EPL DFS: Shots on Target - July 9
With only two matches on the Draft Kings main slate on Thursday, options are limited. Looking deeper, one match should provide a more promising result while the other might have the high scoring fireworks from both sides to win some money.
Everton vs. Southampton
There are very few highs in soccer than can match how Southampton are feeling after their 1:0 defeat of Manchester City last weekend. Che Adams finished his only shot on target well in that match and should earn himself the opportunity to start again. In two of their last three wins, Southampton have scored 3 goals and with an in-form James Ward-Prowse in the middle they will look to push forward again. One of the hardest areas to predict at this point in the season is focus from players when teams are safely clear of relegation but not in line for a European league spot. That is precisely where both teams find each other. Comfort can be found in that most player have clauses that offer pay based on team finish in the table.
Everton welcome Southampton having had one less day to rest than their opponents. A tough loss to Tottenham on Monday should serve as motivation to press in this contest. Everton boast a substantial record at home being unbeaten in their last nine EPL home matches and specifically against Southampton, the Liverpool side are unbeaten in 14 straight at home. The biggest challenge facing The Toffees is the loss of two crucial players in Alex Iwobi and Mason Holgate. While they await the return of Theo Walcott as well, Everton rely on Richarlison and Dominic Calvert-Lewin for their attack and it has been beneficial so far. The duo has a combined 24 of the team’s 40 total goals on the season.
Prediction: Everton 2:1 Southampton
Lock of the Match: James Ward-Prowse – SOU (M) Ward-Prowse has been solid and steady for Southampton since the restart. Even with only 8.2 FPTS against Manchester City his contributions on the defensive side were invaluable. In the three games preceding that win Ward-Prowse scored 24.1, 14.8, and 20.6 FPTS including 21 crosses and a goal in that span. Expect him to contribute on both sides of the ball in this one.
Player to Avoid: Jordan Pickford – EVE (GK) Pickford has a shot at a win and should make a fair number of saves against Southampton, but at $5100, he is only $400 less than the preferred goalkeeper in this slate, Hugo Lloris.
Bournemouth vs. Tottenham
Spurs hit the road to the south coast in this fixture three days after a hard fought 1:0 win at home versus Everton. They will be missing two key pieces in Eric Dier (Suspension) and Dele Alli (Injury). While Tottenham have struggled with consistency since Jose Mourinho took over as manager, their opponent should not provide much resistance. Son Heung-Min and Harry Kane will look to run in behind and take the chances that are shown to them. Hugo Lloris also provides the best chance for a win and a clean sheet in this slate; however, expect his save total to be one or zero.
Lowly Bournemouth come in on a dreadful streak. Six straight winless matches, including defeats in their last five PL matches. They only sit four points from safety and the results from the teams above them give reason for hope. A strong finish to this interrupted season could see Bournemouth float just above the line and maintain their spot in the topflight. There are so many indicators working against Bournemouth currently. They have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last eight PL matches and injuries to the backline will likely lead manager Eddie Howe to start the same group that was dismantled by Manchester United to the tune of five goals. The positive news on the Bournemouth front is that the pricing of players on DK make them attractive. Look for Callum Wilson coming off a suspension to rejoin the attack at a value price of $3900.
Prediction: Bournemouth 0:2 Tottenham
Lock of the Match: Hugo Lloris – TOT (GK) Rarely is the highest priced goalkeeper the play of choice, but Lloris offers by far the best chances at a win and a clean sheet. The other fixture has two teams that like to push forward and who both score goals. Bournemouth should provide little challenge to the French goalkeeper.
Player to Avoid: Diego Rico – BOU (D) The second highest priced defender from this match, Rico has failed to score even eight FPTS in his last three matches. This match has goals against Bournemouth written all over it, so avoid a high priced defender.