EPL Tuesday, Jan 21st - Hot Minute Thoughts

Tuesday slate

Forwards

We all dread these City slates as we are so unsure of which attacker’s day it will be. Tuesday will be another one of those times. My fade of City players this past Saturday against Crystal Palace almost worked to perfection until Aguero scored two goals in a span of five minutes. Although I just sneaked in cash games, it was looking much better. So I come to the same dilemma on Tuesday. Sheffield United is another strong defensive team who only lost 2-0 in the reverse fixture where City only got to them in the second half. Sheffield is a much better team at home so what do we do? There will be rotation so Mahrez should get the start and maybe even Jesus will be inserted back in. When Mahrez is on, he splits sets with Bruyne and is active up front. However, I am only inclined to using him if Bruyne actually sits out, which is entirely unlikely.

As for Jesus or Aguero, you are only using them for goals – in cash games, that is always a risk. So at the end of this whole discussion, I have got nowhere in deciding what I want from this team in the forward slot.

The other predicament belong to this Chelsea vs. Arsenal game. It is the late game but you will know lineups prior to the start time. The thing is you’ll have a short 15-minute span to analyze their lineups before submitting your line. Last match, we saw Willian, Hudson-Odoi, and Mount getting the start alongside each other. As a result, we saw Odoi take 5 corners while Mount took four – Willian took none. That says it all right there, how can you trust Willian at that inflated price now? But will Odoi get another start? I’m not too sure considering the injury he recovered from wasn’t small and playing another game without a week’s rest may be of risk. If he does start, I can see many using him in cash as he is quite discounted at $7.5K.

As for Arsenal, Pepe can be solid as he splits corners with Ozil. Also, with Aubameyang suspended, more usage shifts towards him. He is more of a GPP play but I can see him being deployed in cash as well.

We tend to like stacking teams that go up against Villa especially for GPP’s. Deulofeu has shown a consistent floor of nine points but his upside is irregular; thus, he makes for an interesting GPP punt. The same goes for Deeney who scored a brace against this team in the reverse fixture. Prices for both are inflated though. The only other team that may interest me in this position is Brighton, although only slightly. Will Gross ever get another start? His price is only acceptable if Mooy actually doesn’t start alongside him. Trossard lucked out with a goal last game so it is hard to trust him unless he does the same thing on Tuesday. Maupay should have a decent opportunity to get back on the score sheet so leave him for GPPs.

If you want to focus on the boring game of the slate, Zaha, Tosun and Redmond are all begging for your selection. I can see many picking Zaha due to his “low” price tag and his “potential”. Yes, those are in quotation marks because he has been an under-performer this year on all levels.

Midfielders

Bruyne is clearly the top midfield option of the slate yet again. However, can we really afford to pay $11K for him? With Mahrez on the pitch, you can notice that his floor has been reduced as he doesn’t hold a monopoly over sets in this situation. It also depends on how City lines up – for example, last time out they played with two forwards in Jesus and Aguero. That limits Bruyne’s attacking prowess as he then has more responsibility to balance the middle of the field and not take as many chances going forward. The Tuesday slate though may present you with value once lineups are official as rotation will come into play. There is no wrongdoing in fitting a massive price tag like Bruyne into your line.

The value play from the on-set looks to be Chalobah. He has taken corners in Watford’s last two games and considering his low price tag, he is looking like a cash fit in a promising match-up. Moving towards other set takers, I do like Prowse as he has seen a price decrease. Yes, I used him on Saturday only for him to fail me but Southampton is slightly favoured and Palace are not the strongest team to own possession. This can only mean an potential for set piece situations. Some may even look towards Ritchie on Tuesday if he gets the start – we all know what he can produce fantasy-wise, it is just a matter of him getting playing time.

Returning back to the top, we all know what Grealish can produce. He is not one to take corners at all yet he still manages to put up some high fantasy totals. At this price, he continues to need a goal or assist to complement his floor in order to reach the value you need from him. He has the ability to do so but it’s a risky proposition in cash games.

Defenders

With Sigurdsson out yet again, Digne is looking like a top floor play target. The issue here is with his staggering price tag which rose all the way up to $7K. That is ridiculous for a defender. However, considering they are facing Newcastle, a team known to sit back, the opportunity to hit 2x value is there for the taking. I am really hesitant in going here for this price but no other defender has the floor or upside on this slate like Digne does.

The mid-tier for me is all the same – luck out on an assist and you’re good to go. Angelino and Emerson are two of the options that I would look to if given the start but there are tons of other options here which can be just as good.

There is no good value apparent to me as of now, unless Bellerin is deemed fit and aligns in the starting lineup for Arsenal.

Goalkeepers

Ederson is by far and wide the favourite. Will I take him? Most likely not. If he does face a shot, it will probably be one, with the risk of that going in. For him to excceed or even meet his value, he needs more than just a simple win and clean sheet. With the way Watford has been playing (good) and the way Villa has been playing (awful), Foster makes the most sense on this slate to me. I think he will concede but if he gets the win, a couple of saved shots will be granted. Considering Bournemouth’s struggles in front of goal as well, Ryan is another interesting pick.

I was really surprised to see Dubravka as the lowest price keeper on the slate. I will gladly take my chances here as although they may lose, the save totals have been consistent as Newcastle allows many shots against. He makes sense if you want to pay up somewhere else.

Follow me on twitter @CarlitosWayDFS.

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