Flipping the Script (NHL) - Thursday 3/7
I am just your average DFS player who has found a way to become profitable in a cash game setting. For most of us, DFS is a losing battle and I am here to give an easy break down of the top plays in both the NBA and NHL on larger slates.
Thursday, March 7
Well, we’re another day closer to the weekend and I couldn’t be happier. If you followed along to my post yesterday, as well as paid attention to the only big news before lock (Kyrie Irving sitting out) you should have easily cashed in your cash-games last night. My final lineup was as follows:
PG – Ben Simmons (48.7)
PG – Jeff Teague (30.6)
SG – Devin Booker (57)
SG – Damyean Dotson (32.3)
SF – Rudy Gay (30.2)
SF – Jabari Parker (32.3)
PF – Kevin Love (51.2)
PF – Jayson Tatum (31.6)
C – Alex Len (24.4)
Total – 314.1
Tonight we will be switching over to the NHL as there is an 11 game slate on tap for us tonight in comparison to the 2 NBA games. If you have any questions about the NBA games shoot me a message and I will do my best to get back to you, as I will still have a few lineups tonight.
Let’s get to today’s top NHL plays of the day.
Top Teams to Stack
Of the eleven games tonight there are a few that stand out from a fantasy perspective. The first team that stands out is the Buffalo Sabres, as they take on the worst scoring defense in the NHL. The Blackhawks give up an average of 3.77 goals per game, which makes it almost astronomical that they are an almost .500 hockey team this year. Cam Ward is injured so I expect Corey Crawford to be in goal for Chicago tonight. Crawford, much like Jonathan Quick, is certainly a shell of what he once was in goal. I expect this one to have plenty of points scored and do not mind the full game stack if you can fit in the pieces for both teams. However, I will be heavily targeting Jack Eichel ($8,400) as the first piece of my lineup tonight. He comes in as more than a $1,000 discount to Sidney Crosby ($9,500) at the center position, yet has been just as, if not more, productive than Crosby. To pair with Eichel, I will be looking to stick with the top line with either Sam Reinhart ($5,600) or the more expensive Jeff Skinner ($7,300). I also won’t rule out using all three of them, but right now I am leaning towards the Eichel/Reinhart combination due to pricing.
Boston comes into tonight’s game in great form and is a heavy home favorite according to the early Vegas lines. Marcus Johansson was injured in Tuesday’s game and has been diagnosed with a lung contusion meaning he will be out until further notice. This presents an opportunity for Peter Cehlarik ($3,200) to rejoin the Bruins and slot in on the second line as well as the second power-play unit, creating a strong value play alongside David Krejci ($5,800) and Jake DeBrusk ($6,200). The obvious targets in this game are Patrice Bergeron ($7,900) and Brad Marchand ($8,800), but price may play a factor in being able to roster the both of them. I do prefer Bergeron over Marchand simply due to the discounted price and similar upside. However, I will certainly have my fair share of DeBrusk in my lineups either as a one-off or a possible two/three man stack with the entire second line. Either way I definitely want some exposure to this Bruins lineup tonight in cash-games.
Just as they were the other night, the New York Islanders are one of the top stacks on today’s slate as they go up against the Senators again. I honestly could copy and paste what I stated on Tuesday night, as the Senators have the second worst scoring defense only behind the Blackhawks and are in a serious rebuilding stage. The Islanders don’t have the most high-powered offense, but we can certainly look to Brock Nelson ($5,900) and Anders Lee ($6,000) again as they are usually the two involved when points are being scored. Nelson put up 21.6 FDP and Lee put up 18.4 FDP Tuesday night against this same Ottawa team. I don’t necessarily think you need to stack the Islanders but I like Nelson or Lee as one-offs, as well as Josh Bailey ($4,900) who tends to be involved on offense and comes at a discount compared to the other two.
Jacob Markstrom started in goal last night for the Canucks in their overtime win over the Maple Leafs, which leads me to believe we will see Thatcher Demko manning the crease tonight. Demko has started in two games this year, sporting a 1-1 record with a .873 save percentage leading to a 4.01 GAA. This is a prime spot for Edmonton’s offense to put up points at a solid pace, as I will be doing my best to target Leon Draisaitl ($8,500) in this plus matchup. Obviously Connor McDavid ($9,100) is also a great play, however at his price point I would rather pay up the extra $400 to roster Sidney Crosby ($9,500). I will be looking to pair Zack Kassian ($4,300) alongside Draisaitl to get the most exposure to that first line as I can. Kassian has gone for 16.8, 20, and 18.4 FDP in his last three games while playing just under 19 minutes a game with 11 shots on goal. At this price, he may end up being one of the higher owned value plays on the night.
1. – Sticking with one of my favorite games to target, I will be having quite a bit of Nurse in my cash-game lineups tonight. He mans the point on the top power-play and should see ample opportunities to put a few pucks on net tonight. With so many great wings and centers playing tonight, I will be looking to spend down at my defenseman positions and Nurse will be the highest I go salary wise.
2. – The Penguins are once again in a favorable spot as Sergei Bobrovsky has been scratched and Joonas Korpisalo will be manning the crease tonight. Korpisalo has had a rough go in his two career matchups against Pittsburgh, sporting an 0-2 record with a .886 GAA. Kris Letang was not on the ice during morning skate, meaning Schultz should see at least one more game skating on the first power-play unit. He hasn’t been super productive over the last two games, but the opportunity he sees is worth the risk.
3. – Possibly my favorite play at the defenseman position tonight, Leddy comes into tonight’s game looking for a repeat performance against the Sens as he saw 4:22 of power-play ice time on Tuesday and managed to block three shots and record an assist. He is dirt cheap and is a great way to get exposure to this game without risking much from a salary standpoint. Leddy obviously has limited upside but also does not have to do much to reach value and allow you to pay up at other positions.
– This play really goes without saying. The most important statistic for a goalie in DFS is getting a win which nets you 12 FDP. The last time that Vasilevskiy suffered a loss in regulation was back on January 30th at the hands of the Pittsburgh Penguins. Since then, Vasilevskiy is 11-0-2 with two shutouts and has only been under 20 FDP twice. Simply put, he has been an animal this year and one of the biggest reasons the Tampa Bay Lightning sit atop the NHL standings and are favorites to win the Stanley Cup this year. He just shut down a tough Winnipeg offense on Tuesday and should be well-rested and ready to go tonight against a mediocre Wild offense. The one issue is the price you have to be willing to pay to roster him. If you can afford it, Vasilevskiy is one of the safest plays at the position in cash-games.
– As I put in my write-up on Tuesday, the masses were all over Robin Lehner taking on this same Ottawa team but I was not going to be surprised if Ottawa managed to beat the Islanders. Lenner proceeded to give up four goals before getting hurt and having to leave the game with 9 minutes remaining. Greiss came on and got credit for the win. Lenner will not play tonight, meaning Greiss will have an opportunity tonight to tend the twine. Sometimes you have to put your faith in Vegas and tonight may be one of those nights, as the Islanders are once again heavy favorites, this time on the road.
– Koskinen is my favorite goalie priced under $8,000 tonight. He sees home ice advantage, gets to face off against a Canucks team who played an overtime game last night, and should have plenty of offensive support as they take on a young and inexperienced goalie. Add that to the fact that Koskinen has put up 20+ FDP in five of his last six games and it makes the play that much safer. Don’t expect a shutout, but the win is what we want, and the win is what we should get.
I hope all of this information helps those who have been struggling a bit and I look forward to continuing to cover both the NBA and NHL (and soon MLB!). Best of luck tonight flipping the script! As always, leave any comments or suggestions below.