Fantasy PGA Preview: WGC Cadillac

After a sudden WD I am back this week to write another article. Sorry about not getting an article up for last week. You have to love it when your kids get you sick.

This week we have the WGC Cadillac from Donald Trump’s Doral course. This is a non-cut event so fantasy owners will enjoy a full four days of fantasy goodness. My rule of thumb for non-cut events is that if you want to have a chance, get all your golfers in the top half of the leaderboard. Anything under that should be considered a missed cut.

World Golf Championships – Cadillac

I won’t do a recap this week as I never wrote an article last week. Congrats to Paddy Harrington for breaking his PGA winning drought. Even though he won, he is still rather unreliable as a fantasy option for me. Until proven otherwise I still consider him a guy who just had a great week.

Onto Doral and WGC Cadillac. If you remember last year there was total carnage on day two. By the end of that round the lead was -1 (Reed, Mahan, Kuchar and Dustin). In the end, from memory, there were only three players over the four days that didn’t take a penalty stroke for a ball in a hazard.

The course itself was redone before last year’s event. Wider fairways, renovated greens and more water. The winning score last year was -4 (Reed). Conditions lightened up for rounds three and four, but still, Reed was only 3 under for those two days. We all saw how bad weather can play a role in golf events last week. Keep an eye on the weather this week, because if the wind creeps up, look for the scores to be high. Doral was not spared from the weather that the Honda faced, it had a nice soak as well. Granted a newly redone course should drain pretty well, so the course might have a little firmness to it.

Golfers

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Patrick Reed
DraftKings $10,700
Victiv $7,300
DraftDay $18,450
I found Reed’s price surprising low. He is the defending champion at this course and he was in a prime position to win at the Honda if it weren’t for a ball in the water on the 15th hole in the final round. His past history at this redone course is better than anybody else and his current form is better than Bubba and Dustin’s. Adam Scott has not played since the end of last year. If I were doing the pricing I would have to put Reed as minimum the second highest price player and would not have a problem for him to be above Rory. Right now he is the 7th highest. Every roster of mine will have Reed on it. “If you don’t have him on your roster for cash games, you will just lose”. His price on Victiv is just criminal (19th highest).
Last Three Events
Honda Pebble Waste
7th 29th 40th
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Matt Kuchar
DraftKings $8,700
Victiv $8,100
DraftDay $17,150
There are lessons in life you have to follow. Things like do not spit into the wind. Do not drink and drive. Do not throw a rock if you live in a glass house. Well, this somewhat follows those: If you can fit Matt Kuchar into your lineup comfortably, that is what you do. If you look at all of the people priced above Kuchar, how many of them make you nervous? Rory for his prices? Yes. Dustin flaming out last week? Yes. Scott’s long absense? Yes. Phil? Yes. Rose bombing out in back to back PGA events? Yes. For his price, Kuchar is a steal.
Last Three Events
Waste Humana Sony
30th 2nd 3rd
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Jim Furyk
DraftKings $8,200
Victiv $9,500
DraftDay $16,100
On both DraftKings and DraftDay you can pick up Furyk for under the average price per golfer. To me that is crazy. So far this season Furyk has finished 7th at Pebble Beach and 14th at the Northern Trust. The biggest mark against him is that he placed 62nd at this event last year. Look back at his last 50 events and focus on non-cut events. He has played in eight non-cut events. Four of those events have been top 10 finishes. Out of those four, three of them have been top 5 finishes. The other four events? 15th, 62nd, 14th and 35th. Do you really want to pass those odds up?
Last Three Events
Northern Pebble Tour Champ
14th 7th 2nd
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Jamie Donaldson
DraftKings $7,100
Victiv $6,300
DraftDay $15,200
I think at this price Donaldson is another talent too good to pass up. When you look back over his past 50 events and focus on WGC events, his worst finish was 63rd. That however was in 2013 at the Cadillac. Since then he has not racked up anything worse that a 37th, with all the others being top 25 or better. At last years Cadillac he finished tied for second behind Patrick Reed. He recently finished 6th at the Honda Classic, some nice form going into a tough course.
Last Three Events
Honda Farmers Waste
6th 19th 46th
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Ryan Moore
DraftKings $6,400
Victiv $6,100
DraftDay $13,100
In the last 12 months Ryan Moore has been putting up some solid finishes at WGC events. Last year he finished 25th at the Cadillac, 8th at the Bridgestone and 28th at the HSBC. In his last five events he has finished between 17th and 28th with one WD. His recent form at WGC event as well as overall recent form would indicate he is above average talent for this event but priced as a below average player. A nice combo to have on your team.
Last Three Events
Northern Waste Humana
22nd 17th WD
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Sleeper

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Greg Chalmers
DraftKings $5,300
Victiv $5,100
DraftDay $10,000
As I said before. The key to non-cut events is to get everyone above the halfway point. Now it’s not everyday I write about Greg Chalmers. Yes he is Australian. Yes he is from Sydney (so am I). That is not why I like him. I like him because he is a tremendous wind player. At the Australian Open in very windy conditions he placed 4th. There were 6 players in this field playing in that tournament. Only Jordan Spieth beat him. The others? Rory McIlory, Adam Scott, John Senden and Geoff Ogilvy. At last year’s Valspar round one was very windy. Chalmers finished that round with a 68 tied for the lead. One more thing about Chalmers. He is in field because he recently won the Australian PGA Championship. The last time he did that he placed 20th at the Cadillac. I won’t lie, he is a risky play, but risky plays are what you need to win non-cut events.
Last Three Events
Pebble Farmers Aussie PGA
51st MC 1st
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About the Author

  • Gibb Pollard (gibbathy)

  • Gibb Pollard has been a member of RotoGrinders since 2012. He is an example of the power of the RotoGrinders blog section, taking a little weekly PGA blog in 2012 and turning it into a two-time FSWA nominated column. In 2014 he took down the FSWA Golf Writer of the Year award. Originally hailing from Australia, he is a regular on our PGA GrindersLive shows, giving our cast of hosts some international flavor.

Comments

  • TreyMonkey2

    Absolutely love it. Thank you. I recently just started PGA and appreciate the insight.

  • sawbones529

    Other possible choices: Brooks Koepka, Paul Casey(in great form), Steven Gallacher(under the radar pick).
    Love the pick segments that you and Noto do for PGA DFS.

  • larin1477

    • Blogger of the Month

    Thanks for your work gib…your picks are spot on… Reed will be 100% in my LU’s also like Koepka and Mahan.

  • ckazor

    Rory Easy Winner Winner Chicken Dinner !!!

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