Finding Paydirt: Week 17

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Touchdowns, while extremely variant, can make or break DFS success. Every weekend, players wait anxiously for the players on their roster to find pay dirt. Touchdowns swing thousands of dollars every Sunday. The purpose of the article is to mine our own paydirt by finding valuable touchdowns from value players.

Happy Friday, Grinders! Hopefully, Santa Claus left presents under your tree and a few touchdowns in your stocking. Normally, the results article would have been posted on Tuesday. Due to a busy few days with family, writing a results article was impossible. For that reason, I am posting a leaderboard update below to be followed by my traditional Friday content.

Player Week 13 – 17 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17
joeycis 6 1 3 2 0
Kwietstorm52 3 2 1 0 0
SportsLover37 8 4 2 1 1
erichanlon 8 1 4 2 1
nrcave 4 2 0 0 2
mrlocke1 0 0 0 0 0
flip4flop 6 2 1 3 0
vault520 3 3 0 0 0
Nape 5 2 2 1 0
Orangeman96 2 2 0 0 0
shanekern03 7 2 2 3 0
mewhitenoise 2 1 1 0 0
Bam79 2 2 0 0 0
Newt58 7 2 2 3 0
TheDog15 2 2 0 0 0
1010mg 3 1 0 2 0
KardiacChris 5 1 2 0 2
Soma919 4 1 0 3 0
dhul 10 2 4 2 2
Gillik9486 3 1 1 1 0
pepsi1326 4 3 1 0 0
Derek84 3 3 0 0 0
thesadistichero 2 1 1 0 0
hautalak 4 0 2 2 0
hannyy 4 2 0 0 2
Macdman11 1 1 0 0 0
Jabesblog 0 0 0 0 0
boomanfoo 4 0 2 2 0
dubcity3 0 0 0 0 0
mello610 4 0 2 2 0
dhale51 1 0 1 0 0
travawest 1 0 1 0 0
fantasyallstar616 2 0 2 0 0
smusallam 1 0 1 0 0
brolantis 2 1 1 0 0
jbtgiants1697 0 0 0 0 0
maaron83 1 0 0 1 0

While I found a bagel, dhul padded his lead with two more touchdowns. His ten touchdowns place him atop of our leaderboard with those tied for second place sitting with eight touchdowns. With a packed Week 17 slate, anything can happen. Let’s move onto Week 17.

The Contest

Very simple. Each week, I will publish this article by Friday morning detailing my picks for running back, wide receiver, and tight end touchdowns for the DraftKings main slate. You can jump into the contest by picking a RB, WR, and TE from the main slate that you believe will score a touchdown this Sunday. Make your selections in a comment below. Normally, we eliminate various players due to DraftKings pricing. That said, with the uncertainty that Week 17 brings us, I am going to keep everyone on the main slate in play. On Tuesday, I will wrap up the NFL season with my final results article and award a luxurious RotoGrinders T-shirt to our winner.

Week 17

As mentioned above, every RB, WR, and TE is available on the DraftKings main slate due to the nature of Week 17. Good luck with your selections.
Below, you will find my picks for touchdowns this week at our positions of interest.

Chris Carson – RB – $6,500

The Seattle Seahawks are approaching the playoffs in good form, coming off of a Sunday night victory against the Chiefs at home. The Seahawks are a huge favorite at home against the Cardinals and a victory on Sunday keeps them away from Chicago in the first round.

Over the last few weeks, Carson might have the quietest four touchdowns of the season. Very rarely mentioned in the same breath as elite running backs, Carson is the clear feature back for an offense content to run as much as possible. Carson boasts 17 red zone attempts over the past three weeks to go along with his 23.7 attempts per game during that span. The Cardinals cannot stop the run and Carson will see his typical massive share of attempts this weekend.

Julian Edelman – WR – $7,600

The loss of Josh Gordon did not change the role of Julian Edelman — instead, cemented Edelman as a target monster for the New England Patriots. The Patriots should be very motivated to play this weekend against the Jets as they are still playing for a bye and home field advantage during the playoffs.

Edelman has 12, 11, and 10 targets to his name over the last few weeks. With five red zone targets, Edelman found paydirt twice during the Patriots’ last three games. The Todd Bowles-led Jets were in the giving spirit during the holiday season — representing the worst defense against opposing wide receivers over the last four weeks. The Jets are surrendering 26 targets, 16.75 receptions, and 245.75 receiving yards per game to wideouts during that span — all three being league-worst marks. The amalgamation of those three statistics yields a 42.48 DraftKings points per game allowed to the position. The Patriots certainly have many mouths to feed but Edelman should see his share of opportunities.

George Kittle – TE – $6,300

While George Kittle could not lead me to a victory in my fantasy playoffs, he might be poised to lead the 49ers in receiving categories this weekend.

In a previous article, I highlighted the athleticism of Kittle and the ability he possesses to take any catch to the house. The size and speed of Kittle should be outlawed in the NFL and Kittle is likely going to see a huge ADP boost next season in fantasy drafts. Also, Kittle could potentially be motivated by an attainable narrative.

The 49ers have little to play for other than player evaluation and this record. After whiffing on the single-game record a couple weeks ago, Kyle Shanahan seems intent on giving Kittle a legitimate opportunity to break the single-season record for tight end receiving yards. Undoubtedly, this endeavor will lead to added opportunities for Kittle. Kittle can score on any catch and I would not put a touchdown or two past him as he aims to break this record.

Who will win the RotoGrinders T-shirt? Will Chris Carson stay hot and find paydirt again? Will George Kittle or Travis Kelce break the tight end record? I will be back on Tuesday with a final results article recapping the week and hopefully answering these questions. Without any exceptions to our main slate player pool, this week should be fun. Good luck and thanks for reading.

Follow Joe on Twitter

Stats from this article were pulled from RotoGrinders’ Daily Research Console, Pro Football Reference, and Football Outsiders.

About the Author

  • Joe Cistaro (joeycis)

  • Joe Cistaro has blogged on RotoGrinders since January 2017. He fell in love with daily fantasy sports after winning an NBA single-entry tournament on FanDuel in the fall of 2013. A small-time player, Joe enjoys writing about MLB and NBA DFS while connecting with the RotoGrinders community.

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