DFS Anatomy: EPL DFS (2/10/2019)
It’s a two-game slate today, gents. Let’s peruse some of the research I did last night. Granted, this is my second day of DFS and footy. But I tried to dig beneath the surface. Here goes nothin’…
I don’t play cash games—heck, I don’t even really play EPL DFS yet—but Wilfred Ndidi ($7,000) sounds like a “safe” option to me. He is 5th in the EPL in tackles and the Spurs allow the 10th-most tackles in the league. I’m not smart, but those two factoids seem to add up well.
This guy James Maddison ($8,000) is like Visa. He is everywhere. He is the third-best crosser on this two-game slate (only Trippier and Willian have more). Maddison has also taken 48 shots, which ranks fourth among players on this slate. Only Sergio Aguero, Eden Hazard, and Son Heung-Min have taken more shots than Maddison.
The No. 4 crosser on the slate is also a Fox, his name his Ben Chilwell ($5,000) and he is a cheap defender. For a macro-level reference, just know that the Foxes have 641 clearances as a team to date, the 8th-most in the EPL. That is 88 more than the Spurs, who rank 15th. Chelsea and Man City bring up the rear, tied at 19th with only 397 clearances. So Chilwell plays for the team that generally clears the ball the most—and far more than the other three teams on the slate—AND he is the No. 4 man with regard to crosses? Sign me up for that at only 5K. And oh yeah, I nearly forgot: the Foxes just lost Albrighton, who was the No. 5 man in crosses. So someone has to help fill that void in the attack.
Might as well finish up this game with the Spurs guys. Eriksen is No. 4 in assists on the slate, while Heung-Min and his 50 shots rank third. With Harry Kane out, it makes sense to survey the Tottenham lineup in the morning to see what sort of value we can unearth. Feel free to join me in the comments for that.
Talking saves…if we are looking at clearances and tackles, the order for the most (read: team that plays the most defense to team that plays the least) would be: LEI, TOT, CHE, MCI. However, if we look at saves, TOT leaps LEI by 20 saves. The Spurs have 80 saves on the year, 9th-most in the EPL. LEI are actually really close to CHE and MCI, with those three teams totaling 60, 52, and 42 respectively. It’s looking like Lloris or bust at goalkeeper tomorrow.
Eden Hazard ($11,500) seems like a good reason not to play the MCI keeper, Ederson. Hazard has 65 shots to date, No. 2 on the slate. Willian ($9,000) is the No. 2 crosser on the slate. Only the 7K defender in Trippier for TOT has more. I enjoyed reading up on N’Golo Kante and his new attacking role, especially since he is only $6,500. He seems highly regarded for his defensive range. Pushing him up the pitch a little more does sound enticing for DFS purposes. I will bite.
Man City have like eight billion useful players, according to my cursory search. Aguero leads the slate in goals scored (14), while Leroy Sane and Raheem Sterling each have nine assists from their wing positions—nine assists is tied for second in the EPL. Oh, did I mention Hazard was a reason not to play Ederson? Hazard also leads the EPL in assists, with 10…the only man in double-digits.
For my part, I will have to survey MCI’s lineup in the morning to ascertain who looks like a quality play.
Lastly, the macro-level approach of reading up on clearances and tackles leads me to be curious about Toby Alderweireld ($5,500). I think the Spurs have the best chance at a clean sheet, and Alderweireld leads that team in touches, with 1,923. That is a tad better than the other defender I am currently drawn to, named Chilwell. On top of Chilwell’s crossing acumen are 1,888 touches—the most for Leicester’s side. And for only 5K. Amen.
This is a rough first look…does anyone out there even play soccer DFS? Much less have takes on it? If so, who are you guys considering on the small slate?