DFS Anatomy: Let's Play some EPL DFS!

What up, grinders! Here is my foray into the footy DFS world. I don’t know footy DFS as much as I know footy, a sport I’ve played for over 20 years and coached for 10 years. So this might get interesting—feel free to share any insights into the structure of soccer DFS!

LOPSIDED MATCHUPS

Based purely on goal differential, there are two such lopsided matches on today’s slate:

AFC Bournemouth (-7) travel to Anfield to take on the Liverpool Reds (+41). That is a heck of a goal differential for the Reds. And I don’t know much about AFC Bournemouth, but this reads like a butt-kicking. Bournemouth are actually the 10th team on the EPL table (of 20), as there are nine other teams with a worse goal differential. But only Manchester City (+48) can rival the scoring ability of Liverpool, and Man City isn’t on this 10am slate. Bournemouth do not read like a horrible side, but this looks like a really tough match on the road to Anfield, where the Reds have been extremely good for a year now.

The next best team (per goal differential) is Arsenal (+15) who travel to Huddersfield Town (-33). Wow at -33! I texted my Liverpool nut of a friend to ask if Huddersfield are actually this bad, and he has not responded yet. So let me put it differently: they have TWO wins, five draws, and 18 losses on the season. They have scored 13 goals in 25 matches and allowed 46 goals (most in the EPL on this slate). For reference, Fulham have allowed 10 more goals (55) in one more match, but they have also scored 10 more goals and are not playing on this 10am slate. So Arsenal gets the matchup of the day. One last burn on Huddersfield…they have not scored a goal in any of their last four matches.

BEST ATTACKERS FROM LIVERPOOL AND ARSENAL

Mohamed Salah ($13,000) is actually listed as a midfielder on FanDuel, but don’t let that fool you. He leads the EPL with 16 goals and sounds like he is either locked into the right wing spot or is one of the advanced forwards (along with Firmino) if the Reds decide to deploy a more traditional 4-4-2 formation. This would ding Sadio Mane ($11,500) a bit, who would fall into a deeper-lying midfield role. I assume that (and Salah’s greater goal-scoring acumen) are the reason for the current discrepancy in cost.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang ($12,000) is the second-most expensive striker after Roberto Firmino ($12,500) of Liverpool. But he is not in the lineup for Arsenal and is not even listed as a substitute. That puts Alexandre Lacazette ($11,500) firmly on the radar. I think I’m using him everywhere today.

OTHER PLAYERS

I’m weaving in some cheap strikers as my second option after Laca. Gotta do that to fit in Salah. So I have Chicharito, Deeney, and Locadia in some lineups. Noble (WHU) is cheap, as is Keita (LIV). Weaving in Fabinho, too.

At goalkeeper, I’m playing what I assume will be chalk with Leno (ARS) going up against a hapless AFC Bournemouth side.

Defenders…I like Maitland-Niles since he is $4,500, young, and fast. Wan-Bissaka for CRY is a name my fanatical EPL buddy Eric mentioned. So I can roll with that. Who cares about defense, right?

We’ll see how it goes today! Who did you find for value to squeeze in your ARS and LIV players?

About the Author

Comments

  • hecapps

    • Blogger of the Month

    Kolasinac was a nice value (I got off of Wan-Bissaka a little) and Zaha was my regret of the day. Can’t believe Arsenal allowed a goal…

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