Contrarian Corner Week 3 NFL
Welcome to the Contrarian Corner. This blog will be about doing things a little differently than what most of the Rotogrinders team recommends. Anyone can look at team totals and decide to stack the team with the highest total. What I attempt to do is stack teams that will be low owned and are in great spots, despite what the Vegas team total might be. This strategy has a high level of variance. I am not aiming to cash for the minimum, I am trying to win GPP’s.
I have officially pivoted almost completely to football and will provide some contrarian stacks for week three in the NFL.
The chalk for this week appears to be the Kansas City/Baltimore game. It does not take a genius to tell you to play the Chiefs offense, but there is a way to play them in a contrarian way.
Josh Allen and John Brown and Tyler Boyd
I wonder if this ends up becoming slightly chalky wince the Bengals have been bad and scored upon in the first two weeks. I played Allen in cash last week and it worked very well. If the Bills running game remains as injured as it has been during the week, Allen may have to throw even more.
Kyle Allen and DJ Moore and Larry Fitzgerald
“(player-popup #kyle-allen)Kyle Allen”:/players/kyle-allen-328736’s price is too cheap and you should consider him in cash as well. If you stack the Panthers up you can play almost anyone else you want at your other spots. The Cardinals keep throwing and paying very fast. There is an argument to me made to stack this game up completely. There are plenty of people in play from this game and I have zero issue playing any of them.
Lamar Jackson and Hollywood Brown and Mark Andrews and Sammy Watkins
Lamar is going to be very popular this week and if you are reading this you know why. In order to stack Jackson and the Ravens I think it makes sense to play two pass catchers and then run it back with a Chiefs receiver. This should allow you to differentiate a slight amount and make your lineup contrarian. Sammy Watkins burned people last week after his week one eruption. The public will be ready to click the cheap Chiefs receivers and then use the money elsewhere. I will happily go back to Watkins.
Patrick Mahomes and Sammy Watkins and Hollywood Brown and Mark Andrews
Again, if we want our chalky stacks to be different we must add in other components. By playing two Ravens and the most expensive Chief pass catcher, it should allow the lineup to be different from what most people may do. I am going to let the others chase those Chief cheap wide receiver points, while I stick the man with the targets.
Mason Rudolph and James Washington and George Kittle
The Steelers do not trade future picks unless they feel they have something with Rudolph. Washington and Rudolph were teammates and crushed in college together and there is a chance that starts happening here. The Steelers cannot play Donte Concrete again, after his benching last week. Yes, I know that is not his name, but that is what I am calling him with all these drops. Last week the tight end crushed the Steelers and this is a great buy low spot on George Kittle. The Steelers have not been able to run the ball and they will need to throw a lot. No one will be on this perfect late game hammer.
This is my plan as of right now. If things change during the week I will be back to update this blog. I am Milo741 on all the DFS sites. Follow along on twitter @wintheweekend, as I will post my bets as well. Good luck everyone.