DraftKings Tennis DFS Strategy: Monday, July 15th
Wimbledon Recap: What a tournament we had! From a DFS perspective it was great. DraftKings had some good tournaments throughout the one plus week they could put out contests, they did botch their promo by having it go for the men’s and women’s semi’s, but live and learn. FanDuel also launched their tennis product. I have to say it was successful in that their tournaments were filling with plenty of time before lock. It was nice to have a lap-swap option which could help with withdrawals or walkovers, luckily we did not see any at Wimbledon. As for the play itself, I think Halep surprised many by dominating Serena in the finals and what a match we had today. Fed looks like he could go another 3-4 years, what a devastating loss for him but I certainly think he will make another final or two in the next year.
Onto this slate which includes matches from the ATP Bastad, WTA Bucharest, WTA Lausanne, ATP Newport, and the ATP Umag. I was waiting for FanDuel to put up a slate but they never did so
Jiri Vesely – $9800, 4th most expensive player on the slate
Gathering information having players in five different tournaments will be more difficult as theses tournaments reach past the first round. This is a high risk, high reward type play for an expensive player. Vesely is taking part in the ATP Umag which is being played on clay. While Vesely has had success playing on grass (i.e. beating Zverev this year at Wimbledon) he has never seen the greatest results on clay. Vesely on clay has a service games won percentage at 78%. This is much better than his counterpart Stebe who has a dismal 62% service games won percentage on clay. Stebe’s weak serve will give Vesely plenty of break opportunities which will go well with his stronger serve as Vesely should get us the ace bonus for this match. Stebe does have a decent return game on clay winning 41% of points played on his return but this is a slight step up in competition with Vesely. Where I see this being a risk is that is Vesely can’t get to Stebe’s serve we may see a couple of tiebreaks and see this go to three sets or even see Vesely lose. I do think it is a risk worth taking and I am pegging Vesely being one of the two or three highest scorers on the slate.
Prediction: 6-2, 6-3 Vesely
Bargain Bin Play:
Anhelina Kalinina – $6600, 9th cheapest player on the slate
It was hard finding anything on Kalinina. Kalinina has played all year on the ITF curcuit, having no ATP matches under her belt. Kalinina did make it to the second round of qualifying at the French Open and after that she won the ITF Prevrov followed by a quarterfinal appearance in the ITF Stare Splavy. From what I have gathered clay is Kalinina’s best surface. Siegemund is someone that is well known and there are plenty of statistics on Siegemund. Something that is concerning about Siegemund is that she only wins 52.8% of service points. By winning just barely over half of her service points this should give Kalinina the opportunity to create break chances. If Kalinina can see second serve’s that will further increase he chances at break opportunity with Siegemund’s inability to win second serve points, which she does at just a 43.1 percent clip. With Siegemund being bad on the serve, one would think she would be pretty good on her return, well she only wins 29.7% of her return games. Even with the lack of information available for Kalinina she should be able to keep this match close and take advantage of her break opportunities that she will see.
Prediction: 6-4, 7-5 Kalinina
Pardon the lack of a write-up tonight and missing the Mid-Range play, with the salaries coming out late and waiting for a FanDuel slate did not give much time to put out anything like with Wimbledon. We should be getting slates released sooner after this round. Good luck with our first post-Wimbledon slate Grinders!