Daily Fantasy US Open Preview: The Players
Well, first off I’m sure some heard me talking about it in chat last week. I caddied in the Memphis US Open qualifier and my player just barely missed it. So, I will be at home watching with everyone else. I have “attempted” to qualify once and have caddied in one of US Opens a few years ago. Hopefully, I’ll be back in a year or two as a caddy (only as a player if they allow my caddy to carry a cooler with a 6-pack and I can ride a cart).
This is definitely my favorite tournament in the world. Sure, the strength of field isn’t as good with all the qualifiers, but as Mike Davis of the USGA (and Tin Cup) said, it’s the most democratic golf tournament. Anyone can sign up and has a chance to play. This year, I don’t know how anyone can’t root for Dennis Miller out of the Columbus qualifier. It was shown a million ties so I’m sure you saw, but he was the third alternate and had the playoff where the putt stopped on the lip, turned his head, and it fell in to make it to Olympic Club.
The US Open is very scary when it comes to fantasy golf. The way Draftstreet sets it up, +4 is about a 0 score. Sure, someone will probably shoot 4 to 6 under Thursday, but the conditions will get firmer, faster, and harder. It’s not unrealistic for the cut to be +6 which is an average of +3 both days. That is already close to the +4, 0 score. With the course getting harder, it’s not unrealistic golfers that just sneak in the cut, lose points over the weekend on your card.
Like I said in the previous blog, the course is tree-lined and has many doglegs. The golfers that can work the ball while keeping it in the fairway have a great chance. A draw is slightly favored over a person that fades it. Ofcourse, someone who works the ball both ways has a huge advantage. Anyway, let’s take a look at a few players:
Tiger Woods ($44,421): Absolutely no chance I spend this much on him. It only leaves me 5 players for $45k which is impossible to fill, especially in a US Open. If the high price was around 35k, I think it’d make things much more interesting in a major.
Rory McIlroy ($33,162): After 3 consecutive missed cuts, he had a nice finish at the St Judes Classic. Rory hits a high draw and that only hurts on a couple holes. His price isn’t near what it usually is and it might be worth taking a shot on him in a GPP. But, it seems unlikely to add him in a heads up or double or nothing just because of the other very low tier golfers you have to add as well.
Jason Dufner ($23,446): More than likely Dufner will be my top pick this week. The price is a bit high but he’s been playing better than anyone lately. After his last tournament, he went to Riviera for the NCAA Championship to be an assistant coach for Auburn. While it must not have helped Auburn, the time off and being over on the West Coast practicing had to help Dufner. His subtle draws and fades are a high plus at the Olympic Club. Things don’t always work out, but he seems like an obvious choice for my top pick.
Zach Johnson ($18,799): If Dufner is playing better than anyone in the world, Z. Johnson is a close second. He is coming off a T2, T69, 2, and 1st. Don’t let the missed cut at the Fed Ex fool you. If world class golfers are playing at FedEx, it is to fine tune some shots in competitive play, not to necessarily score well…that’s a bonus. Tight fairways with a slight draw isn’t too bad at Olympic and I look for him to play well.
Bubba Watson ($17,810): At first glance, this looks like tremendous value, but I wouldn’t go with Watson here. These are tree-lined fairways and his 40 yard hooks and draws won’t work. He took time off to spend time with his family and came back with a missed cut at the Memorial. Personally I don’t think the golf course fits him and with the lack of practice, I don’t like him here even if the price is fairly low.
Good luck this week and don’t forget to check for withdrawals.