Fading the Chalk: Fading Brow With Break Your Heart…and Your Bankroll

My name is Andy, and I am a freelance writer and restaurant manager that works crazy hours and uses DFS as a way to escape from the stress that comes with my jobs. I’m certainly not a pro, but I have been a profitable player over the past few years, and getting up early to blog about my process is one of the best ways that I have found to fight depression and anxiety. If you’d like to talk about writing, barbecue, sports, or life in general, hit me up on Twitter: @EasyMoneySelby.

I usually don’t mess around with writing these posts on the weekends because everyone else, including me, is obsessed with the upcoming NFL slates. But I have zero interest in playing the garbage time NFL slate this weekend, so I think it’s time for the NBA version of Fading the Chalk to go back to seven days.

Let’s jump right into last night’s action…

My Lineup: The Embracing News All-Stars

It was a wild afternoon for news yesterday, and that all started when we got word that Paul George was going to be taking the night off. That was a devastating blow for BigWilburStyle and his “play Paul George every night” strategy, but for me, it just meant that it was time to lock and load Russell Westbrook.

We also learned fairly early that John Wall was not going to be playing, and that Markieff Morris was doubtful. With those guys out, there were going to be minutes aplenty for Tomas Satoransky, Bradley Beal, Trevor Ariza, and Jeff Green.

On top of all of that news, we also had all of the Lakers value that was still just as good as it was on Thursday night, and just about all of the Timberwolves were in play as well, with Karl Anthony-Towns being one of the best plays of the night.

Once again, we had so much value out there that it was not going to be a problem to fit whatever studs I wanted to play. My plan was to start with Russell Westbrook and Bradley Beal up top, and then to fill in with value as I worked my way down to either Anthony Davis or Karl Anthony-Towns.

The obvious value guards were Tomas Satoransky and Josh Hart, but I had a few different options at SF, including Brandon Ingram, Robert Covington, Trevor Ariza, Jeff Green, and Lance Stephenson. Best to finish everything else and then just optimize to see what fits best here.

The options that I strongly considered at PF were Anthony Davis, Kyle Kuzma, and Taj Gibson. And while I didn’t mind pairing Kuzma and Taj, there really wasn’t anyone below Karl-Anthony Towns that I wanted to play at C. So with that, I once again made the decision to fade Brow in a good spot knowing full well that I was potentially signing my own death certificate on this slate.

With a bottom three of Kuzma, Gibson, and Towns, I was able to fit Brandon Ingram and Jeff Green at SF and this lineup was ready for action.

The Expert Lineups

Moklovin took second in the $222 Single Entry Tournament with this lineup that ignored the Paul George news but embraces the John Wall news. Skipping Russell Westbrook allowed him to pair up Anthony Davis with Karl-Anthony Towns and still fit Kyle Kuzma and Robert Covington.

Awesemo went a different direction and came down off of Karl-Anthony Towns all the way down to Thomas Bryant, which allowed him to play Russell Westbrook along with Anthony Davis. He also got creative with playing Nicholas Batum and Serge Ibaka.

Booourns put together the exact same lineup as Moklovin except for the slight tweak of going with Trevor Ariza over Robert Covington. Unfortunately for him, Ariza only put up 18 compared to the 50-burger for BobCov.

Hoop2410 was right outside the money with this Westbrook/Davis lineup that stuck with Dennis Schroder instead of moving up to Bradley Beal.

The AndyBowsers Slack Tournament

Scripps was the top score in the AndyBowsers Slack Tournament…again…with this lineup that took the same Davis/Towns approach we saw from Moklovin. The one place that Sripps differed from Mokloving was that he stepped up to Bradley Beal by playing some Pelicans dude that no one has ever heard of as a pure punt. Dig it. Keep winning, brother!

The Big Takeaway

I said going into the slate that I was going to regret not having Anthony Davis. Sure enough, I did. But I also wasn’t comfortable coming off of Russell Westbrook, and I really didn’t like the idea of stepping all the way down to Thomas Bryant.

In hindsight, the right move was to stick with Lonzo Ball and Tomas Satoransky and then have the money for Brow and Towns, but there is also a good chance that I don’t feel that way if Westbrook goes off for 80+ and Brow has a pedestrian night of 60.

That means that the big takeaway today is that I have to hang my hat on the fact that I had the right player pool and just picked the wrong guys out of that pool. And in my experience, having the right player pool is the key to everything, so I’m going to choose to be happy with my decisions despite my results.

And of course, we also have a brand new slate to tackle tonight. Let’s get to work on that research and I will be back here tomorrow for a special SUNDAY edition of Fading the Chalk!

Did you play the NBA slate last night? How did you do? Did you fall into the traps of playing guys who didn’t produce? Or did you crush and find yourself up at the top of your contests? Either way, leave a comment and let me know what went into your process!

About the Author

  • Andrew Selby (AndyBowsers)

  • Andy is a restaurant manager that fell head-over-heels in love with the DFS world from the minute he opened his FanDuel account back in early 2015. Since he is also an accomplished freelance writer, it was only a matter of time before those two worlds collided. He currently writes a daily blog called Fading the Chalk where he breaks down his own lineup decisions along with the lineups of some the best in the business.

Comments

  • Fortho587

    Zeller was my top center play of the day. I liked him 3 days ago against Brooklyn and he didn’t play well and I went right back to him yesterday. Great day.

  • Profbets

    gotta at least mention Vucevic’s 30/20/8 game 74 fantasy points woo boy. Had a 367 with Vucevic, AD, Clippers/Lakers stack, if I switch Ingraham for Winslow like I had in other lineups I have a 393 and ship 100k, so sick. Close but no cigar. GL all

  • brannigan73

    A fair amount of people were on Towns last night. Kind of stunned me with the primo spots Davis and Westbrook were in. Also, the people that played Covington in cash games last night its better to be lucky then good I guess. I dont like nights like last night. Too many injuries causing people to be focused on a player pool of about 20 guys. You didn’t pick the right guys out of those 20 you lost. Ludicrous for a 10 game slate. Full disclosure I doubled my entry fees last night so this isn’t sour grapes at all I just dont like large slates with the strategy of a 4 game slate because of injuries making so many picks brain dead obvious. It wrings a ton of skill out. You can see by looking at the entries in 50/50 like 75% of the players were clustered in a 15-20 point deviation. I dont like any night were a 325 point score isn’t past the money line (with a a score being dropped to boot on FD so in reality thats like a 340-350 point score even with some random scrub jammed in for 9th) in a 50/50 its almost always because of injuries.

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