First Look - 2015 AT&T Byron Nelson

Date: Thursday May 28th – Sunday May 31st
Purse: $7,100,000
Course: TPC Four Seasons Resort (Irving, Texas)
Par/Distance: Par 70 / 7,166 Yards

Past 3 Winners / Runners-Up:
2014 – Brendon Todd (-14) / Mike Weir (-12)
2013 – Sangmoon Bae (-13) / Keegan Bradley (-11)
2012 – Jason Dufner (-11) / Dicky Pride (-10)

Event Preview:
The last stop in the Texas swing will be at the TPC Four Seasons Resort in Irving Texas. In 2010, Jordan Spieth accepted an exemption and played his first PGA event here, close to his home in Dallas. Jordan went on to make the cut and become the sixth-youngest player to do so in a PGA Tour event.

Last season this event followed The Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass and the main story line leading up to this event, was if Jordan Spieth was going to be able to learn how to close out on Sunday’s following his 74 (+2) final round performance at TPC Sawgrass. Spieth went right to twitter, where he took a very veteran approach, in reminding his fans that closing out on tour is difficult and takes a couple times to figure out. Since then, Spieth has accomplished enough to be considered one of the favourites and biggest threats on tours. This week Spieth will return to the Four Seasons Resort as a Masters Champion, and as the 2nd ranked player in the Official World Golf Rankings.

Accompanying Spieth as the Favourites at the AT&T Byron Nelson:
(8) Jason Day – Made 4 of 4 cuts – 3 Top 10’s – 2010 Champion
(10) Dustin Johnson – Made 5 of 5 cuts – 3 Top 10’s
(12) Jimmy Walker – Made 7 of 9 cuts – No Top 10’s
(18) Matt Kuchar – Made 7 of 7 cuts – 2 Top 10’s
(24) Ian Poulter – Made 2 of 3 cuts – 1 Top 10
(41) Keegan Bradley – Made 4 of 4 cuts – 2 Top 10’s – 2011 Champion
(#) identifies Official World Golf Ranking

Notables in the Field with Good Course History and Their Best Results:
(42) Charl Schwartzel – Made 2 of 2 cuts – 1 Top 10 – T3/T11
(49) Brendon Todd – Made 2 of 4 cuts – 1 Top 10 – 2014 Champion
(60) Marc Leishman – Made 5 of 5 cuts – 3 Top 10’s – T3/T3/T8
(69) Jason Dufner – Made 4 of 6 cuts – 2 Top 10’s – T8/2012 Champion
(84) Sangmoon Bae – Made 1 of 2 cuts – 1 Top 10 – 2013 Champion
(90) Morgan Hoffman – Made 2 of 2 cuts – 1 Top 10 – T5/T16
(223) Vijay Singh – Made 12 of 15 cuts – 3 Top 10’s – T3/T9/2003 Champion
(#) identifies Official World Golf Ranking

An early look at next week’s forecast shows that the rain and wind will continue to be a factor in Texas. Typically the Aussies have found success when playing in Texas and as well when facing these types of course conditions, as they mimic the environment back home. Along with the previously mentioned Jason Day & Marc Leishman, notable Aussies on the scene this week will be Matt Jones, Adam Scott, John Senden, Aaron Baddeley, and Rod Pampling.

Statistics to Consider in your Research:

1) Attacking the Par 5’s at Four Seasons is crucial for scoring low. We will be looking at Par 5 Scoring Average along with Birdie or Better Percentage on Par 5’s.

2) TPC Four Seasons has lots of strategically placed bunkers protecting the greens and surrounding the doglegs. While Driving Accuracy is not so heavily relied on thanks to the courses stadium setup, it’s inevitable that the players will find themselves in these bunkers from time to time. We will be looking at Sand Save Percentage & Greens in Regulation from Fairway Bunkers in order to weed out players that could have their rounds easily derailed by multiple visits to the bunkers.

3) With 12 Par 4’s we will once again be looking at Par 4 Scoring Average, but for finding those players with the potential to have big rounds and finish in the Top 20, it will be important to consider proximity to hole statistics for all ranges. The approach shots on Par 4’s will be ranging from as low as 50 yards (the driveable 11th hole) to as much as 233 yards (the very challenging 3rd hole).

4) Strokes Gained Putting (as always) will be an important statistic to monitor when doing our research. There will be lots of situations where players will have lengthily putts to save Par, and will need to be able to take advantage of birdie opportunities on the short Par 4’s and the Par 5’s.

About the Author

  • Stouts01

    Love this early look. Excellent insight.

  • sandman84

    My number one stat I’m using as tie breaker for my pics is sand saves as u mentioned . Great write up!

  • sandman84

    Last PGAtour event this year except majors and FedEx championship for POULTER.

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