Dead Money Education #3: Mega Slate Disaster
PREFACE: I’ve decided to play one $1 beginner double-up every NBA slate I can until I run out of beginner entries and then reevaluate. My knowledge of NBA is pathetic. Outside of the San Antonio Spurs (my hometeam) I probably can’t name 10 other pros. I have no concept of what differentiates the positions, I couldn’t tell you what team is in which conference, and I have no idea what a good stat-line is. But I like listening to experts talk about DFS on podcasts, so why not give it a go.
Starting Beginner Bankroll: $50
Current Beginner Bankroll: $45
Entries Left: 45 (donked off 2 extra entries on GPPs)
*guys who I locked in and built my lineup around
FINAL SCORE: 225.50
cash line: 265.5
1st place: 298
Another slate where injury news forced my hand, although I was more prepared this time. Like every other donkey, I had Tim Frazier locked in at point guard, but once C.J. McCollum was declared active he seemingly became a must play with no Damian Lillard. Maybe the matchup was asking too much of him and not a cash play.
I really liked my team, it felt well rounded and safe, but 2 duds and mediocre performances from my “studs” gave way to my opponents finding tons of great value from injury news.
Gary Harris wasn’t on my radar until I read Notorious’s Grind Down and called him an “elite play” if Otto Danilo Gallinari sat. When an expert calls a $4k guy an elite play, I’m in. Rosy colored hindsight-googles like to think I might have played J.J. Barea there, but who knows. Randy Foye wasn’t someone I had looked at- or really knew existed.
Stressed a bit about Dudley vs. Oubre, but ultimately it didn’t really matter. I couldn’t find a way to use the savings and felt like Dudley was safer anyway.
I don’t know what to say about Barnes- seems like it’s harder in NBA than NFL to find a total dud, but here we are. He was pretty much a lock given recent production, the matchup and my tiny pool of knowledge about NBA players.
Millsap was a guy who just seemed to fall into my lineup at the end. I couldn’t find the salary relief to pay up for Cousins, and he seemed like the next best thing. Moving up to Cousins and forcing myself to find better value than Barnes, McCollum, and maybe Center would have been the play, but would I have been able to find it… probably not.
While I have no ability to predict ownership in NBA, it clearly validates my weakness of being a dumba$$.
1. Spend a little more time looking at matchups. I feel like I missed a lot of value not picking on bad teams.
2. I need to spend some time reviewing the games. Need to find a resource that breaks down the players production after the fact and see what plays I can slap my hand into my forehead over and what new names I need to learn. So many guys on winning lineups I didn’t know existed- which can be expected.
1. What obvious plays did I completely miss that you, and everyone else, saw coming a mile away?
2. What injury news really swayed you that I missed.