Flipping the Script (NHL) - Saturday 1/18

I am just your average DFS player who has found a way to become profitable in a cash game setting. For most of us, DFS is a losing battle and I am here to give an easy break down of the top plays in both the NBA and NHL on larger slates.

January 18

NHL Lineup (1/16):

CNathan MacKinnon (4.8)
CNazem Kadri (14.4)
WAlexander Ovechkin (44.5)
WJakub Vrana (15.2)
WReilly Smith (4.8)
WIlya Kovalchuk (32.5)
DCale Makar (18.4)
DShea Theodore (1.6)
GIlya Samsonov (29.6)

Total: 165.8

Cash Line: 116.8
Cash: Yes
Success Rate: 2/2 (100%)

Recap:

Another successful night in both my NHL cash game lineups as well as my GPP dart throws. Obviously this blog is focused solely on a cash game setting, and if you followed along on Thursday you should have had a profitable showing. I started each and every one of my lineups with my top stack of the evening, the Washington Capitals. Alexander Ovechkin was the first plug-and-play, who I then paired with Jakub Vrana and despite my nervousness, Ilya Samsonov in goal (Philipp Grubauer had a phenomenal night so it was a win/win situation with my goaltender selections). The three of them accounted for over half of my points thanks to the Ovechkin hat-trick, Vrana’s goal, and Samsonov securing the win.

From there I had to go with the highest owned cash game play of the night in Nathan MacKinnon as he had a juicy matchup with Martin Jones and the San Jose Sharks. With that price tag and already having had Ovechkin in my lineup, I knew I was going to be strapped for cash. I then went with Reilly Smith as my Vegas target being that he was still cheap and gave me exposure to their matchup with Ottawa, and slotted Ilya Kovalchuk in as my last winger being he was still severely underpriced. Kovalchuk managed to go off with two goals on five shots leading to a 32 FDP night, making up for the Reilly Smith dud. At defense I knew I couldn’t afford John Carlson, so as I wrote in the Thursday blog, Cale Makar was my top play and he managed to score a goal on four shots. To complete the three-man Colorado stack I went with Nazem Kadri who wasn’t even on my radar until around 6pm when I realized I would need a cheap center to accompany MacKinnon. It worked out for me and despite the 1.6 FDP dud from my other Golden Knight Shea Theodore in my last defensive slot, we placed in the top ten in each of the 113 man $2 Double Ups and 56 man $5 Double Ups.

Looking back I should’ve gone with my gut on both Mathew Dumba in place of Shea Theodore and Philipp Grubauer instead of Samsonov, which would have allowed me to pay up for Max Pacioretty or Mark Stone in place of Reilly Smith and I would have more than likely come close to taking down a few 100 man tournaments. You live and you learn though and I’m ready to get right back at it tonight as we have a solid 8 game slate on tap. Without further ado, let’s get to today’s top NHL cash-game plays of the day and flip the script!

Top Teams to Stack

1. Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Chicago Blackhawks

I wasn’t as high on the Maple Leafs on Thursday as they had a tough matchup with Calgary aNd I assumed it would end up as a grind it out type of game. It was just that as it was a low scoring affair throughout. Auston Matthews was over 35% owned in cash games and still provided nine shots on goal despite not scratching the score sheet. I fully expect for that to change tonight as he should be the highest owned play of the slate as well as my lock of the night. My love for the Maple Leafs doesn’t stop there though, as John Tavares could easily be paired with Matthews as your two centers and Mitchell Marner rounds out my three favorite targets from this offensive juggernaut. A case can also be made for William Nylander as he has played extremely well over his last few games, but I have a few guys in his price range that I am slightly favoring.

Best PlaysAuston Matthews, John Tavares, Mitchell Marner, & William Nylander

2. Florida Panthers vs. Detroit Red Wings

The Red Wings are coming off a heartbreaking overtime loss last night to the Pittsburgh Penguins and have to get right back out there against one of the highest scoring offenses in the NHL in the Panthers. It’s undetermined whether or not the Red Wings will send Jimmy Howard back out there to tend the twine on consecutive nights or if Calvin Pickard will be suiting up in goal. Either way, it is an extremely juicy matchup for Florida to take advantage of and I would not be surprised to see a lot of full line stacks in their favor tonight. Jonathan Huberdeau leads the way for this offense and is accompanied by Aleksander Barkov and Evgenii Dadonov on the top line and first power-play unit. Each of these three are in play, but I will be favoring the Huberdeau/Dadonov stack to go along with my Matthews/Tavares stack as Tavares is only $500 more than Barkov on Fanduel.

Best PlaysJonathan Huberdeau, Evgenii Dadonov, & Aleksander Barkov

3. Los Angeles Kings vs. Philadelphia Flyers

The third and final stack I will be looking towards tonight is going to be a bit of a shock, but I think the Los Angeles Kings are in a fantastic spot offensively as they take on the Flyers on the road. Carter Hart is to indefinitely with an abdominal issue, leaving Brian Elliott to draw the home start tonight. The 34 year old owned a 3.14 GAA and a .897 save percentage on the year, and has to take on a Kings offense that has actually played much better than you would think over the last three weeks. Most, if not all, of that production has come from the top line of Anze Kopitar, Tyler Toffoli, and Alex Iafallo. Kopitar is my least favorite of the bunch, being that he is inconsistent offensively and is in the same price range as Aleksander Barkov and John Tavares. However, Toffoli and Iafallo make for a sneaky stack at nearly no cost and if you look at their production since joining the top line together you’ll see what I mean. Stacking both of them, or even using just one as a one-off play frees up some much needed salary for a Toronto/Florida stack.

Best PlaysTyler Toffoli & Alex Iafallo

Defensemen

High-Tier

1. Roman Josi vs. Buffalo Sabers – Josi makes for the safest defensive play in the high-tier price range as he has been by far one of the most consistent DFS players all year long. His price is affordable and nowhere near the Brent Burns golden days price range of $8,000+ so if you can afford him, Josi makes for a fine play.

2. Tyson Barrie vs. Chicago Blackhawks – My personal favorite defensive play of the night comes at a $1,400 discount to Josi and should see plenty of opportunity manning the point for this explosive Maple Leafs offense. Since Morgan Rielly went down, Barrie has put up 9.6 FDP and 19.7 FDP in each of the last two games. I’m jumping right back on the wagon tonight and will continue to do so until his price climbs.

3. Seth Jones vs. New Jersey Devils – If you are one of those who likes to follow Vegas odds like a religion, you’ll know that they are projecting the Blue Jackets offense to produce tonight against Cory Schneider and the Devils. Personally, I think they have a weak offense and would almost rather take Schneider at the minimum instead of stacking this injury-plagued Columbus team. However, Seth Jones is a guy I wouldn’t mind taking as he is awfully consistent with his shot blocking an offensive production. He will certainly not blow you away with 25+ FDP nights anymore, but in cash games consistency is king so it is not a terrible play by any means.

Low-Tier

1. P.K. Subban vs. Columbus Blue Jackets – Until Subban’s price sees some sort of increase I can’t find a reason not to play him, as he allows for a on of salary saving to be spent on my wingers. Subban is starting to, what seems like, turn his season around after looking to be one of the biggest busts of the year. His minutes have increased and with that has come added production. He has put up 8+ FDP in seven of his last nine games, with four of those being 18+ FDP. I am locking and loading Subban and one other Devils player as my salary savers.

Goaltender

Sergei Bobrovsky vs. Detroit Red Wings -Bobrovsky is returning from his extended absence due to injury just in time to face the worst offensive hockey club in the league in the Red Wings. It is still a bit of a risk not knowing if he is 100%, especially with Chris Driedger having gone down due to a lower body injury against LA and now expected to miss quite a bit of time after his MRI. I was hoping that the Panthers would turn to Sam Montembeault for tonight’s matchup, but no such luck so Bobrovsky it is for me and probably 50% of DFS players.

Thatcher Demko vs. San Jose Sharks – The Vancouver Canucks are solid favorites tonight at home against the San Jose Sharks whose offense has been lackluster since Logan Couture went down with his fractured ankle. Add that to the fact that they will see either Aaron Dell or Martin Jones in goal and Demko should see his fair share off support on the offensive end. Demko is one of the guys that it can be hard to trust as he sometimes looks fantastic and other times gives up 5 goals out of nowhere. He is a full $1,000 cheaper that Brobrovsky on Fanduel and could possibly become a solid pivot off of Brobrovsky as the day moves on if any news comes out on just how healthy the Panthers net-minder truly is.

Salary Savers

Below is a list of some skaters I will be looking to as one-off plays in order to save some salary and pay up for my top skaters of the night:

CKevin Hayes (PHI)
CMax Domi (MON)
WTanner Pearson (VAN)
WSam Reinhart (BUF)
WIlya Kovalchuk (MON)
WDominik Kubalik (CHI)
WBlake Coleman (NJ)

I hope all of this information helps those who have been struggling a bit and I look forward to continuing to cover both the NBA and NHL (and soon MLB!). Best of luck tonight flipping the script! As always, leave any comments or suggestions below.

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