Flipping the Script (NHL) - Tuesday 1/14
I am just your average DFS player who has found a way to become profitable in a cash game setting. For most of us, DFS is a losing battle and I am here to give an easy break down of the top plays in both the NBA and NHL on larger slates.
We’re back for another week of Flipping the Script after a solid 6+ months away from the DFS scene. As with anything in life, it is always good to enjoy things in moderation. I have been playing here and there the last few weeks to get my toes wet again and I cannot wait to dive right back into this blog. With a large 11 game slate on tap in the NHL tonight I will be looking to those specific cash games to come away with some solid profits. As always, I will be throwing in a few double-up and GPP NBA lineups but entries will be heavy in hockey. Without further ado, let’s get to today’s top NHL cash-game plays of the day.
Top Teams to Stack
1. vs. New Jersey Devils
Any time you have seven of the bottom ten defenses playing, you can be sure that there will be plenty of points scored throughout the NHL tonight, making for some solid team stacks as well as s few cheap one-off plays to help fit those salary guzzlers. Speaking of salary guzzlers, I’ll be starting all of my cash game lineups with Auston Matthews and then figuring out the rest from there. Matthews has been one of the most prolific scorers over the last month and it seems like when he is held off the scoresheet some type of planetary alignment had to have occurred. That was the case in their last matchup as Matthews couldn’t manage to register a point in the blowout loss to the Florida Panthers despite putting another six shots on goal. Sticking with the Matthews line, you can make a case for Mitchell Marner as he is currently on a seven game point streak and has accumulated 26 points in his last 16 games. His price may give you some hesitation, but going up against either a struggling MacKenzie Blackwood or an extremely lucky Louis Domingue on home ice gives me confidence in pairing both Matthews and Marner in cash games.
2. vs. Los Angeles Kings
If you decide to go an alternate route from the Toronto stack, you can look no further than another high-powered offense in the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Kings have not been playing terrible as of late, but they are still the Kings and Tampa Bay is coming off having their nine game win streak snapped over the weekend. A stack of the top power-play line of Nikita Kucherov and Steven Stamkos can almost assuredly offer you the upside of a three point night from either of them or both. Personally, I would look to roster Kucherov as a one-off sort of play to my Maple Leafs stack as Stamkos also costs a pretty penny and there are so many great offensive matchups that I wouldn’t want to overlook.
3. vs. Minnesota Wild
The Wild used to be a team that I often avoided stacking against, but they no longer have the potent defense and grind-it-out offense they once did. With two expensive stacks already presented, we need to find a way to save some money and with the injury to Sidney Crosby the Penguins do just that with their ever so consistent line of Bryan Rust, Dominik Kahun, and the always dangerous Evgeni Malkin. Both Rust and Kahun are underpriced for their production and upside skating alongside Malkin, making those two of my favorite plays of the night in addition to my Matthews/Marner stack. I also do not mind adding Malkin if you can find a way to afford him and send out the full three-man stack, but it will certainly be hard to fit in. I’m assuming they will see Devan Dubinsky in goal, but quite frankly it doesn’t matter who mans the crease as the Penguins should be able to easily dispatch of the Wild tonight.
4. vs. Ottawa Senators
How much do I need to say? The Senators are once again right at the bottom of the league in defensive statistics this year and continue to put out a young, inexperienced lineup that makes even the most mediocre of offenses look like the Maple Leafs. In order to fit some of the expensive pieces into our lineup, the first guy I will be plugging into all of my lineups as a salary saver is Dominik Kubalik. Kubalik has been playing alongside Jonathan Toews on the first line and flourishing in the opportunity. He has scored a point in nine of his last eleven games and is severely underpriced given his opportunity and form. It’s a toss up for me at the moment, but Toews may join Kubalik in my lineups depending on what my team looks salary wise after I choose my goalie and input my Matthews/Marner stack. He is not overly expensive and gets a bump up playing against the Senators defense. If you’re feeling risky, adding Patrick Kane to that stack could win you a GPP.
1. Kris Letang vs. Minnesota Wild – Any time you can get a top-tier defenseman at a discounted price you jump on it. Letang seems to be one of the only Penguins to be missing “(player-popup #sidney-crosby)Sidney Crosby”:/players/sidney-crosby-14202’s presence, as his offensive production has dipped slightly. Some of that may also be attributed to the fact that he still may not be 100% after missing eight games in November with a lower body injury. Either way, he mans the point on the top power-play unit and on a slate with so many high-priced skaters I feel confident with Letang as my #1 defensive option tonight.
2. Tyson Barrie vs. New Jersey Devils – With the news that Morgan Reilly has been placed on the IR with a fractured foot, this will open the door for Barrie to take the reigns as the two-way defenseman that the Maple Leafs are going to need. Barrie already was manning the point on the top power-play unit and should be afforded more opportunities as well as minutes in Reilly’s absence. If you are looking for a guy who won’t break the bank but provides you with comparable upside Barrie should be on your radar.
1. Neal Pionk vs. Vancouver Canucks – I’m not sure how long it is going to take for DFS sites to price Pionk where he should be, but until then he is going to continue to be a plug-and-play for me in cash games as he is running the point on the first power-play unit and has 17 double-digit FDP games in his last 22. Roster Pionk and move along with your picks.
2. P.K. Subban vs. Toronto Maple Leafs -If you for some reason cannot roster either Letang or Barrie with Pionk and need a really cheap upside play I would say Subban checks off all of the boxes. In the last two weeks he has finally broken out of his extended slump offensively and just played 26 minutes against Tampa Bay on Sunday. That could be an anomaly as his average is right around 19-20 minuted per game, but either way he gets a juicy matchup with a Maple Leafs squad that despite having a high-powered offense, often forgets that defense is also part of the game. It is a risky bet in cash games, but I can certainly see the appeal if you need the extra salary.
Andrei Vasilevskiy vs. Los Angeles Kings – Coming off of back to back shut outs and riding an eight game win streak, Vasilevskiy is the clear cut top goalie of the nigh taking on a lackluster Kings offense. The one thing hindering this play in cash games is the fact that he is the most expensive goalie on the slate, and for good reason. If you can find a way to roster him and still keep your core plays intact then by all means do so.
Robin Lehner vs. Ottawa Senators – Aside from the lone hiccup against the Canucks, Lehner has been nearly unstoppable in goal for the Blackhawks and looks to get another win under his belt on the road against a bottom-tier team in the Senators. If Lehner doesn’t get the start, Corey Crawford would make for an extremely cheap play in a solid matchup. Just know that Crawford is no longer the Crawford we became accustomed to in the Backhawks Stanley Cup years.
Thomas Greiss vs. Detroit Red Wings – The Red Wings continue to have the worst defense in the NHL and are also ranked last in goals for per game. With Semyon Varlamov having started last night against the Rangers, I fully expect Greiss to make the start tonight in a great matchup at a reasonable price. It would not surprise me to see him as the highest owned goalie of the night, but I don’t think you could do much better in order to save at the position and pay up elsewhere. Start your lineups with Greiss and go from there.
I hope all of this information helps those who have been struggling a bit and I look forward to continuing to cover both the NBA and NHL (and soon MLB!). Best of luck tonight flipping the script! As always, leave any comments or suggestions below.