Daily Fantasy Golf: Tour Championship Picks & Projections

It’s sort of a sad day in the world of fantasy golf. This is basically the last week of the season and even though we have the President’s Cup next week, I highly doubt they will be able to have fantasy golf. There are only 30 players left in the chase for the FedEx Cup so this week’s strategy has to account for that. But before we get into this week’s picks, let’s recap the picks from last week:

BMW Championship Recap:

zach johnson 550x330 1

  • Zach Johnson – $17,700 – Winner, winner! Johnson had an excellent final round to win the BMW. Not bad at all.
  • Jim Furyk – $18,008 – Furyk had the 54 hole lead and again failed to win. Still had a great week though including that epic 59.
  • Gary Woodland – $14,450 – Woodland was a good value play last week. He finished at -5 which tied for 18th.
  • Lee Westwood – $16,657 – Here was the killer, Westwood had a terrible week and finished close to dead last. Really hurt this team’s chances in GPP’s.
  • Luke Donald – $16,587 – Had a very good weekend to finish tied for 4th.
  • Brandt Snedeker – $16,474 – Another good pick here, he finished tied for 8th.

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So if you look at the team last week, I had 4 guys finish in the top 10 including Zach Johnson who won the event. Definitely nailed those picks, but I did have Lee Westwood who looked a lot like I would out there, just terrible shot after terrible shot. Anyway, the team was good enough to take 11th out of 150 in the $11 GPP on Draftstreet, so overall it was a good week.

Now, let’s jump to the projections for this week:

Tour Championship Projections

Player Name Avg. Odds Cuts % Top 10 % Player Score Projection Salary $ / Point
Henrik Stenson 16.0 82.35% 41.18% 96.25 29.00 $18,840.00 $649.66
Steve Stricker 18.7 91.67% 58.33% 93.10 26.00 $17,703.00 $680.88
Matt Kuchar 21.3 95.45% 36.36% 90.13 24.57 $16,799.00 $683.85
Adam Scott 12.6 93.33% 40.00% 97.48 30.00 $20,793.00 $693.10
Jason Day 19.6 95.00% 35.00% 93.00 24.76 $17,322.00 $699.60
Justin Rose 17.6 81.25% 37.50% 95.00 26.01 $18,387.00 $706.92
Zach Johnson 17.6 78.26% 30.43% 91.75 25.24 $17,925.00 $710.18
Luke Donald 19.6 75.00% 31.25% 88.53 23.61 $17,254.00 $730.83
Charl Schwartzel 28.7 83.33% 27.78% 84.80 22.17 $16,249.00 $732.80
Sergio Garcia 27.3 87.50% 31.25% 84.33 20.92 $15,458.00 $738.91
Kevin Streelman 69.1 70.83% 20.83% 73.70 18.28 $13,727.00 $750.93
Hunter Mahan 18.0 79.17% 20.83% 88.83 24.09 $18,168.00 $754.27
Phil Mickelson 14.9 85.00% 35.00% 94.10 25.48 $19,222.00 $754.40
Jason Dufner 28.1 80.95% 19.05% 84.73 21.70 $16,397.00 $755.77
Brandt Snedeker 20.2 72.73% 40.91% 88.10 23.13 $17,511.00 $757.05
Keegan Bradley 29.0 79.17% 29.17% 82.18 20.26 $15,493.00 $764.68
Jordan Spieth 28.7 77.27% 36.36% 84.43 21.22 $16,244.00 $765.60
Gary Woodland 57.0 84.00% 8.00% 76.38 18.08 $13,929.00 $770.41
Bill Haas 38.7 70.83% 37.50% 80.45 19.16 $14,826.00 $773.80
Jim Furyk 19.8 80.95% 33.33% 86.98 22.65 $17,648.00 $779.09
Nick Watney 32.4 68.00% 16.00% 79.65 19.30 $15,056.00 $779.93
Tiger Woods 5.3 93.33% 53.33% 98.73 33.00 $26,020.00 $788.48
Billy Horschel 73.1 84.00% 28.00% 76.33 16.91 $13,499.00 $798.14
Dustin Johnson 43.9 66.67% 23.81% 77.00 17.87 $14,358.00 $803.49
Webb Simpson 38.9 79.17% 16.67% 79.50 18.83 $15,203.00 $807.55
Graham DeLaet 39.2 80.00% 28.00% 78.88 18.35 $15,021.00 $818.68
Roberto Castro 62.9 64.29% 10.71% 74.20 16.43 $13,786.00 $838.83
D A Points 138.9 51.85% 11.11% 70.25 14.52 $12,473.00 $858.92
Brendon De Jonge 76.2 82.76% 13.79% 73.33 15.48 $13,330.00 $861.21
Boo Weekley 135.0 84.62% 15.38% 72.95 15.00 $13,060.00 $870.67

Tour Championship Picks

  • Zach Johnson – $17,925 – One of my goals this week is to get as many of the top 5 players in the FedEx Cup standings onto my team because they control their own destiny. Johnson is coming off of a big win last week and now has 6 top 10 finishes in his last 7 events.
  • Steve Stricker – $17,703 – Stricker has been playing some great golf lately. He has finished in the top 12 in each of his last 6 events. I think he has a great chance at winning the Tour Championship this week. Although he could still fall short of the FedEx Cup.
  • Henrik Stenson – $18,840 – How can you not take Stenson at this price. He is ranked #1 in the projections for fantasy points per salary dollar and has 4 top 3 finishes in his last 6 events. He controls his own destiny and a win here would mean he is $10 million richer.
  • Matt Kuchar – $16,799 – Kuchar is Mr. Consistent. He hasn’t been playing his best golf coming into this tournament, but he is still ranked in the top 5 and has a good chance at taking home the FedEx Cup. For this price, I don’t see how you can pass up on him.
  • Bill Haas – $14,826 – Taking all of those expensive guys means we have to take some cheaper golfers this week. I like Bill Haas because I think he is a safe play to finish in the top half of the field. He has 9 top 10 finishes this year and could easily make it 10 with only 30 people in the field.
  • Kevin Streelman – $13,727 – Streelman is the one pick that I feel a little antsy about. He’s been playing well though and has scored at least 16 fantasy points in each of the last 4 events. I like him better than the other cheap options.

And there you have it, hopefully we can end the season on a high note.

Good luck this week!

About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

Comments

  • agendaman

    /

    all lee westwood does is fail time and again

  • jecarl2

    2014 season starts on October 7th, 2 bye weeks and we will be back at it.

  • munkebiz8

    Just started playing golf last week. Are your picks for GPPs and H2Hs? If not Streelman, would you play Horschel? I like that he’s posted 7 top tens.

  • Shawners

    This was another well written piece. I also like Horschel.

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