Fantasy PGA Preview: Crowne Plaza Invitational
As we enter the second event of the second Texas Two Step, I will be focusing on DraftKings prices for this weeks Crowne Plaza Invitational.
Byron Nelson Classic recap
I am not sure about those reading this, but I really enjoyed that tournament. Another fresh face winning on Tour AND Mike Weir turning back the hands of time, looking like the Mike Weir that won The Masters. My article producing five out of six players making the cut (and favourited on Twitter by Brice Garnett himself). Lastly, six of six of my golfers made the cut and pushed me high into the leaderboard all weekend.
Lets get to my article picks. I was very happy with the result of Leishman (3rd), Woodland and DeLaet (both 7th). Ryan Palmer (22nd) was a little disappointing but Brice Garnett (29th) played great for his 9K price tag. In the end only Erik Compton failed to make the cut, but I will say he was in the hunt to make the cut until a double bogey towards the end of round two sunk his ship.
The winner in the end was Brendon Todd, a player that has struggled since turning pro in 2007. He bounced between the Nationwide Tour (now Web.com) and the PGA Tour his whole career. Before this season, he had only recorded 1 top 10 finish on the PGA Tour (9th at the AT&T Pro Am in 2012). Though watching him Sunday he was giving out free lessons in creativity, putting and more importantly poise. His chip/putt from next to the tree using the back of a club should be used in the next “These guys are good” commercial. Now Todd doesn’t have to worry about bouncing back and forth between tours . . . he just locked up a two year card on the main tour. Congrats to Brendon.
Crowne Plaza Invitational
The lads will travel west to Fort Worth Texas. Hardly a major trip for the majority. It has been over two months since the number one golfer in the world has played in a golf tournament, now we get newly crowned world number one—Adam Scott. Sure there is debate on how he obtained it, some feel that sitting on the couch is not the way you should achieve number one in the world status. Though the irony in the matter is that he overtook the former world number one (Tiger Woods) who was sitting on the couch for the last two months. All this proves is that Australians are the best couch surfers in the world.
One thing that doesn’t look great for Adam Scott is that in the two years he has played here he has not finished all that great, 65th (2011) and 64th (2009). I think there is more value in other Australians like John Senden and Marc Leishman.
The course, fondly referred to as “Hogan’s Alley,” will run 7,204 yards long and play to a Par 70. Being one of the oldest tournaments on the PGA Tour it has no ability for expansion. To keep the ball in the fairway, players often keep there drivers in the bag. I definitely think that course knowledge helps at this course and this sets up an interesting thought: In a year where there have been so many first-time winners, we come to a course that has had only eight players win for the first time in the 65 tournaments here at Colonial. Which will stay true?
Weather-wise remember we are in Texas and the wind can pick up. So far no major wind concerns are predicted, but check again before the start of the tournament. There is chance of rain Sunday, so scoring might improve in the final round.
Just a reminder these are Draftking prices. I also won’t be mentioning the likes of Matt Kuchar and Zach Johnson. There is a reason they are both censuses top two priced players across the industry. Kuchar has played lights out in what seems forever. Zach Johnson has had a dominate history at this course.
|One thing about Draftkings is that getting the 10K players on your team can get challenging. As stated above the top two players at this price range will be Kuchar and Zach. So in a tournament play maybe Jim Furyk would be the better route. Over the last 5 events this season, Furyk has being playing lights out as well. In fact his average finish over his last 5 starts has been 6.2. When we look at Kuchar’s last 5 starts his average is 6.4. Furyk has played this course 18 times and picked up 7 top 10’s. He is coming off back-to-back 2nd place finishes. He is the 10K player I will be looking at.|
|I picked DeLaet last week and he rewarded me with a 7th. I don’t see why I should get off him now. He is number 1 in greens in regulation and number 8 in total driving. Combine those together and you get the number one player in ballstriking and this is a ballstrikers course. His only knock is his putting. Boo Weekley (last years winner) showed when you combine great total driving and greens in regulation that these small greens don’t penalize poor putting. Last season DeLaet finished 10th at the Byron then backed it up here with a 22nd here. Last week DeLaet came 7th, maybe another top 10 is in store for the Canadian.|
|I know what you are thinking. Hey Gibb, last week you picked an American, a Canadian and an Australian one, two, three. Well you would be correct, I like Senden this week as stated above. His average finishing position in his last five starts has been 23.2. These include solid performances at The Masters and THE PLAYERS and he’s coming off an 11th last week. He has made 8 cuts out of 11 starts at this course, though his last missed cut was last year (hardly the same player from a year ago). He has the experience to play well here and has had two top 10’s here in his career. A far better price than fellow Aussies Marc Leishman and Adam Scott.|
|I started to write about Kevin Na then I stopped. I started back up, then I had to stop and reconsider what to say. I started typing then I just had to pause a little and think about it some more. Finally I gripped down and decided to give a full swing at it, and here I am. All joking aside its nice to see Kevin smiling on the golf course again, thus the reason I chose that picture. Na has never been confused as a big hitter, but as we know it doesn’t matter on this course. Na has played here 8 times and he made the cut 7 times with one withdraw (in his first start.) He has notched two top 10’s here. He has been playing solid all year and could be a forgotten man|
|Don’t look now but in the last two PGA tournaments there has been three different Canadians in the top 10. Hearn took 6th place at THE PLAYERS in his last start. When you think about who else was in the top 10 with him that is an impressive performance. Then the following week two fellow Canadians come out and get 2nd (Mike Weir) and 7th (Graham DeLaet). Canadian golf is firing on all cylinders right now, eh? He is an accurate driver of the ball, can find greens in regulation better than most on Tour and is riding a wave of momentum. A nice value for the 7K price range.|
Super Super Sleeper
|I am going to cheat a little. I am taking my Super Super Sleeper from last years article about the Crowne Plaza and slot him right back into this years article. I was quite pleased on the Friday afternoon a year ago when Franklin made the cut, but it was in the final round that made me ecstatic. Franklin carded a 62 (one shy of the course record) on Sunday to finish 14th. Though he is a Web.com player his knowledge at this course would rival many top PGA pros. It is more evident than ever that the younger PGA players no longer fear playing versus the elder statesmen. As seen from his Twitter feed, Franklin is looking forward to playing in his home town tournament. Good luck to Franklin!|
So there you have it folks a few of my fantasy plays for this week.
Good luck to everyone.