Fading the Chalk: ATLiens Ruin Everything

I’m a restaurant manager that works crazy hours and uses DFS as a way to escape from the stress that comes with my job. I’m certainly not a pro, but I have been a profitable player over the past few years, and getting up early to blog about my process is one of the best ways that I have found to fight depression and anxiety. If you’d like to talk about barbecue, sports, or life in general, hit me up on Twitter: @AndyBowsersBBQ.

Tuesday’s four-game slate was an interesting mix of high-priced studs and reasonable value plays that had pretty much all of us looking down the same path. I didn’t do very well and pretty much quit watching halfway through the evening, but I am thinking that diving a little deeper into my process is going to reveal a few mistakes that I should have seen coming…or we will find out that everyone had a rough night and I should just forget about it and move on to the next one.

Editor’s Note: Monkey Knife Fight is a unique take on daily fantasy that pits players against the house (rather than other players) in a series of prop bets from games across the NFL, NBA, NHL, and eSports leagues. There are no lineups to build or salaries to manage. Simply pick a game, look at the available props, make your decision, and choose a bet amount.

My Lineup: The Raw Points All-Stars

Based on the fact that there weren’t a whole lot of options on this small Tuesday night slate, I decided that the best place to start would be to lock in the three guys that I expected to be the highest raw points scores of the night. So with that, I was all in on Kemba Walker, Devin Booker, and Giannis Antetokounmpo despite feeling like each of them was a bit overpriced.

From there, I needed to fill in with some value, so I started plugging in guys like Brook Lopez and Al-Farouq Aminu. Then the news that Taurean Prince was out pushed me towards Trae Young over Eric Bledsoe, which meant that I was going to have to push it and go down to Malik Monk, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, and Omari Spellman to make everything fit. (My theory here was that the cheap Hornets guys would have more opportunity in a blowout than the cheap Hawks guys.)

Malik Monk just barely saved his evening late in the fourth quarter, but guys like MKG and Spellman were a trap that I should have seen coming a mile away. Meanwhile I have Marvin Williams circled in my notebook and didn’t pull the trigger on him.

The Expert Lineups

I didn’t recognize any of the names in the top nine cashing spots of the $535 Rainmaker Single Entry Tournament, but Awesemo was sitting in 16th place with this lineup that started with my three raw points guys and added DeAndre Jordan to that mix. Then he filled in with cheap guys a different way using Tony Parker, Kevin Huerter, Evan Turner, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, and Omari Spellman.

Right behind Awesemo was BigPapaGates with this lineup that faded Devin Booker and Giannis Antetokounmpo in favor of spreading that salary around to guys like Trae Young, Kent Bazemore, Nicolas Batum, and Deandre Ayton. In addition to only getting 19 from Batum, he also had duds from MLG, Aminu, and Spellman.

CheddaBisque was right in that same area with this lineup that was back on Giannis but still faded Booker. He actually got a nice game from Ed Davis, but rough ones from Nicolas Batum, Markieff Morris, and Cody Zeller were pretty much impossible to overcome.

Our old friend CSURAM88 also had a rough night as he was in on Devin Booker and Giannis Antetokounmpo but faded Kemba Walker. It was dud-city pretty much across the board for Pete, and after looking at his lineup I am not feeling all that bad about mine at all.

The AndyBowsers Slack Tournament

My man Nemo23 took down the AndyBowsers Slack Tournament with this lineup that rode a big night from Harrison Barnes and snagged some value from Isaiah Canaan. But despite his nice score, dude is going to have some explaining to do on that Dwight Howard play! :-)

The Big Takeaway

Things didn’t go well for me last night, but since most of the professionals we checked in on did about the same or even worse, I’m actually not feeling too bad about my process. I knew that I was taking on a big risk with those Atlanta guys, and if it had paid off I would have been talking up my process.

So with that, everything is fine. Let’s roll onto the big Wednesday night slate where we have ten games on tap. Get to work on that research and I’ll see you back here tomorrow morning for another edition of Fading the Chalk.

Did you play the NBA slate last night? How did you do? Did you fall into the traps of playing guys who didn’t produce? Or did you crush and find yourself up at the top of your contests? Either way, leave a comment and let me know what went into your process!

About the Author

  • Andrew Selby (AndyBowsers)

  • Andy is a restaurant manager that fell head-over-heels in love with the DFS world from the minute he opened his FanDuel account back in early 2015. Since he is also an accomplished freelance writer, it was only a matter of time before those two worlds collided. He currently writes a daily blog called Fading the Chalk where he breaks down his own lineup decisions along with the lineups of some the best in the business.

Comments

  • R160189

    How do we enter your tournament? Thanks buddy!

  • mtjroto79

    Hello. I remember a post here about taking a balanced approach in 2018. It was easy to follow that strategy tonite, by sitting ABC. Sometimes raw points DO matter as noto says. They matter simply when good players play well. Why is everyone thinking every value play is going to 8x every night. It aint gonna happen. How many times this year has a 12k player gone 5.5x this year? Notmany. So play the middle of the road starters, and stop playing those hopeful 5k higher projected usage plays. Not all duds turn into hall of famers. So tomorrow play embiid and simmons and oladipo, but rest ad, lebron. Who will be tomorrows Duane Embry core play, core as in the hole in your cash lineup. Maybe SCHRODER

  • precool

    Love the mention. No offense taken at all.

  • 2Slik

    The biggest travesty here is to use ATLiens in the title without a single Outkast reference in the subject. With that being said I’ll leave this here…

    Me and everything around me, is unstable like Chernobyl
    Ready to go at any moment, jumpin like a pogo stick

  • AndyBowsers

    • Blogger of the Month

    @2Slik said...

    The biggest travesty here is to use ATLiens in the title without a single Outkast reference in the subject. With that being said I’ll leave this here…

    Me and everything around me, is unstable like Chernobyl
    Ready to go at any moment, jumpin like a pogo stick

    It’s like an easter egg….you gotta be an insider to get it. Not gonna just spell it out for you, playa. HAH!

  • AndyBowsers

    • Blogger of the Month

    @precool said...

    Love the mention. No offense taken at all.

    It’s all love, my brother!

  • AndyBowsers

    • Blogger of the Month

    @R160189 said...

    How do we enter your tournament? Thanks buddy!

    Just DM my on the Twitter and I’ll get you an invite.

  • Sticks101

    Draftkings player here, won in both double ups, luckily, cause Booker and bembry burned me, but made it by by fading Giannis and getting the rest right. Big thanks though, reading this article has taught me a bunch over the couple years playing.

  • LuckofDean

    Sometimes you have to go against the odds and pick player me in difficult matchups but Greek Freak and Booker were easy fades for me. The nets defend SG well and the trailblazers defend the SF and PF positions well and their pace isn’t that fast. The Auto play was John Wall.

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