Euro Golf Digest - Glenlivet Edition (Alfred Dunhill Links Championship)

Last Time Out

Another disappointing week for us in the Euro. Andy Sullivan finished T20 which isnt terrible but hoping for a lot better out of our top guy. JC Ritchie made the cut but finished a disappointing T60. My man Hunter Stewart decided to miss the cut.

On the flipside all of our OUT picks made the cut and 2 of them did quite well. Shane Lowry finished 6th place, Nino Bertasio made the cut but finished in 69th, and Richard Bland finished T20.

Course Info

Old St. Andrews (Par 72 – 7,318 Yards)

Kingsbarns (Par 72 – 7,227 Yards)

Carnoustie (Par 72 – 7,394 Yards)

After a week off of Euro DFS due to the Ryder Cup, we are off to Scotland for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. The golfers will be competing on 3 different courses this week so the cut won’t happen until after the 3rd round. All are links style courses hence the name of the tournament. Carnoustie was home to The Open (cough) British Open (cough) this year.

Focused Stats

1) Course History (CH) Including this year’s Open at Carnoustie
2) Par 5 (P5)
3) Strokes Gained Tee To Green (SG T2G)

This week going to rely more heavily on Course History with a weight adjustment for golfers that competed in this year’s The Open at Carnoustie. After we identify golfers who have performed well in this tournament in the past we will weight Par 5 Scoring as the 2nd most important stat of the week. A lot of Par 5s to take advantage of this week. Finally we round out the focused stats with SG T2G which should help us identify golfers who are good at getting to the green.

The Picks

IN = I like him this week. OUT = Not in my player pool

25 Year ($9000+)

IN: Tommy Fleetwood ($11,300) – Tyrell Hatton was a thought for this spot since he is going for the 3 peat this week but I expect ownership to be very high on him. We’ll pay up for Tommy who has finished 25 at the lowest and 2 at the highest the past 5 years. On top of his good CH he ranks 5th in the field in P5 and 1st in SG T2G. Let’s go for the win this week Tommy.

OUT: Matt Kuchar ($9,000) – He doesn’t have any tournament history but he did finish T9 in this year’s Open. CH is a moot point but he gets a slight uptick from his performance at Carnoustie this year. Even with that uptick he falls to the bottom of the top tier guys. 98th in field in P5 and 88th in SG T2G will have us looking for other golfers to include in our player pool. With that said you may want to play him as I’ve had no success with this pick.

18 Year ($7500 – $8900)

IN: Richard Sterne ($7,900) – Didn’t golf in this year’s Open but he has had 2nd and 6th place finishes in the past at this tournament. Ranks out at 16th amongst the field in P5 and an unimpressive 51st in SG T2G. Ross Fisher has a slight advantage in CH in this range with back to back 2nd place finishes but the complete package I want to build a lineup around is Sterne.

OUT: Lucas Bjerregaard ($8,500) – Going out on a limb here as his recent form has been spectacular. However his performance in this tournament has been terrible. He’s only made the cut once in his previous 4 appearances here including 3 straight MCs. Stats are pretty good at 36th in P5 and 10th in SG T2G. The awful tournament history has me steering away from Lucas this week.

12 Year (<=$7400)

IN: Bradley Dredge ($6,900) – 3 top 25 finishes in this tourney the last 3 years. Can’t argue with that. Stats are less impressive as he ranks 71st in both P5 and SG T2G. Pretty good recent form along with the excellent course history has me ignoring the stats on him this week and putting him in my lineups

OUT: Lee Slattery ($6,800) – I don’t like going this cheap with my OUT pick but looking at his course history everyone needs to steer clear of Lee this week. He’s made the cut once in the past 5 years and he finished near the back in his 1 made cut. Ranked 52nd in P5 and 82 in SG T2G doesn’t help his cause.

That is all I have for this week. Good luck and hopefully our luck turns around this week.

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