81st in passing yards allowed with 280.5 yards/game. They are 53rd in rushing yards allowed with 154 yards/game. The defense has given up 13 TDs on the ground (2.17 TD/game) and 18 TDs through the air (3 TD/game) this season.

Indiana (32.5 Implied Team Total)
Indiana travels to Rutgers in a typical let-down spot after upsetting Penn State in the season opener. Dynamic athlete Michael Penix ($6.2k DK) threw for 170 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT while also adding a rushing TD. The sophomore played in 6 games last season and accounted for 12 TDs. Penix ran for 119 yards and 2 TDs on 22 attempts in those 6 games last season. Additionally, the dual threat QB started against Rutgers in 2019 and threw for 282 yards and 3 TDs. Penix squares off with a Rutgers defense that allowed MSU’s Rocky Lombardi to throw for 319 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 INT albeit Lombardi was forced to the air as Rutgers ran out to a big lead early in the game. Penix figures to be popular at his current price tag on DK. The Indiana offense operated at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averaged 72.3 plays per game last season.

Stevie Scott ($7.4k DK) ran for 57 yards and 2 TDs on 20 carries while also catching 3 balls for 11 yards in the season opener against a solid Penn State defense. The junior is a good bet between to receive 15+ carries this week (9 straight games with 12+ carries). Scott is one of the better RBs in the B1G Ten; he’s found paydirt 11 times in each of the last two seasons. He encounters a Rutgers defense that held MSU ball carriers to 50 rushing yards on 39 carries. While that’s impressive, I’m not ready to believe that they have a strong run defense. In 2019, they had one of the worst run defenses in the nation. They allowed 202.2 rushing yards and 2.4 rushing TDs per game (5.0 yards per carry). Rutgers is a better team and they had an influx of talent due to new coach Greg Schiano. However, this is still a very good spot for the talented Scott.

Target counts from the season opener: Ty Fryfogle (10), Whop Philyor (9), Miles Marshall (5), Peyton Hendershot (4), Stevie Scott (3), Javon Swinton (2), and Jacolby Hewitt (2).

Fryfogle ($4.1k DK), Philyor ($5.4k DK), and Marshall ($4.3k DK) started in the season opener. Marshall was injured in the season opener and his status is unknown for this week. He posted 4/46/0 against Penn State. The sophomore played sparingly last season and is a former 3-star prospect. Hewitt ($3k DK) (1/14/0 in season opener) would likely receive the start if Marshall can’t go this week. Marshall starts at the z-receiver spot; MSU’s Jayden Reed went for 11/128/2 as the Z-receiver against Rutgers last week. Fryfogle caught 2 out of his team high 10 targets for 27 yards. The senior posted 45/604/3 in 2019. Phiylor, the Hoosiers’ best pass catcher, caught 5 passes for 36 yards and 1 TD in the season opener. The senior pasted Rutgers for 10/182/0 in last season’s matchup from the slot. He’s in a good spot as Rutgers allowed fellow MSU slot man Jaylon Nailor to post a stat line of 6/84/1. Lastly, Hendershot ($3.6k DK) was held to 2 receptions for 13 yards in the season opener. The starting TE had 52 receptions, 622 receiving yards, and 2 TDs in 2019. He’s a decent source of salary relief on DK this week.

In 2020 (1 game), Indiana is 49th in passing yards allowed with 238 yards/game. They are 95th in rushing yards allowed with 250 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (3 TD/game) this season.

Rutgers (21 Implied Team Total)
Former Nebraska QB Noah Vedral ($6.1k DK) was the Scarlet Knights starter in their season opening win against Michigan State. The dual threat signal caller threw for 169 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT while also running for 24 yards and 1 TD on 9 attempts. The senior has played sparingly over his career; in 3 seasons with Nebraska/UCF Vedral completed 76 out of 119 pass attempts for 892 yards, 2 TDs, and 2 INT. He also tallied 220 rushing yards and 7 TDs on 64 carries. While he’s not as good as PSU’s QB Sean Clifford, he does make for an interesting play this week. Clifford threw for 238 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 INT against IU in the season opener. He also ran for 119 yards and 1 TD on 17 carries. As noted above in the IU section, Rutgers did bring in a whole new coaching staff. While they’ll probably still stink this season, they should be significantly better than in past years. Rutgers tallied 30 pass plays and 41 run plays in their season opener.

The versatile Isaiah Pacheco ($6.8k DK) is Rutgers’ primary RB. The junior ran for 62 yards and 2 TDs on 19 carries while also catching 5 balls for 37 yards in the season opener. He’ll look to take advantage of an IU run defense that allowed 4.8 yards per carry to Penn State ball carriers. Pacheco is probably Rutgers best skill player on offense. Despite splitting time with Raheem Blackshear in 2019, Pacheco managed to run for 729 yards and 7 TDs while also catching 13 passes for 83 yards.

Target counts from the season opener: Bo Melton (6), Aron Cruickshank (6), Isaiah Pacheco (5), Jovani Haskins (4), Shameen Jones (3), Matt Alaimo (1), and Aaron Young (1).

Melton ($4.3k DK) is the Scarlet Knights’ top returning pass catcher from 2019 (30/427/2). He led all Rutgers’ WR with 4 receptions for 50 yards in the season opener. Cruickshank ($3.8k DK) is a transfer from Wisconsin. The speedy junior started the 2020 season off with 4 receptions for 43 yards in last week’s win. He also received 1 carry (0 yards rushing). Jones ($4.8k DK) is the 3rd starting WR; he was the recipient of QB Vedral’s lone TD pass (3/32/1). The senior played sparingly in his 1st three seasons with Rutgers. He’ll likely be the 3rd or 4 the option in the pass game. Haskins is the starting TE; he transferred from West Virginia. Haskins came down with 1 out of 4 targets; he had 6 receiving yards in the season opener. To sum it up, you’re either rostering Melton or Cruickshank if you’re considering a Rutgers WR. Cruickshank, the starting slot WR, looks like the better play after IU gave up 4/94/1 to PSU slot WR Jahan Dotson last week.

In 2020 (1 games), Rutgers is 93rd in passing yards allowed with 319 yards/game. They are 2nd in rushing yards allowed with 50 yards/game. The defense has given up 0 TDs on the ground (0 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (3 TD/game) this season.

Mississippi (41 Implied Team Total)
While starting QB Matt Corral ($8.5k DK) lost some time to John Rhys Plumlee ($6.5k DK), Corral managed to rack up an impressive stat line at Auburn. The sophomore threw for 154 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT while also running for 88 yards and 2 TDs on 10 carries. Through 5 games, Corral is posting game averages of 286.8 passing yards, 51.6 rushing yards, and 2.8 total TDs. He’s in a great spot as the Rebels travel to SEC bottom feeder, Vanderbilt. The ‘Dores are struggling against the pass this season; they’re allowing 240.7 passing yards per game. They’ve been beaten for 5 TD passes in 3 games. They’re also allowing a sturdy 8.11 yards per pass attempt. Corral is fine a tournament play and will likely carry less ownership than normal due to the possibility of losing game action to John Rhys Plumlee. The Ole Miss offense is favoring the run (60.8/39.2 run-pass split) and averages 80.2 plays per game.

Jarrion Ealy ($6.6k DK) and Snoop Conner ($4.3k DK) are the Rebels 2 primary ball carriers. Ealy leads all Ole Miss ball carriers with 429 rushing yards and 6 TDs on 85 carries. He’s also caught 8 balls for 99 yards in 5 games. Ealy has at least 1 TD in all 5 games; he’s cleared 70 rushing yards in 4 out of 5 games. He’s also received 16+ carries in 4 out of 5 games. Connor has 294 rushing yards and 4 TDs on 65 carries. He’s averaging 16.1 carries per game over the last 3 games. This is a smash spot for the Ole Miss backfield. Vanderbilt has been crushed via the ground game this season. Here are the stat lines against the ‘Dores in the 3 games they’ve played in 2020: Isaiah Spiller (TAMU) 8/117/0, John Emery Jr. (LSU) 12/103/1, and Kevin Harris (SCAR) 21/172/2. Vanderbilt has allowed 7 rushing TDs in 3 games; they’re allowing a slate high 6.46 yards per carry.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Elijah Moore (58), Jonathan Mingo (26), Kenny Yeboah (22), Dontario Drummond (16), Jerrion Ealy (11), and Snoop Conner (5).

Slot man Moore ($8.4k DK) has had a tremendous season so far (47/591/3). He’s caught 10+ passes in 4 out of 5 games. He’s either scored a TD or topped 110-receiving yards in all 5 games. As usual, Moore makes for a fantastic play this week. Mingo ($4.9k DK) has been relatively quiet outside of his explosing in Game 2 (8/128/2); he has 5 receptions for 60 yards and 1 TD in the other 4 games combined. Yeboah ($6.4k DK) (19/438/4) has cleared 80 receiving yards in 4 out of 5 games and looks to be the 2nd option in the passing game behind Moore. Through 3 games, Vanderbilt has allowed 11 receptions for 147 yards to TEs. Drummond ($4.1k DK) is the last relevant pass catcher (7/112/2). He has just 5 receptions for 52 yards over the last 4 games.

In 2020 (5 games), Ole Miss is 91st in passing yards allowed with 299.2 yards/game. They are 97th in rushing yards allowed with 256.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 18 TDs on the ground (3.6 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Vanderbilt (23 Implied Team Total)
Ken Seals ($5k DK) will start at QB this week against Ole Miss. Through 3 games, Seals is posting game averages of 137 passing yards, -9.9 rushing yards, and 1 TD pass (thrown 4 picks). The Dores’ have scored 7,7, and 12 points in SEC action this season. The freshman has thrown 29 or fewer passes in all 3 games. This is the best spot Seals and the ‘Dores offense will encounter all season. Ole Miss has one of the worst defenses in the country. The Rebels have coughed up at least 33 points in all 5 games this season (including 10 TD passes). They’re allowing nearly 300 passing yards per game; they’re allowing an eye popping 9.41 yards per pass attempt. The ‘Dores offense is favoring the run (58.5/41.5 run-pass split) and averages 65 plays per game.

Keyon Henry-Brooks ($3.9k DK) is on top of this week’s depth chart with Jamauri Wakefield ($4.2k DK) listed as the 2nd RB. Leading rusher Javion Marlow was not listed on this week’s depth chart which indicates he will not suit up this week. Brooks lead the ‘Dores with 72 rushing yards on 13 carries in Game 3 (41-7 loss to SCAR). While Ole Miss is bad against the pass, they’re somehow even worse against the run. Over the last 4 games, they’ve allowed the following stat lines: Chris Rodriguez Jr. (UK) 17/133/2, Najee Harris (ALA) 23/206/5, and Tank Bigsby (AUB) 24/129/2. Ole Miss has allowed a slate high 18 rushing TDs in 5 games; they’re allowing 5.86 yards per carry. KHB is a former 3-star prospect; he ran for 252 yards and 1 TD on 56 carries as reserve last season. He’s a fine play this week and will be popular due to the cheap price tag on DK and matchup with Ole Miss.

Target counts through 3 games: Cam Johnson (13), Amir Abdur-Rahman (13), Ben Bresnahan (13), Chris Pierce Jr. (9), Jamauri Wakefield (5), Jayden Harrison (5), and Keyon Henry-Brooks (4). Outside of the

Johnson ($4.2k DK) leads the ‘Dores with 9 receptions and 127 receiving yards. He has 1 TD reception this season. The junior was the ‘Dores top returning pass catcher from 2019. He posted 30/316/2 on 44 targets a season ago. Abdur-Rahman ($4.1k DK) trails Johnson with 8 receptions, 122 receiving yards, and 1 TD through 3 games. The TE Bresnahan ($3.7k DK) has 3+ receptions in all 3 games (11/97/1). Pierce Jr. has been held to 20 or less receiving yards in all 3 games (3/29/0). Kentucky game, Ole Miss has allowed at least 1 pass catcher to pile 8+ receptions, 100+ receiving yards, and 1+ TD (allowed 7/88/0 to UK best WR Josh Ali). Typically, they’ve been torched by the opposing team’s top WR (Kyle Pitts, Josh Ali, DeVonta Smith, Treylon Burks, and Seth Williams). There’s a debate to be had whether Johnson or Abdur-Rahman is the ‘Dores best WR but I’ll side with Johnson. He’s a former 4-star prospect. Both guys are playable against Ole Miss but I probably wouldn’t play both in the same lineup.

In 2020 (3 games), Vanderbilt is 52nd in passing yards allowed with 240.7 yards/game. They are 84th in rushing yards allowed with 211 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (2.33 TD/game) and 5 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

Texas (28 Implied Team Total)
Sam Ehlinger ($11k FD/$9.9k DK) has accounted for 3+ TDs in all 5 games this season. The senior QB is posting game averages of 296.2 passing yards, 58.6 rushing yards, and 4.8 total TDs. He possesses one of the highest upsides in college football. Unfortunately, this week’s matchup with Oklahoma State will be arguably his toughest test of the season. The Cowboys have only allowed 6 total TDs on defense this season. They’re holding opposing passers to 176.0 passing yards and a paltry 5.72 yards per attempt. That said, I think he makes for a fine tournament play as he’ll carry lower ownership than normal due to the matchup. Brock Purdy recorded one of his best fantasy performances of the season against Oklahoma State last week (18). With Oklahoma State starting Spencer Sanders at QB that increases the chances that this game turns into a shoot-out. The Texas offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 76 plays per game.

QB Ehlinger is the Longhorns leading rusher. He has 293 rushing yards and 7 rushing TDs on 65 carries this season. Keoantay Ingram ($7.2k FD/$5.1k DK), Roschon Johnson ($6.2k FD/$3.4k DK), and Bijon Robinson ($5.6k FD/$3.8k DK) all see time in the backfield. Ingram received a season high 16 carries in last week’s win over Baylor (57 rushing yards). The 5-star prospect Robinson rushed for 55 yards on 12 carries while Johnson received 1 carry. Johnson was injured leading up to the Baylor game so I’m not sure if he’s being fazed out or if Texas was taking it easy on him. Regardless, this is a dicey spot for the Texas backfield this week. Despite getting diced up by Breece Hall (20/185/1) last week, Oklahoma State is limiting opposing ball carriers to 3.46 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 3 rushing TDs in 3 games. The likely RBBC makes this situation rather unappealing.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Joshua Moore (34), Brennan Eagles (23), Tarik Black (19), Brendan Schooler (16), Jake Smith (12 – 2 games), Keoantay Ingram (11), Cade Brewer (9), Jared Wiley (8), Bijan Robinson (6), and Roschon Johnson (3).

The only WRs worth considering this week are Moore ($9.2k FD/$6.7k DK), Smith ($6.7k FD/$4.8k DK), and Eagles ($7.1k FD/$4.5k DK). Moore is the Longhorns’ best WR and he’s recorded a TD reception in 4 out of 5 games. He’s also gone over 70 receiving yards in 3 out of 5 games. Eagles has 3 TD receptions through 5 games; however, he’s been held to 45 or less receiving yards in all 5 games. Smith has drawn 6 targets in the 2 games that he’s played in this season. The slot WR has 7 receptions for 63 yards and 1 TD. Oklahoma State has surrendered solid box scores to the following perimeter WRs: Tulsa’s Josh Johnson 5/63/1, WVU’s Winston Wright 6/127/1, and ISU’s Xavier Hutchinson 8/68/1. Wright is a Z-receiver while Hutchinson plays the X. In Texas’ offense, Moore plays the Z while Eagles mans the X.

In 2020 (5 games), Texas is 68th in passing yards allowed with 253 yards/game. They are 40th in rushing yards allowed with 130.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (1.8 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Oklahoma State (31.5 Implied Team Total)
Spencer Sanders ($9.1k FD/$6.6k DK) returned to the lineup in Oklahoma State’s 24-21 win over Iowa State last week. The dynamic sophomore threw for 235 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT while also running for 71 yards and 1 TD. Sanders averaged 62.5 rushing yards a season ago. This week’s matchup with Texas is interesting. While Texas has surrendered 10 pass TDs in only 5 games, they are limiting opposing passers to 6.11 yards per pass attempt. In 2019, Sanders threw for 268 yards and ran for 109 yards and 1 TD against Texas. The Oklahoma State offense favors the run (66.7/33.3 run-pass split) and averages 75.8 plays per game.

Not much to say about Chuba Hubbard ($9.7k FD/$8k DK). The OSU star has topped 100-yards rushing in 14 out of his last 15 games. He received a whopping 37 carries in last season’s matchup with Texas (121 rushing yards and 2 TDs). The junior is one of the few RBs we can project for 20+ carries (all 4 games with at least 20 carries). He’s clearly a great play on a weekly basis. In Big 10 action, Texas coughed up 150+ total yards and 1 TD to TT’s SaRodrick Thompson, allowed 2 rush TDs to TCU QB Max Duggan, and were trucked by OU’s TJ Pledger for 150+ total yards and 2 TDs.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Tylan Wallace (37), Dillon Stoner (15), Braydon Johnson (12), Jelani Woods (7), and Chuba Hubbard (4).

Tylan Wallace ($8.7k FD/$7.1k DK) is basically the only DFS relevant pass catcher on the OSU roster. The star WR has drawn 10+ targets in 3 straight games. He’s caught 4+ passes and cleared 75 receiving yards in all 4 games. In total, the senior has 24 receptions, 401 receiving yards, and 2 TDs. The future pro posted 5/83/0 in last season’s matchup with Texas. The Longhorns have not allowed an individual WR to go for 100-yards plus in 4 conference games (TT, OU, TCU, and Baylor). Regardless I like Wallace a lot this week especially with Sanders back at QB. Johnson ($6.1k FD/$4k DK) has upside as he posted 4/74/1 against Kansas but there’s a chance he also airballs.

In 2020 (4 games), OSU is 16th in passing yards allowed with 176 yards/game. They are 32nd in rushing yards allowed with 127 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (.75 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (.75 TD/game) this season.

Virginia Tech (35.5 Implied Team Total)
Hendon Hooker ($10.4k FD/$8.8k DK) is an incredible athlete playing QB. However, he struggles throwing the ball. In 2+ games of action this season, the junior has completed 35 out of 61 pass attempts for 470 yards, 4 TDs, and 2 INT. He’s also run for 291 yards and 4 TDs on 43 carries. Ideally, Virginia Tech would like to run the ball with him, Herbert, and Blackshear and keep the pass attempts under 25. In 9 career starts, Hooker has only eclipsed 300 passing yards 1 time. The matchup with Louisville is solid but Louisville has defended each the last 2 dual threat QBs incredibly well (ND’s Book and FSU’s Travis). However, Hooker should have a stable floor as Louisville ceded 45+ rushing yards and 1 TD to both Book and Travis. He’s a fine play in a game that should shoot-out. Louisville is allowing 196.5 passing yards (6.82 yards per pass attempt). They’ve surrendered 10 pass TDs in 6 games. The Hokies offense favors the run (65/35) and averages 68.4 plays per game.

Khalil Herbert ($9.6k FD/$7.9k DK) has been phenomenal as the Hokies starting RB. The former Kansas Jayhawk has topped 100 total yards in all 5 games this season. He’s rushed for over 100 yards in all but 1 game this season. The talented RB has received 14+ carries in 4 straight games. Herbert also has 5 receptions for 114 yards and 1 TD reception. Raheem Blackshear ($6.1k FD/$3.6k DK) saw a decent amount of action in last week’s upset loss to Wake Forest. The former Hokie carried the ball 11 times for 34 yards (2nd game with at least 11 carries). He also added 1 reception for 19 yards. His upside is limited with QB Hooker and RB Herbert around. Teams with legitimate running games (MIA, GT, and ND) have dented the box score against Louisville. Miami’s Cam’Ron Harris ran for 134 yards and 1 TD on 9 carries. Georgia Tech’s Jahmyr Gibbs went for 121 total yards and 2 TDs while Notre Dame’s Kyren Williams ran for 125 yards on 25 carries. Herbert is a viable pivot off the much chalkier Chuba Hubbard on DK.

Notable target counts through 5 games: James Mitchell (28), Tayvion Robinson (28), Tre Turner (19), Khalil Herbert (8), and Raheem Blackshear (7).

Mitchell ($7.7k FD/$5.2k DK), the TE, has a TD reception in 4 out of 5 games this season. He’s caught at least 2 balls in all 5 games. The junior has cleared 50 receiving yards in 3 out of 5 games. He’s probably the best pass catcher to pair if playing Hooker (also the most expensive too). The best stat line against Louisville’s pass defense was in Game 2 by MIA TE Brevin Jordan (7/120/1). No other pass catchers have reached 90+ receiving yards against the Cardinals this season. Slot WR Robinson ($6.8k FD/$4.6k DK) has 15 receptions for 231 yards and 2 TDs through 5 games (2 carries and 22 rushing yards). Robinson has been held to 45 or less receiving yards in 4 out of 5 games. I keep waiting for Tre Turner ($6.4k FD/$3.8k DK) to breakout but it hasn’t happened up to this point. The versatile WR posted his best game of the season in last week’s loss (5/61/0). He also has 56 rushing yards on 4 carries.

In 2020 (5 games), VT is 61st in passing yards allowed with 247.6 yards/game. They are 78th in rushing yards allowed with 200.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (2.2 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (1.4 TD/game) this season.

Louisville (32 Implied Team Total)
Malik Cunningham ($9k FD/$8k DK) has accounted for 15 of the Louisville’s 22 offensive TDs this season. Through 6 games, the dual threat QB is posting game averages of 232.7 passing yards, 28.8 rushing yards, and 2.5 total TDs. He provides leverage off the chalky RB Hawkins in tournaments this week. Virginia Tech is equipped with a middling to below average pass defense. The Hokies are allowing nearly 250 passing yards and they’ve allowed 7 pass TDs in 5 games. Moreover, they’re allowing 7.55 yards per pass attempt which ranks in the bottom 3rd on the large DK slate. The Louisville offense is favoring the run (57/43 run-pass split) and averages 65.8 plays per game.

Javian Hawkins ($9.4k FD/$7.6k DK) is another smash spot this week against Virginia’s tech atrocious run defense. The sophomore went OFF against Florida State for 16/174/3. He’s rushed for over 150 yards in 3 out of 5 games. In total, Hawkins has run for 693 yards and 6 TDs on 116 carries. He also has 11 receptions for 85 yards. The Hokies are allowing nearly 5 yards per carry (and 187.6 rushing yards allowed per game) and they’ve been ceded 10 rush TDs in 6 games. Hawkins is one of the best RB options this week.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Tutu Atwell (50), Dez Fitzpatrick (32), Marshon Ford (21), Javian Hawkins (12), Braden Smith (11), and Justin Marshall (11).

Clearly Atwell ($8.7k FD/$6.8k DK) is one of the best WRs in the country. Through 5 games, he has 32 receptions, 450 receiving yards, and 5 TDs. The junior numbers have taken a slight dip this season. He went over the 100-yard receiving mark in 7 out of 13 games last season. He’s cleared 100-yards receiving in only 2 out of 6 games this season. This week’s game with Virginia Tech is looking favorable to the slot man Atwell. Over the last 3 games, Virginia Tech has allowed the following stat lines to slot WRs: WF’s Jacquarri Roberson led all Deacons with 6/46/0, BC’s Jaelin Gil led all pass catchers with 6/104/1, and UNC’s Dazz Newsome went for 7/69/1 which was his best game of the season. Fitzpatrick ($7.1k FD/$3.9k DK) is the Cardinals’ 2nd leading WR with 17 receptions, 285 receiving yards, and 1 TD. He’s been held under 40 yards receiving in 4 straight games. The senior just missed catching 2 long passes in last week’s blowout win. Marshon Ford ($6.4k FD/$4.2k DK) is the last relevant Louisville pass catcher. He’s a TD or bust play. The red zone threat has 18 receptions, 189 receiving yards, and 4 TDs. He led all ACC TEs with 7 TD receptions in 2019.

In 2020 (6 games), Louisville is 30th in passing yards allowed with 196.5 yards/game. They are 68th in rushing yards allowed with 187.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 10 TDs on the ground (1.67 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

Mississippi State (16 Implied Team Total)
KJ Costello ($7.2k FD) has been replaced in the 2nd half of each of the last 2 games by Will Rogers ($7k FD) due to turnovers and ineffectiveness. HC Mike Leach proclaimed the two are neck and neck this week. I suspect Rogers may state after completing 15 out of 18 pass attempts for 120 yards and 1 TD in last week’s loss to Texas A&M. The matchup on the road against Alabama will be a challenge however Alabama has been surprisingly bad against the pass this season. The Crimson Tide are allowing nearly 280 yards passing which includes 7.77 yards per pass attempt. They’ve surrendered 10 pass TDs in 5 games. If Rogers starts, he’s an OK tournament play that will carry almost no ownership (I wouldn’t do this on the main slate though, I’m talking late slate only). However, if Costello starts the situation is probably best to avoid entirely. The MSU offense is favoring the pass (75.7/24.3 pass-run split) and averages 76 plays per game.

Jo’Quaivais Marks ($6.9k FD) is the primary RB and he rotates with Dillon Johnson ($6k FD). Marks leads the Bulldogs with 89 rushing yards on 22 carries while Johnson has 46 rushing yards and 1 TD on 12 carries. However, Marks is tied for the team lead with 23 receptions (101 receiving yards and 0 TD receptions). The freshman has caught 9+ balls in 2 out of the last 3 games. Johnson has tallied 11 receptions for 43 yards this season.

Notable target counts through 4 games: JaVonta Payton (28), Jo’Quavias Marks (27), Osirius Mitchell (27), Malik Heath (20), Jaden Walley (18), Austin Williams (18 – 3 games), Cameron Gardner (17 – 3 games), and Dillon Johnson (12).

Payton ($6.4k FD) has been quiet in 2 straight games after starting the season with 8/147/1 in the 1st 2 games. Over the last 2 games, he has 7 receptions for 43 yards on 13 targets. MSU QBs are posting a brutal 47.3 passer rating when targeting Payton. Mitchell ($7.3k FD), top returning WR from 2019, has 5+ receptions in 3 out of 4 games. He’s been held under 65 receiving yards in 3 games since posting 7/183/2 in the season opener. Heath ($6.7k FD) has 5+ receptions in 3 straight games; he’s cleared 50 receiving yards in 2 straight games. MSU QBs are posting a team best 111.9 passer rating when targeting Heath (Mitchell 2nd with 101.9). Slot WR Austin Williams ($5.7k FD) has had a quiet season; he has 15 receptions, 131 receiving yards, and 1 TD in 3 games this season.

In 2020 (4 games), MSU is 27th in passing yards allowed with 192.3 yards/game. They are 15th in rushing yards allowed with 103.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (.75 TD/game) and 8 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Alabama (47.5 Implied Team Total)
Mac Jones ($9.8k FD) has been phenomenal this season as the Crimson Tide’s starting QB. He’s eclipsed 385 passing yards in 4 consecutive games. He’s attempted 31+ passes in 3 straight games. The junior is averaging 3 TD passes per game this season. He’s clearly a good play. He should have no trouble stuffing the box score against MSU which has been throttled for 8 pass TDs in 4 games. The great part is Jones will throw even when the game starts getting out of hand.

Najee Harris ($10.8k FD) has been the most productive RB in the nation so far this season. The senior has run for 595 yards and an eye popping 14 TDs in only 5 games this season. He’s also caught 14 balls for 147 yards. While MSU has been solid against the run this season (allowing only 2.93 yards per carry and 3 rush TDs in 4 games), Harris is matchup proof. The senior diced up Georgia’s vaunted run defense for 152 rushing yards and 1 TD.
Notable target counts through 5 games: DeVonta Smith (57), Jaylen Waddle (29 – 4 games), John Metchie III (26), Najee Harris (16), and Slade Bolden (8).

With Waddle out for the year, Slade Bolden ($6.4k FD) will start in the slot for Alabama and he’s incredibly cheap on FD. Bolden caught 6 out of 7 targets for 94 yards in last week’s win over Tennessee. He’s a solid play as Alabama rarely rotates WRs. We should expect him to play a bunch and see 5+ targets this week. Meanwhile, Smith ($9.6k FD) has been targeted 38 times over the last 3 games. He’s caught 7+ balls in 3 straight games and has eclipsed 160 receiving yards in 2 of those games. With Waddle down, his upside is through the roof. In total, Smith has 45 receptions, 556 receiving yards, and 4 TDs this season. He’s the top overall WR this week (FD slate). Metchie III ($8.4k FD) will also see his already massive role increase with Waddle out. The sophomore posted 7/151/0 against Tennessee after Waddle was lost to an injury. Metchie III is averaging nearly 100 yards receiving per game this season (21/499/3).

In 2020 (5 games), Alabama is 80th in passing yards allowed with 279.8 yards/game. They are 47th in rushing yards allowed with 147.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1.2 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Ohio State (38 Implied Team Total)
After year after accounting for 51 TDs, Justin Fields ($10.7k FD) threw for 276 yards and 2 TDs in OSU’s season opening beatdown of Nebraska. The future pro completed 20 out of 21 pass attempts; he also led the team with 51 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 15 carries. OSU RBs struggled in the season opener so we may see the junior running more this season out of necessity. While PSU held IU to 211 total yards, I think this is a great spot for Fields as this should be one of the few competitive games OSU plays in this season. Plus, OSU’s defense was surprisingly vulnerable in Game 1 so I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a full blown shootout this week. The Buckeyes offense favored the run (62/38 run-pass split) and averaged 76.3 plays per game last season.

Master Teague ($8.5k FD) started at RB in the season opener. Teague ran for 41 yards and 2 TDs on 12 carries. The sophomore looked a step slow which isn’t surprising since he suffered an Achilles injury during spring ball. He should improve as the season wears on. The more surprising part is Trey Sermon ($7.1k FD) looked like he lacked explosiveness in the season opener. The former Sooner ran for 48 yards on 11 carries; he also caught 1 pass for 7 yards. Penn State allowed 3 rushing TDs; however, they held IU ball carriers to 41 rushing yards per game. This week should favor the Ohio State passing game.

Target counts from the season opener: Garrett Wilson (7), Chris Olave (7), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (2), Jameson Williams (1), Julian Fleming (1), Jeremy Ruckert (1), Luke Farrell (1), and Trey Sermon (1).

Wilson ($8.5k FD) dropped 7/129/1 against Nebraska in the season opener. He looks like he’s in for a major breakout season. He encounters a Penn State defense that allowed 5/36/1 to fellow slot WR Whop Philyor in the season opener. Olave ($8.9k FD) caught 6 passes for 104 yards but just missed out on a long TD. He was also nicked up in the season opener but reportedly he is expected to play on Saturday night. Jameson Williams ($6.3k FD) was the 3rd starting WR and he was held to 1/7/0 in the season opener. Smith-Njigba ($5.4k FD) and Fleming ($4.8k FD) are highly touted freshman.

In 2020 (1 game), OSU is 10th in passing yards allowed with 160 yards/game. They are 87th in rushing yards allowed with 217 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 0 TDs through the air (0 TD/game) this season.

Penn State (26 Implied Team Total)
Sean Clifford ($8.8k FD) nearly did everything for Penn State in their season opening loss to Indiana. The dual threat QB threw for 238 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 INT. He also led the Nittany Lions with 119 rushing yards and 1 TD on 17 carries. He’s a fine play this week as Ohio State struggled defensively against Nebraska in the season opener. OSU allowed Nebraska QBs to complete 16 out of 20 passes for 160 yards (0 TD). They also surrendered 165 rushing yards and 1 TD to Nebraska QBs. Like I said earlier, I think this game has good shoot-out potential. The Penn State offense favored the run (58.3/41.7 run-pass split) and averaged 68.1 plays per game last season.

The big news here is that starting RB Noah Cain is out for the season. Devyn Ford ($6.8k FD) should receive the start at RB in Game 2. The sophomore RB ran for 69 yards and 1 TD on 20 carries in the season opener. Ford also caught 3 balls for 11 yards. He ran for 294 yards and 3 TDs on 52 carries as a part of PSU’s 4-man RBBC in 2019. Ohio State allowed 5.8 yards per carry to Nebraska ball carriers in last week’s win.

Target counts from the season opener: Pat Freiermuth (10), Daniel George (5), Jahan Dotson (5), Devyn Ford (4), Parker Washington (3), KeAndre Lambert-Smith (2), Keyvone Lee (2), and Brenton Strange (1).

Freiermuth ($7.1k FD) is one of the best TEs in the country. The big man posted 7/60/1 in the season opener. Ohio State allowed 4/54/0 to Nebraska TEs last week (2 TEs were amongst the top 3 pass catchers last week). Dotson ($7.4k FD) led all Penn State pass catchers with 94 receiving yards. He scored 1 TD on 4 receptions. Dotson and Freiermuth are clearly the 2 established pass catchers on the PSU roster. It’ll be interesting to see if a 3rd steps up early in the season. Washington ($6.2k FD), Cam Sullivan-Brown ($6k FD), and Dotson are expected to start at WR this week. Washington caught 2 out of 3 targets for 12 yards and 1 TD. He’s a former 4-star prospect. CSB didn’t draw a target in the season opener while George ($5.6k FD) posted 3/29/0 as a reserve to CSB.

In 2020 (1 game), PSU is 12th in passing yards allowed with 170 yards/game. They are 1st in rushing yards allowed with 41 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (3 TD/game) and 1 TD through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Oklahoma (41 Implied Team Total)
Spencer Rattler ($10.2k FD) is in a fantastic spot as the Sooners travel to Texas Tech. The freshman QB is averaging 303.6 passing yards, 14.8 rushing yards, and 3.4 total TDs per game. Texas Tech is getting smashed by opposing signal callers this season. The Red Raiders are allowing an eye popping 337.8 passing yards (and 8.16 yards per pass attempt); they’ve been blowtorched for 14 pass TDs in 5 games. Rattler has multiple TD passes in all 5 games. He could carry lower ownership than normal in tournaments due to OU not being on the DK slate and playing late on FD’s main slate. The Sooners’ offense is favoring the run (53.4/46.6 run-pass split) and averaging 76 plays per game.

TJ Pledger ($8.8k FD) now looks like the preferred option the Oklahoma backfield. He out-carried Seth McGowan ($7k FD) 22 to 11 in last week’s win over TCU. Pledger has 22 carries, 120+ rushing yards, and 1+ TD in each of the last 2 games. McGowan received 11 carries for 41 yards in last week’s win. He missed Game 4 due to a concussion. Another twist to the backfield is that last season’s top reserve, Rhamondre Stevenson ($5k FD), is expected to return from suspension. It’s unclear what kind of a role he’ll have in 1st game back (64/515/6 last season). I think Pledger is a fine play but McGowan’s role could be cut back slightly if I had to guess. This is a great spot for the OU backfield as Texas Tech is below average against the run. They’ve allowed 8 rushing TDs in 5 games; they’re allowing 149 rushing yards per game (4.01 yards per carry). Box scores by RBs playing Texas Tech over the last 3 games: WVU’s Brown 124 total yards and 2 TDs, ISU’s Hall 27/135/2, KSU’s Vaughn 194 total yards and 2 TDs.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Charleston Rambo (30), Austin Stogner (29), Theo Wease (25), Marvin Mims (25), TJ Pledger (9), and Seth McGowan (5 – 4 games).

Mims ($8.2k FD) has emerged as OU’s next great WR. The freshman has 19 receptions, 328 receiving yards, and 6 TDs through 4 games. He’s recorded at least 1 TD in 4 out of 5 games. He’s caught 3+ balls in all 5 games. QB Rattler is posting an impressive 123.8 passer rating when targeting Mims (Rambo at 87.6 and Wease at 84.1). Wease ($6.6k FD) has cleared 40 receiving yards in 4 out of 5 games. The sophomore has posted 18/232/0 this season. Rambo ($7k FD) has had a relatively quiet season with CeeDee Lamb no longer around. While he leads the team in targets, he’s been held under 65 receiving yards in 4 straight games. Finally, TE Stogner ($6.1k FD) has drawn 5+ targets in 4 straight games. In total, he has 19 receptions, 258 receiving yards, and 1 TD. In Big 12 play, Texas Tech has allowed the following stat lines: WVU’s slot WR Wright 9/126/0, ISU’s X-receiver Hutchinson 9/77/0, KSU’s RB Vaughn 4/81/1, and Texas Z-receiver Moore 5/73/3.

In 2020 (5 games), OU is 67th in passing yards allowed with 252 yards/game. They are 12th in rushing yards allowed with 92.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 12 TDs on the ground (2.4 TD/game) and 5 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Texas Tech (26 Implied Team Total)
Henry Colombi ($8.3k FD) has played the majority of the last 3 games for the Red Raiders (started last 2 and play nearly entire 3rd game). The former Utah State QB has been held under 170 passing yards in each of the last 2 games. He’s thrown at least 1 TD in all 3 games that he’s played in this season. The junior has run for 91 yards and 1 TD on 25 carries over the last 3 games. It doesn’t help that Colombi has been missing 2 out of the Red Raiders best 3 WRs (Carter and Vasher). While Oklahoma has allowed 5 pass TDs in 5 games; there are plays to be made in the passing game against Oklahoma as they’re allowing 7.88 yards per pass attempt. The Red Raiders offense favors the pass (57/43 pass-run) and averages 75.4 plays per game.

We’re going to have to take a wait and see approach on the Texas Tech backfield. Leading rusher Sa’Rodorick Thompson ($8.3k FD) went down in last week’s win over West Virginia. He sounds more likely than not to suit up against Oklahoma. Top reserve, Xavier White ($6.7k FD), is also banged up but could play this week. Thompson hasn’t received more than 12 carries in 3 straight games. He has 350 rushing yards and 5 TDs on 64 carries this season. He also has 15 receptions for 69 yards. If Thompson and White are out, Tahj Brooks ($6.3k FD) should be the primary back. The freshman ran for 44 yards and 1 TD on 12 carries. The matchup with Oklahoma isn’t as good as it might seem. The Sooners have allowed 12 rush TDs in 5 games but they’re holding opposing ball carriers to 92.2 rushing yards per game. Additionally, they’re allowing a paltry 3.29 yards per carry.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Erik Ezunkanma (35) TJ Vasher (27 – 4 games), KeSean Carter (24 -3 games), Sa’Rodorick Thompson (22), Myles Price (18 – 4 games), Ja’Lynn Polk (17).

Ezukanma ($7.8k FD) has posted 5/77/0, 5/61/1, and 4/47/0 with Colombi at QB. Texas Tech is hopeful that Carter ($8.3k FD) will be back this week. The slot WR recorded 6+ receptions, 52+ receiving yards, and scored at least 1 TD in all 3 games that he’s played in this season. Vasher ($7.2k FD) missed last week’s game and is probably more doubtful than questionable this week (HC Matt Wells said his injury doesn’t appear long term but didn’t provide any more insight). Price ($6.5k FD) led all Red Raiders with 7 receptions for 79 yards in last week’s game. Ja’Lynn Polk ($5.4k FD) and Trey Cleveland ($5.6k FD) should see expanded roles if Vasher and Carter remain out. Polk looks like the better option amongst the 2 as he’s caught 8 balls for 66 yards over the last 2 games on 9 targets. Ezunkanma is the best option amongst the Red Raiders if Carter and Vasher don’t play. Carter is the best option if he’s available this week.

In 2020 (5 games), Texas Tech is 97th in passing yards allowed with 337.8 yards/game. They are 48th in rushing yards allowed with 149 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (1.6 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (2.8 TD/game) this season.

North Carolina (34.5 Implied Team Total)
This week sets up to be a Sam Howell Week. This week’s opponent, Virginia, has been creamed by opposing QBs this season. The Cavaliers are allowing 286 passing yards and they’ve been beaten for 9 TD passes in 6 games. Additionally, Virginia is allowing 8.88 yards per pass attempt which is a amongst the worst on the slate. Virginia has allowed 8 rushing TDs but they’re holding opposing runners to 3.32 yards per carry. Back to Howell, the sophomore has thrown for at least 225 yards and 1+ TD in all 5 games. He blowtorched Virginia in 2019 for 353 passing yards and 4 TDs. The Tar Heels offense is favoring the run (59.3/40.7 run-pass split) and averages 73.2 plays per game.

The Tar Heels have the best RB tandem in the country with Michael Carter and Javonte Williams rotating in the backfield. Both guys are putting up insane numbers. Carter has 584 rushing yards and 3 TDs while he’s recorded 12 receptions and 132 receiving yards. The senior has 16+ carries in 4 straight games and has topped 100-rushing yards in 3 out of the last 4 games. Williams has been ever better as the junior has run for 562 yards and 10 TDs on 82 carries. He’s also caught 9 passes for 200 yards and 2 TDs. Williams has received 18+ carries in 3 straight games and he’s topped 115 rushing yards in all 3 games. The Tar Heels angry runner has at least 1 TD in every game this season. Both guys are clearly good plays and can be rostered in the same DFS lineup. Virginia has allowed 23/128/3 to WF’s Walker and 18/101/2 to NCST’s Knight in 2 out of the last 3 games.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Dyami Brown (40), Dazz Newsome (22), Beau Corrales (20 – 4 games), Michael Carter (15), Javonte Williams (11).

Brown has topped 55 receiving yards in all 5 games. The star WR finally eclipsed 100-receiving yards in last week’s win over NC State. The junior has 24 receptions, 401 receiving yards, and 3 TDs this season. He went OFF in last year’s showdown with Virginia (6/202/3). Newsome has had a down year to this point (15/151/1 in the receiving game along with 1 rushing TD). He’s only eclipsed 40 receiving yards in 1 game this season. This could be his week though as Virginia has been lit on fire by slot WRs in each of the last 2 games: Miami’s Mike Harley 10/170/1 and WF’s Jacquarri Roberson 10/126/0. Lastly, Corrales missed last week’s game. It looks like he’s set to miss an extended amount of time. If he does indeed sit out again, Emery Simmons is worth a look. Simmons caught 5 out of 8 targets for 38 yards in last week’s win.

In 2020 (5 games), North Carolina is 97th in passing yards allowed with 246.2 yards/game. They are 36th in rushing yards allowed with 128.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (1.4 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (1.4 TD/game) this season.

Virginia (27.5 Implied Team Total)
Brennan Armstrong returned to the lineup last week after missing a game with a concussion. He threw for 181 yards and 2 TDs while also tallying 91 rushing yards on 15 carries. The problem is the matchup isn’t great and the Cavaliers continued to utilize 2 other QBs (9 carries for 46 yards and 0/1 passing). North Carolina has only allowed 7 pass TDs in 5 games; they’re holding opposing passers to 6.62 yards per attempt. He may be worth a shot in GPPs (if playing multiple lineups, I’d avoid in single entry/3-max) as he does have monster upside. He’ll carry little-to-no ownership this week. Armstrong did throw for 270 yards, 3 TDs, and 2 INT while also rushing for 89 yards against Clemson in Game 2. The Virginia offense is favoring the pass (56.6/43.4 pass-run split) and averages 81.6 plays per game.

Wayne Taulapapa leads the Cavaliers with 301 rushing yards and 3 TDs on 61 carries. However, he has not received more than 13 carries in 4 straight games. The RBs are tough rosters with Virginia playing rotating in 2 “running” QBs. Last week QBs had 24 carries, Big Wayne had 10. The week prior, QBs had 16 carries, Wayne had 10. North Carolina’s defense is susceptible via the ground. They’re allowing 4.1 yards per carry (128.6 rushing yards allowed per game).

Notable target counts through 5 games: Billy Kemp IV (63), Terrell Jana (50), Tony Poljan (37), Lavel Davis Jr. (21), and Wayne Taulapapa (17).

Kemp IV continues to be a PPR monster. The diminutive slot WR had drawn 9+ targets in all 5 games. He has 5+ receptions in all 5 games. In total, the junior has 41 receptions, 365 receiving yards, and 1 TD. Jana has drawn 8+ targets in 4 out of 5 games. He’s cleared 55 receiving yards in 3 out of 5 games. The senior checks in with 25 receptions, 303 receiving yards, and 1 TD reception this season. Poljan, the TE, has 4+ receptions in 3 consecutive games. However, he has not cleared 50 receiving yards in 5 games. Davis Jr. is expected to miss his 2nd straight game this week. In his place, Rashaun Henry should see extended run once again (1/35/1 last week). Kemp and Jana are the 2 pass catchers to target on this offense this week.

In 2020 (5 games), UVA is 86th in passing yards allowed with 286 yards/game. They are 42nd in rushing yards allowed with 133.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (1.6 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (1.8 TD/game) this season.

Target counts pulled from Pro Football Focus

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Comments

  • scottvillain

    Thank you for this great write up! I love your mac articles too and all the CFB stuff you do, its absolutely a fantastic tool for cfb dfs!

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