Euro Golf Digest - Tea And Crumpets Edition (British Masters)

Last Time Out

Special Note – I noticed DK made an update and updated the history for PGA events in the Game Log. Not a huge deal but I use both PGA and Euro tournaments to look at golfer’s recent form.

Well we picked a winner – unfortunately on the OUT picks. Lucas Bjerregaard continued his hot form and took down the Alfred Dunhill despite his awful course history. Our other OUT picks Matt Kuchar (T28) and Lee Slattery (T20) did well also and would have created a pretty nice core.

Our IN picks did not have the same fate. Tommy Fleetwood (T2) was a good pick although Hatton also finished T2 and scored more fantasy points. There really wasn’t a terrible pick in the big $$ section. Richard Sterne (T134) was an atrocious pick as was Bradley Dredge (T120). Last week was another donation week. What I learned after last week is Course History at Dunhill isn’t very important.

Course Info

Walton Heath GC (Old Course) (Par 72 – 7,394 Yards)

Moving on to the British Masters in which Justin Rose selected The Old Course at Walton Heath GC in Surrey, UK to be the host course. Not much history here in terms of official events but the US Open qualifier has been played here the past 3 years. Here are some names who did well at the old course back in June of this year: Paul Waring (-8), Andrew Johnston (-7), Richie Ramsay (-7), Sam Horsfield (-6), James Morrison (-5), Matthew Southgate (-5), Thorbjorn Olesen (-5), and Nacho Elvira (-5). I will be building at least 1 lineup with some combination of those golfers.

Focused Stats

1) Strokes Gained Tee To Green (SG T2G)
2) Driving Distance (DD)
3) Strokes Gained Putting (SG P)

Tweaking my overall ranking system as I’ve been in a funk for about a month. The main change is upping the weight of Recent Form and removing the weight for Odds To Win. Let’s hopefully have a better turnout this week. We will focus on SG T2G as our main stat to identify golfers who can pick up strokes getting to the green. Next we have a fairly long course so we want to bring in some long drivers to see if we can gain an advantage there. Lastly SG P will round out our focused stats to bring in some good putters.

The Picks

IN = I like him this week. OUT = Not in my player pool

Earl Grey ($9000+)

IN: Francesco Molinari ($11,200) – Tempted to go back to back weeks with Fleetwood but we will go with the other half of Moliwood and pick Molinari. 1st among the field (2nd on Euro Tour) in SG T2G and 22nd in DD. The SG P isn’t very impressive at 89th but since SG T2G is our #1 focused stat got to go with the best in the field.

OUT: Eddie Pepperell ($10,000) – It pains me to put him here although it is probably good for him with our recent luck. Focused stats just aren’t in his favor this week. The good is he ranks out at 9th in field in SG T2G. The bad is really bad coming in at 109th in DD and 107th in SG P.

Herbal ($7500 – $8900)

IN: Ryan Fox ($8,300) – Fox is ranked 4th in SG T2G, 2nd in DD, and 101st in SG P. Seeing a trend with our focused stats. The big drivers seem to be terrible putters. The first 2 focused stats are too good and can ignore him being a terrible putter.

OUT: Martin Kaymer ($8,100) – One of my favorite golfers on the Euro Tour so tough for me to put him here but his form has been awful recently. On top of his form his stats put him near the bottom of my list. Ranking out at 52nd in SG T2G, 71st in DD, and 74th in SG P.

Green (<=$7400)

IN: Lucas Herbert ($7,400) – I have a feeling he is going to pick up a win soon and hopefully it is here. Pretty balanced stats coming in at 37th in SG T2G, 11th in DD, and 16th in SG P. At least somebody can putt with our IN picks.

OUT: Joakim Lagergren ($7,300) – Had some fierce competition for this spot but landed on Lagergren. His stats are pretty balanced as well but balanced toward the lower middle of the pack. 60th in SG T2G, 46th in DD, and 78th in SG P. Much better options in this price range.

That is all I have for this week. Good luck and hopefully our luck turns around this week.

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