EPL - Matchday 26
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After returning last week with an article, I’m back at it again. Hope it was useful as I covered pretty much everything that went down. Moving on to this match week, we have some big favourites but their respective forms have not been great.
These articles will give you a high-level analysis of each game so you can at least get a grasp of what to expect. Once lineups come out, that’s when the hidden gem plays pop out and the onus is on all of us to find them! Let’s keep it short and sweet!
Saturday – Feb 9 – (6 games)
Everton @ Watford
Interesting game here as former Watford boss, Marco Silva, visits his old ground. Although Everton is in dismal form, the coach will want the best out of his players in this game so expect a strong lineup considering he played a ‘B’ squad versus Manchester City midweek. Sigurdsson reverts back to a GPP play with Digne back in the fold – he becomes the top play at DEF. I can’t understand why Richarlison is priced so low, this is a perfect spot for him to explode. The revenge narrative is in effect and his floor is usually reasonable so it’ll be interesting to see where the field stands on him. Bernard is still close to bare minimum but the upside that I thought he would have this year has been non-existent. But if you want to keep taking punts at him, go for it!
As for Watford, they had an ugly game versus Brighton last weekend. When everyone expected Holebas to have a double-digit performance, he had one of his worst with very little crossing. Although he is at home this week, I put Digne ahead of him and make Holebas a secondary play on this slate. If you think Everton falters once more, then you should be a fan of Foster.
West Ham @ Crystal Palace
West Ham was playing horribly and then somehow manages to tie Liverpool, the top placed team in the EPL without Arnautovic. Where in the world does that make sense? So in essence, I have no idea where they stand. Maybe they are better off without Arnie but they just signed him to an extension – if he plays, he remains that GPP play for goals but Palace have improved as of late and are at home. Anderson always has that GPP upside and his floor is much better without Snodgrass on the pitch. If the latter plays, then he will be over sets but his play of late warrants a full fade.
Palace has pulled together a string of reasonable performances but it’s not something that wows me. Milivojevic seems to have taken over sets for good, hence his price is now high, but for cash, he can be deployed if you don’t want to just target goals from the big favourties. Townsend is now overpriced with his below average DFS performances especially on this slate with better goal scorers. Batshuayi, if he starts, could be used in a wild GPP for goals. Meyer, if he plays, could be also deployed as a sneaky play in GPPs.
Arsenal @ Huddersfield
What a juicy matchup for Arsenal to get back on track after dismal performances as of late. This is exactly what I had said about Chelsea last week when they faced the exact same team, mind you it was a home game for them. But they did come through with a solid victory and clean sheet. But can we expect Arsenal to keep a clean sheet? They have surrendered an inordinate amount of goals this year and although Huddersfield are the lowest scoring team in the EPL, it would not surprise me if they sneak one by. Hence, Leno is a risky top priced keeper.
Aubameyang and Lacazette are the choices here, one of them will score, it is also possible that both will score. Laca has almost $2K in savings from Auba so I get gravitating to him if you choose Salah as your top pick. Otherwise, pairing both Arsenal attackers makes for an interesting GPP stack. Kolasinac has a horrible floor but can be deployed due to favourable matchup. Xhaka could be back and regain some sets, wish his price was a bit lower but still viable.
Has anyone really dived into these prices? How low can Ozil truly go? This guy is making 350,000 pounds per week, he once used to be a top playmaker, the star of Arsenal and Germany. He is now treated as a no-name! I have no issue at all with using him this week if he gets the start though, exposure to the biggest favourite, playing an advanced role, with potential to be on sets, my goodness, this sounds amazing! Let him start Emery!!!
As for Huds, Mooy is the only real floor option with his monopoly over sets but price isn’t to my liking.
Bournemouth @ Liverpool
Okay Liverpool, this is the perfect spot to bounce back and not lose your lead to City. Bournemouth has been very poor, they are now without Brooks and Wilson, and they just lost to Cardiff. This is previewed to be smash city for Liverpool.
Salah clearly is the top play of the slate even after he screwed up prior two slates for owners. Mane has scored in three straight games so he is definitely in play. Firmino is much more risky with his production not close to what it was last year so in essence, he becomes a GPP pivot. Milner should continue on sets unless Shaqiri is added to the mix. Alisson clearly is the top choice at GK but paying $6K for any goalie I try to avoid.
As a result of this tough matchup, you should see that Bournemouth players are drastically priced lower than usual. King is very low, Solanke may face his former club and is priced very low as well, Fraser will be on sets and is priced at his lowest this year, Stanislas is at his all-time lowest price ever. If you want to be highly contrarian, stack a line with just these Bournemouth players and you never know. Remember they beat Chelsea not too long ago.
Cardiff @ Southampton
Two teams battling to save themselves from relegation. I’m not really sure what to expect. Expect a crunching affair I guess.
Ralls has been taking sets without Camarasa. If this continues, Ralls is very cheap exposure to a set piece taker and saves you salary. Murphy can rack up the peripherals and is interesting but he is a possible early sub candidate. The rest of this club is trash.
Prowse has done well recently, his floor though isn’t as great as it should so he usually requires a goal or an assist to hit value due to his price being so elevated. Targett actually took some sets away from him last week only further reducing his floor. Targett is in play due to decent matchup though. Ings looks to be missing out on this game so where will the goals come from? Targeting a Southampton attacker is usually the case for a disaster, but if you want to try, Redmond is always there, yikes! Hojbjerg should be back and for an unskilled midfielder that he is, he does take a lot of shots!
Burnley @ Brighton
I’m quite tired of DK including the late game on these EPL slates. Waiting for lineup news is never fun. Also, seeing your lineup go down the standings when you have no exposure to it is also not fun. So in essence, I always like having some type of exposure to the late game.
It would be nice to know which set takers for Burnley are going to play. This is now the problem with taking anyone from this team. Gudmundsson hasn’t been starting of late but came in as a sub last week and whipped in six crosses in a short amount of time – his price though is too high. Brady may have recovered from injury and if he starts, would probably take over sets – I actually like his price but if he does not play, there’s no good pivot. McNeil continues to impress me with his performances, his floor is solid! But he is now priced in the $8K. I would love him if there weren’t large favourites like Liverpool and Arsenal on deck.
Heaton might be the piece if you want exposure here just for the save upside.
As for Brighton, Gross seems to be rounding into form. His price though is disgusting on this slate in my opinion. As for the rest, Murray remains a punt option at goals but if he doesn’t score, you know you will get a zero from him.
Good luck footy fans! Let’s hear your thoughts!!!
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