Home Run Derby: Friday, April 19th

Calling home runs, besides great fun, often makes the difference between a wildly profitable night in DFS and missing the cash line. Throughout the 2019 MLB season, I will endeavor to find a few home runs in three salary tiers on DraftKings. Join me throughout the year and call your home runs for monthly and seasonal RotoGrinders prizes. Without further ado, let’s play Home Run Derby!

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Throughout this season, I will produce the Home Run Derby for main slates on DraftKings 2-3 days per week — selecting a home run from three different pricing tiers. If you want to call your home runs, please use these tiers for your selections to be eligible for any Derby prizes. Here are the tiers.

Luxury Box – $4,500 and above
Club Seats – $3,500 – $4400
Bleachers – Below $3,500

Hitters must be selected from the DraftKings Main Slate.

Schedule this Week: Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday

Happy Friday, Grinders! Major League Baseball provided us a measly 15 home runs on Wednesday’s Main Slate. That said, Matt Adams was able to move many people up a slot. Before I move forward, I must remind the community of our rules — since there are few. If you are playing the game, you must pick home runs from the DraftKings Main Slate. Also, your home runs must fit the pricing tiers listed above. Going forward, if any of the three picks are in the wrong tier (people are just taking three studs) or if you pick a player off of the main slate — you will automatically take a zero for the slate. Compiling the home runs and adjusting the leaderboard is probably what takes the most time when preparing this article. I cannot spend any additional time sifting through slates. That said, I am pumped for today’s slate. Friday means we get a massive slate to pick home runs from and I am going to the Yankees game! Let’s get to my picks and follow with a leaderboard update.

One more note — I am going to shift now to 2018-2019 statistics for hitters and pitchers.

Unless specified, the statistics provided for each hitter and pitcher are combined for 2018 and 2019. I will note when I switch over to exclusively using statistics for 2019.

Luxury Box

George Springer – OF – $4,900

Springer in 18-19 – 27 HR, .177 ISO, 35.3 FB%, 34.5 Hard%, 88.9 MPH aEV

Smyly vs RHH – .186 ISO, 91.6 MPH aEV, 41.2 FB%, 55.9 Hard%

As much as I want to step into Judge’s courtroom tonight, the weather situation on the East Coast looks bleak. Instead, I will pivot to what will likely be an extremely popular spot for home run hunting. Wear your orange knit caps — these woods are going to be packed tonight. I will plant my flag with George Springer against the Smyly gas can. Springer will lead off in the best ballpark with the wind blowing out.

Springer led the game off with a home run in Smyly’s last meeting with the Astros at home. His ISO bumps to .216 when he faces left-handed pitching. This feels like a match made in heaven — to be played out in Arlington. Sign me up!

Club Seats

Mike Moustakas – 2B/3B – $4,200

Moustakas in 18-19 – 34 HR, .221 ISO, 46.7 FB%, 42.0 Hard%, 89.5 MPH aEV

Stripling vs LHH – .140 ISO, 84.8 MPH aEV, 29.4 FB%, 27.9 Hard%

Well, if we work under the premise that the East Coast is out of bounds, we will be hard-pressed to find a better hitting environment than Miller Park in this tier. I know the matchup isn’t wonderful for Moustakas — Stripling displayed a bit of a reverse-split tendency throughout this sample of 2018-2019. That said, Moustakas’ numbers are astonishing. Against righties, his line is ridiculous — .237 ISO, 50.4 FB%, 43.9 Hard%, 90.5 aEV.

In a matchup of an unstoppable force versus a slightly immovable object, I am going to go with the force in a dome. Miller Park Moose and I are going to be pals this season — no sense in passing tonight.

Bleachers

Max Stassi – C – $3,400

Stassi in 18-19 – 8 HR, .155 ISO, 31.2 FB%, 36.3 Hard%, 89.8 MPH aEV

Smyly vs RHH – .186 ISO, 91.6 MPH aEV, 41.2 FB%, 55.9 Hard%

Given such a disaster of a tier tonight, I think it makes sense to double-down against Drew Smyly. Stassi has flashed a bit of home run upside in his tenure as a part-time catcher for the Astros and gets the proverbial nut matchup tonight in Arlington. Against lefties, his FB% dips but his Hard% bumps north of 41%. I feel pretty good about this punt tonight given the context and opponent.

Leaderboard (sortable by column)

Player April 3/28 3/29 4/1 4/2 4/5 4/8 4/9 4/12 4/16 4/17
joeycis 6 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 0
erichanlon 11 3 2 0 0 2 1 0 2 0 1
shanekern03 9 4 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 0
KardiacChris 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Flake022 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
nrcave 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
mewhitenoise 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
D4RKSH33P 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
JustinY59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
boomanfoo 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
allanturner84 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pgram23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
hautalak 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
kdubs81 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SportsLover37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
chdmoney 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
moisheg1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
chris5764 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
donb5170 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BigWilburStyle 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TheDataDetective 3 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
pabloplyr 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
infy72 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
ropediddy 4 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
krot 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
bcorbett 5 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
pastorthor 8 3 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 0
MoccasinMusic 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0
Jpl711 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gillik9486 5 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 0
Anttheman 7 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 1 2 0
Jcomm91 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jaybmore 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Curse 5 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1
TheBigMeat88 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Grambus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
only1david77 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WestCrook1 8 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 1 2 0
oxlodge42 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
dreamweaver1984 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
strgzer585 10 0 0 0 0 3 2 1 1 1 2
okbosox26 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
mufasaha 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
djwagner92 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
cubbies66 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
weave40 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0
Btillman77 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
pryan000 6 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1
RLane11 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
Speak2daman 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Semaj89 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
HIPPYHD 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1
Buchholz61 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
yankees2772 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
real35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
IrishCarBomb9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dhargaden 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
michjim 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0
Georgehaug 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
pnbohannon 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
apov22 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0
mmart2780 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
gswenson0607 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
mcnasty52 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
whitetrashballerz 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
dankc2 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0
AverageMoesef 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
tsall 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0
dgw38579 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
jsherman003 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
DHowade 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
samsonite136 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
steelerhead 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
wcuball29 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
him 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
silverback9 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
timtime33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
steelbus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
yellowzjacket 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
lertno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
mattk614 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
jut01013 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Justboyd 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Strgzer585 nabbed two home runs on Wednesday and was poised to tie the lead until erichanlon called another one of his own. We had a smattering of other players land a home run because of the Adams blast. With a full slate on Friday, I expect a far greater home run total resulting in more movement up and down our leaderboard.

Will there be any baseball on the East Coast? Will I finally collect another home run and end this drought? Will erichanlon continue to hold the lead? These questions should be answered when I come back next week. Have a great weekend and good luck, everyone.

I am happy to announce that at the end of each month I will be rewarding the highest home run total with a RotoGrinders T-shirt. Having a rough month? Don’t let up. The RotoGrinders member with the most home runs throughout the season — until the end of August — will be awarded a 3-month Combo Premium subscription to start the NFL season!

Thanks for reading! If you enjoyed the article, stick around for the rest of the MLB season. Want to compete against me? Drop your expensive, mid-tier, and cheap home run calls in the comments (DraftKings pricing). Otherwise, give me a follow on Twitter where I typically post slate-relevant statistics and embarrassing comments about professional wrestling.

Statistics for this article are obtained from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, RotoGrinders Daily Research Console, and Baseball Savant.

About the Author

  • Joe Cistaro (joeycis)

  • Joe Cistaro has blogged on RotoGrinders since January 2017. He fell in love with daily fantasy sports after winning an NBA single-entry tournament on FanDuel in the fall of 2013. A small-time player, Joe enjoys writing about MLB and NBA DFS while connecting with the RotoGrinders community.

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