Flipping the Script (NHL) - Tuesday 3/19
I am just your average DFS player who has found a way to become profitable in a cash game setting. For most of us, DFS is a losing battle and I am here to give an easy break down of the top plays in both the NBA and NHL on larger slates.
Tuesday, March 19
Well, we’re another day closer to the weekend so that is always pretty cool. Last night was one of those nights where your lineup could have scored 320+ or under 270 depending on what value plays you decided to pair with some of the higher priced players. There were a number of options to choose from with the amount of injuries announced over the course of the day. If you followed along to my write-up yesterday you should have been able to cash easily in both cash-games and GPP’s. My final lineup was as follows:
PG – Goran Dragic (54.5)
PG – Fred VanVleet (38.4)
SG – Luka Doncic (60.6)
SG – Klay Thompson (30.5)
SF – Paul George (56.3)
SF – Mario Hezonja (22.5)
PF – Josh Jackson (28.4)
PF – Marcus Morris (20.5)
C – Marc Gasol (29.7)
Total – 320.9
Recap: I started my lineup last night with my two highest priced players in Paul George and Luka Doncic. I knew George was going to be highly owned with Westbrook out and the upside was simply too high to fade. Doncic was one of my favorite plays on the slate as I mentioned in my article yesterday and once he was deemed probable on the injury report I plugged him in as my second stud behind George. From there it became a matter of value and opportunity to figure out the rest of my lineup. With Kawhi Leonard out it was announced Fred VanVleet would get the start so he became my favorite value point guard at just $4,600. For the second point guard slot I was back and forth between Goran Dragic and paying up a little more for Emmanuel Mudiay. When Justise Winslow was ruled out it solidified my belief that Dragic was the better play as Mudiay has always been inconsistent and saw a difficult matchup, whereas Dragic saw the poor defense of Dennis Schroder.
I locked Klay Thompson into my second shooting guard slot when Cousins was ruled out, and luckily managed to hit the 30 FDP mark despite shooting 5-18 from the floor in the Golden State loss. I then plugged Marc Gasol in at center with Kawhi and Ibaka both sitting out, however he only played 21 minutes due to the blowout. At power forward I really liked Marcus Morris with Gordon Hayward out and much to my disappointment I swapped Jerami Grant for Josh Jackson when Kelly Oubre was ruled out. I had $3,800 for my last slot so I plugged in the punt play of Mario Hezonja fully expecting him to have the lowest score in my lineup. All in all it was a profitable night thanks to the Dragic magic.
Tonight we will be switching over to the NHL as there is an ten game slate on tap for us tonight in comparison to the six NBA games. If you have any questions about the NBA games shoot me a message and I will do my best to get back to you, as I will still have a few lineups tonight.
Let’s get to today’s top NHL plays of the day.
Top Teams to Stack
1. vs. New Jersey Devils
By far the best team to stack tonight, the Capitals head into New Jersey to take on a Devils squad that gives up the third most goals-per-game in the NHL at 3.36. Match that up with a team that scores 3.39 goals-per-game and the Caps are in a prime spot to capitalize offensively. As always, when you think of the Capitals you can’t start without mentioning Alexander Ovechkin ($9,000), who currently leads the NHL in goals at 48. I will be starting each of my cash-game lineups with Ovechkin as there are plenty of value plays to help fit some of the bigger names tonight. To pair with Ovechkin, you can certainly make a case for Evgeny Kuznetsov ($7,300) or Niklas Backstrom ($6,600) at the center position. Both skate on the first power-play line with Ovechkin, which is where he does most of his damage. Tom Wilson ($4,900) is also not a terrible play while skating on the top line alongside Ovechkin and Kuznetsov. He isn’t the most consistent producer offensively but is a $2,400 discount off of Kuznetsov if you are trying to find an inexpensive way to get exposure to the Capitals top line.
2. vs. Calgary Flames
With Sean Monahan shaping up to be a game-time-decision, the Blue Jackets head into Calgary with a solid opportunity to steal two points as they try to hold on to the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They will more than likely be matching up against David Rittich in goal tonight, who has struggles keeping the puck out of the net lately. Despite the solid spot the Blue Jackets are in, I really only see two linesmen as viable options from this team. The first is Artemi Panarin ($7,500) and the second is Cam Atkinson ($7,300). Both are reasonably priced with plenty of upside tonight and they are a solid pivot off of the Capitals stack if you are trying to differentiate your lineup in tournaments. I am not sure if I will be able to fit either guy into my cash-game lineups due to pricing, but I may do my best to fit one of them in as a one-off to get exposure to this top line.
3. vs. Edmonton Oilers
My third favorite stack of the night is the top line of the St. Louis Blues. There are a few reasons I will more than likely have my fair share of exposure to this line in my cash-game lineups. For one, they are dirt cheap to stack. Ryan O’Reilly ($6,800) has been the heart and soul of this offense ever since Vladimir Tarasenko ($8,000) went down to injury. However, Tarasenko will be returning to the lineup tonight and slotting back in on the top line alongside Brayden Schenn ($6,000). Schenn is less of a necessity for me, but still certainly viable if you decide to go with the three-man stack. Mikko Koskinen is not a goalie to be overly worried about if he does get the start in net for the Oilers, as the defense has been atrocious in front of him. There should be plenty of goals scored in this one and I would not rule out an entire game stack if you want to pair Connor McDavid ($9,300) with one or two of the Blues top line.
4. vs. Florida Panthers
Dallas comes into tonight’s game as a solid favorite in their matchup with the Panthers and goalie Samuel Montembeault. The difference for this Stars offense has been night and day with the re-emergence of Alexander Radulov ($6,700). At his price point he makes for one of my favorite wingers on the night as he has scored 11+ FDP in ten of his last twelve games. Pairing him along with his linemate Tyler Seguin ($7,900) looks to be one of the more profitable line combinations to have in your double-ups tonight if you are fading the Capitals. You can also look at Roope Hintz ($4,400) who has been flourishing on the top line alongside Seguin and Radulov, but does not see time on the top power-play unit with them. I am not sure how much exposure to the Stars I will have as I am going to be making an effort to play the top guys from the Capitals, but depending on salary constraints Radulov will make for a solid one-off in my lineups.
1. John Carlson ($6,800) vs. New Jersey Devils – My top defenseman of the night is easily John Carlson. Carslon sees a plus matchup against a terrible Devils team and mans the point on one of the most effective power-play units in the NHL. When it comes to defensemen, it is always difficult to determine whether or not to pay up at the position, but tonight I will be making it a priority to get Carlson into my lineups. He has scored 17+ FDP in four of his last five games and should be heavily involved in the points scored tonight for the Capitals.
2. Zack Werenski ($5,400) vs. Calgary Flames – In the middle-tier of defensemen, Werenski stands out to me as a solid play with decent upside. He may not put up 15+ FDP, but I have him projected for 8 FDP which would be a solid output for a guy in this price-range. I don’t think I will have much of Werenski but he is certainly a viable cash-game option.
3. Charlie McAvoy ($4,800) vs. New York Islanders – Possibly my favorite play at the defenseman position tonight aside from Carlson, Charlie McAvoy comes into tonight’s game in great form. Since taking over for Torey Krug on the top power-play unit, he has scored 8+ FDP in five of six games and will more than likely see the same role in tonight’s game against the Islanders. This should be a grind-it-out type of game, but McAvoy’s upside while skating alongside Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Krejci on the power-play gives him plenty of exposure to scoring opportunities even if they will be limited tonight. Most of my cash-game lineups will be starting with the pairing of Carlson and McAvoy and filling in the rest from there.
Pheonix Copley ($8,000) vs. New Jersey Devils – I honestly thought about doing the three different tiers of high-priced, mid-tier, and bargain-bin, but if I am being realistic there will only be one goalie I, and many others, will be using tonight. Pheonix Copley gets to square up with a Devils team that is not only terrible defensively, but they also rank in the bottom 10 in goals-per-game. He should see plenty of offensive support meaning one or two goals for the Devils will not affect his ability to secure the win and the 12 FDP that are a necessity in DFS hockey. At such a reduced price in comparison to some of the top-tier goalies tonight, Copley will allow you to spend a little extra salary elsewhere and help solidify your cash-game lineup.
I hope all of this information helps those who have been struggling a bit and I look forward to continuing to cover both the NBA and NHL (and soon MLB!). Best of luck tonight flipping the script! As always, leave any comments or suggestions below.