Flipping the Script (NHL) - Tuesday 2/26
I am just your average DFS player who has found a way to become profitable in a cash game setting. For most of us, DFS is a losing battle and I am here to give an easy break down of the top plays in both the NBA and NHL on larger slates.
Monday, February 26
With a larger slate of games tonight, we should be able to find plenty of solid cash-game plays. Stacking lines is always the start to building the consistent winning lineup that we all seek. So with that, here are the top teams I will be targeting where I can fit in my mini-stacks, as well as the top value defensemen and the goalie with the highest chance of picking up a win and grabbing those coveted 12 extra FDP.
Top Teams to Stack
1. vs. Ottawa Senators
The trade deadline has passed and the Capitals host a young Ottawa team that just traded away three of it’s best players in Matt Duchene, Ryan Dzingel, and Mark Stone. Although Ottawa looks to have certainly positioned themselves well for the future, they face a tough task tonight going up against the 7th highest scoring offense in the league. The Capitals come into tonight’s game with the highest projected point total and one of the highest money line odds. With this we can look no further than the top goal scorer in the NHL, Alexander Ovechkin ($8,800), who has lit the lamp 44 times this year. The question becomes who to pair with Ovechkin as you have the option to go with either T.J. Oshie ($6,600) or Evgeny Kuznetsov ($7,400), both of whom see time on the top power-play unit. Nicklas Backstrom ($6,000) also makes for a solid cash-game play if you need to save at the center position and still want exposure to the top power-play unit. In all honesty, you can’t go wrong pairing any of those three with Ovechkin or even going with the three-man stack to have full exposure to this game.
2. vs. Los Angeles Kings
Another heavy favorite tonight is the Carolina Hurricanes as they host the Los Angeles Kings. The Kings look far from the team that competed year after year and Jonathan Quick has certainly looked more than human over the course of the season. Some of that can be attributed to the lack of skilled position players in front of him, but it also looks like age is starting to take its toll. Regardless, it has been a profitable strategy to pick on the Kings all year and it won’t stop tonight as Carolina has had one of the hottest offenses over the last couple of weeks. It all starts with the young center Sebastian Aho ($7,500), who looks like the franchise-type player that the Hurricanes were hoping he would be. Skating alongside Aho on both the top line and top power-play are Nino Niederreiter ($6,200) and Justin Williams ($6,000). Both skaters have been putting up points at an insane pace over the last two weeks and their prices have yet to catch up to their production. If you cannot afford Aho at center, a lineup can easily be created with Niederreiter and Williams to help get exposure to this game.
3. vs. Dallas Stars
The third team I am going to do my best to get some exposure to tonight will be the Golden Knights, who just picked up a massive offensive weapon in Mark Stone ($7,600) at the trade deadline. Stone should slot in on the first line alongside William Karlsson ($6,200) and Jonathan Marchessault ($6,400), while dropping Reilly Smith down to the second line. Of the three, Stone and Marchessault look to be the two skaters I will be targeting as Karlsson is not as involved on offense as I would like for a first line center. However, it would not surprise me if Karlsson began to rack up more assists now that he has two high-profile scorers on the ice with him.
1. John Carlson ($6,300) vs. Ottawa Senators – As stated earlier in this article, I will be heavily targeting the Washington Capitals players tonight. Carlson is my top defenseman to target tonight as he runs the point on the power-play and is in a great spot to be heavily involved in the offense. He is also one of the most consistent defensemen in the NHL from an offensive standpoint, allowing us to plug-and-play him without any worry. Play Carlson and move along.
2. Justin Faulk ($4,900) vs. Los Angeles Kings – Sticking with the stacking trend, I will have quite a bit of Justin Faulk in my lineups tonight for a few reasons. The Hurricanes are heavy favorites, Faulk mans the point of the top power-play unit, he is cheap, and has scored over 17 FDP in three of his last four games. When looking for some salary relief, Faulk profiles as a high upside play at a position that is vital in order for your lineups to cash.
3. Filip Hronek ($3,600) vs. Montreal Canadiens – Although it is always difficult to put your faith into a guy who is nearly minimum price, you can usually get away with it at the defense position when it’s absolutely necessary to get the salary relief. Hronek grades out as my favorite low-priced defenseman tonight as he should see minutes in the low-to-mid twenties, will have an expanded role in the penalty kill and also spends time on the first power-play unit. He does have a relatively low floor, but the upside is there to get you double-digit fantasy points for nearly the minimum price if you can’t spend up at the position.
1. Braden Holtby ($8,600) vs. Ottawa Senators – Are you sensing a theme yet? The Capitals are the heaviest favorites tonight, Holtby is relatively inexpensive in comparison to the goalies priced above him, and he is facing an offense that no longer has their three top offensive threats. All of this leads to Holtby grading out as the top goalie tonight and by a pretty wide margin. As long as you only played three other Capitals, he should be locked and loaded in your cash-game lineups.
1. Marc-Andre Fleury ($7,800) vs. Dallas Stars – If you happened to stack the entire top power-play unit of the Capitals and cannot play Holtby, Fleury comes with a decent price and plenty of upside. He will be facing a Stars team that simply struggles offensively and to make matters worse will more than likely be without Jamie Benn tonight as he is listed as doubtful to play. The Golden Knights added Mark Stone to the offense which should produce plenty of opportunity for Fleury to right the ship. He certainly has not been in the greatest form of late, but if you need the extra salary he is a safe bet to give up one or two goals and get the win tonight in Vegas.
I hope all of this information helps those who have been struggling a bit and I look forward to continuing to cover both the NBA and NHL (and soon MLB!). Best of luck tonight flipping the script! As always, leave any comments or suggestions below.