College Football Saturday: FD/DK Main Slate

Kentucky @ Florida -24.5 O/U 60.5

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State -11 O/U 54

Ohio State -28 @ Illinois O/U 72

Maryland @ Indiana -12 O/U 64

NC State -14.5 @ Syracuse O/U 50.5

Penn State -1 @ Michigan O/U 58

Auburn @ Alabama -24.5 O/U 64.5

Pittsburgh @ Clemson -22.5 O/U 55.5

Northwestern -13 @ Michigan State O/U 41

Mississippi State @ Mississippi -10.5 O/U 69.5

Louisville @ Boston College -1 O/U 55

Rutgers @ Purdue -11 O/U 61

LSU @ Texas A&M -14.5 O/U 62

Georgia -21.5 @ South Carolina O/U 49.5

Utah @ Washington -7 O/U 48

Virginia -8.5 @ Florida State O/U 57.5

Kentucky (18 Implied Team Total)
Terry Wilson ($7.1k FD/$4.9k DK) struggled as Alabama boat-raced Kentucky 63-3 last weekend. The senior QB completed 10 out of 19 pass attempts for 120 yards and 1 INT (recorded 5 rushing yards). In theory, this is a good spot as Florida has had trouble defending the pass this season. Through 7 games, they’ve allowed 14 TD passes to opposing QBs. However, Wilson hasn’t cleared 200 passing yards since the season opener. He’ll need to rack up rushing yards/TDs in order to pay off his price tag. The Kentucky offense favors the run (63/37 run-pass split) and averages 59.8 plays per game.

Leading rusher Christopher Rodriguez Jr. missed last week’s game. He’s not listed on this week’s depth chart so that’d indicate that he’ll be unavailable for the 2nd consecutive game. In his place, AJ Rose ($6k FD/$3.9k DK) started at RB and split carries with Kaviosey Smoke ($5.7k FD/$3.1k DK). Rose received 10 carries and ran for 68 yards (0/0/0 receiving) while Smoke recorded 26 rushing yards on 9 carries (1/0/0 receiving). That’ll likely be the game plan once again this week as both guys are listed as co-starters this week. Both guys are cheap, and Florida is vulnerable via the ground game. However, when you consider that QB Wilson also syphons carries from RBs, this becomes a difficult place to target. The Gators have allowed 10 rushing TDs in 7 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Josh Ali (56), DeMarcus Harris (22), Allen Dailey Jr. (17), and Keaton Upshaw (16).

TE Upshaw ($5.6k FD/$3.2k DK) has cleared 40 receiving yards in each of the last 2 games. He should continue to play a ton with Justin Rigg likely to miss his 2nd straight game. Ali ($6.3k FD/$4.3k DK) is the only other relevant pass catcher. The senior has drawn 5+ targets in 7 out of 8 games this season. However, he’s been held to 52 or less receiving yards in 6 straight games. Florida has allowed 4/97/2 to VANDY’s Pierce Jr. and 2/129/2 to ARK’s Woods. However, both of those guys are perimeter WRs whereas Ali lines up in the slot. Regardless, if there is one player to take advantage of Florida’s pedestrian pass defense it’d be Ali.

In 2020 (7 games), UK is 40th in passing yards allowed with 214.1 yards/game. They are 48th in rushing yards allowed with 148.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 10 TDs on the ground (1.43 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (1.43 TD/game) this season.

Florida (42.5 Implied Team Total)
Kyle Trask ($11k FD/$9.9k DK) has set an SEC record with 31 pass TDs through 7 games. The senior QB has thrown for 312+ passing yards in 5 straight games. He’s also thrown 3+ TDs in all 7 games. Kentucky has been decent against the pass this season as they’ve surrendered 12 pass TDs through 8 games. However, part of that can be attributed to playing in the SEC East. The two really dangerous QBs that they’ve faced (BAMA’s Jones and MISS’ Corral), combined for 7 of the 12 TD passes. Trask is a great play regardless of the matchup on any given week. The Florida offense favors the pass (52.5/47.5 pass-run split) and averages 70.4 plays per game.

Damien Pearce ($7.1k FD/$5.6k DK) is averaging 12.7 carries over the last 3 games. The junior has topped 55 rushing yards in all 3 games. He’s found paydirt in 2 out of the last 3 games (3/47/0 receiving over that time frame). Pass catching RB Malik Davis ($5.9k FD/$4.4k DK) has received between 8-9 carries in each of the last 3 games. He’s been held under 40 rushing yards in all 3 games. Davis has 8 reception for 132 yards over the last 3 games. Kentucky has been destroyed by opposing ball carriers over the last 3 games: BAMA’s Harris 13/83/2, BAMA’s McClellan 10/99/1, MIZZ’ Rountree 37/126/2 and VANDY’s Henry-Brooks 29/121/0. The only draw back is the high-water mark is 15 carries (Pierce) this season for all Florida runners. Regardless, I think both guys are viable this week as they don’t break the bank.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Kadarius Toney (52), Kyle Pitts (35 – 5 games), Trevon Grimes (33), Jacob Copeland (24), Justin Shorter (24), Malik Davis (19), and Dameon Pierce (9).

Slot man Toney ($8.6k FD/$7.3k DK) has at least 1 TD reception in 5 out of 7 games. He’s recorded 4+ receptions in all 7 games including 5 games with 6+ receptions (42/496/7 this season). Pitts ($9.4k FD/$6.7k DK), the star TE, is expected to play this weekend after missing the last 2 games. He’s either scored at least 1 TD or cleared 80 receiving yards in all 5 games that he’s played in this season. Grimes ($7.2k FD/$5.5k DK) has 5 TD receptions over the last 4 games. He really took off with Pitts out (6/109/2 and 3/44/1) and the same can be said about Copeland ($5.9k FD/$3.9k DK) and Shorter ($6.4k FD/$4.2k DK). Copeland and Shorter are secondary targets. Copeland drew 10 targets in 2 games with Pitts sidelined (6/89/1) while Shorter has a TD reception in 3 out of the last 4 games. He recorded a season high 5 receptions for 94 yards in last week’s win over Vanderbilt.

In 2020 (6 games), Florida is 94th in passing yards allowed with 260.5 yards/game. They are 53rd in rushing yards allowed with 150.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 10 TDs on the ground (1.43 TD/game) and 12 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Texas Tech (21.5 Implied Team Total)
Not that the matchup is appealing but Texas Tech plans to play both Alan Bowman ($7.4k FD/$5.9k DK) and Henry Colombi ($7.4k FD/$5.9k DK) at QB this week. Bowman will get the start with Colombi entering some time after that. Oklahoma State has played solid pass defense for most of the season until OU QB Spencer Rattler pasted them for 301 passing yards and 4 TDs. With that said, it’s hard to play one of the Red Raiders QBs this week. Oklahoma State was holding opposing passers to 5.64 yards per attempt prior to last week. The Red Raiders offense favors the pass (56/44 pass-run split) and averages 72.8 plays per game.

Sa’Rodrick Thompson ($7k FD/$5k DK) received 13 carries and ran for 69 yards against Baylor. That was the 1st time in 5 games that Thompson received more than 8 carries as he is/was battling an injury. By Saturday, Texas Tech will be 2 weeks removed from their last game and one would assume Thompson had proper time to heal up. Still, Xavier White ($6.2k FD/$3.7k DK) out-carried Sir Roddy 14-to-13. White also recorded both of the Red Raiders rushing touchdowns against Baylor. It’s hard to pick on Oklahoma State’s run defense especially when carries are likely to be split between White and Thompson this week. Oklahoma State is holding ball carriers to around 3.8 yards per carry. They’ve only surrendered 6 rushing TDs in 7 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Erik Ezukanma (58), TJ Vasher (39 – 6 games), Myles Price (28 – 7 games), Sir Roddy (27), Ja’Lynn Polk (27), Dalton Rigdon (19 – 5 games), and Xavier White (17 – 6 games).

Ezunkanma ($7.4 FD/$5k DK) has cleared 47 receiving yards in all 8 games this season. He leads the Red Raiders with a 37/545/4 stat line this season. Vasher ($6.4k FD/$3.9k DK) has only 4 receptions for 50 yards despite drawing 12 targets over the last 4 games. The big-bodied WR is a one of QB Bowman’s favorite targets (21 targets in the 1st 2 games). Polk ($6k FD/$3.8k DK) has 8 receptions, 102 receiving yards, and 2 TDs over the last 3 games on 10 targets. No individual pass catcher has reached 75 receiving yards against Oklahoma State over the last 5 games.

In 2020 (8 games), Texas Tech is 109th in passing yards allowed with 282.6 yards/game. They are 79th in rushing yards allowed with 179.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 19 TDs on the ground (2.38 TD/game) and 16 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Oklahoma State (32.5 Implied Team Total)
Spencer Sanders ($8.6k FD/$6.5k DK) landed on his head early in last week’s Bedlam game. He returned in the 4th quarter after backup QB Shane Illingworth ($6.3k DK) struggled (completed 5 out of 21 pass attempts for 71 yards and 1 TD). I’m assuming Sanders is good to go this week against Texas Tech. He’s in a great bounce back spot against a vulnerable Texas Tech pass defense. The Red Raiders are allowing 282.6 passing yards per game including 7.69 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been flamed for 16 pass TDs in 8 games. After Sanders last game, he’s likely to carry low ownership this week. The Oklahoma State offense favors the run (61.1/38.9 run-pass split) and averages 75 plays per game.

Chuba Hubbard ($8.4k FD/$6.6k DK) has only received 14 carries over the last 2 games. The star RB was injured against Kansas State and left the game so that explain the lack of carries in that game. The Cowboys were down big and early in last week’s game against Oklahoma so that also limited his carries. He was reported to be fully healthy prior to last week’s game so I’m assuming he’s ready for his usual 20+ carries this week. If that’s the case, he’s in a great spot. Texas Tech is allowing nearly 180 rushing yards per game including a healthy 4.46 yards per carry. They’ve been slammed for 19 rushing TDs in only 7 games. The junior racked up 156 rushing yards and 3 TDs in last season’s matchup with Texas Tech. Backfield mate, LD Brown ($6.3k FD/$4.2k DK), is also viable. The senior has received 8+ carries in 7 games this season. He’s run for 395 yards and 1 TD on 70 carries while also catching 5 balls for 66 yards. If Hubbard is limited at all, Brown would be the beneficiary.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Tylan Wallace (61 – 6 games), Dillon Stoner (32), Braydon Johnson (24), Chuba Hubbard (10), and LD Brown (6).

Tylan Wallace ($8.5k FD/$7.1k DK) has drawn 10+ targets in 5 straight games. He’s cleared 68 receiving yards in all 6 games that he’s played in this season. Braydon Johnson ($6.2k FD/$3.7k DK) is probably the only other relevant pass catcher. He’s a TD or bust play but he’s the type of player that could score a long TD any time he catches the ball. He’s been targeted 6 or less times in all 7 games so his opportunities are few and far between.

This should be a fast paced game with both teams running 70+ plays on offense per game.

In 2020 (6 games), OSU is 8th in passing yards allowed with 169.3 yards/game. They are 41st in rushing yards allowed with 142.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 5 TDs on the ground (.83 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (1.17 TD/game) this season.

Ohio State (50 Implied Team Total)
Justin Fields ($11.2k FD/$9.7k DK) has thrown for 300+ yards in 3 straight games. He’s accounted for 16 out of the Buckeyes’ 23 offensive TDs through 4 games. The star QB is OSU’s 3rd leading rusher with 135 yards on 42 attempts. This week’s opponent, Illinois, is a solid spot to tee up the future pro. In Illinois’ lone game against a competent passing team, Wisconsin QB Graham Mertz completed 20 out 21 pass attempts for 248 yards and 5 TDs. The last 2 QBs (McCaffrey/Williams) have rushed for 120+ yards and 1 TD against Illinois. The OSU offense favors the run (61.4/38.6 run-pass split) and averages 73.3 plays per game.

Master Teague ($9k FD/$7.7k DK) is the Buckeyes top RB and he’s rounded into form as of late. The bruising back has at least 1 rushing TD in all 4 games. He’s averaging 20.3 carries and 113 rushing yards over the last 3 games. He’s in a great spot as Illinois has allowed 3 different ball carriers to rush for 100+ yards over the last 2 games. Trey Sermon ($5.9k FD/$3.8k DK) operates as a change of pace back. The former OU Sooner has received between 9-13 carries in all 4 games. Sermon has topped 55 rushing yards in 3 straight games (4/35/0 receiving this season.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Garrett Wilson (38), Chris Olave (30), Jeremy Rucket (10), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (7), Trey Sermon (4), and Master Teague (3).

Wilson ($9.7k FD/$8.4k DK), the slot WR, has been unstoppable this season as he’s recorded 6+ receptions and 104+ receiving yards in all 4 games. The sophomore has 4 TDs through 4 games. Olave ($8.8k FD/$6.8k DK) is the other primary WR in the OSU passing game. The junior has 5+ receptions in all 4 games. He’s cleared 100-receiving yards in 3 out of 4 games. He has 2 multi-TD games this season. The TE, Ruckert ($6k FD/$3.8k DK), is TD dependent. 3 out of his 9 receptions have resulted in TDs. He has 60 receiving yards through 4 games. QB Fields has attempted 113 passes this season, Olave and Wilson have been targeted on 68 of those throws.

In 2020 (3 games), OSU is 51st in passing yards allowed with 224.3 yards/game. They are 35th in rushing yards allowed with 131.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (1.33 TD/game) and 4 TDs through the air (1.33 TD/game) this season.

Illinois (22 Implied Team Total)
Brandon Peters ($7.3k FD/$5.3k DK) returned to the starting lineup and completed 18 out of 25 pass attempts for 205 yards and 1 TD in Illinois’ 41-23 win over Nebraska. The senior QB has run for 111 yards and 1 TD on 15 attempts in 2 starts this season. He faces off with a less imposing than normal OSU pass defense. The Buckeyes have surrendered 8 TD passes in 4 games. However, I’m skeptical that Illinois has the offense weapons to take advantage of that this week. All 8 TD passes have come from PSU’s Clifford and IU’s Penix Jr. Both of those teams have solid skill position players. Illinois really has one guy that can make plays in the passing game (Josh Imatorbehbhe). The Illinois offense favors the run (65.3/34.7 run-pass split) and averages 66.2 plays per game.

Illinois has 2 effective ball carriers in Mike Epstein ($6.5k FD/$4.3k DK) and Chase Brown ($7.4k FD/$4.8k DK). Brown has racked up 43 carries, 241 rushing yards, and 2 TDs over the last 2 games (RUT/NEB). Epstein has received between 10 to 13 carries in each of the last 4 games. He has 1 rushing TD in 4 straight games. While these guys are cheap, they’re in a tough spot. OSU shut down IU’s running game (-1 rushing yards on 16 carries). OSU has held all individual ball carriers to 85 or less rushing yards through 4 games.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Josh I (28), Daniel Barker (21), Brian Hightower (15), Donny Navarro (11), Casey Washington (11), Chase Brown (5), and Mike Epstein (3).

Josh I ($6.5k FD/$4.5k DK) is the Illini’s top playmaker in the passing game. He’s cleared 60 receiving yards and scored 1 TD in 2 out of the last 3 games. He posted 33/631/9 in 2019. Outside of him, it’s a stretch. Hightower ($5.6k FD/$3.3k DK) (7/141/1 this season) and Barker ($5.5k FD/$3.4k DK) (12/174/0 this season) are the other two pass catchers to draw targets on a regular basis. Neither guy has really done anything this season. I will say that the Illinois pass game is upgraded with Peters at QB.

In 2020 (4 games), Illinois is 106th in passing yards allowed with 276.5 yards/game. They are 89th in rushing yards allowed with 189 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (1.75 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (2.33 TD/game) this season.

Maryland (26 Implied Team Total)
Taulia Tagovailoa (8.9k FD/$7.4k DK) has thrown for 282+ passing yards and 3 TDs in each of the last 2 games (PSU/MINN). Tua’s little brother has also run for 56 yards and 2 TDs on 18 carries through 2 games. He’s in a decent spot as IU has allowed 10 pass TDs through 5 games. I will say that IU was effective in rushing OSU’s Fields last week which is semi-concerning considering Tagovailoa has already taken 6 sacks through 3 games. With that said, there’s also a chance that Indiana comes out flat after using a ton of energy in their “Super Bowl” at OSU last week. This game has shoot-out potential. The Maryland offense is operating a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 58.7 plays per game.

Jake Funk ($8.3k FD/$6.2k DK) is the starting RB and he enters this week looking to extend his TD streak to 3 games. Funk has received 37 carries over the last 2 games. He’s run for 336 total yards through 3 games. The senior also plays in the passing game (6/35/1 receiving this season). This week’s matchup with Indiana is interesting. The Hoosiers were flattened for 307 rushing yards and 3 TDs by OSU ball carriers last week. The Hoosiers had previously shut down RUT/MICH/MSU’s running games. All 3 teams struggle to run the ball though. IU allowed 17/119/1 to PSU’s QB Clifford via the ground in their season opener. I think Funk makes for a fine play this week and will likely carry nearly no ownership.

Notable target counts through 3 games: Dontay Demus Jr. (24), Rakim Jarrett (17), Brian Cobbs (11), Jeshaun Jones (10), Darryl Jones (9), and Jake Funk (7).

Demus Jr. ($7.8k FD/$5.5k DK) start at the Z-receiver spot and he’s joined on the perimeter by Jones ($6.1k FD/$3.8k DK) (X-receiver). Cobbs ($5.5k FD/$3.3k DK) starts in the slot and rotates with Jarrett (7.1k FD/$5.1k DK). Demus Jr. has racked up 13 receptions, 187 receiving yards, and 2 TDs over the ‘Terps last 2 games. He posted 42/629/6 to lead all Maryland WRs in 2019. Jarrett is speedster playing out of the slot. The freshman has 11 receptions for 212 yards and 2 TDs over the last 2 games. Jones (9/152/1 through 3 games) and Cobbs (6/70/0) are secondary plays.

In 2020 (3 games), Maryland is 77th in passing yards allowed with 247 yards/game. They are 110th in rushing yards allowed with 227 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (3 TD/game) and 5 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

Indiana (38 Implied Team Total)
Michael Penix Jr. ($10k FD/$8.8k DK) sliced through OSU for 491 passing yards and 5 TDs in last week’s 42-35 loss. The sophomore has topped 320 passing yards in 3 straight games (OSU/MSU/MICH). He’s accounted for a whopping 14 total TDs over the last 4 games. He figures to be popular this week after last week’s performance. The Maryland pass defense should provide little resistance to IU’s high-powered passing attack. The ‘Terps are allowing 247 passing yards per game including 7.26 yards per pass attempt. They’ve surrendered 5 TD passes in 3 games. The IU offense favors the pass (55.8/44.2 pass-run split) and averages 72 plays per game.

Stevie Scott ($8k FD/$5.1k DK) was stymied by the OSU run defense last week. He’s in a great spot to bounce back against Maryland’s awful run defense. The ‘Terps run defense is allowing 227 rushing yards per game including 4.9 yards per carry. They’ve been hammered for 9 rushing TDs through 3 games. Prior to the OSU game, Scott received 20+ carries in each of the 1st 4 games. In total, Scott has run for 325 yards and 5 TDs while also catching 10 balls for 48 yards. He’s provides leverage off the popular IU passing game this week. He’s underpriced on DK this week.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Ty Fryfogle (55), Whop Philyor (50), Peyton Hendershot (27), Miles Marshall (24 – 4 games), and Stevie Scott (14).

Fryfogle ($10k FD/$7.8k DK) has at least 1 TD reception in 4 straight games. He’s posting video game numbers over the last 3 games: 7/142/1 (MICH), 11/200/2 (MSU), and 7/210/3 (OSU). Clearly, he’s a great play; he’s drawn 10+ targets in 4 out of 5 games. Slot man Philyor ($7.3k FD/$5.2k DK) has 5+ receptions in 4 out of 5 games. He’s caught 30 balls for 343 yards and 2 TDs in 5 games. TE Hendershot and perimeter Marshall are secondary plays. Hendershot ($6.6k FD/$3.7k DK) (18/116/3) has yet to break out this season after posting 52/620/4 in 2019. Marshall ($6.4k FD/$3.9k DK) has drawn 5+ targets, caught 3+ balls, and cleared 36 receiving yards in all 4 games that he’s played in this season. Fryfogle should be in good shape yet again this week. The ‘Terps have allowed 9/123/1 to PSU’s Dotson and 4/112/1 to MINN’s Autman-Bell (both are perimeter WRs) in their last 2 games.

In 2020 (4 games), IU is 36th in passing yards allowed with 209.8 yards/game. They are 18th in rushing yards allowed with 111 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (.75 TD/game) and 8 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

North Carolina State (32.5 Implied Team Total)
Bailey Hockman ($7.1k DK) has struggled against top 25 teams this season (3 out of the last 4 games against top 25 teams, less than 250 passing yards in each game and 3 TD, 2 INT combined). Luckily for him, Syracuse is far from a top 25 team. In his lone non-top 25 matchup, the lefty QB carved up FSU 2 weeks ago for 265 yards and 3 TDs while also adding a rushing TD. He takes on a Syracuse squad that has allowed 30+ points in four out of the last 5 games. The Orange are allowing 240.8 passing yards per game including 7.11 yards per attempt. They’ve been burned for 12 TDs in 7 games. The Wolfpack offense favors the run (53/47 run-pass split) and averages 69.4 plays per game.

Zonovan Knight ($6.9k DK) is averaging nearly 15 carries per game over the last 3 games. The sophomore has 4 TDs over the last 3 games while clearing 90+ rushing yards in 2 straight games. He rotates in the backfield with Ricky Person Jr.. Person Jr. ($4.6k DK) is averaging 12 carries over the last 3 games. He’s also caught 2 balls in 3 straight games. The NC State backfield is in a phenomenal spot as they take on a brutal Syracuse run defense. The Orange is giving up 223.5 rushing yards per game including 4.77 yards per carry. They’ve been yielded 19 rushing TDs through 9 games.

Notable target counts through 9 games: Emeka Emezie (49), Thayer Thomas (38), Devin Carter (31), Porter Rooks (29), Cary Angeline (24), Zonovan Knight (21), and Ricky Person Jr. (15).

Emezie ($5.4k DK) has cleared 50 receiving yards in 7 straight games despite drawing 6 targets or less in 5 of those games. The senior has 2 TD receptions over the last 4 games. Slot man Thomas ($4.4k DK) was held out of the box score after posting 11/135/2 against FSU. Outside of that game, he’s been held to 49 or less receiving yards in the other 8 games. He could be in line for his 2nd decent game of the season as Syracuse has allowed game highs to the slot WR in 3 out of the last 4 games (Clem’s Rodgers 8/91/0, WF’s Roberson 7/130/1, and LVILLE’s Smith 7/65/0). The TE, Angeline ($4k DK), is a TD or bust play. He’s recorded 6 TDs on 24 targets this season.

In 2020 (8 games), NCST is 107th in passing yards allowed with 278 yards/game. They are 77th in rushing yards allowed with 178.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 15 TDs on the ground (1.88 TD/game) and 16 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Syracuse (18 Implied Team Total)
JaCobian Morgan ($4.8k DK) was hurt in Syracuse’s last game and is questionable to play this week. If he can’t suit up, Dillon Markiewicz ($4.5k DK) will start. Morgan has completed 31 out of 49 pass attempts for 285 yards, 2 TDs, and 2 INT while also recording -25 rushing yards. Even though the matchup is good, I can’t say I’m too excited for Morgan this week. The freshman has basically played nearly 2 games and has taken 7 sacks. The freshman, Markiewicz, is a 3-star prospect and profiles as a pro-style QB. NC State has held the last 2 opposing QBs under 200 passing yards (FSU’s Purdy and LIB’s Willis).

Sean Tucker ($5.5k DK) is the Orange’s lead back. The freshman has received 10+ carries in each of his last 6 games. He’s cleared 100-rushing yards in 2 of those game. Tucker has 1 rushing TD over the last 5 games. The matchup with NC State is decent. The Wolfpack are allowing nearly 180 rushing yards per game including 4.37 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 15 rushing TDs in 9 games.

Notable target counts through 9 games: Taj Harris (71 – 8 games), Anthony Queeley (52), Nykeim Johnson (32), and Sean Tucker (12 – 7 games).

Harris ($4.8k DK) is the only DFS relevant pass catcher. Even then, he’s only caught 11 balls for 84 yards over the last 3 games. The QB situation has sapped his appeal. Queeley ($3.5k DK) has drawn 5+ targets in 6 straight games. He’s been held under 77 receiving yards in all 8 games.

In 2020 (8 games), Syracuse is 68th in passing yards allowed with 240.8 yards/game. They are 109th in rushing yards allowed with 223.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 18 TDs on the ground (2.25 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (1.38 TD/game) this season.

Penn State (29.5 Implied Team Total)
Will Levis ($7.8k FD/$6.4k DK) made his 1st start in PSU’s 41-21 loss to Iowa. The sophomore completed 13 out of 16 pass attempts for 106 yards. He also ran for 34 yards on 15 carries prior to being replaced by Sean Clifford ($7.8k FD/$6.6k DK) once the scoreboard got out of control. I’m assuming that Levis starts this week and makes for an interesting play against Michigan’s awful secondary. Michigan has allowed 3 out of the last 4 passers to top 300 passing yards. They’ve allowed 11 TD passes over the last 4 games. Levis may go under the radar due to last week’s performance. He’s a good play who should rebound this week.

The PSU backfield is a full-blown mess. Devyn Ford ($6k FD/$4.3k DK) has started 4 straight games but hasn’t topped reached 70 rushing yards in any game through 5 games this season. He’s questionable to play this week after leaving last week’s game in the 1st quarter. If he’s out, expect Penn State to turn to Keyvone Lee ($5.9k FD/$5.3k DK) and Caziah Holmes ($5.6k FD/$3.4k DK) in the backfield. Lee has 55 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 12 carries over the last 2 games while Holmes has 58 rushing yards on 10 carries over the last 2 games. Michigan has struggled with opposing ball carriers as of late. They’ve been hammered for 9 rushing TDs over the last 3 games (primarily attributed to Wisconsin’s 5 rushing TDs). The Wolverines ceded 24/97/2 to IU’s Stevie Scott and limited Rutgers Isaiah Pachecho to 15/43/0 in between the Wisconsin game. Rutgers wildcat QB recorded 2 rushing TDs against Michigan last week.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Jahan Dotson (52), Parker Washington (36), KeAndre Lambert-Smith (13), Devyn Ford (10), and Brenton Strange (8).

Dotson ($9.2k FD/$6.5k DK) is the kind of player that should torture the Michigan secondary. The junior has drawn 11+ targets in 4 out of the last 5 games. He’s scored at least 1 TD in 4 out of 5 games. Dotson has cleared 123 receiving yards in 3 out of the last 4 games. Washington ($6.9k FD/$4.4k DK) figures to play a huge role with TE Freiermuth now sidelined for the season. The freshman has topped 70 receiving yards in 3 out of the last 4 games (21/256/3 this season). Brenton Strange ($5.6k FD/$4k DK) posted 3/38/1 from the TE spot with Freiermuth sidelined. He should see ample opportunities moving forward. Daniel George ($5.1k FD/$3k DK) was the 3rd starting WR for PSU in last week’s game (7/73/0 on 10 targets through 5 games). Dotson figures to be in good shape as Michigan has allowed the following box scores to perimeter WRs over the last 4 games: RUT’s Jones 7/127/0, RUT’s Melton 7/109/1, 7/142/1 to IU’s Fryfogle, and 8/196/1 to MSU’s White.

In 2020 (4 games), PSU is 53rd in passing yards allowed with 230.5 yards/game. They are 32nd in rushing yards allowed with 129.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1.5 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (2.25 TD/game) this season.

Michigan (28.5 Implied Team Total)
Cade McNamara ($8.1k FD/$6.9k DK) should draw the start at QB after rescuing Michigan in last week’s double OT win over Rutgers. The prolific high school passer completed 27 out of 36 pass attempts for 260 yards and 4 TDs. The matchup is above average as Penn State has allowed 9 pass TDs in 5 games. Prior to the Iowa game, they were allowing 7.88 yards per pass attempt which isn’t great. The Michigan offense favors the pass (54.3/45.7 pass-run split) and averages 64.2 plays per game.

Hassan Haskins ($7.3k FD/$5.7k DK) emerged as Michigan’s primary ball carrier in last week’s win. The junior tallied 24 carries for 111 rushing yards and 1 TD. Michigan’s offensive line has struggled this season and Penn State has been solid against the run making Haskins a risky play this week. The Nittany Lions are limiting to 3.57 yards per carry despite allowing 10 rushing TDs through 5 games (Iowa scored 4 times via the ground but only averaged 3.8 yards per carry).

Notable target counts through 5 games: Ronnie Bell (33), Erick All (25), Giles Jackson (23), Cornelius Johnson (22), Mike Sainristil (19), and Nick Eubanks (12 – 4 games).

Bell ($6.8k FD/$5.2k DK) has at least 4 receptions in all 5 games from the X-receiver spot. He was the top returning pass catcher from 2019 (46/739/1 in 2019). Johnson ($7.4k FD/$5.9k DK) is emerging as Michigan’s deep threat. The sophomore has cleared 82 receiving yards in 2 out of the last 3 games. He posted 5/97/2 on 7 targets and seems to show a good rapport with QB McNamara. Jackson ($6.2k FD/$4.2k DK) is a speedster out of the slot. He’s cleared 50 receiving yards in 2 out of 5 games. Eubanks ($5.8k FD/$3.6k DK) has cleared 40 receiving yards in 2 straight games from the TE spot. All ($4.9k FD/$3.2k DK) (11/74/0 through 5 games) and Sainristil ($5.9k FD/$3.5k DK) are secondary options. Sainristil has a TD reception in 2 straight games and both of those came via QB McNamara.

In 2020 (4 games), UofM is 78th in passing yards allowed with 247.3 yards/game. They are 77th in rushing yards allowed with 178.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (2.25 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (2.25 TD/game) this season.

Auburn (20 Implied Team Total)
Bo Nix ($7.9k FD/$5.8k DK) has cleared 200 passing yards in 4 straight games while tossing 6 TDs. The sophomore has also ran for 212 yards over that time frame. In Auburn’s 2 losses this season, Nix has attempted 40+ passes. With Auburn entering the Iron Bowl as 24 point underdogs, there’s a good chance Nix will rack up the pass attempts. Alabama has held 6 out of 7 opponents to 24 or less points this season. The Crimson Tide have allowed 10 pass TDs through 7 games. The Auburn offense favors the run (53.4/46.6 run-pass split) and averages 69 plays per game.

Emerging star RB Tank Bigsby ($7.7k FD/$5.4k DK) is questionable this week after leaving last week’s game early due to an injury. Prior to last week, the freshman had 15+ carries in 4 straight games and topped 110-rushing yards in 3 of those games. He also found paydirt 5 times in that 4 game stretch. If he’s unable to go, Shaun Shivers ($6.6k FD/$3.2k DK) and DJ Williams ($5.8k FD/$4.1k DK) will likely share carries. Williams ran for 66 yards and 1 TD on 11 carries while Shivers ran 65 yards on 14 carries. Alabama has held all individual runners under 70 yards in each of the last 3 games (TEN/MSU/UK). They’ve allowed 6 rushing TDs through 7 games.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Seth Williams (66), Anthony Schwartz (61), Eli Stove (26 – 6 games), and Tank Bigsby (13).

Williams ($7.1k FD/$4.5k DK), the deep threat, has cleared 52 receiving yards in 5 straight games while also recording 4+ receptions. Schwartz ($7k FD/$5k DK), the slot WR, has cleared 80 receiving yards and scored 1 TD in each of the last 2 games despite only drawing 8 targets total. He’s cleared 40 receiving yards in all 7 games. Stove ($5.9k FD/$4k DK) has 13 receptions, 134 receiving yards, and 1 TD over the last 3 games on 14 targets. He’s a secondary play while Schwartz and Williams are the primary plays here. When Alabama has been hurt via the passing game it’s generally over the middle of the field which should benefit the slot WR Schwartz. Alabama has allowed box scores of: 6/123/2 to TAMU RB Smith, 7/181/2 to MISS TE Yeboah, 4/101/1 to UGA’s RB Cook.

In 2020 (6 games), Auburn is 63rd in passing yards allowed with 236.2 yards/game. They are 56th in rushing yards allowed with 155.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (1.5 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Alabama (44.5 Implied Team Total)
Mac Jones ($9.4k FD/$8.2k DK) threw for a season low 230 passing yards and 2 TDs in last week’s 63-3 whooping of Kentucky. Through 7 games, the Heisman candidate is posting game averages of 346.6 passing yards and 2.71 total TDs per game. He’s in a good spot this week and could rack up a monster day if Auburn can manage to hang around this week and keep the game semi-close. The Tigers has a slightly above average pass defense as they’re allowing around 230 yards passing per game including 7.26 yards per pass attempt. Auburn has surrendered 9 TD passes in 7 games. Jones threw for 335 yards and 4 TDs in last year’s Iron Bowl. The Crimson Tide offense favors the run (54.8/45.2 run-pass split) and averages 68.7 plays per game.

Star RB Najee Harris ($10.7k FD/$9.6k DK) is averaging 113.9 rushing yards and 2.29 TDs per game on 19.6 carries per game this season. He’s also been heavily involved a receiving option with Jaylen Waddle out. In 3 games sans Waddle, he’s caught 14 balls for 124 yards. The matchup with Auburn isn’t anything to fear. Auburn is allowing nearly 160 rushing yards per game. They’ve allowed 10 rushing TDs in 7 games. Despite only scoring 17 points, TENN’s Eric Gray ran for 173 yards and 1 TD on 22 carries and also caught 3 balls for 49 yards against Auburn last week.

Notable target counts through 7 games: DeVonta Smith (85), John Metchie (34), Najee Harris (24), Slade Bolden (14 – 6 games), Miller Forristall (10 – 6 games), and Jahleel Billingsley (5 – 6 games).

Clearly Smith ($10.2k FD/$9.2k DK) is a stud and a great play if you can afford him. The senior has cleared 144 receiving yards in 4 out of the last 5 games. He’s caught 6+ balls in every game this season. Over the last 5 games, he’s averaging video-game like numbers (10.2 receptions, 150.2 receiving yards, 1.8 TD receptions). Metchie ($7.4k FD/$5.2k DK) has been held under 20 receiving yards in 2 straight games. However, he has topped 150 receiving yards in 2 out of 7 games this season. Slot man Bolden ($6k FD/$4k DK) sprained his ankle in the 3rd quarter of last week’s game. He’s questionable this week (12/130/0 in 3 games sans Waddle) but is trending towards playing reportedly. Lastly, if Miller Forristall is out, Jahleel Billingsley ($5k FD/$3.4k DK) should his second straight start. The sophomore posted 3/78/0 on 3 targets in last week’s game.

In 2020 (6 games), Alabama is 93rd in passing yards allowed with 260.3 yards/game. They are 31st in rushing yards allowed with 128.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

Pittsburgh (16.5 Implied Team Total)
Kenny Pickett ($7.7k FD/$6.1k DK) has attempted 36+ pass attempts in 5 out of 6 ACC games that he’s played in this season. He’s cleared 210 passing yards in all 6 ACC games while also throwing 9 TD passes in that time frame. Additionally, the senior has 6 rushing TDs in ACC play. The matchup this week is rough. Clemson is limiting opposing passers to 191.8 passing yards per game including 6.82 yards per pass attempt. The Tigers have only ceded 9 TD passes in 8 games. The Pittsburgh offense favors the pass (52.8/47.2 pass-run split) and averages 76.6 plays per game.

Vincent Davis ($6.4k FD/$4.7k DK) is the Panthers’ primary RB. He’s found paydirt 5 times through 9 games. Unfortunately, he’s been 66 or fewer rushing yards in all 9 games. He has racked up 22 receptions for 145 yards this season though. Clemson has only allowed 6 rushing TDs in 8 games. Additionally, they’re limiting opposing runners to 3.07 yards per carry.

Notable target counts through 9 games: Jordan Addison (73 – 8 games), DJ Turner (61), Taysir Mack (44 – 6 games), Shocky Jacques-Louis (43), Jared Wayne (26 – 6 games), and Vincent Davis (25).

Addison ($7.4k FD/$4.8k DK) missed last week’s game and is listed as questionable for the Clemson game. The slot WR has cleared 125 receiving yards in 2 out of his last 3 games. Turner ($6.5k FD/$4.4k DK) racked up an insane 15 receptions, 184 receiving yards, and 1 TD on 20 targets with Addison sidelined. He had 12 or less receiving yards in 4 games prior to last week. Mack has been held under 20 receiving yards in 3 straight games. SJL ($5.4k FD/$3k DK) managed to come down with only 3 out of 10 targets for 43 yards in last week’s game. Both him and Turner would benefit if both Addison and Wayne ($5.2k FD/$3.3k DK) miss their 2nd straight game. There’s a good chance QB Pickett attempts 50+ passes this week.

In 2020 (8 games), Pitt is 44th in passing yards allowed with 217.8 yards/game. They are 2nd in rushing yards allowed with 78.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (.75 TD/game) and 16 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Clemson (39 Implied Team Total)
Star QB Trevor Lawrence ($10.5k FD/$9k DK) is posting game averages of 305.5 passing yards, 11.8 rushing yards, and 3.5 total TDs. He’s thrown 3 or more TDs in 4 out of 6 games. He’s in a good spot this week as Clemson hosts Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has been flamed for 18 pass TDs in 9 games this season. The Panthers have struggled against teams with size at WR which Clemson has in WRs Powell and Ngata. The Clemson offense is favoring the pass (52.8/47.2 pass-run split) and averages 77.9 plays per game.

Travis Etienne ($9.8k FD/$8.6k DK) has at least 1 TD in 6 straight games. Etienne has racked up 634 rushing yards, 491 receiving yards, and 12 TDs in 8 games. Pittsburgh has been great against the run as they’re allowing around 80 rushing yards per game. They’ve only surrendered 6 rushing TDs through 9 games. However, Etienne is a fine play regardless of the matchup. He might even come with lower than normal ownership due to the matchup which makes him an interesting tournament play.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Amari Rodgers (64), Travis Etienne (44), Cornell Powell Jr. (43), Frank Ladson Jr. (28 – 7 games), Braden Galloway (26), and Joseph Ngata (10 – 7 games).

Slot man Rodgers ($8.7k FD/$7.5k DK) is the Tigers’ leading WR (48/721/6). He’s drawn 7+ targets in 7 out of 8 games. He’s recorded 6+ receptions in 6 straight games. He’s cleared 60 receiving yards in 6 straight games. Powell ($7.7k FD/$6.3k DK) is emerging as a viable deep threat for the Tigers. The senior is averaging 6.3 receptions and 103.7 receiving yards on 8.7 targets over the last 3 games. Powell’s 3 TD receptions have come over the last 4 games. Joseph Ngata is out despite being listed as a starter on the depth chart. EJ Williams ($5k FD/$3k DK) has been talked up by HC Dabo Swinney so I’m guessing he’ll start (12/143/0 this season). He’s a former 4-star prospect and is worth a look at the bare minimum on DK. Lastly, Galloway ($5.3k FD/$3.8k DK) the starting TE, has been held under 50 receiving yards in 4 straight games. He’s a TD dependent play (19/230/2 this season). As noted above, the Pittsburgh secondary has struggled with perimeter WRs with size. That makes Powell interesting and Ngata to a lesser degree.

In 2020 (8 games), Clemson is 23rd in passing yards allowed with 191.8 yards/game. They are 24th in rushing yards allowed with 113.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (1.13 TD/game) this season.

Northwestern (27 Implied Team Total)
Former IU QB Payton Ramsey ($6.2k DK) has directed Northwestern to a 5-0 start this season. Over the last 3 games, Ramsey is averaging 194.7 passing yards, 18.3 rushing yards, and 2.33 total TDs per game. The Spartans pass defense has allowed yardage (242.3 per game) through the air to opposing signal callers but they’ve only surrendered 4 pass TDs in 4 games. Additionally, they’re allowing 6.5 yards per pass attempt which is actually pretty solid. The Northwestern offense favors the run (57.8/42.2 run-pass split) and averages 74 plays per game.

Isaiah Bowser ($4.8k DK) averaged 20.3 carries over the 1st 3 games. However, he recorded 2 rushing yards on 2 attempts and was benched after fumbling at the goal line in last week’s win over Wisconsin. HC Pat Fitzgerald was less than pleased and it’s unknown if his “punishment” will carry over to this week’s game. If it does, Drake Anderson ($4.2k DK) would likely lead the backfield. Anderson leads the Wildcats with 211 rushing yards and 2 TDs through 5 games (3/25/1 receiving). Bowser has run for 184 yards and 1 TD on 63 carries (7/41/1 receiving this season). The matchup with Michigan State is decent. The Spartans are allowing 149.3 rushing yards including 3.85 yards per carry. They’ve surrendered 12 rushing TDs through 4 games.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman (33), Kyric McGowan (29), Riley Lees (19), and John Raine (18).

RCB ($5.6k DK) has exploded with 4/95/1 (WISC) and 8/86/3 (PUR) over the last 2 games on while drawing 10 targets in each game. He’s recorded 4+ receptions in 4 out of 5 games. McGowan ($4.2k DK) has 5+ receptions in 3 out of the last 4 games. He’s drawn 16 targets over the last 2 games (12/114/0). Lees ($3.5k DK) has been held to 28 or less receiving yards in all 5 games. The TE, Raine ($3.8k DK), enters this week with 14/122/1 and is a TD dependent play.

In 2020 (4 games), NW is 37th in passing yards allowed with 210 yards/game. They are 8th in rushing yards allowed with 91.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (.5 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (.75 TD/game) this season.

Michigan State (14 Implied Team Total)
This game is totally unappealing from the Michigan State offensive side of the ball. The inaccurate Rocky Lombardi ($5.6k DK) flamed out against IU and was replaced dual threat QB Payton Thorne ($5.4k DK). Thorne completed 10 out of 20 pass attempts for 110 yards and 1 INT. He recorded 25 rushing yards on 10 carries. The Spartans have scored a total of 7 points over their last 2 games and it’s going to be difficult to move the ball against a solid Northwestern defense. Northwestern has allowed 4 pass TDs through 5 games and they’re limiting opposing passers to 4.77 yards per pass attempt.

The backfield is a mess with Jordan Simmons ($3.7k DK) leading the team with 147 rushing yards on 42 carries through 4 games. Connor Heyward ($4.7k DK) has 83 rushing yards on 28 carries this season. He’s the 4th leading pass catcher with 9 receptions for 52 yards and 2 TDs. Northwestern has only ceded 2 rushing TDs in 5 games.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Jalen Nailor (31), Jayden Reed (31), Ricky White (21), and Connor Heyward (9).

Nailor ($4.6k DK) and Reed ($5.6k DK) are the two top WRs. Reed has been held under 65 receiving yards in 3 straight games. Nailor was held to 1/9/0 on 2 targets against IU. Prior to that, he cleared 65 receiving yards in each of the 1st 3 games.

In 2020 (4 games), MSU is 71st in passing yards allowed with 242.3 yards/game. They are 49th in rushing yards allowed with 149.3 yards/game. The defense has given up 12 TDs on the ground (3 TD/game) and 4 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Mississippi State (29.5 Implied Team Total)
Will Rogers ($7.5k FD/$6k DK) completed 41 out of 52 pass attempts for 1 TD in last week’s 31-24 loss to Georgia. He’s averaging 45 pass attempts over the last 3 games. That is appealing against Mississippi’s brutal pass defense. The Rebels have been throttled for 292.1 passing yards including 8.32 yards per pass attempt. They’ve allowed 13 pass TDs through 7 games. The Mississippi State offense favors the pass (76.7/32.3 pass-run split) and averages 70 plays per game.

Mississippi is bad against the pass but they’re even worse against the run. However, MSU rarely runs the ball. Jo’Quavious Marks ($6.4k FD/$5.1k DK) and Dillon Johnson ($6.8k FD/$5.8k DK) rotate in the Bulldogs backfield. Marks has 147 rushing yards and 1 TD as a runner; however, he’s hauled in 44 passes for 184 yards. Marks has 30 receptions over the last 4 games (23 in 3 QB Rogers starts). He has a pretty appealing price tag on DK this week. Johnson has 3 rushing TDs over the last 2 games. In total he has 70 rushing yards and 4 TDs on 22 carries. He’s caught 23 balls for 105 yards including 7/42/0 last week.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Jo’Quavious Marks (51), Osirus Mitchell (44), Jaden Walley (40), Malik Heath (38 – 6 games), JaVonta Payton (37 – 6 games), Austin Williams (31 – 6 games), and Dillon Johnson (24).

Unlike USC, Mississippi State loves to rotate through a ton of WRs. Mitchell ($7k FD/$5.1k DK) has 13 receptions for 102 yards and 1 TD on 17 targets in 3 Rogers starts. Walley ($6.7k FD/$4.9k DK) has racked up 15/176/1 on 22 targets over 3 Rogers’ starts. Heath ($5.9k FD/$4.5k DK) missed last week’s game and his status is unknown. He posted 10/81/0 on 18 targets in 2 games with Rogers. Perimeter WRs have given Ole Miss fits over recent weeks: SCAR’s Smith 10/117/1, VAN’s Johnson 14/97/0, and AUB’s Williams 8/150/1. Mitchell and Heath normally start on the outside with Walley and Williams ($6.1k FD/$3.6k DK) manning the interior slot spots. I’d assume Cameron Gardner ($5.5k FD/$3k DK) would start if Heath is unavailable. Gardner posted 3/18/0 on 4 targets against Georgia.

In 2020 (6 games), MSU is 59th in passing yards allowed with 232.7 yards/game. They are 30th in rushing yards allowed with 127.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (.67 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (2.17 TD/game) this season.

Mississippi (40 Implied Team Total)
This week sets up to favor Mississippi’s aerial game. Mississippi State has been flamed for 17 pass TDs while only allowing 4 rushing TDs through 7 games. They’ve allowed 292+ passing yards to each of the last 3 QBs that they’ve faced (BAMA/VAN/UGA). Over the last 3 games, they’ve allowed 9 total TD passes. Matt Corral ($11.5k FD/$10.1k DK) has feasted on bad SEC opponents this season especially over his last 2 games. The sophomore has thrown for 925 yards and 10 TDs over the last 2 games! (SCAR/VAND). He’s also run for 43 yards and 1 TD on 16 carries in that time frame. He’s been priced up on DK so that should help keep his ownership somewhat in check this week. The Ole Miss offense favors the run (59.6/40.4 run-pass split) and averages 80 plays per game. I will note both teams run a lot of plays so this game is an interesting game stack.

Jerrion Ealy ($8.8k FD/$7.1k DK) and Snoop Conner ($6.7k FD/$4.3k DK) are the two primary RBs for Ole Miss. Ealy has 15+ carries in 5 straight games. He’s gone over 100-rushing yards in 2 games this season. The sophomore has 6 total TDs over the last 4 games. Connor has seen his workload dip in recent games. He’s received 13 total carries over the last 2 games after receiving 13+ carries in each of the 3 games prior. He does have a rushing TD in 2 straight games.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Elijah Moore (86), Jonathan Mingo (33), Kenny Yeboah (29), Dontario Drummond (25), Jerrion Ealy (13), and Snoop Conner (8).

Well Elijah Moore ($10.5k FD/$9.4k DK) versus a bad pass defense. That’s what we have this week. The star has posted 14/238/3 and 13/225/2 over his last 2 games. He’s gone over 100 receiving yards in 5 out of 7 games and over 200-receiving yards in 3 out of 7 games. Video game numbers. The junior has drawn 11+ targets in 6 out of 7 games. Plus you know he’ll want to redeem himself after blowing the game with a “dog-pee” maneuver at the end of last season’s egg bowl. Mingo ($6.9k FD/$4.8k DK) has huge upside but he also has a bagel floor. He’s posted 6/90/0 and 8/128/0 this season. He’s been held to 31 or less receiving yards in the 5 other games this season. Yeboah ($8.1k FD/$6k DK), the TE, has drawn 5 or less targets in 7 games (season high is 7). However, he’s a threat to score any time he gets the ball. The senior has cleared 80 receiving yards in 4 out of 7 games (25/509/6 this season). Drummond ($7k FD/$4k DK) has 4 receptions and 1 TD in each of the last 2 games. However, he’s drawn 5 or less targets in every single game this season. Braylon Sanders has posted 7/191/1 on 8 targets over the last 2 games. Box scores allowed by MSU over the last 4 games to opposing WRs: Bama’s Smith 11/203/4, VAND’s Johnson 10/114/0, UGA’s Burton 8/197/2, and UGA’s Pickens 8/87/1.

In 2020 (7 games), Ole Miss is 114th in passing yards allowed with 292.1 yards/game. They are 117th in rushing yards allowed with 243.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 24 TDs on the ground (3.43 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (1.86 TD/game) this season.

Louisville (27 Implied Team Total)
Malik Cunningham ($9.2k FD/$8.5k DK) is posting game averages of 157.3 passing yards, 99.8 rushing yards, and 2.25 total TDs in 4 road games this season. He’s accounted for 4 out of the Cardinals’ 5 TDs with star RB Javian Hawkins missing (2 games). Up next is a date with Boston College’s middling defense. The Eagles are allowing 235.2 passing yards per game including 7.25 yards per pass attempt. They’ve surrendered 15 pass TDs through 9 games. The Louisville offense favors the run (56.4/43.6 run-pass split) and averages 66.6 plays per game.

Louisville utilized a 3-man RBBC backfield with Hassan Hall ($6.3k FD/$4.6k DK) available. Hall seemed to be the 3rd option amongst the trio. He ran for 22 yards on 9 carries though he was the one in the backfield during garbage time. Maurice Burkley ($5.8k FD/$4.1k DK) has started in 2 games sans Hawkins. He recorded 56 rushing yards on 10 carries in last week’s 30-0 win over Syracuse. Jalen Mitchell ($6k FD/$5.2k DK) ran for 46 yards and scored a TD on 11 carries (3/24/0 receiving as well). The matchup against Boston College is above average but there’s a 4-way split in carries when you consider Cunningham runs a lot too. Burkley is listed as the starter then Hall then Mitchell on this week’s depth chart. The Eagles defense is allowing 158.2 rushing yards per game including 4.41 yards per carry. They’ve yielded 16 rushing TDs to opposing ball carriers in 9 games.

Notable target counts through 9 games: Tutu Atwell (63 – 8 games), Dez Fitzpatrick (53), Braden Smith (26), and Marshon Ford (24 – 8 games).

Atwell ($8.2k FD/$6.1k DK) returned from a 1-game injury absence but was not a full time player. He caught 1 ball for 19 yards and scored a TD on a season low 3 targets. I’d imagine that Louisville was being careful with their star player and the game was on a short week (Friday). He’ll start alongside Fitzpatrick ($7k FD/$4.9k DK) and Justin Marshall ($5.4k FD/$3k DK) this week. Fitzpatrick has cleared 60 receiving yards in 3 straight games (29/572/2 this season). Marshall has only cleared 20 receiving yards in 1 game this season. Braden Smith ($5.9k FD/$3.8k DK) posted 7/65/0 to lead all Louisville pass catchers last week. However, he’s likely to take on a secondary role if Atwell is back to full health. Marshon Ford ($6k FD/$4k DK), the TE, has 5 TD receptions in the 8 games that he’s played in this season. He’s listed as a co-start at TE with Ian Pfeifer ($5k FD/$3k DK) after missing last week’s game. That designation doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll play this week (something to monitor you’re considering him).

In 2020 (8 games), Louisville is 27th in passing yards allowed with 195.6 yards/game. They are 95th in rushing yards allowed with 196.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 17 TDs on the ground (2.13 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (1.38 TD/game) this season.

Boston College (28 Implied Team Total)
Phil Jurkovec ($8.5k FD/$7k DK) enters Saturday’s game with 2+ TD passes in 6 out of the last 7 games. He’s cleared 200 passing yards in 8 out of 9 games this season. In ACC play at home, the sophomore is posting game averages of 272 passing yards and 2.33 TD passes. The matchup with Louisville’s pass defense is fairly neutral. The Cardinals are holding opposing passers to 195.6 passing yards per game and they’ve surrendered 11 TD passes in 9 games. I will note that they are allowing 7.6 yards per pass attempt which suggests the matchup is not as bad as it seems. The Boston College offense operates at a nearly 50/50 run-pass split and averages 69.1 plays per game.

David Bailey ($6.7k FD/$4.4k DK) and Travis Leavy ($5.8k FD/$3.9k DK) rotate in the BC backfield. Bailey leads the Eagles with 450 rushing yards and 5 TDs on 117 carries (8/64/1 receiving this season). The junior has found paydirt 4 times over the last 4 games. Levy has cleared 50 rushing yards in 3 out of the last 4 games despite receiving 12 carries per game over that stretch. He has 6 receptions for 44 yards over the last 2 games. Unfortunately, he has not scored a TD all season. The matchup with Louisville’s run defense is good. The Cardinals are allowing slightly over 190 rushing yards per game including 4.88 yards per carry. They’ve been flattened for 17 rushing TDs in 9 games.

Notable target counts through 9 games: Zay Flowers (85), Hunter Long (74), Jaelen Gill (39), CJ Lewis (35), Travis Levy (30 – 8 games), and David Bailey (10).

Flowers ($7.7k FD/$5.8k DK) has drawn 10+ targets in 6 out of the last 7 games. He has a TD reception in 3 straight games. However, he’s been held to 64 or less receiving yards in 5 straight games. The sophomore does have massive upside as he’s recorded 5/162/1 against Duke and 6/162/3 against Pitt. The TE Long ($6.9k FD/$5.3k DK) is averaging 5 targets per game over the last 4 games. Prior to that, he drew 8+ targets in each of the 1st 5 games. Long checks in with 47/559/4 this season. Gill ($6k FD/$4.3k DK) has cleared 100-receiving yards in 2 out of the last 5 games (26/369/1 this season). Lewis ($6.2k FD/$4.5k DK) has cleared 58 receiving yards in 3 out of the last 4; however, 66 receiving yards is his high-water mark this season. The senior has 22 receptions, 386 receiving yards, and 4 TDs through 9 games.

In 2020 (9 games), BC is 62nd in passing yards allowed with 235.2 yards/game. They are 59th in rushing yards allowed with 158.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 16 TDs on the ground (1.78 TD/game) and 15 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

Rutgers (25 Implied Team Total)
Noah Vedral ($7.6k FD) has attempted 33+ passes in 4 straight games. He’s thrown 7 TDs and 7 INT over the last 2 games. He’s run for 88 yards and 1 TD through 5 B1G 10 games. Unfortunately, he’s often pulled for a Wildcat QB near the goal line which limits his appeal. The matchup with Purdue’s pass defense is relatively neutral. The Boilermakers are allowing 257.3 passing yards per game including 7.15 yards per pass attempt. Purdue has allowed 5 TD passes through 3 games. The Rutgers offense favors the pass (51.8/48.2 pass-run split) and averages 74.2 plays per game.

Isaiah Pacheco ($6.8k FD) leads the Scarlet Knights with 329 rushing yards on 70 carries through 5 games. He’s found paydirt two times. The junior also has 12 receptions for 79 yards (0 receptions over the last 2 games). Wildcat QB Joey Langan ($5k FD) leads Rutgers with 4 rushing TDs (16 carries for 39 yards). The matchup with Purdue isn’t great; the Boilermakers are allowing 150.7 rushing yards per game including 3.77 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 6 rushing TDs in 4 games.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Bo Melton (41), Aron Cruickshank (39), Shameen Jones (30), and Isaiah Pacheco (16).

Melton ($8.4k FD) has drawn 6+ targets and cleared 50 receiving yards in all 5 games. The senior has posted 7/109/1 (MICH) and 5/150/2 (ILL) over the last 2 games. He’s in a good spot as Purdue has struggled with perimeter WRs as of late (ILL’s Hightower 4/97/1, NW’s RCB 8/86/3, and MINN’s Autman-Bell 5/129/0. Cruickshank ($6.8k FD) mans the slot. He’s racked up 9 targets and 7 receptions in each of the last 3 games. He’s only averaging 42 receiving yards though which makes him a tough play on FD this week. Lastly, Jones ($6.4k FD) exploded for 7/122/0 on 10 targets in last week’s loss to MICH. He’s drawn 6+ targets in 3 straight games. He starts opposite of Melton on the perimeter.

In 2020 (4 games), Rutgers is 73rd in passing yards allowed with 243.8 yards/game. They are 70th in rushing yards allowed with 175 yards/game. The defense has given up 5 TDs on the ground (1.2 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (2.75 TD/game) this season.

Purdue (36 Implied Team Total)
Jack Plummer ($9.5k FD) will start his second consecutive game with Aidan O’Connell sidelined. Plummer torched Minnesota for 367 yards, 3 TD, and 1 INT. The sophomore also added 22 rushing yards on 5 attempts. He’s been priced up this week on FD though he’s in a great spot. The Scarlet Knights have been throttled through the air. They’re allowing 243.8 passing yards including an ugly 8.48 yards per attempted. They’ve been flamed for 14 passing TDs in just 4 games. Further enhancing Plummer’s viability is that he has two studs at WR in Rondale Moore and David Bell. The Purdue offense favors the pass (64.2/35.8 pass-run split) and averages 69.8 plays per game.

Zander Horvath ($8.9k FD) topped 20 carries and 100 yards in Purdue’s 1st 2 games (both wins). He’s carried the ball 10 times in each of the last 2 games for 89 yards (both losses). With Purdue expected to win this game, his carries could creep up this week against a bad Rutgers run defense. The junior plays well in the passing game. He’s caught 5+ balls and cleared 50 receiving yards in 3 straight games. The Scarlet Knights are allowing 175 rushing yards per game including 4.0 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 7 rushing TDs in 5 games.

Notable target counts through 4 games: David Bell (57), Milton Wright (27), Zander Horvath (23), Rondale Moore (19 – 1 game), and Payne Durham (17).

The major story here is that Rondale Moore ($9.8k FD) made his return to the lineup in last week’s loss to Minnesota. The star slot WR racked up 15/116/0 on 19 targets. Clearly, he’s a great play when he’s on the field (114/1,258/12 in 2018). Bell ($9.5k FD) has drawn 10+ targets in all 4 games. He’s gone over 100-receiving yards in 3 games. Bell has tallied 39 receptions, 425 receiving yards, and 6 TDs through 4 games. I don’t think Moore’s presence really affects Bell. Opposing defenses will have to put a lot of focus on Moore which should allow Bell to get open more easily. He may lose some targets but his efficiency should go up which should negate any loss of targets. Milton Wright drew 3 targets in Moore’s season debut. He saw at least 7 targets in each of the 1st 3 games. Wright ($7.3k FD) posted 3/57/0 against Minnesota. Lastly, the TE Durham ($5.7k FD), has cleared 40 yards receiving in 3 out of 4 games despite drawing 5 or less targets in all 4 games (13/137/1 through 4 games). Rutgers has struggled against the better slot WRs in the B1G 10 (IU’s Philyor 5/137/0 which was a game high and OSU’s Wilson 6/104/1 which was also a game high). That should bode well for the future pro Moore this week. They’ve also been slammed by perimeters WRs in the last 2 games (MICH’s Johnson 5/105/2 and OSU’s Olave 5/64/2). Double stacking Moore and Bell with Plummer looks appealing this week though it’s hard to do with their high price tags.

In 2020 (3 games), Purdue is 88th in passing yards allowed with 257.3 yards/game. They are 52nd in rushing yards allowed with 150.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 5 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

LSU (24 Implied Team Total)
TJ Finley ($7.8k FD) is posting game averages of 226.3 passing yards, 12.3 rushing yards, 1.67 total TDs, and 1 INT in 3 starts. With Texas A&M playing stout run defense, expect Finley and the Tigers to take to the air. Texas A&M is allowing 242.5 passing yards including 7.74 yards per pass attempt. They’ve allowed 13 passing TDs through 6 games. The LSU offense favors the pass (52.4/47.6 pass-run split) and averages 77 plays per game.

Tyrion Davis-Price ($7.5k FD) looks like the LSU RB with the highest ceiling. The sophomore has received 22+ carries and cleared 100-rushing yards in 2 out of the last 3 games. TDP has 3 rushing TDs over the last 4 games. Unfortunately, the matchup with the Aggies run defense is brutal. Texas A&M is limiting opposing runners to 95.7 rushing yards per game including a paltry 3.24 yards per carry. They’ve yielded 4 rushing TDs through 6 games.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Terrace Marshall Jr. (55), Arik Gilbert (34), Keyshon Boutte (25), Racey McMath (25, and Jaray Jenkins (22).

Marshall Jr. ($9k FD) is averaging 9 targets, 5.67 receptions, and 57.7 receiving yards with Finley at QB (2 TDs). In the Tigers’ 1st 3 games, the star WR had 21 receptions, 414 receiving yards, and 7 TDs. The TE Gilbert ($6.6k FD) has recorded 55 receptions in each of the last 2 games. He’s posted 27/314/3 this season. Boutte ($6.5k FD) (15/200/1) and McMath ($5.9k FD) (14/195/1) are more secondary options. McMath has drawn 13 targets over the last 2 games.

In 2020 (5 games), LSU is 123rd in passing yards allowed with 335.2 yards/game. They are 43rd in rushing yards allowed with 143.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (1.4 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (2.8 TD/game) this season.

Texas A&M (38.5 Implied Team Total)
Kellen Mond ($9.7k FD) takes his turn at LSU’s struggling pass defense. The Tigers are allowing 335.2 passing yards per game including 9.98 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been flamed for 15 pass TDs in only 6 games. The senior QB was on fire in his last 2 games. He threw for 224+ yards and ran for 32+ yards over his last 2 games. Mond accounted for 8 total TDs in that time frame (7 pass/1 rush). The only slighly concerning thing is that this is the first game for the Aggies is nearly 3 weeks so hopefully they can shake off the rust quickly. The Texas A&M offense favors the run (52.9/47.1 run-pass split) and averages 66.2 plays per game.

The Aggies have two talented RBs in Isaiah Spiller ($8.7k FD) and Ainis Smith ($8.2k FD). Spiller gets the job done running the ball while Smith is the pass catcher. Spiller has either scored at least 1 TD or run for 100+ yards in each of the last 4 games. The sophomore has received 18+ carries in 4 straight games. The matchup with LSU’s run defense isn’t imposing. The Tigers have allowed 9 rushing TDs in 6 games and they’re allowing 4.35 yards per carry. Smith has run for 187 yards while recording 312 receiving yards through 6 games. The sophomore has 7 total TDs in 6 games.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Ainis Smith (40), Jalen Wydermeyer (39), Chase Lane (34), Hezekiah Jones (11 – 2 games).

The TE Wydermeyer ($7.4k FD) has 2 TDs in back-to-back games. He’s drawn 5+ targets in 5 straight games. Lane ($6.8k FD) has cleared 50 receiving yards in 4 out of the last 5 games. He’s posted 23/311/2 through 6 games. Lastly, Hezekiah Jones ($5.9k FD) has played in 2 games this season. He’s caught 7 balls for 59 yards over the last 2 games. TE Wydermeyer and RB Smith look to be in a good spot this week as LSU has been stomped over the middle of the field by slot WRs in each of the last 2 games (AUB’s Schwartz 4/123/1 and ARK’s Burks 5/90/1).

In 2020 (6 games), TAMU is 72nd in passing yards allowed with 242.5 yards/game. They are 12th in rushing yards allowed with 95.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (.67 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (2.17 TD/game) this season.

Georgia (35.5 Implied Team Total)
JT Daniels ($8.4k FD) sparked the ‘Dawgs passing game in his 2020 season debut. The former highly regarded QB prospect completed 28 out of 38 pass attempts for 401 yards and 4 TDs in Georgia’s 31-24 win over MSU. He’s in another fantastic spot as the ‘Dawgs travel to South Carolina. The Gamecocks are losers of 4 straight games and have allowed point totals of 17 (VAND), 59 (MISS), 48 (TAMU), and 52 (LSU) in those 4 games. The only drawback is I’m not sure South Carolina plays a competitive game this week; they may be without leading WR Shi Smith. Regardless Daniels is a strong play. The Gamecocks have been blowtorched by opposing QBs. They’re nearly 290 passing yards per game including 9.39 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been destroyed for 19 TD passes in 8 games. The UGA offense favors the run (54/46 run-pass split) and averages 69.3 plays per game.

Zamir White ($8.4k FD) is the primary RB and he has found paydirt in 6 out of 7 games this season. The sophomore has run for 530 yards and 7 TDs on 108 carries this season (5/32/0 receiving). He encounters a South Carolina run defense that is allowing 4.52 yards per carry. The Gamecocks have been flattened for 14 rushing TDs through 8 games. James Cook ($5.9k FD) will receive 4-6 carries per game. The sophomore is a threat out of the backfield as he has 15 receptions, 168 receiving yards and 1 TD through 7 games (33/155/0 rushing).

Notable target counts through 7 games: Kearis Jackson (45), Jermaine Burton (37), George Pickens (31 – 5 games), and James Cook (17).

Burton ($6.7k FD) exploded for 8/197/2 on 9 targets in QB Daniels’ 1st game. That was the 1st game in which he’s gone over 60 receiving yards. He’ll probably be rather popular after last week’s game. Jackson ($7.4k FD) has a TD reception in 2 straight games. He posted 4/55/1 on 7 targets with Daniels at QB. Lastly, star WR George Pickens ($7k FD) made his return to the lineup in last week’s game. The sophomore drew a team high 10 targets and posted 8/87/1 with Daniels tossing him the ball.

In 2020 (6 games), UGA is 99th in passing yards allowed with 262.8 yards/game. They are 4th in rushing yards allowed with 82.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (.33 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (1.83 TD/game) this season.

South Carolina (14 Implied Team Total)
South Carolina hasn’t named a starter this week but one would have to believe that Luke Doty ($6.2k FD) will start. The freshman relieved an ineffective Collin Hill in last week’s 17-10 loss to Vanderbilt. Doty completed 14 out of 23 pass attempts for 130 yards and 1 INT. He also ran for 59 yards on 11 carries. He’s cheap this week; UGA is awesome against the run so I doubt the dual threat QB will be able to run for much. While UGA has struggled through the air, Doty is a freshman and will likely make his 1st career start. Also working against Doty is that he may not have leading WR Shi Smith available (doubtful). The South Carolina offense is favoring the run (53.4/46.6 run-pass split) and averages 66 plays per game.

Kevin Harris ($8.5k FD) has been the lone bright in an otherwise forgettable season for South Carolina. The sophomore RB has run for 875 yards and 13 TDs on 147 carries. He’s also caught 16 balls for 112 yards and 1 TD. Due to the matchup, he’ll likely carry little to no ownership this week. The matchup is as tough as it gets. UGA is limiting opposing runners to 82.8 rushing yards per game. They’ve ceded 4 rushing TDs through 8 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Shi Smith (78), Nick Muse (30), Jalen Brooks (22 – 4 games), and Kevin Harris (22).

Smith is unlikely to play as noted above. Brooks ($5.6k FD), the junior, has drawn 16 targets over the last 2 games. He has 3 receptions a piece in each of the last 2 games (72 total receiving yards). Muse ($6k FD) is the TE and he posted 6/67/0 on 6 targets in last week’s loss to lead all Gamecocks pass catchers. He’s probably the best pass catcher to target here. UGA has allowed solid box scores to players working in the middle of the field in each of the last 2 games (FLA RB Davis 5/100/0 and MSU slot WR Walley 7/115/1).

In 2020 (7 games), USC is 99th in passing yards allowed with 288.3 yards/game. They are 72nd in rushing yards allowed with 176.1 yards/game. The defense has given up 13 TDs on the ground (1.86 TD/game) and 18 TDs through the air (2.57 TD/game) this season.

Utah (20.5 Implied Team Total)
Jake Bentley ($7k FD) will start at QB with Cameron Rising shelved for the rest of the season. Bentley, the former South Carolina QB, completed 16 out of 28 pass attempts for 171 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT in the Utes season opening loss to USC. He’s in a rather tough spot as Washington has been great against the pass through 2 games. Through 2 games, Washington has allowed: 11/24 for 85 yards and 1 INT to OSU’s Gabbia and 259 passing yards/3 TDs to Arizona’s Gunnell. Gunnell did most of his damage once the game got out of hand (3 TDs in the 4th after falling behind 37-0). The Utah offense ran 34 pass plays and 28 running plays in their season opener.

3 different players received between 7-10 carries for Utah to start this season. Devin Brumfield ($5.7k FD) started at RB but was held to 28 rushing yards on 5 carries. Ty Jordan ($5.5k FD) led the Utes with 32 rushing yards on 7 carries while Jordan Wilmore ($6.1k FD) recorded a team high 10 carries (30 rushing yards). Washington surrendered 23/133/1 to OSU’s Jermar Jefferson in their season opener and then 11/55/0 to Arizona’s Brightwell in Game 2. Washington is allowing 119.5 rushing yards per game and they’ve surrendered 3 rushing TDs through 2 games.

Target counts from the season opener: Brant Kuithe (10), Bryan Thompson (5), Solomon Enis (4), Samson Nacua (3), Ty Jordan (3), Dalton Kincaid (2), Devin Brumfield (2), Devaughn Vele (1), Cole Fotheringham (1), and Thomas Yassmin (1).

Kuithe ($5.8k FD), the TE, caught 4 balls for 23 yards. He posted 34/602/6 in 2019. Thompson ($6.1k FD) is the deep threat and he caught 2 balls for 48 yards in Game 1. The junior posted 18/461/3 in 2019. Nacau ($6.8k FD) caught Bentley’s lone TD pass (3/29/1) while Enis ($5.9k FD) had 42 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Kuithe and Thompson are the main targets while Enis and Nacau are secondary targets.

Washington (27.5 Implied Team Total)
Dylan Morris ($7.2k FD) is the Huskies starting QB. The dual threat QB has not attempted more than 25 passes in his 2 starts this season. Through 2 games, the freshman has thrown for 371 yards and 2 TDs while also running 21 yards and 1 TD on 10 attempts. Utah had one of the top defenses in the nation last year but they lost a ton of talent defensively. USC’s Kedon Slovis threw for 264 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT against Utah in their season opener. Washington seems intent on riding their 3 RBs and having QB Morris manage the game. The Washington offense favors the run (65.8/34.2 run-pass split) and averages 73 plays per game.

The Huskies operate a 3-man RBBC backfield. Kamari Pleasent ($7.2k FD) is the starting RB and he’s run for 104 yards and 2 TDs on 18 carries through 2 games. Sean McGrew ($7k FD) is the change of pace back and he’s recorded 126 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 23 carries. Richard Newton ($7.1k FD) leads the Huskies with 23 carries; he’s run for 122 yards and 2 TDs. Cameron Davis ($5.4k FD) will also receive a few carries per game (10/52/0 rushing and 5/26/0 receiving). I will say that most of Newton’s production came on a 54-yard TD run late in last week’s blow-out win. Utah held USC’s ball carriers to 93 yards and 1 TD on 31 carries in their season opener.

Notable target counts through 2 games: Cade Otton (9), Terrell Bynum (8), Ty Jones (7), Cameron Davis (5), and Puka Nacua (5).

Due to the low amount of passing attempts by QB Morris, all of the pass catchers carry some risk. Otton ($6.5k FD), the TE, posted 7/100/1 against Arizona. The TE has played a huge role in Washington’s offense for a few years now. Bynum ($6.4k FD) has 5 receptions for 86 yards; he posted 31/368/2 in 2019. After missing 2019, Jones ($3.7k FD) is back and he’s caught 3 balls for 47 yards (31/491/6 in 2018). Nacua ($6.7k FD) is a deep play threat. The sophomore has played in 5 career games. In those 5 games, he’s racked up 10/252/3.

Virginia (33 Implied Team Total)
Brennan Armstrong ($9.8k FD) has thrown 23 or fewer passes in 3 straight games. The lefty has 8 TD receptions over his last 3 games. He’s also ran for 52+ rushing yards in four straight games along with tacking on 3 rushing TDs. He’s a in phenomenal spot as the Cavs travel to Florida State. The Seminoles have been gutted through the air and on the ground this season. Through the air, FSU is allowing 270.8 passing yards per game including 8.36 yards per pass attempt. They’ve ceded 14 pass TDs through 8 games. The Virginia offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 76 plays per game.

Usually, FSU’s run defense is great area to attack. The Seminoles have been stomped for 193.5 rushing yards including 5.18 yards per carry. They’ve ceded 22 rushing TDs in only 8 games. However, outside of QB Armstrong, it’s a cloudy situation for the UVA backfield. Wayne Taulapapa ($6.6k FD) is leading the RBs in rushing (QB Armstrong leads the team in rushing) but he’s only received 11 carries over the last 2 games. Big Wayne enters this week with 399 rushing yards and 4 TDs on 99 carries. He loses carries to Shane Simpson ($6.2k FD) and wildcat QB Keytaon Thompson ($6.5k FD). Further muddying the Cavs backfield is that Ronnie Walker Jr. ($5.5k FD) has 19 carries over the last 2 games (56 rushing yards). The coaching staff is on record stating they want to utilize all 3 of Taulapapa, Simpson, and Walker Jr.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Billy Kemp IV (78), Terrell Jana (59), Tony Poljan (49), Lavel Davis Jr. (29 – 6 games), and Wayne Taulapapa (17).

After drawing 12+ targets in the 1st 4 games, slot man Kemp IV ($7k FD) is averaging 6 targets per game over the last 4 games. If FSU can keep the game close and keep QB Armstrong throwing then perhaps it’ll drive Kemp IV’s target counts back up. Though, he only has 1 TD this season. Working in his favor is the fact that FSU has struggled against slot WRs in recent games (Pitt’s Addison 11/127/0 and LVille’s Atwell 3/129/1). Jana ($6.3k FD) and Davis Jr. ($6.7k FD) are the downfield threats. The senior, Jana, has been held under 60 receiving yards in 7 out of 8 games. Davis Jr. has cleared 74 receiving yards in 2 straight games. He has at least 1 TD reception in 4 out of 6 games. The freshman is the best pass catcher to pair with QB Armstrong. Lastly, the TE Poljan ($6.8k FD) has 3 TD receptions over his last 4 games. He’s caught 4+ balls in 5 out of 8 games (30/300/5 this season).

In 2020 (7 games), UVA is 113th in passing yards allowed with 290.6 yards/game. They are 55th in rushing yards allowed with 154 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (1.57 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (1.86 TD/game) this season.

Florida State (24.5 Implied Team Total)
QB Jordan Travis ($8.2k FD) will start and he’s finally healthy. The dual threat signal caller struggles throwing the ball but he’s one of the most effective runners at QB in the country. The sophomore has cleared 80 rushing yards in 3 out of the last 4 games. He’s recorded at least 1 rushing TD in 5 straight games. Travis has been held under 200 passing yards in 3 straight games (PITT/LOU/UNC). He’s in a decent spot to have an effective game through the air. UVA has is allowing 290.6 passing yards including an eye-popping 9.69 yards per attempt. They’ve allowed 14 passing TDs in 8 games. The FSU offense favors the run (53.3/46.7 run-pass split) and averages 72.5 plays per game. Both of these offenses play fast so there should be a ton of plays run in this game.

Jashaun Corbin ($6.9k FD) is the best bet to lead FSU in carries. The former Texas A&M RB has 30 carries over the last 3 games. He’s run for 179 yards and 1 TD in that time frame (4/23/0 receiving). UVA has been average against the run. They’re allowing 154 rushing yards per game including 3.95 yards per carry. They’ve only yielded 12 rushing TDs through 8 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Ontaria Wilson (39), Camren McDonald (34), Keyshawn Helton (26), Warren Thompson (20 – 6 games), and Jashaun Corbin (19).

Wilson ($6.3k FD) has drawn 18 targets over the last 3 games and has caught 13 balls for 147 yards and 2 TDs in those 3 games. He’s emerging as the top pass catcher amongst the Seminoles with Tamorrion Terry no longer part of the program. The TE McDonald ($5.8k FD) is a TD dependent play. He has 22 receptions for 248 yards and 2 TDs through 8 games. Helton ($5.8k FD) has 7 receptions for a whopping 18 yards over the last 2 games (17/239/3 last season).

In 2020 (8 games), FSU is 103rd in passing yards allowed with 270.8 yards/game. They are 92nd in rushing yards allowed with 193.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 22 TDs on the ground (2.75 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.75 TD/game) this season.

FYI – Yardage allowed doesn’t include games played last week as the NCAA didn’t update their site.

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