Fanduel NBA Salary Hangover
Fanduel NBA Salary Hangover
Another NBA season is underway, and this article will take a look at some of the big pricing changes on Fanduel. Since the RG Market Watch section is not available just yet, I took a look at the final two days of the NBA season (4/14 & 4/15), and collected final player salary information. I then compared those salaries to the opening salaries for tonight’s 10/28 mega slate, and noticed a few stand outs. Overall, most of the salaries for the start of this season are down $100-$400 most likely due to the addition of some talented rookies, roster changes, and the return of injured players from last year. Some of the price drops/increases make sense, but others made me scratch my head a bit. Perhaps the FD algorithm developers are a bit hungover coming into the season. On a night like tonight, you should take advantage of funky pricing! Good Luck Tonight!
Russell Westbrook (4/15 Price: $12,600; 10/28 Price: $10,800)
This price drop makes sense with a fully healthy Kevin Durant back in action. Westbrook moves to a whole new DFS planet when KD is out, but with the foot issues behind him, KD is back at 100% for tonight’s tilt with the Spurs. With both of these superstars on the floor, it is often hard to predict which guy will have the better game, even though there are times where both will hit value. I do like Westbrook a bit tonight since he will be guarded by the aging Tony Parker, but even with the substantial discount from last season’s ending price, I will likely want to spend up elsewhere on such a busy night. Due to his ability to explode on any given night, I won’t fault any Westbrook backers in a GPP.
Chris Paul (4/14 Price: $10,900; 10/28 Price: $9,800)
This one has me a bit puzzled since the starting lineup for the Clips only underwent one change (insert veteran Paul Pierce, bye bye Matt Barnes). Paul is usually the one elite PG that goes overlooked on busy slates since a lot of players spend up for players like Anthony Davis, James Harden, or Boogie Cousins. With all of that firepower out there tonight, there is a good chance that Paul flies under the radar again. The addition of Paul Pierce and Josh Smith should only help the assist totals, and the overall total for tonight’s game is the second highest of the night. For me, Paul is one of the safest cash game plays out there, and with an $1,100 discount from the last season, you are getting a top 10 NBA player in a plus matchup against SAC at a bargain price. Paul is one of my favorite point per dollar plays tonight.
DeAndre Jordan (4/14 Price: $8,900; 10/28 Price: $7,700)
Does Fanduel not like the Clippers for the 2015-2016 season? This is another major price drop that has me scratching my head. I love the matchup for the Clippers tonight against the Kings. The Kings’ addition of Willie Cauley-Stein instantly adds a defensive post presence to their frontcourt, but I am still really high on Jordan tonight, because it’s not his offensive game that has you rising up the leaderboards. The Kings gave up the most blocks per game to opposing Centers last season (3.49) so that should be music to Jordan’s ears. With a fast-paced game in store for tonight, I could easily see 12-15 rebounds and 2-3 blocks. Jordan has also been working on his free throws in the off-season, so any additional offensive stats would be a bonus to his already high ceiling. If you are not paying up for a Center tonight, Jordan is a very nice middle-tier option.
Nikola Mirotic (4/15 Price: $6,600; 10/28 Price: $5,500)
Here is an interesting discount for the starting Bulls PF. Mirotic should carry a decent ownership percentage tonight as people who spend up for a superstar or two tonight will be looking for low-priced starters to complete their lineups. Also, Mirotic flashed some signs of brilliance last night scoring just under 30 fantasy points in just 25 minutes of action. He was on several winning lineups from last night, so there will probably be a lot of repeat usage tonight. Mirotic committed 5 fouls last night, which could have limited his minutes, but with two very capable players (Noah and Gibson) coming off the bench, it is tough for me to totally back him until perhaps one of them goes down with an injury (which usually happens). Although the price is very enticing, I see Mirotic as a GPP only play tonight as there is some risk to roster him in cash games. If you have $300 more to spend, I like Trevor Ariza as a much more appealing option.
Other Notable Discounts
Rudy Gobert (4/15 Price: $9,100; 10/28 Price: $8,300 – FD not buying into the hype?
Jimmy Butler (4/15 Price: $8,300; 10/28 Price: $7,500) – Rose back full-time, but minutes are there. Take advantage.
Marcin Gortat (4/15 Price: $7,400; 10/28 Price: $6,500) – Doesn’t make much sense to me. Always a great GPP option.
Danilo Gallinari (4/15 Price: $7,400; 10/28 Price $6,600) – I thought his price would have been higher.
Damian Lillard (4/15 Price: $8,000; 10/28 Price: $9,000)
Jumping up $1,000 from last season may seem like a lot, but the departure of LaMarcus Aldridge has opened up new fantasy doors for Lillard this season. Lillard’s usage rate in the preseason has been absolutely off the charts, and I would not argue with anyone who makes him a staple in both their cash game and tournament lineups tonight. Lillard should see a lot of Nate Robinson tonight, and I like him to absolutely light up the scoreboard. Going forward I wouldn’t be surprised if Lillard was a top 5 scorer this season, so some additional salary increases may be in store.
Derrick Rose (4/15 Price: $6,200; 10/28 Price: $8,100)
It was tough to recognize Rose on the court last night with that mask protecting his face. You would have to expect a price increase for Rose to start the season, but $8,100 is a tough pill to swallow considering that he is one injury away from looking like the guy from the Operation Game. The 32 minutes from last night’s game was promising considering that he is coming off that orbital fracture, and the results were fairly decent (18 points, 5 ast, 1 stl, 1 reb). However, you are looking for a guy that can return at least 4-5x value, and I don’t see it at this price point. If he can stay on the floor throughout the season, you should see some nice games out of Rose, but I think the price jump is a little too aggressive for the start of the season.
Other Notable Jumpers
Blake Griffin (4/14 Price: $9,500; 10/28 Price: $9,900) – Jordan and Paul drop, but Griffin rises? Hmmm…
Brad Beal (4/15 Price: $6,400; 10/28 Price: $7,200) – Elite fantasy output in the playoffs. I will wait a few games.
Marcus Smart (4/15 Price: $4,300; 10/28 Price $5,700) – Starting Celts PG, but lot of mouths to feed.