Fantasy Golf Preview: The Valero Texas Open

With The Masters speeding towards us, the PGA lads say goodbye to Florida and take a Texas 2 Step leading up to Augusta. All the prices and picks below are based on Draftstreet prices.

Arnold Palmer Invitational recap

I won’t lie to you all. Writing a recap of this is like reliving a bad nightmare. Through 3 days my team was in awesome shape. In position to possible have my biggest haul to date in DFS. Then on Sunday I had the rug yanked from underneath me. It started early with Hunter Mahan bogeying the first hole then calling it quits and withdrawing. Then Zach Johnson started off +3 after 4 holes. After a lovely Sunday breakfast (pancake Sundays is our thing at our house) I tune in to see Stewart Stink Cink shooting over par as well as Patrick Reed. Not wanting to track this train wreck I decided to turn the golf off and have a nap. When I woke it had gone from bad to worse. In the end, the final damage for Sunday alone was one player WD’ing and a collective effort of +21, not a bad day if their objective was to screw me. Just to give some insight into golf last weekend . . . 121 people out of 500 had 6 players make the cut. Sunday morning I was 28th, 10 points from first. In the end I came 156th. Besides Keegan Bradley and Sam Saunders, the rest of my team was just a big disappointment.

Finally, just to rub a bit of salt in the wound, the only time this season where I have made a point to say “this guy is way too overpriced” and he ends up winning the event. Thank you Keegan Bradley and Adam Scott, way to make me look like a schmuck. Congrats to Matt Every.

Valero Texas Open

I apologise in advance if this article seems rushed. Home all week with 3 sick kids as I am sick too. Very hard to write without a daddy this or daddy that

One of the first stops of the Texas swing lands the PGA in San Antonio. The TPC San Antonio runs 7,435 yards long and is a Par 72 course. It has 54 bunkers and only 3 water on three holes.

Golfers

Jim Furyk flag $22,902
In this top spot I really wanted to take Jordan Spieth. He is a Texas boy and one of the best young golfers in the world. Here is the reason why I’m not suggesting him. Every time it seems he is a must play something happens to where he is a big disappointment. I still might roster him, but old man Furyk comes with a 2K cheaper price tag with just as much upside to win as Spieth. Furyk placed 3rd here last year and as a whole has played the Texas Open twice with an average finishing place of 9th.
Ryan Palmer flag $21,485
The last time we saw Ryan Palmer he did his very best not to get a trip to the Masters. He T2 at The Honda, bogeying the 18th hole, when a par would have won the event for him. Now Palmer is on the bubble, outside looking in for his ticket to Augusta. His last 4 trips to TPC SA has had him going 3 cuts made and 2 top 15 finishes. With this week being the dead line for current top 50 players in the world getting Masters invites, he needs a high finish to gain entry into the first Major of the year.
Freddie Jacobson $20,317
After two incidents last season that left me with a bad taste in my mouth, I have shy’d away from Freddie. In fantasy sports you need to ‘let go’ sometime and this week is Freddie’s chance to right a few wrongs for me. He has everything I look for in a pick. Coming of a solid top 10 finish last week and just eating up this course to the tune of 3 top 15 finishes (including two top 5 finishes) since switching to TPC SA. In fact his worst finish here has been an 18th.
Kevin Chappell flag $10,438
In the entire year since the last Texas Open, Chappell has maintained consistency and has only earned 4 missed cuts in that time span. His history at this course has been 3 events played and 2 cuts made with a WD. Something was in the air that year (2012) because 8 other golfers WD. His two made cuts were top 15 finishes. Chappell is coming off a 14th last week and should continue to maintain his consistency.
Erine Els $15,610
This is mostly a gut call. He might be suited for a tournament play. Last year I wrote about Ernie and mentioned his trend of not missing two cuts in a row. That must be a South African thing because Charl is that way too. Over his last 50 events Ernie has not missed back to back cuts. Better yet his worst finish the next event after a MC is 45th. Most have been top 25 finishes. His only time he has played here was in 2010. Ernie placed 3rd that year, oh… he missed the cut the previous event.

Sleeper

Brian Davis $11,527
I think I might call Davis “The Stringer”. If you look at Davis’s pattern of play over the last year you’ll notice he goes on strings of similar finishes, whether that be missed cuts, or runs of placing in the 30’s. Just like Homer Simpson once said Bed goes up, bed goes down, bed goes up, bed goes down (That one was for you Jen). Davis plays good, Davis plays bad, Davis plays good, Davis plays bad. He is currently in Davis plays good string.

So there you have it guys, my picks this week for the Valero.

Good luck all!

Cheers

Gibb

About the Author

  • Gibb Pollard (gibbathy)

  • Gibb Pollard has been a member of RotoGrinders since 2012. He is an example of the power of the RotoGrinders blog section, taking a little weekly PGA blog in 2012 and turning it into a two-time FSWA nominated column. In 2014 he took down the FSWA Golf Writer of the Year award. Originally hailing from Australia, he is a regular on our PGA GrindersLive shows, giving our cast of hosts some international flavor.

Comments

  • norruf11

    I told you saunders would crash back to life….

  • gibbathy

    2014 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year

    • Blogger of the Month

    You said he’d be +6 by Sunday, still -1 for 43rd for a 6K player was awesome. Hunter and Zach were the real killers.

  • bgizzle714

    chappel is 17k on DS

  • gibbathy

    2014 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year

    • Blogger of the Month

    Yes you are right, totally overlooked that edit. That was his price for the Northern Trust, the last time I wrote about him. Good catch.

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