EPL - Feb 3 - SCA Matrix
The SCA (Shot Creating Actions) Metric – It is one of the best determinants of how a team operates and succeeds. This metric allows you to identify the potential attacking opportunities of an individual team against their direct opponent. In other words, it signals which team will have the greater advantage on the field.
Tuesday, February 3 – EPL Breakdown
You most likely want Manchester City exposure today. With the expectation of owning possession the entire game, they are primed to create 25 scoring chances against Burnley. With such a difference between the SCA metric between these teams, it will either be goals galore or Pope will be destined to make plenty of saves. There is your shot at a GPP if you wish to pay down to the lowest priced GK of the slate. Otherwise, turn your focus to Bruyne if he starts but it seems he will miss out yet again which is unfortunate. If he sits out once again, Foden should continue on sets with Gundogan sharing in the fun at times. The other attacking pieces are well in play – you just can’t go wrong with City.
The least exciting game might just be between title holders Liverpool and in-form Brighton. It kind of surprised me when I saw Brighton’s average opponent SCA total. It was only at 12.5, which was even lower than Liverpool’s, and only second to City. In other words, Brighton defense has been a nice surprise keeping teams at bay for the most part in terms of attacking opportunities. With that in mind and Liverpool’s poor performances as of late, I may just turn away given the plethora of other options on the slate. The safest picks here would be the Liverpool wing-backs who split sets.
The remaining three games are where you can differentiate. I think the Leeds versus Everton match has a potential to be a high scoring game given their capabilities on the offensive end and lack of defensive prowess. This is where I may take a shot at some random players if I can’t find any obvious value. Next up is Villa against West Ham where the focus should be on the Villa side to produce slightly more. Prices won’t be friendly here if deciding to focus most of your lineup on City players though. Lastly, Leicester does not look the same without Vardy up top. Given that, Fulham may keep this game closer than expected. Regardless, Maddison is certainly a top play this slate but will you be able to find the value if you play him alongside your City selections? You will have to take some shots in the dark.