Coop’s Ultimate Master Preview

Welcome to Masters week, a week that all of us golf nuts have been waiting for over the last fifty one weeks. When I was a kid and young adult the night before Christmas was always my favorite as we woke the next morning opening gifts and sharing great spirits amongst the family. Now that I am an empty nester my night before Christmas happens the night before the Masters. I get so excited for this tournament every year that it still sends chill bumps all over my body. Every year for Christmas you always got that one big gift that you were excited for. Well this year we all must have been very good because the golfing gods have provided us with not one but multiple big gifts heading into the Masters as we get Phil Mickelson in top form, the return of Bubba Watson who has now won two tournaments this year, a healthy Tiger Woods, and wins by Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm and Paul Casey earlier this year. Oh by the way, we still have Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Rickie Fowler, Sergio Garcia and Justin Rose who could all easily win this tournament. What a four days it is going to be! My goal for this blog is to educate DFS players about the Masters while discussing the players and understanding how important game strategy is this week. Hopefully when you are done you will be as excited as I am for a tradition like no other, the Masters. So go use the bathroom, grab a drink and make sure you get comfortable because this will take some time to complete as I started working on this in February and have been adding bits and pieces since.

MASTERS FUN FACTS COURTESY OF TWITTER and GOOGLE
No amateur has won the Masters.

On Wednesday there is a par 3 contest, no winner of this contest has gone on to win the Masters.

Greg Norman and Nick Price hold the tournament record for low round shooting a 63.

Sergio Garcia and Danny Willett won the Omega Masters the last two years, the same year they won the Masters. This year Hai Tong Li won the Omega Masters.

The last four winners have won one tournament in the three months leading into the Masters.

The last five winners have all finished inside the T17 of the WCG tournament played at Doral and now Mexico.

None of the last five winners missed a cut in there five tournaments leading into the Masters.

Since 1934 only five players have won the week before the Masters and then won the Masters the following week. The last player to achieve this was Phil Mickelson in 2006.

In 1979 Fuzzy Zoeler won Masters on his first try, he is the last player to compete this achievement

Over the last 18 years the champion has made the cut the previous year

Being T2 or better is important after the third round as since 1991 only four times has a player come from outside this position to win.

The Masters is the only major golf tournament in which the yardage of each hole is rounded off to end in “5” or “0.” Clifford Roberts, co-founder of Augusta National felt that an exact yardage was not relevant because the movement of tee markers and pin positions for each round changed the distance. The course is listed at 7,435 yards. And no one can be sure it ever plays to that length.

THE COURSE AUGUSTA NATIONAL
Augusta National is a par 72 course that plays around 7435 yards. What many people don’t know about Augusta National is that the terrain of the course is challenging with many hills and elevation changes that often does not show well on TV. Getting off the tee is not overly demanding at Augusta National as the fairways are fairly easy to hit and the rough is minimal. What is challenging off the tee is landing your ball in the appropriate area so that you have the proper angle on your approach shot to the green. This is important because with your approach shot you are aiming for the proper quadrant to hit on the bentgrass greens. If you miss the desired quadrant you will be left with long putts on fast greens that feature many slopes and undulations that often leads to three putts. If you are not striking the ball well and miss the green entirely you will often have long chip shots as the area around the greens are shaved and sloped. Having a solid short game and a creative vision with your chip shots is essential for success at Augusta National. In addition to all of this the wind is usually a factor at Augusta National as it often swirls within all the peaks and valleys. A high wind is not needed in order to affect your shot at Augusta National as often the swirling wind will vary from tee box to fairway as well as fairway to green due to the elevation changes. The par 3’s at Augusta National are all relatively short compared to the typical par 3 played at majors. Three holes play in between 150-180 yards while the fourth is 240 yards. The short holes are difficult as they are guarded well by bunkers and or water but birdies can be made especially on the 16th as it offered up the most last year. Augusta National has ten par 4’s of which six play at 450 yards or more. The par 4’s are extremely challenging holes which all played over par last year. Hole one is the toughest on the course and offered up more double bogeys and others than birdies while hole 11 was only two doubles and others short of accomplishing the same result. The par 4’s in general are holes were you are happy with par and if you get a birdie it’s a plus. The par 5’s at Augusta National are holes that you must take advantage of and score birdies as they all played under par last year. The two par 5’s on the front play longer at 570 and 575 yards while the two on the back nine only play at 510 and 530 yards but are well protected by water which can lead to bogeys or worse. The players who play the par 5’s the best this week will find themselves near the top of the leaderboard.

KEY STATS
One of the great things about the Masters is how the committee that runs this tournament has controlled it over the years. You will not hear the word spectator this week as it it will be referred to as patron. The word rough will be obsolete and will be called the second cut. There will be no complaining about not being able to actually see the players play golf as there are only four minutes of commercials each hour. You don’t have to worry about patrons creating distractions with the players via phones this week as they are prohibited. You won’t see patrons running to tee shots that go wayward as running is not allowed at Augusta National. This week you won’t see any jumbotrons showing highlights or the leaderboard because the leaderboard is still the old fashioned manual leaderboard. So what does all of this have to do with stats? The committee at Augusta National doesn’t release the newly popular strokes gained stats so you have no idea how the players in the past have performed at Augusta National using that statistical measurement but don’t worry as we still have access to other key statistical measures that will help determine who to play this week. Stats are important when selecting your player pool but this week in my opinion course history and experience weigh higher than usual as often at the Masters you see the same players succeed because they are great players who understand how to use the course knowledge that they have acquired. In addition if you are using recent stats I can assure you the data has a very small sample size for bentgrass greens, hitting off pine needles, chipping on shaved surfaces while every shot is attempted on a course that has as many undulations as Augusta National. Yes, I will use current form stats this week but as I said before they will weigh very low. This week I am looking for players who have that strong course history while they are clicking on the stats required to play Augusta National at a high level. The first stat that I will be looking at is bogey %. I want players in my pool that are not putting up big numbers. Hitting the greens will be key this week so I will be targeting players who are striking the ball well and hitting greens in regulation. As mentioned above you have to score on par 5’s so I want players who are birding these holes. If you miss the greens it will be important to scramble this week and the players who can save those pars will be rewarded so I will be looking at scrambling %.

WEATHER
Just a few minutes ago I was discussing how the lack of technology is accepted at Augusta National but that is only warranted above ground. If you go below the surface at Augusta National you will find the most advanced technology used on any golf course. The course is lined underground with hundreds if not thousands of pipes, which include pressure valves, motors and anything else needed to create the most sophisticated irrigation and drainage system that communicates with an above ground weather station. The weather station allows the system to know when to turn off sprinklers as weather approaches and it knows when to turn back on based off how much rain was received. Beneath the greens you will find a SubAir system that was created at Augusta National and is now used at many other top rated golf clubs. This SubAir system knows when to add oxygen to the greens as well as many other technological advances that helps keep them in top form. Also located below the surface are high definition cables which enables CBS to easily hook into a drop spot on each hole and start broadcasting were as at all other tournaments the wire is laid above ground before the start of each tournament and removed there after. So why do I bring all of this up in a weather section? Weather often affects the golf course and how it plays and typically it creates easier scoring conditions. This week if we see any rain it will not affect the course nearly as much as others because the systems below ground will enable the course to maintain its current conditions for the most part. The greens will still continue to run at 13+ on the stimpmeter as the moisture will be sucked out of the greens as fast as it falls. The fairways will play slightly longer but not to much as the drainage system will keep balls from plugging in the fairway and you will continue to see roll on your drives. Oh, and if there is rain don’t even let the thought of playing lift, clean and place cross your mind because that is a big no no according to the Masters committee. The biggest difference and it will be slight but important is players will be able to hold there approach shots on the greens more often. Augusta National has built there greens so that you must hit a perfect iron shot and one were you must be able to control the spin on the ball or it will roll off the green. So for me the biggest weather factor I will be looking at is the wind. It’s hard to get an advantage tee time wise at the Masters as all players are sent off tee box number one in threesomes and run straight through until all players have teed off. For that reason if there is any wind I will be looking for players who handle the conditions well. A very early look at the weather for the week tells you that there appears to be minimal issues with the exception of Saturday which could bring some rain showers. One last comment on the weather, it appears we will see cool morning temps which could provide a small slight advantage to the afternoon players as the ball typically carries better in warmer temps.

PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENT
Before we start discussing the players I feel it is worth noting that in the DFS golf world the Masters will be offering up the largest prize pools of the year. While this can be exciting I suggest using caution with your bankroll as the Masters tournament is challenging when it comes to cashing. Often in DFS golf world you hear about the tournaments that don’t have cuts, cuts after the third round, or a field with limited amount of players as not having a big advantage as everyone you are rostering is playing more golf. Many look at the Masters as a normal tournament with a cut after two rounds thus the advantage is still there. What many don’t consider is that the Masters is a limited field of 87 players this year of which 15-20 players have little chance to make the cut and in addition these players accumulate a small portion of ownership. What you are left with is a field of chalky players in what is typically one of the higher 6/6 cut rates. Last year the 6/6 for the milly maker was 27% and remember just because you have a 6/6 doesn’t mean you cash as last year there were several 6/6 were your players were all over par since we typically see a high scores at the Masters.

HANGING ONTO FATHER TIME AS THERE IS HOPE AS I STILL HAVE GAME
When you win the Masters you gain lifetime entry into the tournament until you decide it’s no longer time to play. The players below continue to show that there is still life in there game and have performed very good for there age over the last two years. None of them have a chance at winning and they need everything to fall into place in order to make the cut and place well. For a couple of them that has happened over the last couple of years as they use there course experience to manage there way around Augusta National and post solid rounds. None of the players are worth more than a sprinkle but all will be low owned cheap punts and if they hit they can pay off in a big way. If you decide to play one of these players please realize you need a T25 or better in order to see any amount of positive points because if they make the cut but finish near the bottom they are likely shooting very high scores over the weekend with limited birdies if any which means you are getting low single digit DK points from them. I will start off with Bernard Langer (6.3k) who has missed eight of his last eleven cuts at the Masters. Langer has played very good golf on the Champions Tour over the last several years and it has carried over to the Masters. Langer has made three of his last five cuts with finishes of 8th, 24th and 25th. Langer has used his solid golf game and years of experience to navigate his way to solid results. Langer is deserving of a couple sprinkles in my opinion because if he can get you a T25 at his price he has paid off.

As long as the back of Fred Couples (6.7k) is holding up he is a threat for a very good performance at the Masters. Couples has made eight of his last eleven cuts with several T20 finishes over those years. I am sure Couples will be fairly chalky for a 58 year old golfer due to his price and past results. I would not be surprised to to see Couples approach 6-8% ownership which would be high considering the ownership of players who are priced below him. I will be passing on Couples as I don’t think his back is in good shape. I found an interview on March 28th were Couples states he hasn’t played competitive golf since January were he finished 6th but pulled his back out and continued to play making it worse. Couples states he tried to hit golf balls six weeks ago but was not able to even hit a wedge, he then says he feels good getting out of bed and walking around and he hit some three woods yesterday and he doesn’t feel horrible after hitting them. He concludes by saying he hasn’t hit a putt or iron in two months which isn’t good going into Augusta but he still wants to play and doesn’t think he will embarrass himself. Sorry Freddy, rest up so I can play you next year.

If you make it to a golf tournament that Angel Cabrera (6.4k) is playing in I recommend you follow this guy around for a couple holes as he is a hoot, not to mention when you look at the guy you can see that golf can be played at a high level without being physically fit. Cabrera has made ten of his last eleven cuts at the Masters including a second place finish five years ago. Unfortunately for Cabrera his two missed cuts have come in the last four years.

If you watch a show or read an article about Masters history you are likely to come across the chip shot that Larry Mize (6.0k) made on hole 11 in a playoff of the 1987 Masters to beat Greg Norman and capture the title as it is one of the most seen and mentioned shots of all time Masters history. Mize has had a resurgence of his Masters career over the last four years making three cuts but finishing down the leaderboard around 50th place. Before this Mize had made only two of his previous eight cuts.

Vijay Singh (6.6k) has missed his last two cuts at the Masters but the previous four years he made the cut each year with his best finish being 27th. Singh is still active on the PGA tour as well as the Champions tour were he recently won a tournament in early March. There is no reason why Singh can’t make the cut this week as we have seen several players in a similar situation make the cut but I feel his upside is limited and it’s unlikley he finishes in the T40 if he does make the cut.

PREVIOUS WINNERS PAST THERE TIME
Unlike the players above these six players should immediately be crossed off your player pool list. Father Time has caught up with them and they are only playing for the festivities associated with the Masters as well as there pride.
Ian Woosnam (6.0k) has missed his last nine cuts.
Mike Wier (6.0k) has missed six of his last seven cuts.
Sandy Lyle (6.1k) has missed the last three cuts and six of last eight.
Trevor Immelmann (6.2k) has missed his last four cuts.
Mark O’Meara (6.0k) has missed ten of his last eleven cuts.
Jose Maria Olazabal (6.0k) has missed six of his last eight cuts.

AMATEUR STATUS
The great Bobby Jones is the co-founder of the Masters tournament and he designed Augusta National. Seeing that Jones was a great amateur player himself he made sure to include amateur players at the Masters. Currently the Masters invites six amateurs each year. Over the past eight years at least one amateur has made the cut in seven of those years while three years we have seen two amateurs make the cut. Don’t expect a T20 out of any of these amateurs as during the timeframe used above the best finish was T21 and only one other golfer finished in the T30, Hideki Matsuyama. The typical finish for an amateur making the cut is between 36th and 50th and just like using a past winner from above the DK point value will be low single digits over the weekend.

Matt Parliaze (6.1k) is a golfer turned firefighter who will be playing at the Masters this year due to his win at the US Mid Amateur. Parliaze had played the Mid Amateur three previous times never winning a match while he had never made it pass sectional qualifying for the US Open. I guess his game was at its best ever this past year at the Mid Amateur because now he will be playing in both the Masters and the US Open. It’s a nice story for the thirty year old Parliaze but I won’t be putting any of my money on him this week. I wish him the best.

The winner of the Asia-Pacific Amateur receives an automatic bid to the Masters and this year that honor belongs to seventeen year old Lin Yuxin (6.2k). Info on Yuxin is hard to find but this is what I know. He has played on the European Challenge Tour, Asian Tour along with the PGA China Tour with his biggest tournament being the Australian Open. Yuxin is home schooled and often does his homework online while on the road playing tournaments. Yuxin is a left handed golfer which is promising as lefties have had success at the Masters. Yuxin has committed to play golf at USC starting in the fall of 2019. Yuxin is the 132nd ranked amateur by Golfweek.

Harry Ellis (6.3k) is probably the recognizable name of the amateurs as he competed in last years Open Championship missing the cut. Ellis is currently competing at Florida St University were he is ranked the 41st amateur by Golfweek. I feel Ellis has the most experience to go along with composure amongst all the amateurs this year. Ellis being from England will be competing on a golf course that doesn’t represent the conditions he played while growing up although playing college golf has helped him become more familiar with the grass types and features seen in the states. I wouldn’t be surprised if he is the amateur to make the cut but I don’t see any upside.

The last amateur to make the field for this years Masters was nineteen year old Joaquin Niemann (6.5k) of Chile. Niemann qualified by winning the Latin Amateur Championship. Niemann, who is currently ranked as the number 11 amateur, played in the US Open last year at Erin Hills missing the cut. At home in Chile, Niemann won nine events last year including four professionals events.

Doc Redman (6.5k) is the US Amateur champion and will be playing in his second tour event at the Masters. How Redman made it to the Masters is quite the story. Redman, now a sophomore for the Clemson University Tigers started the week as the #62 seed. In order to make it to the 36 hole final at Riviera Country Club, which hosts the Genesis Open on the PGA tour, Redman won three of his five matches on the 18th hole. Then during the final in the most dramatic of fashion Redman rallied from two holes down with two to play with a 50-foot eagle on 17 and birdie at 18 before winning with another conceded birdie on the first extra hole. During his championship match he made 12 consecutive putts. Redman has played Augusta National as a member of the Clemson golf team and ended up shooting a 69. As a true freshman at Clemson Redman was a starter for every tournament coming away with two wins while finishing with a 70.77 scoring average, second best for a freshman at Clemson. Redman is currently ranked number seven in the Golfweek World Amatuer rankings. Redman received a exemption to the Arnold Palmer Invitational a few weeks back and he played three respectable rounds shooting 72 each time, unfortunately he ended with a 77. All of this is good for Redman but I if I have any exposure it will be very low.

There is always someone on the other side of great performances and in this case Doug Ghim (6.4k) was on the other side when Doc Redman won the US Amateur in dramatic style. Ghim is a senior at the University of Texas and will be making his first Masters appearance as the runner up in the US Amateur also receives an invite. According to Golfweek Amateur rankings Ghim is the number two ranked amateur in the world. Ghim has played Augusta National three times while being a member of the Longhorns golf team. In addition Ghim has twice attended the Masters.

THIS YEARS ROOKIES
As mentioned above it has been 38 years since a first timer has won the the Masters so buyer beware and don’t go overboard on a solid class of rookies below. While this years class is strong it is not nearly as strong as last years group who had a mixed bag of results. We saw Thomas Pieters finish 4th, John Rahm 27th, Adam Hadwin 36th, while Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrell Hatton, Si Woo Kim and Alex Noren all missed the cut.

Wesley Bryan (6.7k) won the Heritage tournament the week after the Masters last year and since then he has struggled with his game. Bryan doesn’t have the length, driving accuracy and experience to compete this year in my opinion. Bryan has missed the cut in his last three tournaments and has shot 74 or higher in four of those six rounds. I would not be surprised if Bryan finishes in the bottom five after Friday’s cut.

Austin Cook (6.7k) graduated from the web.com tour last year and started his fall swing season off in good form posting a win at the RSM Classic. Cook has continued to play solid golf in 2018 making four of his last five cuts but his best finish is 31st while his worse is 49th. The strongest part of Cook’s game is his putting and he trends better on bentgrass vs other surfaces although the sample size is small. I would not be surprised if Cook makes the cut but I don’t see any upside for a rookie who has not finished better than 31st in his most recent events.

Patton Kizzire (7.0k) finished up 2017 and started 2018 with a bang winning two tournaments, the OHL Classic and the Sony Open. Since those two wins Kizzire’s form has regressed back to normal as he has made three of five cuts but what is concerning is he has missed the cut in two of last three with scores of 70, 74, 77, and 78. I am not sure Augusta National fits the current game of Kizzire as he has excelled on courses that are short and par 70. In addition Kizzire has played some of his best golf on bermuda surfaces so I will be passing on him this week.

Shubhanker Sharma (7.1k) has been playing some very good golf over the last couple months and caught the eye of the Masters committee earning a special invitation. These special invitations are rare and typically are granted to players who fall in the top 100 of the world golf rankings who have limited opportunities to qualify for the Masters under the normal criteria. The last players to receive this special invitation was in 2013 as Ryo Ishikawa of Japan and Thaworn Wiratchant of Thailand received the honor. Colin Montgomerie has been very critical of the Masters committee and there selections of players who receive these invitations in the past going as far as saying if I was from China I would have received the honor as often the committee selects players of Asian decent to participate over European players. Anyways, back to Sharma who has three T10’s including a win to go along with four missed cuts in his last seven tournaments. For Sharma, missing the cut at the Houston Open was not a good sign to come this week as he faced much easier conditions than what he will be dealing with at Augusta National. Sharma is a great story but for a 21 year old player to step foot on Augusta National and expect him to compete at a high level is unlikely to happen.

Haotong Li (7.2k) arrives to his first Masters this week with high expectations being from China and I am sure the Chinese media will be all over him causing distractions that he doesn’t need. Li came onto the scene last year at the US open and the Open Championship with some solid finishes and then continued his solid play on the Euro tour with solid results and missing no cuts. Earlier this year Li won the Omega Dubai Desert Classic but since then he has struggled to put together a good finish as he has made all his cuts but finished near the bottom. With this being the first appearance for Li at the Masters and his current form I don’t see Li having a great week and in my opinion there are several other players around his price range that deserve more consideration.

Tony Finau (7.4k) reminds me of Dustin Johnson when he was a up and coming star. DJ started out his career as someone who could hit the ball a long way but needed to put together all the other aspects of the game. We all know Finau is a long hitter and late last year he changed his putting grip and has now become a better putter in my opinion but he still needs improvement to be a mid level putter. My biggest concern for Finau this week is his scrambling as well as putting as he has most likely little experience on greens this fast with all the undulations. Finau continues to underperform to his expectations as over his last three tournaments he has a missed cut, 27th, and 24th most recently at Houston. I know Finau will be popular and he is a rookie and for the reasons above Finau is a easy pass.

The X Man, Xander Schauflee (7.5k) bursted onto the scene last year after competing well at the US Open. X man has been solid since then winning two tournaments, the Greenbrier Classic and the Tour Championship. X-Man has had a solid early part of the year but I am baffled as to why a young up and coming player would only play three tournaments since the beginning of February. For me this is concerning and odd and will keep me off the X man because you can’t just show up at Augusta National with limited pre Masters tournament preparation. When you look at his schedule last year he played the same tournaments as this year but included the Honda Classic last year. Perhaps he has some off course issues that he is keeping private. The one thing X should have that favors him is he is a very good putter on bentgrass greens, although the sample size is small.

Dylan Frittelli (6.7k) had a very solid start of the year on the Euro tour placing 5th, 6th and 19th in three tournaments. Frittelli then came over to play some PGA tournaments and he continued his solid play at the Honda Classic finishing 11th. Unfortunately for Frittelli he appears to have lost his solid form as he didn’t get past the first round at the WGC and then missed the cut at last weeks Houston Open. Frittelli has been somewhat popular over the last two weeks but I will be surprised if it were to carry over this week. As for his game, Frittelli does carry a big stick and his length will be his asset this week but again he is a rookie at the Masters and I don’t see him performing well enough to present any upside.

Sotashi Kodaira (6.5k) will be making his debut at the Masters but he is no stranger to major championships as this will be his fifth. Kodaira has made the cut at two of the last four majors he played in the, as he passed the test at last years US Open and PGA Championship. Kodaira has limited experience on the PGA tour and in the tournaments he has played he has finished over par in everyone minus the 2017 Sony Open were he shot a -8 but followed that up with a +10 at the Sony Open this year. I don’t see any upside in playing Kodaira so I will be passing.

TWO PLAYERS I DONT RECOMMEND
One of the qualifications that will gain you entry into the Masters is being ranked in the top 50 of the world golf rankings at the end of the calendar year, in this case 2017. Yuta Ikeda (6.6k) falls in this category and is making his fourth appearance at the Masters previously making one of three cuts with a 29th place finish. Ikeda gains all or the vast majority of his world ranking points via the Japan Tour as he plays very good golf in his homeland. Ikeda has played in sixteen majors only making the cut six times and has played on the PGA Tour twenty three times making the cut fourteen times. Ikeda’s best finish amongst the tournaments mentioned above is twenty second with several of those missed cuts recently.

Yusaka Miyazato (6.7k) is making his first appearance at the Masters and just like Yuta Ikeda he has accumulated all of his world ranking points on the Japan Tour as he has qualified for the Masters by being ranked in the top 50 at the end of 2017. Miyazato has played in the last two US Opens making the cut both times. Miyazato has often made the trip to Hawaii for the Sony Open missing the cut 3/8 times. Perhaps you keep an eye on Miyazato if he qualifies for the US Open but I am passing on him for now as Augusta National plays nothing like a US Open course. I will end by letting you know that Miyazato has only played in one other PGA Tour event, the 2006 Reno Open. During this tournament he became the first professional to make two hole in ones during the same round.

FADES
Ted Potter (6.6k) played the best golf of his life earlier this year at Pebble Beach as he held off Dustin Johnson to gain his entry into the Masters. Since his win, Potter has not made any cuts missing in all four attempts. Potter did compete at the Masters in 2013 but he missed the cut. Potter has already peaked and is a easy fade this week.

Many would think that Augusta National would set up well for Jhonattan Vegas (6.6k) as he is a big time hitter but in his two attempts he has missed the cut. Vegas doesn’t have the greatest results entering the Masters this year as he has missed two cuts in his last five tournaments with finishes of 20th, 72nd and 11th. Also concerning is Vegas was a MDF casualty after the third round of the Houston Open last week, a tournament he has had good success at over the last couple years. Right now I see Vegas as a player that feeds on the easier courses but still struggles on the more difficult courses.

Billy Horschel (6.6k) is not in good form and he is giving me no reason to play him. Horschel has missed four of his last five cuts and his best finish when he made the cut was 43rd. Horschel has made two of three cuts at the Masters with finishes of 17th and 37th but that still doesn’t give me reason to play him.

I am a big Si Woo Kim (6.7k) homer and it pains me to put him in this category but at this point in his career Augusta National is not a good fit for him. My biggest concern for Si Woo is his putting and having to overcome the challenging greens this week as he can be a very inconsistent putter. In addition Si Woo prefers bermuda greens and this week we have bentgrass, were he ranks as one of the worse players in the field. I would not be surprised to see Si Woo gain strokes off the tee and on his approach only to lose strokes on the green and around it. So far this year the best finish that Si Woo has been able to accomplish is a 35th

Martin Kaymer (6.9k) has won some US Open golf tournaments but he has failed to compete at the Masters as he has missed 5/10 cuts with 16th being his best finish. Kaymer has played very little golf leading up to the Masters and he is giving me no reason to play him this week. Kaymer played last week at the Houston Open and once again missed the cut as he is now one for five at making cuts at this tournament. When you combine the Houston Open, a course with similar conditions to Augusta National, and Kaymers previous Masters results together he is 6/15 in cuts made making him a easy fade.

Zach Johnson (7.0k) is a previous champion who has had a mixed bag of results at Augusta National over his career making 7/12 cuts while three of those missed cuts have happened in the past four years. If you take out Johnson’s win his best finish is 9th with several finishes outside the 20’s. Johnson has made his last four cuts this year finishing 26th, 16th, 20th and 57th and while I won’t blame you for playing him in my opinion he simply doesn’t have the length to compete at Augusta on a consistent basis.

Francesco Molinari (7.0k) has made 4/6 cuts at the Masters but his best finish is 19th while the other three fall 30th or worse. Molinari hasn’t played much golf leading into the Masters and the golf he has played doesn’t say play me as I am ready to get a T15. I am not seeing the upside in Molinari as he is more likely to score pars and bogeys than birdies.

Branden Grace (7.4k) has made only 2/5 cuts at the Masters finishing 27th and 18th when he has made the cut. Grace is known as someone who competes well at tough courses and while that has paid off for him at US Opens it has failed to transition over to Augusta National. The bentgrass greens are not a favorite for Grace as he putts much better on other surfaces while Augusta National has little rough and doesn’t usually see winds of 20mph or higher which are two other difficult conditions that Grace thrives in. Grace has made the cut in his last seven tournaments with one T10 while most finishes fall around 30th place. I don’t think Grace is the worse play on the board as he has a solid chance to make the cut but I don’t see his upside this week.

Mark Leishman (8.2k) is in the similar mold to Grace making 2/5 cuts at Augusta National finishing 43rd and 4th in his two cuts made. Leishman has been inconsistent leading into the Masters posting two T10 finishes to go with a missed cut and two other finishes in the 30’s. I have the same thoughts on Leishman as I do Grace plus he is more expensive. Leishman could be a great GPP play as he will most likely garner low ownership with a slightly higher upside than Grace and if he does T10 or better he could pay big dividends for you. I can’t blame you for playing Leishman if that is your thought process but remember it has a small chance to pay off.

Sergio Garcia (8.6k) is the defending champion and with that comes responsibility’s during the week along with pre tourney hype and to add onto that Garcia just became a first time father. With all the distractions off the course it is easy to not be on top of your game. Recent defending champions haven’t faired the best in there defense overall as most have finished outside the T20. I can’t blame you if you want to play Garcia since he has made 9/12 cuts at the Masters but several of those finishes have been outside the T20 and with all he has going on I will take my chances and pass on him.

This will be the third appearance at the Masters for Chez Reavie (6.6k) and he is hoping it turns out better than previous attempts as he missed both cuts. Reavie heads into the Masters not in the best of form missing the cut twice to go with finishes of 52nd and 73rd. On top of all that Augusta National is not a good fit for Reavie as he doesn’t have the distance to compete.

I SHOULD MAKE THE CUT BUT DONT EXPECT A T20 FROM ME
Jason Dufner (6.8k) has made 5/7 cuts at the Masters with his best finish being 20th and worse 49th. Dufner hasn’t been showing great form leading into this week as he has finished 64th, missed cut and 55th in his last three tournaments. Dufner is a plodder and if he stays out of trouble he could post a solid score but I don’t see him as a player who can dominate the par 5’s which is really what is needed.

Brandt Wiesberger (6.8k) has made all three cuts at the Masters finishing as high as 22nd and as low as 43rd. Wiesberger enters the Masters in ok form making three of five cuts with finishes of 15th, 30th and 32nd. Wiesberger is similar to Dufner with little upside as he will be happy with a par on every hole so don’t expect many DK points out of Wiesberger as he is not one to make a plethora of birdies.

Ross Fisher (7.0k) has played at Augusta National five times making the cut four times with a best of 15th while his other appearances have resulted in finishes of 30th, 41st and 47th. Fisher is similar to the two players I spoke about above but with slightly higher upside as his form is currently better and he has the ability to make a few more birdies. The one thing I like about Fisher is that he provides potential upside as he leads this field in career GIR % at 70% over five tournaments. This tells me if he can get the putter going he could make some birdies and surprise people.

Of the four players in this section Kevin Kisner (7.2k) enters the Masters in the worse form as he has missed three of his last five cuts with finishes of 29th and 57th. Kisner has two appearances at the Masters finishing 43rd and 37th the last two years. Kisner did play very good golf at the WGC as he lost in the finals but it’s hard to tell how much that result improved his chances of competing well at the Masters since it was match play format. Kisner simply doesn’t have the distance to compete for a great finish at the Masters but he is a very good putter that if gets hot he could post a T25.

THE DIFFERENCE MAKERS
In my opinion, I feel this group of players will produce the two to three players needed that will win you a GPP. Some of these players will be chalky, some will go underowned, and some will miss the cut. If you scan back over the last couple leaderboards you will notice right around three players who fall within the type of players listed below that end up in the T10. One thing to keep in mind and I discuss below is that the type of player mentioned in this segment doesn’t have good history achieving back to back T20 results. I mention that because some of the players listed achieved this last year and while I like some of those players this is weighing heavily on me as to play them or pass on them as I want T20 upside this week.

Kyle Stanley (6.8k) is making his second Masters appearance as he missed the cut back in 2012. Stanley, who is coming off his best year as a pro struggled at the beginning of the year but his game is slowly heading back in the right direction. Stanley is long enough to compete at the Masters and he is a solid ball striker who typically does a good job hitting the ball off the tee. My biggest worry for Stanley is his putting as it can be erratic and these greens are tough. I am hoping Stanley comes in low owned so I can have a few shares of him.

Over the last four years Jimmy Walker (6.8k) has played solid golf at the Masters finishing 18th, 29th, 38th and 8th. The biggest concern with Walker continues to be his battle with Lyme disease and how will his body react to the challenging terrain that he will have to navigate this week. Walker has made 5/6 of his last cuts with the majority of his finishes outside the T20 minus a 8th place finish. What sticks out for me with Walker is he has started out several tournaments this year with good rounds only to fade on the weekend. Is this health related or is this just related to his form is a question that we don’t have the answer for. Walkers ownership this year has been extremely low and if it continues I will definitely throw in a couple shares but he was priced much higher during those tournaments.

Pat Perez (6.9k) resurrected his golf career last year playing the best golf he has over the last several years. Perez has continued to play solid golf this year making his last five cuts with solid finishes of 20th through 40th. This will be the third appearance for Perez at Augusta National as he finished 18th last year and missed the cut in 2009. Perez has the long game to compete at Augusta National but what is scaring me away is his T20 finish last year along with no T20 finishes this year. It’s rare that the players who are the caliber of a Perez to go back to back T20 at the Masters plus if you can’t finish T20 at easier courses earlier this year it doesn’t bode well for you pulling off a T20 this year at a tougher course.

Kevin Chappell (6.9k) took his game to a new level last year and it has continued this year becoming a very solid player on a weekly basis. Chappell has posted three T10’s over his last six tournament and his worse finish is 31st. Chappell has made the cut in both of his Masters appearances finishing 7th last year. Chappell has quietly become one of the longest hitters on tour which plays right into this course especially the par 5 holes. I feel Chappell is a notch above the Perez type caliber player and can finish T20 if not better. Chappell will be the chalk of this price range so the question is do you eat it and go overweight or chance it and go underweight. Personally, I feel Chappell is good chalk. One last note on Chappell, he did WD from the WGC tournament during the third round with back issues. I haven’t heard anything else pertaining to his back and info will probably be limited as often golf injuries are not disclosed. There could be more to this or it could be a simple case of sleeping improperly like Bryson DeChambeau did a few weeks ago. Here is a tweet Chappell sent out after the match play. “Not the DellMatchPlay I was looking for. Played thru back pain in my second match (unsuccessfully). I tried to give it a go on Friday but really didn’t want to make things worse. I am trying to get healthy for TheMasters”.

Brendan Steele (6.9k) is entering his third Masters were he missed the cut in 2012 while finishing 27th last year. Steele has played solid golf this year making his last five cuts with one T5 finish while his other results were solid finishes of 20th-49th. My concern with Steele is he is known as a west coast player who prefers bermuda grass types. In addition Steele has not played par 5 holes especially well over his career and this is key for success at Augusta National. Point and case, over Steele’s two appearances at the Masters he ranks dead last within the field career wise on par 5 scoring with a 5.13 avg score. Steele will most likely garner mid level ownership within this range and will be paired with Chappell on many lineups. I don’t see the upside with Steele like Chappell and will probably move any shares that I would have had in him to Chappell. I feel I could have easily added Steele to the fade section.

I could have very easily put Ryan Moore (7.0k) in the fade section as his golf game is quite erratic. Moore seems to have become a boom or bust play as over his last five tournaments he has two missed cuts, a 49th, and two T10 finishes. When you look at his Masters history you see much of the same making 6/8 cuts with a 9th, 12th and 14th place finishes. For a player the caliber of Moore to go back to back T20 finishes is rare at Augusta National as he placed 9th last year. Moore himself has never accomplished this and for that reason I will probably have very limited or none of him this year.

Last year I kept asking myself when is Charley Hoffman (7.1k) going to revert to the old Charley Hoffman as he had one of his best years on tour. Fortunately for those who played Hoffman he continued his solid play all year long while people like me who waited for the regression to take place were left on the sideline. Hoffman is once again playing well with five solid finishes between 14th and 41st. Hoffman has solid Masters results making all four cuts with one T10 while his remaining finishes all fall in the 20’s. Next to Kevin Chappell, Hoffman will be the second highest owned player within this range and you will find many lineups that feature both players. Much like Steele, I see Hoffman finishing once again in the 20’s at best but I feel much more comfortable playing Hoffman than Steele. In my lineups that include Hoffman and Chappell I will make sure there is at least one other unique player as they will often be combined with top flight players.

This will be the fifth appearance for Russell Henley (7.1k) at Augusta National and I feel he is going to be lost amongst the other more popular players within this range. Henley has solid finishes at the Masters finishing 11th, 21st and 31st in his last three. So if he follows the pattern he will finish 41st this year but if he reverses it he will finish 1st. No, I don’t see Henley winning but I do feel he has the talent to finish better than the chalkier options in this range at a much lower ownership. I am hoping Henley comes in around 7-10% so I can have around 15% ownership on him because I don’t want to go to high as his chances of finishing well are the same as him missing the cut or finishing 41st or worse. Henley was 11% owned last year off his Houston win so I don’t see him be higher than that. If you read my blog last week you saw that Henley plays good golf at the Golf Club of Houston as he has posted several T5’s there. That golf course mimics the conditions of Augusta National and based on his results at both courses he enjoys playing in those conditions. Prior to his 8th place finish at Houston last week Henley was showing ok form with finishes of 58th, 24th, 15th and missed cut.

Adam Hadwin (7.2k) enters his second Masters appearance as one of the hottest players on tour as he has four T12 finishes in his last six tournaments including three in a row. The length of Augusta National will test Hadwin as he is not one of the biggest hitters on tour which means he will have to take advantage of his spots while limiting miscues. Hadwin is known as a very good putter which could help offset some of his length if he can knock in some long putts but recently Hadwin has not been putting to his expectations. Hadwin should help take some of the ownership off players like Hoffman and Steele. I prefer Hoffman due to his length but will have some Hadwin as he could pull off a T20.

It will be very interesting to see how the DFS community reacts to Gary Woodland (7.2k) this week as he typically is a popular play. Woodland doesn’t have the greatest of Masters results missing his last two cuts while he has previous finishes of 24th and 26th. Woodland was playing very good golf at the beginning of the year winning the Pheonix Open but since his game has been headed in the wrong direction as he has missed two cuts coupled with finishes of 49th and 50th. Woodland is a long hitter but his better performances have come on courses that allow you to club down off the tee which will not happen this week. I will only play Woodland if his projected ownership is low as I don’t have huge interest in him and don’t want to play him if he is owned at 10% or more.

Webb Simpson (7.3k) is probably my favorite player in this range and will most likely make me or break me this week. Simpson has not had a good career at the Masters missing three cuts and his best finish is 28th to go along with a 29th and 44th. So why am I so excited to play Simpson this week? Simpson is not the same player as he was when playing Augusta National in the past as he switched his putting grip last year after the Masters. Since the change in grip Simpson has become one of the best putters on tour which has resulted in three T10 finishes over his last six tournaments. I also like that over Simpson’s career at the Masters he has an average of 4.55 on the par 5’s which ranks 11th within the field. I feel the time is right for Simpson as he can use his six previous years of knowledge at a time when he is playing his best all around golf. I am hoping people stay off Simpson due to his course history and I myself said course history is important but this is one I am overlooking.

This will be the third Masters performance for Rafa Cabrera-Bello (7.3k) and he enters this week in better form than his two previous appearances. Bello has made six of his last seven cuts with two T10 finishes and no finishes worse than 40th but he did miss the cut last week at Houston. I compare Bello’s game to Hadwin but more polished with slightly more experience at Augusta National as he has missed one cut while finishing 17th in his other appearance. I am sure Bello will be one of the many popular choices in this range although his missed cut last week will probably take some people off him. If you read my blog last week I spent extensive time discussing Bello and how important last weeks tournament was for him. Bello has now made it a difficult decision as to play him or fade him and my gut is saying fade as he isn’t the longest hitter. I am sure Bello will be a last minute decision for many as to play him or not.

Daniel Berger (7.5k) is a tough player to figure out as he often has solid finishes but rarely contends for the win which leads you to the question of should I play him or fade him. Berger has competed at the Masters twice finishing 27th and 10th and he enters the tournament this year with recent finishes of 18th, 14th, 29th, MC, 11th, and 14th. Berger is a player that feels more comfortable competing on bermuda grass and I feel his upside is on those types of courses. I will most likely have some Berger because I feel if he finishes in his typical 10th-25th he won’t hurt you at his price plus I feel Berger will be lower owned.

Brian Harman (7.5k) has only played at Augusta National once and that resulted in a missed cut in 2015. Harman is a much better golfer than he was when he last played here but his game is still the same which is not a great fit as he is not a long hitter. Harman has two things going for him in that he is a very good putter and if it gets hot it could carry him a long way and he is left handed which seems to be favorable. I expect Harman to be low owned and I am willing to take a few shots on him due to his putting ability.

If you are looking for the Cal Ripken of the mid to upper tier golfers then Patrick Reed (7.7k) is your man as it seems like he never misses a tournament. Over the last ten weeks nobody in this tournament has played more golf than Reed who is a volatile player as shown in his results of three missed cuts and two T10 finishes over his last eight tournaments. Most recently Reed has been very hot as he has two T10 finishes and a solid performance at the WGC. Some are saying that Reed is inspired by his idol when he was young, one Tiger Woods. To no surprise Reed’s Masters results have also been volatile with two missed cuts and his best finish is 22nd. How much if any Reed I will play will most likely depend upon his projected ownership as I don’t want to play him if he is over 15% due to the volatility.

Much like Gary Woodland it will be interesting to see how the DFS community reacts to Henrik Stenson (7.8k) this week as he typically isn’t a popular play but he has a very juicy price tag. Stenson doesn’t have any T10 finishes at the Masters over his last twelve appearances as his best finish is 14th while he has missed four cuts. Stenson has also not played much golf leading into the Masters as he missed the cut at the Honda Classic, finished fourth at the Valspar Championship and placed 6th at Houston last week. Like I said it will be interesting to see how the weight of his name verse his course history parred with a fairly cheap price plays out for his ownership. Augusta National isn’t the best fit for Stenson’s game as he likes to play his trusty 3-Wood which isn’t long enough for this course but yet he does have the talent to finish T10 if his game clicks which would be a excellent finish for his price. I see several similarities between Stenson and last years winner Sergio Garcia as Stenson has a similar track record to Garcia at the Masters, Stenson is slightly cheaper than Garcia, and I feel Stenson will garner similar ownership to what Garcia ended up with last year.

Cam Smith (6.9k) will be making his second appearance at the Masters as he finished 55th two years ago. Smith is having a solid year with four made cuts in his last five tournaments with finishes of 6th, 46th, 48th, and 20th while he made it to the quarterfinals of the WGC a few weeks ago. Smith is a volatile player who can go on streaks quite often while they can be good or bad the one thing that it helps is his DK point total as you benefit from the birdies. Smith is one of the players that I don’t have a good read on this week for how he will perform but I do see limited upside. I feel Smith could either shoot high scores and miss the cut or he could shoot slightly over par the first two rounds and end up finishing 35th-50th.

Ian Poulter (7.6k) was the last person to gain qualification to the Masters with his win in Houston. Golf is a funny game and Poulter is a great example of why you should never trust stats alone. Poulter has been incredible the last two weeks with his iron play and putting but prior to the last two weeks Poulter couldn’t hit a barn with his irons or putts as he had finishes of 41st, missed cut, missed cut, 52nd, 6th and missed cut. Poulter should be a fairly popular play at the Masters and deservedly so based on his recent performances. Last years winner of the Houston Open, Russell Henley went to the Masters and finished 11th while garnering 11% ownership in the milly maker. Poulter has made 9/10 of his last cuts at the Masters while 6th is his best finish to go along with two other T10’s. Poulter’s last fourteen rounds at Augusta National have been mostly boom or bust as he has shot 67, 67, 69 to go with 78, 82, 76, 76, 75 and 74.

WILDCARDS
Danny Willett (6.8k) is a Masters champion who took advantage of Jordan Spieth’s Sunday hole 12 debacle a few years ago to capture the green jacket. Unfortunately for Willett all has been downhill since his victory as his golf game has not been the same due to some injuries. Willett hired a new swing coach late last year in his attempt to overcome his bad play. Willett was someone I thought could be very sneaky this week but he withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational with a shoulder injury. Since his WD nothing has been said about his shoulder which makes me want to include Willett in the fade section and move the few shares I would have had of him to someone else.

Golfs very own scientific madman Bryson DeChambeau (6.9k) is back for his second appearance at the Masters and first as a professional as he finished 21st two years ago as an amateur. DeChambeau has been playing solid golf recently as he finished second at the Arnold Palmer Invitational a few weeks back but he also has another T5 finish in his last five tournaments played. DeChambeau does have a WD recently as he had a bad back the week of the Honda Classic but I wouldn’t worry about it as he basically slept on it the wrong way. Let me paint a picture of how DeChambeau played during his first Masters appearance. He played the par 3’s under par, nobody has a career avg under par on the par 3’s within this field minus him. DeChambeau ranks fourth in career scrambling so he had a very good scrambling week at his first Masters appearance, he currently ranks 47th in the field since the beginning of the calendar year in scrambling. Finally, DeChambeau played the par 5’s at a average of 4.94 during his initial Masters appearance. Personally, I don’t feel he will maintain the scrambling and par 3 achievements while he should improve on his par 5 scoring. DeChambeau should be fairly popular due to his one good finish at the Masters, cheap price and recent results but I will definitely be underweight on him as his results could very well be dismal.

Kiradech Aphibarnrat (7.1k) was over 20% owned a few weeks back at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and he missed the cut sending the DFS community in rage. There was plenty of discussion over Barnrat pre tourney as he had traveled all over the world playing golf the three previous weeks but in his two previous appearances at the API he finished 6th each time. Couple his previous finishes with the form Barnrat had coming into the tournament meant the travel narrative was one that was shot down quickly. It will be interesting to see how the community reacts to all of this as Barnrat is once again in a similar situation as he has one Masters appearance were he finished 15th. Barnrat is a long hitter that could feast on the par 5’s potentially leading himself to another T20 finish which would pay his price for the week.

I like many was very excited to play Matthew Fitzpatrick (7.3k) this year at events he played in on the PGA tour as he finished last year on a heater on the Euro tour. Unfortunately Fitzpatrick continued his horrid play on US soil so far this year as over his last three tournaments he has two missed cuts and a 30th. What is concerning is Fitzpatrick has come to the Masters the last two years in solid form as he has some T20 finishes pre Masters the last two years. Fitzpatrick has finishes of 32nd, 7th and MC in his three appearances. I could have easily put Fitzpatrick in the fade section but being a homer for him I left him as a wildcard as I do have minimal hope that he plays well this year.

Charles Schwartzel (7.4k) finished third at the Masters last year and if you look at the list of players who have back to back T20 finishes at the Masters Schwartzel’s name does not fit the name pedigree on that list. In addition Schwartzel arrives at Augusta this year in less to be desired form as his most recent finishes are missed cut, 49th, 48th and 68th. Schwartzel does have a Master win to go along with his 3rd place finish last year but he has missed two of his last four cuts at Augusta and minus those two great finishes I already mentioned his best is a 25th and 30th. When you look at Schwartzel’s Masters stats you will notice he has been carried by a hot putter. Putting can be quite volatile which presents a concern for a guy entering this week in not the greatest of form.

Louis Oosthuizen (7.9k) could have easily made the fade section or difference maker section but he ends up in the wildcard section as his game is truly unpredictable. Oosthuizen has been playing solid golf finishing 16th, 30th and 24th then he went to the Arnold Palmer Invitational and missed the cut. Oosthuizen has a mixed history at Augusta as he missed four of his first five cuts but had a second place finish in there, his best ever. Most recently Oosthuizen has played solid at Augusta National making his last four cuts while finishing as high as 15th and as low as 41st last year. When you look at the last four years of pre Masters tournaments for Oosthuizen he has a mixed bag of T10’s as well as missed cuts. The years he has had his better finishes he does have a T10 pre tourney and this year, like last year he is lacking a T10. Oosthuizen’s best round at Augusta National over his last 16 is 69 twice and personally I feel like he is headed for a similar finish to last year falling in the 30th-45th range.

Brooks Koepka (7.6k) has withdrawn from the Masters as he is still dealing with a wrist injury from earlier this year.

I have pondered long and hard over what to do with Patrick Cantlay (7.6k) over the past few days as I just don’t know what to expect from him. Cantlay played at the Masters back in 2012 as an amateur and finished 47th. Most recently Cantlay has made all four of his cuts finishing 30th, 4th, 35th and 51st which in general is not what the DFS community was expecting out of him this year after he played so well last year. Cantlay has the game to compete at the Masters as his length is solid but were he may struggle is on the green and in bunkers as he has had his fare share of issues getting out of them. Cantlay has a nice price this week which makes me more inclined to play him as he really only needs a T15 to pay off. Cantlay should come in lower owned than Reed, Stenson and Matt Kuchar and has the ability to place better than them making him a nice pivot.

Up until the last two weeks Matt Kuchar (7.6k) was entering this years Masters in not the best of form as in his last six tournaments he had only one T10 with the rest of his finishes falling between 26th and 62nd. Then Kuchar went to the WGC and had a solid showing which he followed up last week in Houston with a finish of 8th. It now appears we could possibly have chalk Kuchar at the Masters this year. The only reason I listed Kuchar as a wildcard was due to his suspect form before the last two weeks as he has a strong positive history at the Masters. Kuchar has made all eight cuts that include four T10 finishes of which three of those are T5. Based on his current form I expect Kuchar to still be competitive due to his knowledge of Augusta National and compete for a finish of 10th-25th.

STRONG CANDIDATES TO JOIN THE MASTERS STUDS
Tyrell Hatton (7.7k) made his Masters debut last year and he played horrible missing the cut. When you look at his stats from last year there was not one part of his game that went well as he is at the bottom of all stat categories. What is concerning for me is Hatton has made it known via twitter that he is not hitting his irons well as of the last few tournaments. I may play a few shares of Hatton but I feel there are much safer players in his price range.

The knock on Alex Noren (8.1k) entering this year was he was a very good Euro player but once he left his comfort zone and played in the states he struggled. Noren has now put that to rest based on his performances over the last couple months as he has contended for wins ultimately finishing 2nd and 3rd while his other finishes range from 14th to 21st with 36th being his worse. I am not sure the game that Noren plays is a great fit for Augusta National but the one thing he has going for him is confidence and a strong putter. In my mind, Noren is becoming a Euro version of Matt Kuchar on the PGA tour. Noren played horrible at the Masters last year as he was batting Hatton for the worse stats of the week. I don’t see Noren placing high this week but he could make the cut and finish T20-35th.

Thomas Pieters (8.3k) is a tough player to figure out as his game will fluctuate between a very high level to a mediocre level. Pieters has been in that mediocre range recently as he has made all of his cuts with one T5 finish to go along with a 13th, 32nd, 38th, 52nd and 68th but what will likely be remembered the most is his performance at the WGC match play were he went didn’t get out of the first round. Pieters showed last year that he has the game to compete at the Masters as he came from nowhere to finish 4th. When you look at Pieter’s stats from the Masters last year it makes you wonder if he can sustain that type of play. Due to his recent performances I feel Pieters will once again go lower owned and could be a good play for his price if he can manage a T10 finish.

The DFS community continues to be in love with Tommy Fleetwood (8.5k) as he is consistently one of the highest owned players. Fleetwood has performed at a very high level on the Euro tour but he has recently competed at several PGA tournaments with mixed results based on his expectations. While Fleetwood hasn’t missed any cuts his finishes of 26th, 14th, 4th and 37th left many disappointed. As a rookie at the Masters last year Fleetwood missed the cut but gained valuable experience. If Fleetwood wants to compete this year he must play the par 5’s much better than last year were he had a scoring avg of five shots. Fleetwood has the game to compete at Augusta National and at his price I am sure he could be fairly popular and he only needs a T10 to pay off. One last point to make using Fleetwood as an example as last year he led the field in driving accuracy hitting the fairway 80% of the time. In general if you look at the players who drive accurately they don’t finish well as it shows the point that distance is the key off the tee over accuracy. Deciding to be over or underweight on Fleetwood is a tough decision and will most likely come down to his projected ownership which as of now I am thinking will be on the lower side as the community appears to be quiet on the chatter front when it comes to him.

Justin Thomas (10.8k) enters his third Masters as one of the players in very good form as he has finished 2nd, 1st, 9th and 17th over his last four tournaments and on top of that he played very good at the WGC making it to the semifinals. Over the last two years Thomas has finished 22nd and 39th but he has not broken 70 at Augusta National and what really concerns me is he has rounds of 76, 76, and 78. There is no doubt in my mind that Thomas has the game type and the skills to win the Masters but I am not sure if he has the mental aspect at this point of his career. Thomas is a very aggressive player and at Augusta National you need to know when to scale it back and when to go for it and when you see three rounds out of eight at 76 or higher it tells you he has not been able to scale it back at the appropriate time. The one thing I do like about Thomas is the stats may be saying that he is trending in the right direction with his mental aspect. Up until Thomas won the PGA Championship last year with a -8 score all his wins came in tournaments were he posted scores of -20+ which tells you they were courses that were easy with minimal chances of blowing up. In addition Thomas had only one major were he posted a score under par until his PGA Championship. Since that win Thomas has two additional wins on courses that played difficult were he won with scores under -10. If Thomas comes in at low projected ownership I will play him but at this moment I am not feeling a chalky Thomas.

In my mind John Rahm (9.3k) is very similar to Justin Thomas as he has the game type and skills to win the Masters but we all know there has been times when he lets the ultra competitive side get the best of him and he loses his mind set over silly mistakes. If the game alone was played just on skill Rahm and Thomas would easily be my two favorite golfers this week but as we all know golf is a very mental game. Rahm made his first appearance at the Masters last year and finished 27th and he enters this year in solid form posting recent results of 20th, 26th, 11th, 29th and 1st. Last year Rahm feasted on the par 5’s as he played them at a 4.37 avg score which is the best in the field career wise. Were Rahm struggled was on the greens as he had a high 3 putt percentage. Rahm could very easily become a great GPP play as many will remember his WGC performance were he lost all three matches making him a low owned player. Personally, I am having a hard time staying away from Rahm as Augusta National sets up well for his game plus he has one year under his belt with how to handle the challenging greens.

SECOND TIER MASTERS STUD
As I mentioned above course history is important this week and when you see the numbers below for the next twelve players you will see what I mean. Often in the DFS world you are asked who are you fading at the top this week. I highly suggest not fading many of these players this week as they all have the ability to win this tournament. Some of these players I will be underweight on while some overweight but the majority of my fades will come from the players I have already discussed.
Total Appearances Since 2006 for the six players below 50
Wins 3
T10 16
Missed Cuts 5 plus 1 Withdrawal

Adam Scott (8.0k) has been playing much better golf this year than what he was last year as he has made his last four cuts but his two best finishes are 13th and 16th. Scott is a previous Masters winner and he has three other T10’s but minus his 9th place finish last year his best finishes came between 2010-2014. These were the years when Scott was putting at a high level as he was anchoring the putter against his body which was legal at that time. Since this was banned Scott has struggled to regain that putting form. Scott has a fair price and he enters this week with some of the best current form stats when it comes to ball striking but his putter has been letting him down. Scott could go overlooked this week as people look to save a few extra dollars and click on Stenson and Kuchar making him a solid GPP play.

Over the last three years Hideki Matsuyama (8.4k) has really started to figure out Augusta National as he has finishes of 11th, 7th and 5th after having a missed cut, 54th and 27th his first three attempts. If you ask the average golf fan and even some of the more avid followers how old Hideki is the common answer will be 30-32 as he has gotten lost with the influx of young talent on tour currently. Hideki is only 26 and those two finishes of 54th and 27th came when he was an amateur. Hideki is just now hitting his stride and has a gained a wealth of Augusta knowledge and experience over the last three years. Hideki enters the Masters this year coming off a injury that forced him to miss several weeks of action and upon his return he has finished 49th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and didn’t make it pass the first round of the WGC match play. Hideki has the iron play to compete at Augusta as when he gets dialed in he is a force to be reckoned with. Hideki has a low price tag this week and most likely can pay it off with a T10. Figuring out the ownership on Hideki this week will be as challenging as the greens the players are facing as his recent injury and lack of form should keep it down but his price should bring more people on him.

Bubba Watson (8.7k) has added a few pounds to his frame, gone back to a top tier golf ball and is mentally in a state of mind when he was playing some of his best golf. His return to form has been overshadowed by some guys named Phil and Tiger but he continues to rack up solid finishes. In his last six tournaments Bubba has two wins to go along with another T10 finish while he hasn’t missed a cut. Bubba is a boom or bust player at Augusta National as he has two wins but after that his best finish is 20th to go along 37th, 38th, 38th, 42nd and 50th. Last year Bubba missed the cut but we know his game was trash last year so that weighs little on me. There was no doubt in my mind that Bubba would have been the lowest owned player of the six within this group due to his price tag but that all changed when he won the WGC a few weeks ago. I am currently torn on which direction to go on Bubba as I feel he can compete for a T10-15 finish at worse as his game is in good form and he has the vision to play the proper shots at Augusta National.

Much like Hideki, Paul Casey (8.8k) is seeing his game hit its stride at Augusta National as over the past three years he has finished 6th, 4th, and 6th which is much better than his previous six appearances which saw two missed cuts and finishes of 10th, 11th, 20th and 38th. Casey currently has good form as he is coming off a win at the Valspar Championship which is coupled by three other T12 finishes over his last five tournaments. The knock on Casey has always been his putting and Augusta National will challenge this portion of your game. If Casey has a solid putting week he will once again most likely finish T10 and contend for a win. If Casey ends up being chalky, which he should be, I will be using the same strategy for him as I do Justin Rose.

Rickie Fowler (9.0k) is a wildcard for me this week when it comes to his game and were the love will be for him this week amongst the DFS community. Fowler only has one T10 in seven appearances at the Masters but minus a missed cut two years ago his game at Augusta National is trending positively as he also had finishes of 11th and 12th in two of his last three appearances. Fowler’s current form is suspect compared to his peers as he has missed two cuts over his last five tournaments with 14th being his best finish recently. For me it all boils down to Fowler’s ball striking as over his career he has only hit 57% of greens in regulation and if you look at his current calendar year GIR% it ranks 39th in the field at 66%. To put his 57% in perspective for players who have played more than one tournament the only players worse than Fowler are O’Meara, Woosnam, Olazabal, Wier, Lyle, and Mize. That is not the names you want to be associated with at when comparing Masters statistics. Unless Fowler has a incredible turn around, which he is capable of, I see him finishing somewhere between 10th-20th. There is a chance Fowler could end up being low owned as he sits right next to Casey and Justin Rose in pricing making him an interesting GPP play.

My biggest concern with Jason Day (9.8k) is his lack of play as he only has entered four tournaments over the past ten weeks. While Day has been fairly sharp in those tournaments posting a win and a second I would have liked to see him play one or two more tournaments during that time frame. Day has three T10 finishes at Augusta National and his worse finish is 28th. There is no doubt Day has the game to win this week as he is one of the best putters on tour. Speaking of putting, Day is one of the best bentgrass putters over the past two years so he should feel comfortable on the greens. Day will likely be on the lower side of ownership which makes him a very good contrarian GPP play.

THE MASTERS STUDS
So why are these players known as the STUDS at the Masters, keep these numbers in your head if you wish to fade as since 2006 they have been incredible.
Total Appearances for the six players below since 2006 51
Wins 3
T10 27
Missed Cuts 4

Justin Rose (9.2k) is Mr Consistent at the Masters making his last ten cuts with five T10 finishes and finishing 20th or worse only three times. With the win by Sergio Garcia last year, Rose is now the player that everyone will be rooting for to get that elusive green jacket and he appears to be the early favorite among the DFS community. Rose enters this years tournament playing perhaps his best golf since late last year as he has one win, four other T8 finishes and finishes of 22nd and 37th. There is no doubt that Rose will be one of if not the most owned players this week due to his price. What to do with Rose is tough because if you go overweight you will need to play him at 40-50% while if you go underweight or even fade and he finishes 20th or worse you will have a huge edge on the field. I haven’t made my final decision on Rose but if I do play him I will most likely go underweight on him and I will pair him with other players that are lower owned so that my limited exposure to him will be unique to the field. One last comment on Rose and it can be applied to Casey also but very few players have had four consecutive T10 finishes in the Masters as that is what they will accomplish this year with a T10. Over the last twelve years Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy have accomplished this and McIlroy will be going for his fifth in a row this year. On top of just how hard it is to complete this it must be done this year with Dustin Johnson and Tiger Woods in the field as they both were absent last year plus players like Phil Mickelson, Justin Thomas and Bubba Watson are showing better form entering the Masters this year vs last year.

Phil Mickelson (9.5k) arrives at the Masters on a heater as his last five finishes have been 24th, 1st, 6th, 2nd and 5th. Mickelson is a three time winner of the Masters and he has several other solid T10 finishes. Unfortunately for Mickelson as he gets older his game becomes more inconsistent and this has shown at recent Masters performances as over the last four he has missed two cuts. Mickelson is priced up this week and he may be a high owned play as there are several younger players who are cheaper that have just as good or better chances at winning this week which makes me want to be underweight on him or even fade him. Due to the high salary Mickelson has to produce a T10 finish at worse. The key for Mickelson this week will be the par 5’s and can he score on them. If he does watch out for him and history says he will as he has a 4.42 avg over his career on par 5’s at Augusta which is the best in the field for any player with over five appearances.

It will be interesting to see what type of talk we hear pertaining to Rory McIlroy (9.9k) this week as this will be his fourth attempt to win the Masters and become the sixth player to claim the coveted Grand Slam, winner of each major championship in golf. Rory’s game has been all over the place this year as he started out well on the Euro tour placing 2nd and 3rd. Rory then came over and competed in 5 PGA tournaments and had finishes of missed cut, 59th, 20th, and missed cut before he won the Arnold Palmer Invitational. McIlroy has made 8/9 cuts at the Masters with four consecutive top 10 finishes. It should be noted that all of those T10 finishes were due to good rounds on Sunday were he went out mid pack and posted early scores while never contending for the win. McIlroy is a volatile player at this point in his career and while the recent win will help push his ownership higher I will only have small portions of him this week.

It’s been three years since Tiger Woods (10.0k) has shown up at the Masters as he finished in 17th place back in 2015. Tiger has been playing some very good golf over his last three tournaments finishing 5th, 2nd and 12th and is showing the golf world that he is indeed back and still capable of competing at a very high level. Speaking of being able to compete at a high level, Tiger had a run earlier in his career of seven out of eight finishes at the Masters were he finished 2nd to 6th. That right there should tell you how difficult it is to win this tournament as he was the best player in the world during that time. Today the game is much more competitive and the top players are better than what he was competing against during that run. The two things people are most worried about with Tiger is his game off the tee and his ownership. I personally, am not not worried about his driver because Tiger has never been a great driver of the ball when it comes to accuracy and he still has the length to set up shorter approach shots. Were Tiger excels is his approach shot, putting and chipping and for me it all comes down to his approach shots as I know he will be good around the greens this week. Could Tiger win this tournament, yes, but I feel he is most likely going to finish 4th-8th which for his salary will not hurt you. One last note on Tiger, he did play 36 holes at Augusta National the week of the WGC. I saw a tweet from the Tour Junkies that they saw or received from someone on a golf wrx forum. According to the poster Tiger used a new shaft on his driver, a Mitsubishi Tensei Pro Orange 70 TX, the same shaft Rory used at the Bay Hill Invitational when he won. The poster said that over the 36 holes Tiger missed one fairway. Take it for what it is worth.

There were many people within the DFS community hoping that Jordan Spieth (10.4k) did not perform well at the Houston Open last week but there dreams were shattered as Spieth finished third. The topic of conversation concerning Spieth this year has been his putting as he has struggled with this part of game missing many putts within 10’. Spieth was solid putting last week losing .81 strokes gained putting which could have been better as it includes four three putts in the early portion of round three. One area of the game that Spieth continues to impress in is his strokes gained approach as his irons have been hot. Prior to Houston Spieth had missed the cut in two of his last five tournaments with finishes of 9th, 20th, and 14th. Spieth’s Master history is very strong as he has a win, two second place finishes and a 11th last year. Like many players this week, it will come down to putting for Spieth and he left Houston with positive thoughts making a 29’ par saver. Before last week I was fairly certain Spieth would be lower owned but with his performance he will now gain some ownership. Will it be enough to put him over 15% I don’t know but what I do know is he has lowered the ownership on the two players above him in price.

What a difference a year makes as Dustin Johnson (11.4k) came into the Masters last year on a heater winning three consecutive tournaments only to “slip” and hurt his back one day before the tournament which eventually led to a withdraw. This year all everyone will remember is his losses to Adam Hadwin, Kevin Kisner and Bernd Wiesberger at the WGC match play. The fact is Johnson is still a threat as Augusta National sets up very good for his game as he has finishes of 4th and 6th in his last two appearances. While Johnson has not won this year he has four T10 finishes and his worse finish is 16th. It’s likely that Johnson will see decreased ownership as he is not performing to the expectations of many plus he is $600 more than his closest competitor. It seems to be the DFS trend this year to avoid the player that costs the most money but remember even though Johnson is the most expensive you are still getting him at a discount of $400 compared to the prices that we have seen at other tournaments for the highest priced player. In addition there are several other players who are discounted due to a strong field and you can make strong teams with him. I will likely be overweight on Johnson this week as I feel he will be low owned and after Rahm I feel the course sets up well for him.

STATS and SOME KEY HOLE DESCRIPTIONS
Listed below are key stats dating back to the 2006 Masters for the players I deem relevant as I didn’t list everyone. You will not see any stats for the rookie class this year since they have not competed at the Masters as well as Chez Reavie and Cam Smith. I prefer to use Masters stats since it is a course like no other plus the pressure and mental stamina required to compete at this tournament is different than any other tournament. I will use current form stats for tiebreakers and to see who is fairing positive and negative in key stats. Please keep in mind that the stats below can be subjective as players have competed at the Masters different amount of times and the players who have only one tournament played could be misleading. For the players who have played at the Masters five or more times you can get a fairly good understanding of what areas that succeed at which ones they struggle with. One of my favorite things to do is take two players who have competed at the Masters once and compare what stats they did well at vs what stats they didn’t do well at as it paints a picture of what is really needed to succeed at the Masters. For example last year Jon Rahm vs Thomas Pieters, if you compare there stats vs there finishes it paints a clear picture of how Pieters places better. The first stat I will discuss is driving accuracy and as I mentioned earlier it is not very important this week as once you see the list below of the T10 players in the field you will understand why it is irrelevant. The only player on the list with significant positive results is Matt Kuchar. Also note how well Tommy Fleetwood did in driving accuracy but how bad the rest of his stats were as he missed the cut.

Tommy Fleetwood 82.10%
Larry Mize 78.79%
Ted Potter Jr. 78.60%
Francesco Molinari 78.57%
Yuta Ikeda 77.68%
Zach Johnson 77.63%
Bernhard Langer 74.99%
Matt Kuchar 73.89%
Mark O’Meara 73.81%
Ryan Moore 73.22%
Kevin Kisner 73.20%
Meanwhile below are some of the driving accuracy percentages for some of the best performers in the field.
Tiger Woods 61%
Phil Mickelson 62%
Jordan Spieth 65%
Justin Rose 72%
Paul Casey 64%
Rory McIlroy 68%
Jason Day 62%
Dustin Johnson 62%

The next stat to discuss is driving distance and keep in mind this stat is not recorded on every hole and only select holes each tournament. Also keep in mind that the holes being recorded may be favorable to your game type or adverse. Anyways it gives you a solid idea of who is capable of hitting the ball farthest. Distance is important at the Masters as the holes are long and the elevation change can be significant. The biggest reason it is important is how it sets you up for your second shot. Augusta National is a second shot course that rewards elite ball striking. As I mentioned earlier the greens are set up to reward excellent shots and excellent shots are easier to achieve at shorter distances. If you play golf or watch it often you will understand that it is easier to control your shot with a nine iron verse a seven iron and over time your success rate will be much better with the nine iron. A great example of were distance pays off is the par 5 15th hole. The longer hitters will be able to use mid irons to go at the green in two while the shorter distance players will be using three and four irons. Often on this hole you will see players using long irons go over the green and since the areas are shaved around the greens the ball will roll and end up close to the 16th tee leaving the player with a long chip shot that has to be controlled on a fast green and if it goes long you may end up in water. Meanwhile the players who have shorter approach shots are not out of the clear as they must control the spin on there ball or a good shot can spin back and roll off the green into the water protecting the green. All said distance will prevail the majority of the time at Augusta National.
Dustin Johnson 301.96
Kyle Stanley 293.75
Jason Day 293.54
Thomas Pieters 293.00
Bubba Watson 292.93
Rory McIlroy 292.54
Louis Oosthuizen 291.29
Bryson DeChambeau 290.50
Russell Henley 289.50
Adam Scott 289.37
Gary Woodland 289.13
Phil Mickelson 288.46
Jimmy Walker 288.16
Hideki Matsuyama 288.07
Ross Fisher 287.34
Patrick Reed 286.96
Patrick Cantlay 286.63
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 286.50
Sergio Garcia 286.36
Henrik Stenson 286.05
Martin Kaymer 285.95
Bernd Wiesberger 285.63
Tiger Woods 285.39
Rickie Fowler 284.87
Brian Harman 284.50
Branden Grace 284.43
Jason Dufner 284.23
Marc Leishman 283.68
Justin Rose 283.65
Jordan Spieth 282.60
Paul Casey 282.43
Justin Thomas 282.38
Pat Perez 282.17
Brendan Steele 282.09
Kevin Chappell 281.81
Charley Hoffman 281.75
Charl Schwartzel 281.70
Ryan Moore 281.21
Matt Kuchar 280.44
Webb Simpson 279.72
Jon Rahm 279.63
Billy Horschel 279.45
Jhonattan Vegas 279.25
Francesco Molinari 278.88
Rafa Cabrera Bello 278.42
Tommy Fleetwood 277.00
Daniel Berger 276.19
Matthew Fitzpatrick 275.60
Alex Noren 275.50
Tyrrell Hatton 275.50
Danny Willett 274.65
Zach Johnson 273.88
Ted Potter Jr. 273.75
Yuta Ikeda 272.44
Kevin Kisner 271.25
Si Woo Kim 261.00
Adam Hadwin 260.88

In order to succeed at Augusta National you have to make birdies in order to offset the bogeys that you will make. I will be keening in on birdies or better percentage so I can have players in my pool that will score DK points. When I look at the stats below the first thing that pops out to me is can Jordan Spieth maintain his high birdie or better rate as he is 5-6% higher than his peers who have competed in more Masters tournaments. You would have to think there is regression in Spieth’s future since he is getting birdie or better on 28% of his holes played. Four other players that stick out for me are Ryan Moore, Charley Hoffman, Russell Henley and Jimmy Walker as they have a higher percentage than several other marquee names at a lower price. I also like that these players have achieved this higher rate over several appearances at the Masters. Moore and Walker could be good players to target at low ownership.
Jordan Spieth 28.48%
Thomas Pieters 26.40%
Jason Day 23.35%
Justin Rose 22.51%
Phil Mickelson 22.23%
Patrick Cantlay 22.20%
Dustin Johnson 22.01%
Bubba Watson 21.90%
Rickie Fowler 21.79%
Kevin Chappell 21.50%
Tiger Woods 21.46%
Rory McIlroy 21.39%
Jason Dufner 21.28%
Jimmy Walker 20.50%
Hideki Matsuyama 20.44%
Ryan Moore 20.36%
Paul Casey 20.31%
Adam Scott 20.16%
Daniel Berger 20.10%
Sergio Garcia 20.09%
Charley Hoffman 19.78%
Russell Henley 19.47%
Pat Perez 19.43%
Matt Kuchar 19.43%
Adam Hadwin 19.40%
Henrik Stenson 19.16%
Charl Schwartzel 18.84%
Louis Oosthuizen 18.66%
Jon Rahm 18.10%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 18.10%
Bryson DeChambeau 18.10%
Martin Kaymer 17.77%
Ross Fisher 17.57%
Webb Simpson 17.00%
Tommy Fleetwood 16.70%
Brian Harman 16.70%
Kevin Kisner 16.70%
Ted Potter Jr. 16.70%
Gary Woodland 16.68%
Bernd Wiesberger 16.67%
Marc Leishman 16.66%
Jhonattan Vegas 16.65%
Yuta Ikeda 16.65%
Danny Willett 16.14%
Matthew Fitzpatrick 16.10%
Branden Grace 15.87%
Francesco Molinari 15.58%
Billy Horschel 15.54%
Zach Johnson 15.50%
Patrick Reed 15.27%
Rafa Cabrera Bello 14.83%
Kyle Stanley 13.90%
Brendan Steele 12.97%
Justin Thomas 12.50%
Alex Noren 11.10%
Si Woo Kim 8.30%
Tyrrell Hatton 5.60%

From a DK perspective the stat category bogey or worse doesn’t weigh very high since you only lose a half point for bogeys and a full point for double bogey or worse. Were it can hurt you is if your player makes multiple bogeys without birdies and misses the cut or if they make the cut it can hurt you in placement points. As I look at the players below and there percentages what sticks out to me the most is Kaymer, Dufner, Reed and Kisner posting a high rate that equals out to a bogey one out of every four holes while they all have multiple appearances at the Masters minus Kisner who only has two.
Jordan Spieth 15.97%
Tiger Woods 16.20%
Danny Willett 16.64%
Thomas Pieters 16.70%
Matt Kuchar 17.03%
Phil Mickelson 17.43%
Rory McIlroy 17.80%
Justin Rose 17.93%
Jon Rahm 18.10%
Charley Hoffman 18.40%
Jason Day 18.73%
Bernd Wiesberger 18.97%
Bryson DeChambeau 19.40%
Matthew Fitzpatrick 19.44%
Charl Schwartzel 19.46%
Adam Scott 19.57%
Hideki Matsuyama 19.94%
Paul Casey 19.97%
Justin Thomas 20.15%
Zach Johnson 20.17%
Dustin Johnson 20.51%
Rickie Fowler 20.51%
Branden Grace 21.00%
Ross Fisher 21.01%
Daniel Berger 21.50%
Ryan Moore 21.52%
Yuta Ikeda 21.55%
Louis Oosthuizen 21.61%
Sergio Garcia 21.69%
Francesco Molinari 21.94%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 22.20%
Brendan Steele 22.23%
Russell Henley 22.24%
Bubba Watson 22.55%
Jimmy Walker 22.57%
Marc Leishman 22.61%
Gary Woodland 22.70%
Webb Simpson 22.84%
Henrik Stenson 24.04%
Rafa Cabrera Bello 24.07%
Billy Horschel 24.46%
Jason Dufner 24.77%
Adam Hadwin 25.00%
Kevin Chappell 25.00%
Martin Kaymer 26.11%
Patrick Reed 26.87%
Kevin Kisner 27.10%
Brian Harman 27.80%
Kyle Stanley 27.80%
Ted Potter Jr. 27.80%
Pat Perez 28.70%
Patrick Cantlay 29.20%
Alex Noren 30.60%
Tommy Fleetwood 36.10%
Si Woo Kim 36.10%
Jhonattan Vegas 36.10%
Tyrrell Hatton 38.90%

Below I have listed the average par 3 scoring and while you are not going to win a Masters playing well at the par 3’s you can certainly lose one, ask Jordan Spieth. As you can see par is a good score and if you walk away with a birdie you should be very pleased. The two par 3’s that get the most attention are holes 12 and 16. Hole 12 is a short par 3 that has a long green width wise but short depth while protected by Rae’s Creek in the front along with a bunker and two bunkers on the back. If you go long you have a touchy chip shot back toward the water with limited room to work with. Wind often plays mind games with the players head on this hole as the tee shot is elevated to a downhill green. Hole 16 is all about pin placement as when the pin is up front on a plateau par is a great score but when it is on the bottom of the plateau in the back/middle portion of the green birdies can be made. The hole is played over water and guarded by three bunkers. While it doesn’t happen often if you pull your tee shot you could find yourself in the water posting a big score. Last year Matt Kuchar made an ace on this hole, it was the 28th hole in one at the Masters, while the most famous shot on this hole would be Tiger Woods chip in from the rough on his way to a victory in 2005.
Bryson DeChambeau 2.94
Jordan Spieth 3.00
Thomas Pieters 3.00
Jimmy Walker 3.03
Danny Willett 3.05
Dustin Johnson 3.06
Patrick Cantlay 3.06
Yuta Ikeda 3.06
Jason Day 3.07
Rory McIlroy 3.09
Russell Henley 3.09
Ryan Moore 3.09
Daniel Berger 3.10
Adam Scott 3.10
Justin Rose 3.10
Tiger Woods 3.11
Hideki Matsuyama 3.11
Matt Kuchar 3.13
Patrick Reed 3.13
Zach Johnson 3.13
Charl Schwartzel 3.13
Adam Hadwin 3.13
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 3.13
Kyle Stanley 3.13
Si Woo Kim 3.13
Rickie Fowler 3.14
Charley Hoffman 3.14
Bubba Watson 3.14
Jason Dufner 3.15
Paul Casey 3.15
Francesco Molinari 3.15
Billy Horschel 3.15
Justin Thomas 3.15
Phil Mickelson 3.16
Pat Perez 3.17
Sergio Garcia 3.17
Kevin Chappell 3.19
Bernd Wiesberger 3.19
Matthew Fitzpatrick 3.20
Brendan Steele 3.21
Louis Oosthuizen 3.22
Martin Kaymer 3.22
Gary Woodland 3.23
Marc Leishman 3.23
Henrik Stenson 3.24
Tyrrell Hatton 3.25
Brian Harman 3.25
Ross Fisher 3.25
Webb Simpson 3.28
Kevin Kisner 3.28
Branden Grace 3.29
Rafa Cabrera Bello 3.29
Jon Rahm 3.38
Tommy Fleetwood 3.38
Alex Noren 3.38
Ted Potter Jr. 3.50
Jhonattan Vegas 3.63

The par 4’s are the bread and butter at Augusta National and as you will see par is a great score on them. Two of the more famous holes are 10 and 11 as they are both difficult. Hole 10 is a downhill tee shot with a meaningless fairway bunker that rarely comes in play but visually makes the hole look unique. The approach shot is uphill to a green that that is protected on the right by a bunker and if you miss left you will go down a hill leaving yourself a challenging chip shot. Hole 11 is a long par 4 were you start Amens Corner with your long approach shot to a green that is protected by water on the left and a bunker on the right.
Jordan Spieth 4.04
Tiger Woods 4.06
Justin Rose 4.07
Matt Kuchar 4.07
Charley Hoffman 4.09
Ross Fisher 4.10
Jason Day 4.10
Danny Willett 4.10
Thomas Pieters 4.10
Bernd Wiesberger 4.10
Rory McIlroy 4.10
Hideki Matsuyama 4.11
Paul Casey 4.11
Brendan Steele 4.12
Phil Mickelson 4.12
Louis Oosthuizen 4.12
Matthew Fitzpatrick 4.12
Adam Scott 4.12
Charl Schwartzel 4.13
Marc Leishman 4.13
Daniel Berger 4.14
Rickie Fowler 4.16
Gary Woodland 4.16
Jason Dufner 4.16
Sergio Garcia 4.16
Ryan Moore 4.16
Dustin Johnson 4.16
Jimmy Walker 4.17
Russell Henley 4.17
Branden Grace 4.17
Bubba Watson 4.18
Martin Kaymer 4.18
Jon Rahm 4.18
Patrick Cantlay 4.18
Adam Hadwin 4.18
Bryson DeChambeau 4.18
Kevin Chappell 4.18
Zach Johnson 4.19
Yuta Ikeda 4.19
Ted Potter Jr. 4.20
Henrik Stenson 4.20
Kevin Kisner 4.20
Francesco Molinari 4.22
Justin Thomas 4.23
Pat Perez 4.23
Webb Simpson 4.23
Alex Noren 4.25
Brian Harman 4.25
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 4.25
Jhonattan Vegas 4.25
Rafa Cabrera Bello 4.25
Billy Horschel 4.26
Tommy Fleetwood 4.30
Patrick Reed 4.32
Kyle Stanley 4.35
Tyrrell Hatton 4.55
Si Woo Kim 4.55

This is were you win the Masters, on the par 5’s as it can propel you to a great scoring week and will offset your bogeys on the par 3’s and 4’s. If you don’t play the four par 5’s at -6 to -10 for the week then your chances of winning are extremely limited. All four holes lead to potential eagles with birdie being a must. This stat category will weigh high on determining my player pool. Success on these holes don’t always lead to a great week, just look at Jon Rahm last year as he played the par 5’s exceptionally well, but more often than not playing them well will lead you to the top of the leaderboard. I already discussed the par 5 15th but the other iconic par 5 is the 13th hole. The tee shot on hole 13 is critical as it is a downhill dogleg left and if you don’t put your shot in the correct location you will not have a chance going for the green in two. The approach shot is also a downhill shot to a green that is protected in the front by a tributary to Rae’s Creek and if you go long you may end up in one of four bunkers on the backside of the green.
Jon Rahm 4.37
Phil Mickelson 4.52
Thomas Pieters 4.44
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 4.44
Kevin Chappell 4.47
Tiger Woods 4.50
Jordan Spieth 4.50
Bubba Watson 4.52
Jason Day 4.53
Rickie Fowler 4.55
Webb Simpson 4.55
Dustin Johnson 4.55
Billy Horschel 4.57
Rafa Cabrera Bello 4.58
Sergio Garcia 4.60
Ryan Moore 4.61
Rory McIlroy 4.62
Matt Kuchar 4.62
Brian Harman 4.62
Ted Potter Jr. 4.62
Jhonattan Vegas 4.62
Charley Hoffman 4.62
Justin Rose 4.62
Charl Schwartzel 4.63
Henrik Stenson 4.63
Adam Scott 4.64
Patrick Reed 4.65
Paul Casey 4.65
Justin Thomas 4.66
Hideki Matsuyama 4.66
Russell Henley 4.68
Daniel Berger 4.68
Zach Johnson 4.69
Jimmy Walker 4.70
Louis Oosthuizen 4.70
Pat Perez 4.71
Gary Woodland 4.71
Branden Grace 4.71
Francesco Molinari 4.71
Matthew Fitzpatrick 4.72
Kevin Kisner 4.75
Ross Fisher 4.76
Martin Kaymer 4.76
Danny Willett 4.77
Jason Dufner 4.80
Adam Hadwin 4.81
Marc Leishman 4.84
Bernd Wiesberger 4.85
Tommy Fleetwood 4.87
Kyle Stanley 4.87
Yuta Ikeda 4.87
Patrick Cantlay 4.93
Bryson DeChambeau 4.93
Alex Noren 5.00
Si Woo Kim 5.00
Brendan Steele 5.13
Tyrrell Hatton 5.13

In order to score well at Augusta National you have to hit greens in regulation in order to provide yourself with birdie opportunities. This is another stat category that will weigh high on my player pool selection.
Ross Fisher 70.06%
Billy Horschel 70.00%
Jordan Spieth 69.10%
Justin Rose 68.47%
Francesco Molinari 67.78%
Justin Thomas 67.35%
Louis Oosthuizen 67.28%
Charley Hoffman 67.03
Jon Rahm 66.70%
Thomas Pieters 66.70%
Paul Casey 66.49%
Matthew Fitzpatrick 66.12%
Adam Scott 66.06%
Phil Mickelson 66.02%
Daniel Berger 66.00%
Kevin Chappell 65.95%
Tiger Woods 65.90%
Rory McIlroy 65.85%
Matt Kuchar 65.11%
Bubba Watson 64.86%
Jason Dufner 64.83%
Danny Willett 64.46%
Hideki Matsuyama 64.37%
Jason Day 64.12%
Dustin Johnson 63.03%
Sergio Garcia 62.97%
Bernd Wiesberger 62.50%
Yuta Ikeda 62.48%
Zach Johnson 62.43%
Jimmy Walker 61.80%
Henrik Stenson 61.52%
Webb Simpson 61.40%
Ryan Moore 61.36%
Brendan Steele 61.13%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 61.10%
Jhonattan Vegas 61.10%
Charl Schwartzel 60.72%
Marc Leishman 60.31%
Branden Grace 59.90%
Bryson DeChambeau 59.70%
Pat Perez 59.27%
Martin Kaymer 58.71%
Rafa Cabrera Bello 58.33%
Patrick Reed 58.32%
Adam Hadwin 58.30%
Gary Woodland 57.42%
Russell Henley 57.14%
Kevin Kisner 56.95%
Rickie Fowler 56.85%
Tommy Fleetwood 55.60%
Alex Noren 55.60%
Patrick Cantlay 55.60%
Brian Harman 55.60%
Ted Potter Jr. 55.60%
Kyle Stanley 52.80%
Si Woo Kim 52.80%
Tyrrell Hatton 47.20

If you don’t hit the greens in regulation at Augusta National you must be a good scrambler in order to save par. This is another stat that I will weigh heavy and I will be leaning heavily on the career numbers below. Many people will use the stat SG around the green over the last x number of rounds to determine who they feel is playing well in this area. I feel this stat will be misleading and lead you to players who may not necessarily play well around the greens at the Masters. The players at the Masters will be facing chip shots that many have not seen over there last several rounds as very few other courses set ups (minus the Houston Open) have shaved areas around the greens were you are chipping onto greens with all the undulations and speed that the players will be facing. In addition at the typical tournament players will be chipping there ball directly onto the green the majority of the time were at the Masters you will see the majority of chips land off the green and roll onto it due to the speed of the greens.
Danny Willett 62.80%
Tiger Woods 62.52%
Jon Rahm 62.50%
Bryson DeChambeau 62.10%
Bernd Wiesberger 61.47%
Jordan Spieth 61.02%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60.70%
Matt Kuchar 60.68%
Rafa Cabrera Bello 60.53%
Brendan Steele 60.17%
Phil Mickelson 59.20%
Justin Thomas 58.90%
Thomas Pieters 58.30%
Rickie Fowler 58.26%
Justin Rose 58.14%
Rory McIlroy 57.58%
Charl Schwartzel 57.34%
Branden Grace 56.76%
Zach Johnson 56.73%
Hideki Matsuyama 56.55%
Paul Casey 56.38%
Gary Woodland 56.08%
Jason Day 55.75%
Russell Henley 55.26%
Ryan Moore 55.23%
Matthew Fitzpatrick 55.18%
Yuta Ikeda 54.63%
Dustin Johnson 53.39%
Adam Hadwin 53.30%
Adam Scott 52.38%
Daniel Berger 52.75%
Charley Hoffman 52.70%
Sergio Garcia 52.44%
Webb Simpson 51.48%
Bubba Watson 51.36%
Marc Leishman 50.89%
Alex Noren 50.00%
Patrick Cantlay 50.00%
Brian Harman 50.00%
Henrik Stenson 49.27%
Ross Fisher 49.02%
Francesco Molinari 48.97%
Martin Kaymer 48.61%
Patrick Reed 47.30%
Kyle Stanley 47.10%
Jimmy Walker 47.05%
Kevin Kisner 46.95%
Jason Dufner 46.16%
Billy Horschel 46.02%
Louis Oosthuizen 45.27%
Ted Potter Jr. 43.80%
Tyrrell Hatton 42.10%
Pat Perez 40.07%
Kevin Chappell 39.30%
Si Woo Kim 35.30%
Jhonattan Vegas 32.65%
Tommy Fleetwood 25.00%

If you are familiar with the Masters you know that the greens are very complex with severe undulations while no short putt is a give me due to the speed of the greens and the severe breaks. It is absolutely imperative that you play your approach shots on the proper side of the green or you may be left with severe downhill putts on fast greens. In addition the players are often facing greens that are long in width and short in depth which is a rarity on tour. Some of the more difficult putting holes tend to be holes 1, 9 and 18. It’s not uncommon to three putt holes at Augusta National and listed below are the players who are best at avoiding three putts. If you look at Tommy Fleetwood for example, he only three putted on 2.80% of holes last year that he played while Jon Rahm three putted on 8.30% of holes he played. In simpler terms Fleetwood three putted one time out of 36 while Rahm three putted six times out of 72. The greens are one of several reasons why you often see players with little to no experience on Augusta National struggle.
Tommy Fleetwood 97.20%
Marc Leishman 97.20%
Charl Schwartzel 96.80%
Jason Day 96.73%
Charley Hoffman 96.53%
Russell Henley 96.41%
Rickie Fowler 96.34%
Danny Willett 96.10%
Matt Kuchar 95.99%
Tiger Woods 95.98%
Phil Mickelson 95.94%
Zach Johnson 95.89%
Dustin Johnson 95.71%
Jimmy Walker 95.47%
Rory McIlroy 95.42%
Louis Oosthuizen 95.41%
Pat Perez 95.37%
Kevin Chappell 95.15%
Jordan Spieth 95.10%
Kevin Kisner 95.10%
Sergio Garcia 95.09%
Matthew Fitzpatrick 95%
Gary Woodland 94.88%
Ryan Moore 94.88%
Webb Simpson 94.71%
Hideki Matsuyama 94.68%
Thomas Pieters 94.40%
Brian Harman 94.40%
Daniel Berger 94.40%
Bryson DeChambeau 94.40%
Kyle Stanley 94.40%
Ted Potter Jr. 94.40%
Paul Casey 94.26%
Martin Kaymer 94.25%
Adam Scott 94.20%
Justin Rose 94.17%
Branden Grace 94.03%
Bernd Wiesberger 94.00%
Patrick Reed 93.98%
Bubba Watson 93.95%
Francesco Molinari 93.89%
Brendan Steele 93.50%
Henrik Stenson 93.48%
Jason Dufner 93.30%
Patrick Cantlay 93.10%
Adam Hadwin 93.10%
Yuta Ikeda 93.08%
Rafa Cabrera Bello 92.63%
Justin Thomas 92.35%
Ross Fisher 91.98%
Jon Rahm 91.70%
Alex Noren 91.70%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 91.70%
Si Woo Kim 91.70%
Billy Horschel 91.66%
Tyrrell Hatton 88.90%
Jhonattan Vegas 86.10%

I have included average putts per round below and as a guideline if you go 30 putts or less you should post some solid scores. If you recall a few stats ago Ross Fisher was listed at the top of greens in regulation at 70% which is providing him a plethora of birdie opportunities. Unfortunately for Fisher his putter has been atrocious as he averages over 31 putts per round and he three putted greens at a rate of 8% over his career. This is just another example that it takes a very good all around game to win at the Masters as Fisher has never finished better than 15th. On a side note, I will have some Fisher exposure because if his putter would ever get hot he could post a T10. Also concerning on this list is Justin Thomas as over two appearances he has not putted well but will he improve as he has more experience now?
Patrick Cantlay 27.50
Rickie Fowler 28.15
Russell Henley 28.21
Brian Harman 28.50
Adam Hadwin 28.75
Jordan Spieth 28.81
Thomas Pieters 29.00
Marc Leishman 29.00
Bryson DeChambeau 29.00
Ryan Moore 29.08
Tiger Woods 29.25
Jason Day 29.25
Matt Kuchar 29.25
Charl Schwartzel 29.25
Dustin Johnson 29.27
Danny Willett 29.40
Phil Mickelson 29.45
Gary Woodland 29.75
Branden Grace 29.79
Jimmy Walker 29.81
Zach Johnson 29.84
Daniel Berger 29.88
Sergio Garcia 29.88
Rory McIlroy 29.88
Justin Rose 29.90
Martin Kaymer 29.97
Pat Perez 30.00
Bernd Wiesberger 30.00
Hideki Matsuyama 30.09
Louis Oosthuizen 30.11
Adam Scott 30.13
Henrik Stenson 30.18
Bubba Watson 30.18
Charley Hoffman 30.19
Jon Rahm 30.25
Paul Casey 30.25
Yuta Ikeda 30.25
Rafa Cabrera Bello 30.33
Jason Dufner 30.33
Kevin Kisner 30.38
Matthew Fitzpatrick 30.40
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 30.50
Brendan Steele 30.50
Ted Potter Jr. 30.50
Webb Simpson 30.61
Kevin Chappell 30.75
Alex Noren 31.00
Patrick Reed 31.00
Kyle Stanley 31.00
Francesco Molinari 31.10
Ian Woosnam 31.38
Ross Fisher 31.61
Justin Thomas 31.75
Billy Horschel 31.90
Si Woo Kim 32.00
Tommy Fleetwood 32.50
Tyrrell Hatton 32.50
Jhonattan Vegas 32.50

The next category I have listed is average Draftkings points scored. This is an important category and shows you that this week should be a low scoring week and one that placement points will be critical. Justin Thomas has finishes of 22nd and 39th and is averaging only 49 points, while Jon Rahm finished 27th last year and scored only 64 points. One of the reasons I am not high on the rookies, past veteran champions that are cheap or amateurs is because they will provide you with little to no points. You have to get players who will make birdies and have T20 potential while passing on the par makers like Bernd Wiesberger who has only averaged 56 points over his career.
Jordan Spieth 100.63
Thomas Pieters 94.00
Tiger Woods 85.67
Phil Mickelson 80.02
Jason Day 79.00
Justin Rose 78.90
Matt Kuchar 72.81
Bubba Watson 72.62
Dustin Johnson 72.31
Rory McIlroy 71.79
Adam Scott 70.52
Kevin Chappell 68.75
Patrick Cantlay 68.00
Danny Willett 67.60
Rickie Fowler 67.35
Charley Hoffman 66.88
Hideki Matsuyama 66.41
Charl Schwartzel 66.29
Paul Casey 65.31
Daniel Berger 63.50
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 63.00
Jon Rahm 62.00
Jimmy Walker 61.75
Ryan Moore 61.54
Sergio Garcia 60.98
Russell Hennley 60.86
Louis Oosthuizen 58.75
Henrik Stenson 57.77
Adam Hadwin 57.00
Bryson DeChambeau 57.00
Jason Dufner 56.83
Bernd Wiesberger 56.00
Matthew Fitzpatrick 55.20
Ross Fisher 54.50
Kevin Kisner 52.25
Gary Woodland 51.00
Billy Horschel 51.00
Zach Johnson 49.95
Pat Perez 49.50
Justin Thomas 49.00
Marc Leishman 47.36
Martin Kaymer 47.33
Francesco Molinari 46.90
Rafa Cabrera Bello 46.50
Branden Grace 45.64
Webb Simpson 45.50
Brendan Steele 41.33
Patrick Reed 41.25
Yuta Ikeda 40.50
Ted Potter Jr. 27.50
Jhonattan Vegas 23.75
Brian Harman 23.00
Tommy Fleetwood 19.50
Kyle Stanley 19.50
Alex Noren 16.50
Si Woo Kim 12.00
Tyrrell Hatton 8.00

The final stats that I will leave you with is milly maker ownership from last years Masters. I included this because I am sure some people will enjoy it but I am not sure how useful it is. Pricing is different this year, players entering the tournament this year may not be playing as well or could be playing better, DJ had his tragic fall last year which deflated his ownership, and this year there is some guy named Tiger playing. What it does show you is that the field is chalky, there are pivots to be found off the chalk, and that 20-30% of the field that is unplayable will account for minimal ownership. Below I have broken down the field by last years pricing and there ownership for the key players.
Spieth 11.5k 30%
DJ 11.3k 8%
McIlroy 10.6k 40%
Day 10.2k 12%

Hideki 9.9k 14%
Stenson 9.5k 5%
Fowler 9.3k 31%
Rose 9.2k 26%
Thomas 8.9k 9%
Scott 8.8k 11%
Mickelson 8.7k 17%
Rahm 8.6k 32%
Watson 8.5k 5%
Garcia 8.3k 19%
Reed 8.2k 3%
Oosthuizen 8.1k 13%

Schwartzel 7.9k 3%
Casey 7.8k 22%
Woodland 7.7k 5%
Pieters 7.7k 4%
Walker 7.6k 3%
Hatton 7.6k 28%
Noren 7.5k 3%
Grace 7.5k 1%

Kuchar 7.4k 10%
Fitzpatrick 7.4k 7%
Z Johnson 7.4k 6%
Berger 7.3k 14%
Kaymer 7.2k 6%
Bello 7.2k 5%
Henley 7.2k 11%
Wiesberger 7.1k 4%
Steele 7.1k 5%
Hoffman 7.1k 5%
Dufner 7.1k 3%
Leishman 7.1k 14%
Perez 7.0k 3%
Moore 7.0k 2%
Simpson 7.0k .7%

Hadwin 6.9k 23%
Kisner 6.9k 17%
Fisher 6.9k 3%
Fleetwood 6.9k 9%
Molinari 6.8k 6%
Chappell 6.8k .7%
Vegas 6.7k 8%
There were 34 other players priced at 7.1k or less than received no more than 2% ownership with many of those under 1%. For those wondering Fred Couples was priced at 6.3k and ended up 2.63% owned.

The following players garnered ownership higher than 5% but are not in this years field.
Brandt Snedeker 8.0k 15%
Lee Westwood 7.2k 11%
Bill Haas 7.2k 12%
JB Holmes 7.1k 6%

ROSTER CONSTRUCTION and PLAYER POOL
Now that we have discussed the players and stats it is time to select our player pool and construct our teams. Draftkings allows an average of $8,333 for each roster position to complete a full team of six players and on the average week they price anywhere from 13-16 golfers above that salary. If you play DFS golf weekly and look at how the best players construct there lineups on a weekly you know the strategy is to find a core of 4-8 players above the $8,333 salary while fading the majority of the expensive golfers in hope that they miss the cut or don’t play well. These top players then will select the majority of there player pool from golfers below the $8,333 salary which usually consists of 18-22 golfers give or take a few. The thought process behind selecting so many below that price range is because those golfers are more volatile and likely to miss the cut or not play well. This week I feel the best way to construct rosters is opposite of what is typical. I say this because as you can see from above the best players usually finish at the top of the leaderboard at the Masters. During a typical week it’s not uncommon for 35% to 70% of the golfers priced above $8,333 to miss the cut or not play well. This year for the Masters there are 15 golfers priced above $8,333 and it would not surprise me if all made the cut and all finished T30 or better. Regardless, the percentage of golfers priced at $8,333 or above who make the cut and play well will be closer to 75% or above. In addition it’s much more difficult to determine who to fade at the top this week since we have all the great golfers. I intend on playing 11-14 golfers from above the $8,333 range as it will provide me with the golfers who will most likely make the cut, score the most DK points and provides me with a wide range of players from the upper tier were the winner is most likely to come from. As far as the golfers priced below $8,333 I feel it is a much easier week to determine which of these players will perform well verse the typical week. While there are 72 golfers priced below $8,333 you can eliminate 20-25 of them immediately leaving you around 50 players to windle down. Of those 50 you can eliminate another 10-15 fairly easy leaving you 30-35 golfers to choose from. My player pool for players below $8,333 will be in the range of 10-15 players who I feel have T20 or better upside. My last point on roster construction is making sure you leave money on the table this week if you are playing in contests with 100,000 or more participants. It is known that around 50% of the teams that are entered in contests use all $50,000 salary allotted. It is also known that if you leave $300 on the table that number goes down the 10% or less. The last thing you want to do is share lineups with other players because if it does happen to hit you will be sharing the money won. This week every team I construct will have $300 or more of salary left on the table.

I hope everyone enjoyed my blog this week and hopefully you are more prepared for the Masters. Good luck!

About the Author

Comments

  • holla2mlo

    • Blogger of the Month

    great work!!!

  • GaryScott59

    Excellent breakdown. It will be useful during tinker time. Thank you for your efforts.

  • deactivated204643

    That’s a great read, thanks!

  • Macspad70

    Amazing info….greatly appreciated!

  • Ryanwfahey

    Holy shit man someone should be paying you for this. This is one hell of a write up. You should feel very proud of all the work you have done. I wish you the best with your lineups and wanted to say thank you for your write ups. When I win the milly maker you can expect a sizable Venmo contribution lolololol

  • Wander_Bread

    Great read as always Coop. Thx for putting in the time.

  • Madebadchoices

    Dude….I know you get comments saying great article all the time….but that is truly one of the best DFS articles and breakdowns i have ever read….your betting information and strategies are spot on….there were alot of things i was even a little sad that you were sharing…especially the last part about leaving salary on the table….luckily most people still cant help there self when it comes to that….absolutely a great article tho!!!

  • sports667

    Good Stuff, if i win the million, sending you 2k.

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    I appreciate all the kind responses, thanks! If you have any one off questions please don’t hesitate to ask. Thanks
    Coop

  • Phil9Mil

    Great Blog! You outdid yourself. Thanks for all the info. Hope you win! me too.

  • Madebadchoices

    What is your take on the weather?…it looks to me like the late early times could have a advantage….big difference golfing in the 50s instead of 70s and then catching more wind the second day

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    @Madebadchoices said...

    What is your take on the weather?…it looks to me like the late early times could have a advantage….big difference golfing in the 50s instead of 70s and then catching more wind the second day

    Minimal weather affect during round 1 and 2. The cooler temps in the am may hurt those pairings slightly but not enough to discourage playing anyone. In the past the best tee times have been 930-1050am and 1230-2pm.

  • BIF

    Coop, your comment about #10

    “Hole 10 is a downhill tee shot with a meaningless fairway bunker that rarely comes in play but visually makes the hole look unique.”

    The original green site was behind that bunker and the hole was lengthened many years ago and they chose to leave the meaningless bunker there – I believe it has been re-shaped a little but yes it weird sitting in the middle of the fairway where nobody will ever come near it off the tee and nobody will miss hit or lay up anywhere near it as well. I’m pretty sure I’ve never seen anyone in there and the only ones I’ve seen close are guys who had to punch out for their second shots and ball ran down within 20 yards of it.

    Great job on the blog as usual.

  • Cooper08

    • Blogger of the Month

    @BIF said...

    Coop, your comment about #10

    “Hole 10 is a downhill tee shot with a meaningless fairway bunker that rarely comes in play but visually makes the hole look unique.”

    The original green site was behind that bunker and the hole was lengthened many years ago and they chose to leave the meaningless bunker there – I believe it has been re-shaped a little but yes it weird sitting in the middle of the fairway where nobody will ever come near it off the tee and nobody will miss hit or lay up anywhere near it as well. I’m pretty sure I’ve never seen anyone in there and the only ones I’ve seen close are guys who had to punch out for their second shots and ball ran down within 20 yards of it.

    Great job on the blog as usual.

    Thanks for the insight BIF!

  • ElSlappo

    Wow what an epic blog! Great work sir

  • dmcnett13

    I have been playing DFS golf for 2 years now and this is by far the best breakdown I have ever read!!!! Outstanding job and I feel the same way about the Masters you do. Like a kid on Christmas morning. I think this years Masters is setting up to be the best in years. Good Luck with your lineups.

  • Whosiere41

    • Blogger of the Month

    Absolutely invaluable information here. I actually found myself just enjoying the read and forgot I was doing research! lol Great job COOP!

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