Finding Paydirt: Week 2
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Touchdowns, while extremely variant, can make or break DFS success. Every weekend, players wait anxiously for the players on their roster to find pay dirt. Touchdowns swing thousands of dollars every Sunday. The purpose of the article is to mine our own paydirt by finding valuable touchdowns from value players.
Happy Friday, Grinders! Back for Week 2, last week’s article saw an overwhelming level of participation. If you did not participate last week, go back to read last week’s initial article and Tuesday’s review of Week 1. Below you will find the contest rules and my Week 2 touchdown picks. Let’s find some paydirt!
Very simple. Each week, I will publish this article by Friday morning detailing my picks for running back, wide receiver, and tight end touchdowns for the DraftKings main slate. You can jump into the contest by picking an RB, WR, and TE from the main slate that you believe will score a touchdown this Sunday. Leave these picks in the comments section. The only caveat? I eliminate the top five priced running backs, the top five wide receivers, and the top three tight ends from the player pool.
I will write an article summing up the slate and updating the standings by Tuesday of each week. After four weeks, the player with the most touchdowns will be declared our victor and win a RotoGrinders T-shirt.
Given below is a table of players that are omitted from the player pool for Week 2. Also, because his status is not completely confirmed, I am additionally eliminating Le’Veon Bell. DraftKings will likely leave Bell’s price rather lofty considering they will not be aware of when he returns. For this reason, we might be cutting six running backs per week until Bell decides to report. In the comments section, pick any other running back, wide receiver, and tight end to be eligible for the week.
The following are my three touchdown picks for the second week on the gridiron.
James Conner – RB – $6,700
Nothing like being a day late and a dollar short. Conner was the clear and strong value play in Week 1 because of industry-wide early price releases. Couple that with a Steelers organization that never uses a running back committee and you have a workhorse for pennies on the dollar. Nonetheless, let’s review Conner’s first foray into being a stud running back.
Conner played on 77 snaps for a whopping 92% of the Steelers’ running back snaps – second only to Todd Gurley’s 94% in Week 1. Conner converted 5 of 6 targets in the passing game. In the red zone, Conner saw a target and two rushing attempts. While the quality of Conner’s work versus the Browns might not toll the proverbial Bell for Steelers’ fans, the quantity of his usage certainly made fantasy players’ ears ring.
The matchup versus the Chiefs is pretty tasty. What is on the menu? A delectable 53-point Vegas total acts as our first course. A 28th ranked rush DVOA for the Chiefs follows the Vegas appetizer. The main course? The Kansas City Chiefs have allowed 0.94 rushing touchdowns per game since last season. Better late than never.
Josh Gordon – WR – $5,800
Last week, to the displeasure of a high percentage of survivor pool contestants, the New Orleans Saints were torn to shreds by Fitzmagic and his band of scallywags. The Saints’ pass defense allowed 21 receptions on 28 targets for 417 receiving yards and four touchdown receptions. Wow! The Saints kicked it old school, playing a game where they aim to outscore their opponents.
Now, does this mean that the Cleveland Browns are going to go up and down the field with New Orleans? Probably not. However, the Saints clearly struggled with downfield passing threats. Paging Josh Gordon.
Gordon’s usage and playing time were in question going into the first week of the NFL season. Those questions were quickly answered as Gordon saw the field on 78% of the Browns’ offensive snaps. Gordon has always been a physical freak and burner. Further, Gordon led his team in red zone targets with two. Weather will not be a concern in a dome and there are not many game scripts that would not favor Gordon’s prospects.
Jordan Reed – TE – $5,000
Last week, the Indianapolis Colts allowed a measly five targets to the tight end position. That said, all five of those targets were converted for a catch for 57 total receiving yards. The Colts defense is not imposing as the Indianapolis youth movement seems upon us early in the 2018 season.
In an upset, Jordan Reed was not on the injury report going into Week 2 of the NFL season. Reed saw five targets last week and converted four for 48 yards. He also saw two red zone targets and converted one for a four-yard score. A healthy Reed seems to be a wonderful sight for Alex Smith, habitual thrower of footballs to the tight end position. Reed had a very quiet second half last week because the Redskins were busy taking the air out of the ball with a massive lead. He still managed to see 52% of the tight end snaps for Washington – a number that could increase in a more competitive game.
Who do you think finds the end zone in Week 2? Will anyone score multiple touchdowns? You tell me. I will be back on Tuesday, to review the second week and provide an update to the standings. Good luck, everyone.
Stats from this article were pulled from RotoGrinders’ Daily Research Console, Pro Football Reference, and Football Outsiders.