DraftStreet Fantasy PGA: Preview AT&T National
Recap Travelers Championship
Thursday through Saturday I was kicking myself for not playing any GPPs because all my guys made the cut (and the second cut) but they all seemed to do bad on Sunday. Frederik Jacobson performed better than I thought, but I did have Padraig as my top pick and had more money for other golfers. Cantlay was a good fade but Moore finished well below average for the price I had to pay. None of my golfers finished in the top 5 so I wouldn’t have done well in the GPPs. Fortunately I was able to win my heads up matches and looking forward to this week.
Preview AT&T National
The field isn’t actually that great given that Tiger is hosting and the tournament is at a prestigious club (Congressional). Rory McIlroy won the US Open here last year but he will be heading back home to play in the Irish Open instead. Most of the top golfers are either still resting after the US Open or preparing for the British Open. I expect many to be back at Greenbrier next week. Only two of the top 10 in the Official Golf World Rankings (Tiger Woods and Hunter Mahan) are playing. This means there are some opportunities to find value in other guys.
This is the 1st time in 3 years the tournament will be held at Congressional so it doesn’t do much good to look at last year’s results. A better gauge might be the US Open, but even then the course was playing different than it will this week. I assume the rough won’t nearly be as bad; however, the course will be playing firm and fast as opposed to last year. The scores might not be all that low and I expect more than a few guys could “earn” negative points this weekend.
Let’s take a look at some players:
Hunter Mahan ($34,570): Mahan has two wins this year and is coming off his lowest career round in tournament play at the Travelers (61) where he climbed 47 spots to finish T11. He also has a share of the course record at Congressional with a 62 which he shot in the final round of the 2009 AT&T National to finish runner up. If you can fit Mahan in your lineup its an obvious play, but the price will probably make him out of reach for my lineup.
Martin Laird ($18,477): Laird took last week off after missing the cut on the number at the US Open. Before that he managed a T24 at the St. Judes while finishing runner up the week at the Players. Laird didn’t make the cut last year here at the US Open. He should, however, be a good fit on this course but the price is a little too high for me to bite so I will pass. I can see why anyone would pick him with his consistency.
Bo Van Pelt ($19,981): Instead of Laird I’m going to spend a bit more and take van Pelt. He is coming off 6 consecutive made cuts including a top 10 at the Players and three other top 25s. van Pelt also got a top 20 last year at Congressional for the US Open. He has great stats this year but dumb mistakes have cost him high finishes. Hopefully he puts together four solid rounds this week.
Davis Love III ($15,506): Davis Love III looks like a great value pick this week. He has been playing extremely well and is pretty low priced. He’s coming off a T29 at the US Open and T3 at St Jude’s where he shot 3 straight 68’s followed by a final round 69. Love also finished T11 here last year at the US Open with 4 steady, consistent rounds. As I said, the last time the AT&T was here was in 2009. He finished T16 then and T27 the previous year. It seems like a good time to pick up Love III.
Good luck this week and always don’t forget to check for withdrawals.