Coop’s Arnold Palmer Invitational Preview

This week we are off to Orlando Florida for one of the more prestigious tournaments on tour, The Arnold Palmer Invitational. This will most likely be the last full field tune up for some players before heading to the Masters as we only have the WGC Match play and Houston Open left before the Masters. As expected we have a solid field this week as the tournament typically draws being names.

BAY HILL CLUB
Players will be taking there game to the Bay Hill Club this week which can be one of the more challenging courses on tour when the wind is up. Mark Leishman is the defending champion while Jason Day and Matt Every were the winners the prior two years. The winning score has ranged from -11 to -19 over those years but typically falls in the -11 to -13 range. Bay Hill is a long par 72 course that will stretch out to around 7400 yds and the biggest defense of the course is the wind and water. Two of the past three years the wind has been irrelevant and allowed the winning score to creep up to -17 and -19 so make sure you pay attention to the forecast for this week. Bay Hill features average size greens with a playing surface of Bermuda TifEagle that play faster than the average green, over 12 on the stimpmeter. Bay Hill is a traditional par 72 course that has four par 3 holes were par is a very good score. The par 3’s range in distance from 199-230 yards and if you have a player that scores birdie on one of these holes it is a huge plus. Hole 17 is the best birdie chance as it gave up 44 last year but it also provided 71 bogeys and 18 double bogeys or worse. Bay Hill has ten par 4 holes of which half play 450 yards or longer. The toughest par 4 is the 18th which saw 91 bogeys last year along with 29 double bogeys or worse. If you put that together, hole 17/18 is a stretch were you can go from a great round to average round very quickly. Another stretch that can be challenging for players this week is holes 1-3 as last year it was the most difficult opening three holes on the PGA tour. Like most courses it is critical to have a good week on the four par 5 holes at Bay Hill as they all played under par last year. Birdie are a must and there are eagles out there to be had but not a plethora of them as holes 4,6,12 provided a total of 14 eagles last year while hole 16 accounted for 22 eagles and over 200 birdies. It’s not uncommon for the winner and or players at the top of the leaderboard to play the Par 5’s at -9 to -11 or better for the week.

STATS TO USE THIS WEEK
Since this tournament requires all around play I will be focusing on SGT2G.
Putting is volatile but we need players who are putting well, SG Putting.
Setting yourself up for good approach shots will be critical, SG OTT.
I think we will see low scores this week so I want players who are making birdies, Birdie or Better%.
Many of those birdies will occur on Par 5’s so I want players scoring well on those holes recently.
Finally this course requires several shots from 200 yards or greater as we have four par 5’s and three par 3’s longer than 200 yards, Proximity 200 yards or greater.
All stats below are based off tournaments played in over the last six weeks.

STUDS UP TOP
After a hot start on the Euro tour Rory McIlroy has struggled on the PGA tour missing two cuts while finishing 59th and 20th in the two cuts he did make. McIlroy has a solid history at Bay Hill making all three cuts finishing 4th, 27th and 11th. McIlroy continues to be underowned in DFS checking in at 6-8% his last two tournaments. I think it is safe to say McIlroy will find himself in the same situation again this week as he along with Jordan Spieth are players that people continue to play in hopes that they capture there big week when they break out of the slump they are in. I will have no problem playing McIlroy at 10-15% as long as he stays at 6-8%.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 36th
SG Putting 67th
SG OTT 26th
Par 5 Scoring 41st
Birdie or Better% 33rd
Proximity 200> 22nd

After a disappointing WGC Justin Rose returned to his typical form at Valspar contending for the win until the last round when he was not able to put anything together finishing 5th. Rose has had solid success at Bay Hill finishing in the T10 four times while making 7/9 cuts. Rose has been popular the last two weeks and I feel he will be one of the highest owned players again this week. I will likely pass on Rose this week as I feel the scores will be low and Rose typically isn’t a golfer who shoots very low rounds in one tournament.
Tournaments 2
SGT2G 48th
SG Putting 5th
SG OTT 18th
Par 5 Scoring 58th
Birdie or Better% 10th
Proximity 200> 12th

Jason Day returns to action this week after a four week lay off. Day has only played in two tournaments over the last seven weeks and he has finished first and second in them. Day has a mixed bag of results at Bay Hill over his career as he won this tournament two years ago but after that his best finish in six other attempts is 17th. We will have to wait and see how the chatter is this week concerning Day but I feel he will be marginally high owned.
Tournaments 1
SGT2G 89th
SG Putting 2nd
SG OTT 51st
Par 5 Scoring 2nd
Birdie or Better% 1st
Proximity 200> 54th

Coming off a very impressive year Rickie Fowler has struggled so far this year missing two cuts while finishing 11th and 37th. Fowler has a history at Bay Hill that is similar to Jason Day as his best finish is 3rd and after that he has been mediocre as 11th is his best finish with four other finishes outside the T29 including one missed cut. Due to the recent struggles for Fowler I feel he will be a solid GPP play as his ownership should be down this week but not as low as McIlroy. Fowler is one of the younger golfers who has a deep respect for the game of golf and the players who paved the way for the young guys to succeed and this is one tournament that Fowler wants to win due to Arnold.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 16th
SG Putting 90th
SG OTT 38th
Pa 5 Scoring 78th
Birdie or Better% 30th
Proximity 200> 7th

LOOKING FOR THAT BIG WIN
Tyrell Hatton comes into Bay Hill this week playing solid golf with finishes of 3rd, MC, 3rd and 15th over his last four tournaments. Hatton was a chalky pick when he missed his cut a few weeks ago then the following week he was basically unowned when he finished 3rd. So were will he end up this week, I am thinking somewhere closer to the chalky side since he finished 4th at Bay Hill last year in his first appearance.
Tournaments 2
SGT2G 15th
SG Putting 18
SG OTT 13th
Par 5 Scoring 45th
Birdie or Better% 20th
Proximity 200> 9th

Alex Noren is perhaps the hottest golfer on tour with finishes of 14th, 3rd, 16th, 21st and 2nd over his last five tournaments. Many are asking themselves will Noren continue his impressive run or has time run out. Noren has only played Bay Hill once and that was last year finishing 49th. Hopefully the average performance for Noren last year will help keep people off him. My biggest concern playing Noren this week is when will that hot putter run cold as that is not the week I want to be on him.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 7th
SG Putting 8th
SG OTT 21st
Par 5 Scoring 5th
Birdie or Better% 7th
Proximity 200> 87th

Besides Alex Noren, Tommy Fleetwood probably enters this tournament as the hottest player on tour as over his last five tournament he has finished 14th, 4th, 37th, 6th and 1st. Fleetwood Played Bay Hill last year and finished 10th in his debut. Fleetwood was very popular at the WGC a few weeks ago but disappointed many with a poor opening round and a 14th place finish. I don’t think that is going to lower his ownership to much this week as I still expect him to be a popular pick. Fleetwood is a player that could go out and dominate the par 5’s this week helping him find his way to the top of the leaderboard.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 3rd
SG Putting 53rd
SG OTT 4th
Par 5 Scoring 1st
Birdie or Better% 3rd
Proximity 200> 11th

Tiger Woods mania has officially hit the golf world as he competed for a win at Valspar ultimately finishing second and following up a solid Honda Classic finish were he finished 12th. This will most likely be the last time we see Tiger before the Masters unless he decides to play the Houston Open a tournament he did not participate in during his prime. I know I have said this before but I think Bay Hill is the tournament that will ultimately determine if Tiger is not only back but perhaps could be the younger Tiger that finished T10 or better is the majority of his tournaments. The last two weeks Tiger has been able to club down off the tee which has benefited him as his driver was not in the best of form heading into those tournaments. This week Tiger will have to use driver more often than the last two weeks and while he never was extremely accurate during his prime years he has been really bad upon his return to the PGA tour. Tiger will have to hit the driver on all the par 5’s and how he hits it will determine his outcome because if he doesn’t set himself up for eagles and birdies then he may struggle this week as I expect scores to be low this week as the weather forecast looks perfect. Then there is always the chance were we see the Tiger that played the par 5’s at -14 one year.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 31st
SG Putting 21st
SG OTT 79th
Par 5 Scoring 82nd
Birdie or Better% 15th
Proximity 200> 71st

Adam Scott is quietly returning to his old form as he has played solid golf in his last two tournaments finishing 16th and 13th. At the beginning of the year Scott said he was determined to prove he was still relevant on tour amongst all the youth that is playing well. Scott didn’t play at Bay Hill last year but over his last three appearances he has finished 12th, 35th and 3rd. I expect a solid performance from Scott this week and if he can roll some putts in he should be near the top of the leaderboard.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 1st
SG Putting 105th
SG OTT 16th
Par 5 Scoring 9th
Birdie or Better% 18th
Proximity 200> 82nd

WILDCARDS THIS WEEK
Hideki Matsuyama is a true wildcard this week as he is making his return from a wrist injury that caused him to WD at the Pheonix tournament. Mats has played Bay Hill three times making the cut each time with 6th being his best finish. With all the big names in this tournament I would expect Mats to get lost and see lower ownership. Mats has no stats available over the last six weeks.

Kiradech Aphibarnrat will be an interesting play this week as he enters Bay Hill in good form making 6/6 cuts with a 5th place finish at WGC a few weeks ago. Barnrat didn’t play here last year but finished 6th each of the two previous years. Barnrat has the ability to feast on Par 5’s and put up several birdies, he just needs to limit the bogeys. One thing to keep in mind with Barnrat is he has traveled quite a bit over the last few weeks playing in Mexico at the WGC, some low level tourney last week overseas and now back to Florida. I am not saying this means he will play bad as every player reacts different to travel I am just passing the info on.
Tournaments 2
SGT2G 47th
SG Putting 16th
SG OTT 28th
Par 5 Scoring 38th
Birdie or Better% 14th
Proximity 200> 54th

I think it’s safe to say that Matthew Fitzpatrick is in a similar position as Pat Reed was last week at Valspar. Reed came to Valspar in form that wasn’t good but solid course history and played well finishing second. Fitz is in the same position as he missed the cut at Valspar while finishing 68th at WGC a few weeks ago. Fitz has solid history at Bay Hill making 2/3 cuts finishing 13th and 27th. I expect Fitz to be low owned this week and he is a player who has the capability to finish well. There are several players in the low 7k’s to choose from this week and Fitz is a great GPP pivot in that range.
Tournaments 2
SGT2G 85th
SG Putting 38th
SG OTT 26th
Par 5 Scoring 72nd
Birdie or Better% 83rd
Proximity 200> 62nd

Sam Burns has jumped onto the PGA tour scene the last couple weeks with solid finishes of 12th, 8th and 2nd. Burns was still relatively low owned last week but I am sure that number will change this week. The big question is can the young kid from LSU continue his stellar play for a fourth week? I think the answer to that question depends upon his putter as Burns as been putting extremely well. Putting can be volatile and if it cools off this week Burns could easily post a finish of T40 or worse.
Tournaments 2
SGT2G 53rd
SG Putting 1st
SG OTT 68th
Par 5 Scoring 20th
Birdie or Better% 23th
Proximity 200> 16th

I LIKE THESE PLAYERS, HOPEFULLY ONE or TWO CAN BRING A HOT PUTTER
I am hoping the high price for Jason Kokrak helps keep people off him this week as I feel he is a sneaky player who could contend for a T5 this week. Kokrak has made 4/5 cuts at Bay Hill including the last four while he has posted a 6th and 4th place finish two of those years. What I like best is a Kokrak is playing some very good golf as he has made his last six cuts that include two T10 finishes of which one was last week at Valspar. Many think of Kokrak as a big time hitter, which will help with the par 5’s, but he is also capable of clubbing down off the tee.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 10
SG Putting 75
SG OTT 21
Par 5 Scoring 6
Birdie or Better% 7
Proximity 200> 43

I liked Kevin Chappell before pricing came out and I was hoping he could be a sneaky play. Unfortunately, I feel with the price DK tagged him with this week he will end up being chalk. That is fine with me as I will just have to play more Chappell to ensure I am overweight. Chappell has made 4/6 cuts at Bay Hill with his best finish being 2nd but what I am liking is his current form as he has made six consecutive cuts with two T10’s and no finish worse than 31st. Chappell appears to be a more confident player this year which has helped with his consistency.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 12
SG Putting 30
SG OTT 8
Par 5 Scoring 26
Birdie or Better% 11
Proximity 200> 21

Louie Oosthuizen is starting to play some good golf as the last three weeks he has finished 16th, 30th and 24th. Oosthuizen is hitting his irons very well right now and I feel all he needs is a good putting week which he is more than capable of providing. I don’t feel that Oosthuizen will be popular this week and he could end up being a solid GPP play. Oosthuizen has played at Bay Hill three times and his last two finishes have been 28th and 9th.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 19
SG Putting 64
SG OTT 5
Par 5 Scoring 71
Birdie or Better% 37
Proximity 200> 8

Last week one Cam Smith was chalk as he was owned by over 20% of the field and he finished Valspar 46th while never being in contention for a T20 finish. It will be interesting to see how the DFS community reacts to Smith this week but I feel confident his ownership will fall in the low teens this week with 15% being the highest he could be. I also feel Bay Hill is a better fit for Smith as he is someone who can thrive on Par 5’s and put down birdie after birdie. Smith played a Bay Hill last year and finished 49th but I feel his game is in much better form than last year. I am hoping that the DFS community was one week early on Smith and he finishes well this week with much lower ownership.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 29
SG Putting 29
SG OTT 76
Par 5 Scoring 7
Birdie or Better% 15
Proximity 200> 35

I can honestly say that I have not rostered Francesco Molinari often in DFS golf but he has caught my attention this week. Molinari has some very good stats and all he needs is a hot putter. Molinari has a very good history at Bay Hill making all five cuts including three T10 finishes. I feel confident Molinari will be highly owned and I am still trying to figure out if I want to be underweight or even with the field on ownership.
Tournaments
SGT2G 17
SG Putting 111
SG OTT 2
Par 5 Scoring 7
Birdie or Better% 19
Proximity 200> 42

I was really excited to play Kyle Stanley last week but he decided to WD on Monday for unknown reasons. I am hoping that the WD keeps his ownership down this week. Stanley, like many players in this section needs to catch fire with the putter as the rest of his game appears to be in solid form. Stanley has mixed results at Bay Hill making only 2/5 cuts but he did finish 17th and 12th when he made the cut.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 34
SG Putting 104
SG OTT 6
Par 5 Scoring 11
Birdie or Better% 30
Proximity 200> 14

I BURNED YOU LAST WEEK DO YOU HAVE IT IN YOU TO JUMP BACK ON
Henrik Stenson made his return to the PGA tour last week and struggled as he missed the cut at a tournament he had played well at before. Stenson now heads to Bay Hill which is another course he has played well at. Before missing the cut last year Stenson had a string of four finishes that included a 3rd, 2nd, 5th and 8th in addition to making four other cuts. Stenson was around 15-18% owned last week and I expect him to come in lower this week but not be totally ignored. We have seen players like Adam Scott and Justin Rose recently return from a long lay off struggle there first week and then play solid golf moving forward so I think there is hope for Stenson.
Tournaments 1
SGT2G 95th
SG Putting 80th
SG OTT 48th
Par 5 Scoring 85th
Birdie or Better% 88th
Proximity 200> 1st

Chesson Hadley has appeared to lose the great form he had late last year and early this year as he has missed his last two cuts. Hadley should be well underowned as he has left a bad taste in peoples mouth but I don’t see him bouncing back as he has never played great at Bay Hill finishing 67th and 26th in his two appearances.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 71st
SG Putting 70th
SG OTT 57th
Par 5 Scoring 57th
Birdie or Better% 17th
Proximity 200> 43rd

Byeong-Hun An came into the Valspar last week playing good golf and checking the boxes with the right stats but ultimately missed the cut. An was moderately owned last week at 8-10% and this week he should see even lower ownership. An has played at Bay Hill the last two years making both cuts while his finishes were nothing stellar, 49th and 36th. I have no problem throwing some shares back into An this week while hoping last week was just a one off performance.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 30th
SG Putting 12th
SG OTT 11th
Par 5 Scoring 30th
Birdie or Better% 31st
Proximity 200> 97th

No doubt Tiger Woods had the most DFS related tweets last week but Kevin Na wasn’t far behind and may have had more on Thursday after he WD from the tournament post lock citing a neck injury. We will have to see how Na is this week but one thing I know for sure is he will be low owned as he was around 13% last week. Na has played good golf leading up to last week and he has solid history at Bay Hill finishing as high as 2nd, 4th and 6th to go along with other solid finishes. Na may end up being a good GPP play this week. Na is also ranked 65th in the world and needs to be in the T50 in order to qualify for the Masters.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 20th
SG Putting 6th
SG OTT 101st
Par 5 Scoring 4th
Birdie or Better% 19th
Proximity 200> 63rd

Bryson DeChambeau also WD last week after round one citing a bad back. Bryson was only 6-8% owned last week so I am sure he will be 2-3% this week if he decides to play. Bryson only has one appearance at Bay Hill finishing 27th.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 13th
SG Putting 69th
SG OTT 32nd
Par 5 Scoring 3rd
Birdie or Better% 8th
Proximity 200> 89th

COURSE HISTORY IS ON THERE SIDE
When you get into a discussion or see one pertaining to course history the two main topics usually are can you trust course history and how much should you weigh course history when selecting your player pool. For myself it all depends upon the player, there current form and the course being discussed. Courses like Augusta National and Riviera weigh high for me because they are courses that require knowledge and experience and require you to play the ball in particular zones in order to succeed. In addition courses that have difficult greens to read typically have a group of players that continually succeed. Other reasons we see good course history is because certain players prefer types of grass, the sightline may suit the player, and familiarity or playing the course many times. Last week I said course history didn’t matter to me because you saw several players come from out of nowhere over several different years who had played bad before at the Valspar before. This week course history for me will weigh fairly high as there are several players who have continually played well at Bay Hill. If the players below have the current form with the stats that I am looking for I will most definitely consider playing them. One last note, when you have several mid to bottom tier players who have solid course histroty combined with a solid group of top elite golfers in a smaller field, 120 players this week, you typically have a high 6/6. Last year the 6/6 for this tournament was 28% which means this week you should be safe with your player selections taking only a few gambles and trying to differentiate in other ways such as money left on the table.

Zach Johnson 11/12 cuts made with three T10’s with two of them in last three years
Ian Poulter 8/10 cuts made with one T10 while not in good current form
Charles Howell 11/12 cuts made 20th and 21st three times is best finishes, suspect current form
Kevin Na 6/8 cuts made with three T6 finishes and never worse than 30th when making cut
Ryan Moore 6/8 cuts made with a 4th and 11th being best finishes
Billy Horschel 5/5 cuts made with every year getting better, finished 13th Ly
JB Holmes 8/9 with 10th being best, hasn’t played in two years
Martin Laird 8/8 cuts made, previous champion but after that 43rd best finish
Kevin Streelman 6/7 cuts made with one T10
Sean O’Hair 9/11 cuts made with three T11’s although those were earlier in career
David Lingmerth 5/5 cuts made with a 13th being best while rest are outside T50
John Huh 5/5 cuts made with 27th being best and other four outside T50
Hunter Mahan 10/11 cuts made with 6th being best whilemost recently outside T50
Lucas Glover 6/8 cuts made with three T14’s

COULD THIS BE A SPECIAL WEEK FOR THESE PLAYERS
I am sure many of you are aware of the Sam Saunders narrative that gains attention every year at this time as he is the Grandson of Arnold Palmer. Saunders has made 4/7 cuts at Bay Hill but has never placed better than 29th. Saunders enters this year playing perhaps the best golf of his career and will have high hopes to fill the narrative this week.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 69th
SG Putting 22nd
SG OTT 9th
Par 5 Scoring 44th
Birdie or Better% 32nd
Proximity 200> 48th

If you bet first round leaders then you are most likely familiar with Matt Every as that is one of his claims to fame along with being a two time winner of this tournament. Every grew up in the Orlando area and has played this course more than anyone on tour. Every has been able to capitalize on his course experience making 6/8 cuts with 24th being his best finish after his two wins. I am sure you can get Every at a low ownership this week and it may not be a bad idea to sprinkle him over a few lineups.
Tournaments 5
SGT2G 104th
SG Putting 67th
SG OTT 65th
Par 5 Scoring 64th
Birdie or Better% 76th
Proximity 200> 26th

THE MASTERS IS ALMOST HERE
Currently we are sitting at 83 players who are officially in the Masters with three tournaments left to qualify by winning and two more weeks to get into the T50 of the world golf rankings. Presently we have four players who would qualify for the Masters as they are in the T50 but need to stay there. They are Satoshi Kodaira(44th), Dylan Frittelli(45th), Chez Reavie(47th) and newcomer Cam Smith(50th). Below are some of the players who are playing this week that need very good performances to get inside that T50 in order to qualify.

James Hahn is the closest player this week needing to get into that T50 as he is ranked 60th. Hahn had a solid West coast swing making all six cuts while posting three T14 finishes. Hahn is one for three making cuts at Bay Hill with a 49th place finish. I will be off Hahn as I feel he may make the cut but doesn’t have T20 potential as he is notorious for being strong out West and then shaky once we transition to a different type of grass on the East coast.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 2nd
SG Putting 20th
SG OTT 29th
Par 5 Scoring 10th
Birdie or Better% 2nd
Proximity 200> 23rd

Peter Uihlen is ranked 62nd in the world and he has struggled this year while making the transition from Euro tour to PGA tour. Uihlen has made 4/7 cuts recently while his best finish is 17th weeks ago. This is the first appearance for Uihlen at Bay Hill and while he may make the cut nothing is saying he is ready to compete for a T10 finish which is needed to get him closer to the T50.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 81st
SG Putting 23rd
SG OTT 74th
Par 5 Scoring 37th
Birdie or Better% 53rd
Proximity 200> 46th

Ian Poulter comes in ranked 63rd and based on his current form I don’t see him doing well this week.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 54th
SG Putting 99th
SG OTT 24th
Par 5 Scoring 84th
Birdie or Better% 81st
Proximity 200> 90th

Charles Howell continues to make cuts but not have great finishes and comes to Bay Hill ranked 66th in the world. CH3 course history listed above says we should expect more of the same this week while he needs a T5 to get near the T50 and make the Masters which seems unlikely to happen. For CH3 to have any chance this week he must get his putter going as it has been the weak part of his game recently.
Tournaments 3
SGT2G 6th
SG Putting 109th
SG OTT 31st
Par 5 Scoring 43rd
Birdie or Better% 78th
Proximity 200> 31st

Keegan Bradley knows this is the tournament that can get him into the Masters with a win or a very good finish. Bradley has had success at Bay Hill making 5/6 cuts and he has finished as high as 2nd and 3rd at this tournament. You know Bradley has all this in his head this week and I would expect Bradley to be on top of his game this week. Bradley is currently 68th so he will need a very good finish this week.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 5th
SG Putting 114th
SG OTT 12th
Par 5 Scoring 22
Birdie or Better% 69th
Proximity 200> 38th

Luke List continues to play solid golf as he finished 16th last week at the Valspar. List who is ranked 69th in the world continues to prove that his game is not just driving the ball but he can play on and around the green. List finished 17th last year at Bay Hill in his only appearance there. List is one of my favorite players to improve his ranking and get into the T50 this week. List led the tour in eagles last year and this is a course that provides you eagle opportunities so don’t be surprised if this is the week that List gets that big win.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 4th
SG Putting 39th
SG OTT 23rd
Par 5 Scoring 31st
Birdie or Better% 20th
Proximity 200> 47th

The clock is ticking for Brandt Snedeker to qualify for the Masters and the good news for him is his game appears to be rounding into good form. Sneds is coming off a solid performance at Valspar finishing 31st but played much better as he lost his game on Sunday shooting a 78. Sneds has made 9/11 cuts at Bay Hill with 8th, 13th, 14th and 16th being his best results. Sneds will need to either win or have two more very good finishes to crack the T50 as he currently is ranked 72nd.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 42nd
SG Putting 10th
SG OTT 56th
Par 5 Scoring 33rd
Birdie or Better% 23rd
Proximity 200> 68th

In my opinion last week was the best chance that Ryan Moore had in making the Masters and he disappointed missing the cut. Moore has played solid at Bay Hill as you can see from above but his recent performances lack what is needed for the 73rd ranked player in the world to get into the Masters.
Tournaments 4
SGT2G 68th
SG Putting 34th
SG OTT 49th
Par 5 Scoring 37th
Birdie or Better% 75th
Proximity 200> 2nd

Shane Lowry continues to struggle as he has made 4/6 cuts recently but his best finish is 43rd. Coming into Bay Hill ranked 75th it appears that Lowry has little chance of making the Masters based on his current form.
Tournaments 5
SGT2G 60th
SG Putting 107th
SG OTT 46th
Par 5 Scoring 69th
Birdie or Better% 54th
Proximity 200> 65th

Emiliano Grillo comes to Bay Hill on a heater finishing 6th and 8th in his last two tournaments as the 76th ranked player in the world hopes he has enough left the next couple weeks to get a bid into the Masters. I am sure Grillo will be one of the chalkier cheaper plays this week based off his recent play and his strong finishes of 7th and 17th at Bay Hill the last two years. Just a note similar to Barnrat, Grillo has traveled quite often over the last few weeks playing in Florida, week off, India, and now back to Florida.
Tournaments 2
SGT2G 46th
SG Putting 7th
SG OTT 10th
Par 5 Scoring 49th
Birdie or Better% 6th
Proximity 200> 56th

That is all for this week, good luck to everyone. Thanks
Coop

About the Author

Comments

  • nicholasmarsh

    Very in-depth, man. Solid work!

  • JimKronlund

    Thanks forgot about the Every angle.

  • Phil9Mil

    Great write-up Coop. All this background, history, form info etc. also makes watching the event more enjoyable. Thanks and good luck!

  • hautalak

    • 2021 Blogger of the Month

    Another great blog from you!

    As you can see from the forum I too will jump in on Chappell and eat the massive chalk. Will he get to 30% in GPPs you think? I’m also looking for an An bounce back.

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    @hautalak said...

    Another great blog from you!

    As you can see from the forum I too will jump in on Chappell and eat the massive chalk. Will he get to 30% in GPPs you think? I’m also looking for an An bounce back.

    I think Chaps will fall around 20% +/- a couple percent. There are enough value plays in his price range that will keep someone from being 30%. This is for lower stakes, higher stakes I would imagine he will hit 30%.

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