Fading the Chalk: ATLiens Ruin Everything
I’m a restaurant manager that works crazy hours and uses DFS as a way to escape from the stress that comes with my job. I’m certainly not a pro, but I have been a profitable player over the past few years, and getting up early to blog about my process is one of the best ways that I have found to fight depression and anxiety. If you’d like to talk about barbecue, sports, or life in general, hit me up on Twitter: @AndyBowsersBBQ.
Tuesday’s four-game slate was an interesting mix of high-priced studs and reasonable value plays that had pretty much all of us looking down the same path. I didn’t do very well and pretty much quit watching halfway through the evening, but I am thinking that diving a little deeper into my process is going to reveal a few mistakes that I should have seen coming…or we will find out that everyone had a rough night and I should just forget about it and move on to the next one.
My Lineup: The Raw Points All-Stars
Based on the fact that there weren’t a whole lot of options on this small Tuesday night slate, I decided that the best place to start would be to lock in the three guys that I expected to be the highest raw points scores of the night. So with that, I was all in on Kemba Walker, Devin Booker, and Giannis Antetokounmpo despite feeling like each of them was a bit overpriced.
From there, I needed to fill in with some value, so I started plugging in guys like Brook Lopez and Al-Farouq Aminu. Then the news that Taurean Prince was out pushed me towards Trae Young over Eric Bledsoe, which meant that I was going to have to push it and go down to Malik Monk, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, and Omari Spellman to make everything fit. (My theory here was that the cheap Hornets guys would have more opportunity in a blowout than the cheap Hawks guys.)
Malik Monk just barely saved his evening late in the fourth quarter, but guys like MKG and Spellman were a trap that I should have seen coming a mile away. Meanwhile I have Marvin Williams circled in my notebook and didn’t pull the trigger on him.
The Expert Lineups
I didn’t recognize any of the names in the top nine cashing spots of the $535 Rainmaker Single Entry Tournament, but Awesemo was sitting in 16th place with this lineup that started with my three raw points guys and added DeAndre Jordan to that mix. Then he filled in with cheap guys a different way using Tony Parker, Kevin Huerter, Evan Turner, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, and Omari Spellman.
Right behind Awesemo was BigPapaGates with this lineup that faded Devin Booker and Giannis Antetokounmpo in favor of spreading that salary around to guys like Trae Young, Kent Bazemore, Nicolas Batum, and Deandre Ayton. In addition to only getting 19 from Batum, he also had duds from MLG, Aminu, and Spellman.
CheddaBisque was right in that same area with this lineup that was back on Giannis but still faded Booker. He actually got a nice game from Ed Davis, but rough ones from Nicolas Batum, Markieff Morris, and Cody Zeller were pretty much impossible to overcome.
Our old friend CSURAM88 also had a rough night as he was in on Devin Booker and Giannis Antetokounmpo but faded Kemba Walker. It was dud-city pretty much across the board for Pete, and after looking at his lineup I am not feeling all that bad about mine at all.
The AndyBowsers Slack Tournament
My man Nemo23 took down the AndyBowsers Slack Tournament with this lineup that rode a big night from Harrison Barnes and snagged some value from Isaiah Canaan. But despite his nice score, dude is going to have some explaining to do on that Dwight Howard play! :-)
The Big Takeaway
Things didn’t go well for me last night, but since most of the professionals we checked in on did about the same or even worse, I’m actually not feeling too bad about my process. I knew that I was taking on a big risk with those Atlanta guys, and if it had paid off I would have been talking up my process.
So with that, everything is fine. Let’s roll onto the big Wednesday night slate where we have ten games on tap. Get to work on that research and I’ll see you back here tomorrow morning for another edition of Fading the Chalk.
Did you play the NBA slate last night? How did you do? Did you fall into the traps of playing guys who didn’t produce? Or did you crush and find yourself up at the top of your contests? Either way, leave a comment and let me know what went into your process!